2026 New York gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 New York gubernatorial election
Flag of New York.svg
  2022
November 3, 2026
2030 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Kathy Hochul
Democratic



The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026. The primary election will take place on June 23, 2026, with only registered party members being allowed to vote in their respective parties' primaries. [1] In May 2025, the state legislature passed a bill ending separate primaries for the office of lieutenant governor; going forward, each candidate for governor "will form a joint ticket with their lieutenant governor pick" prior to the primary election held by their party. [2]

Contents

Incumbent Democratic governor Kathy Hochul took office on August 24, 2021 upon the resignation of her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo. [3] Hochul was elected to a full term in 2022 with 53.1% of the vote in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994. [4] [5] In July 2024, she announced her campaign for re-election. [6]

Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination. After Representative Elise Stefanik withdrew from the Republican primary in December 2025, Blakeman was endorsed by President Donald Trump. [7] Republicans have not won a statewide election in New York since George Pataki was re-elected governor in 2002. [8]

Democratic primary

Due to low approval ratings, poor Democratic performances in the 2022 midterm elections in New York, and controversies surrounding her administration, Hochul was considered vulnerable to a primary challenge in 2026. [9]

On June 2, 2025, after months of reports about the fraying relationship between Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado and the governor's office, Delgado launched his campaign for the Democratic nomination. [10] On February 4, 2026, he announced nurse, union organizer, and socialist activist India Walton as his running mate. [11] [12]

Despite being initially perceived as vulnerable to a challenge from the left, Hochul was endorsed by New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani and U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez – both prominent members of the New York City Democratic Socialists of America – in February 2026. Politico described the endorsements as "nods that all but crowd out her little-known primary challenger, Anthony(sic) Delgado", while Democratic strategist Trip Yang called Hochul "the comeback player of the year." [13] Days later, Hochul was endorsed by the New York Democratic Party after winning the support of 85% of party members at the state convention. [14] Delgado ended his campaign on February 10, 2026, saying that he "could not see a viable path forward". [15]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Jean Anglade, entrepeneur [17]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kathy Hochul
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Antonio Delgado (withdrawn)
State legislators
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Political parties

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Antonio
Delgado
Kathy
Hochul
Undecided [c] Margin
RealClearPolitics [61] March 26 – February 3, 2026December 16, 202511.0%57.5%31.5%Hochul +46.5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Antonio
Delgado
Kathy
Hochul
OtherUndecided
February 10, 2026Delgado withdraws from the race
Siena College [62] January 26–28, 2026– (RV)11%64%2% [e] 23%
John Zogby Strategies [63] January 6–8, 2026– (LV)12%64%24%
Siena College [64] December 8–12, 2025± 4.1%13%56%2% [e] 29%
Siena College [65] November 10–12, 2025± 4.0%16%56%3% [f] 25%
GrayHouse (R) [66] [A] September 20–26, 2025605 (LV)14%43%15% [g] 28%
Siena College [68] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%15%50%4%31%
Hypothetical polling
Kathy Hochul vs. Antonio Delgado vs. Ritchie Torres
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul
Antonio
Delgado
Ritchie
Torres
OtherUndecided
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%49%12%10%4%26%
Siena College [70] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%46%12%10%4% [h] 28%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025262 (RV)24%6%7%8% [i] 55%
Siena College [72] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%44%12%9%5% [j] 30%
Data for Progress (D) [73] March 26–31, 2025767 (LV)± 4.0%51%11%11%27%
Siena College [74] March 2–6, 2025400 (RV)46%11%10%4% [h] 28%
Citizen Data [75] [B] February 10, 2025– (RV)± 4.4%52%15%12%21%

Republican primary

U.S. representative Elise Stefanik was considered a potential gubernatorial candidate throughout 2025. She formally announced her candidacy on November 7, 2025. [76] A July 2025 Siena poll showed Stefanik leading two other potential Republican gubernatorial candidates, U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. [77] In May 2025, President Donald Trump endorsed Lawler and Blakeman for re-election to their current posts "in a not-so-subtle attempt to clear the field for upstate Congresswoman Elise Stefanik to get the GOP nomination". [78] On July 23, 2025, Mike Lawler announced that he would run for re-election to Congress. [79]

Bruce Blakeman was re-elected to the post of Nassau County executive by a double-digit margin in November 2025. [80] When asked about Blakeman's potential gubernatorial candidacy, Trump stated that Blakeman and Stefanik were "both great people". [81] On December 9, 2025, Blakeman launched his campaign for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial nomination. [82] According to The New York Times , Trump's decision to remain neutral and not to attempt to clear the field for Stefanik "sent shock waves through Republican circles". [83] On December 19, Stefanik announced she was withdrawing her candidacy. [84] President Trump endorsed Blakeman's candidacy on December 20. [7]

In February 2026, Libertarian nominee Larry Sharpe announced his intention to petition his way onto the Republican primary ballot. [85]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Pat Hahn, union leader [90]
  • David Tulley, cannabis shop owner [91]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Bruce Blakeman
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Party officials
Political parties
Elise Stefanik (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations
Political parties

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Bruce
Blakeman
Another
candidate
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [63] January 6–8, 2026– (LV)34%21%45%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Bruce
Blakeman
Elise
Stefanik
OtherUndecided
Siena College [64] December 8–12, 2025± 4.1%17%48%1% [k] 34%
J.L. Partners (R) [118] November 9–10, 2025400 (LV)± 4.9%5%74%7% [l] 14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Bruce
Blakeman
Mike
Lawler
Elise
Stefanik
OtherUndecided
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%7%18%35%1%39%
co/efficient (R) [119] June 18–20, 20251108 (LV)± 3.8%6%8%64%22%
Siena College [70] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%11%22%35%2% [e] 30%
co/efficient (R) [120] May 1–2, 20251163 (LV)± 3.3%8%9%56%27%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025400 (RV)± 5.0%5%7%44%44%
Siena College [72] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%28%22%4% [h] 46%
Siena College [74] March 2–6, 2025400 (RV)13%25%3% [f] 60%

Conservative primary

Candidates

Nominee

Working Families convention

Candidates

Nominee

The New York Working Families Party declined to nominate Hochul or Delgado, instead opting for a "placeholder candidate" to appear on their ballot line. The party have stated that the placeholder candidate will later be replaced by whichever candidate wins the Democratic nomination. [60] A convention attendee told City & State that Delgado won 41% of the weighted party committee vote to Hochul's 3%, while placeholder candidate won 56% of the vote. State party leaders Jasmine Gripper and Ana Maria Archila disputed the claim, but did not share the exact vote totals. [60]

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [125] Solid DDecember 20, 2025
Inside Elections [126] Likely DAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [127] Likely DSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [128] Safe DJanuary 6, 2026

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kathy
Hochul
Bruce
Blakeman
Other/Undecided
[m]
Margin
Race to the WH [129] April 30, 2025 – February 26, 2026March 4, 202650.4%32.8%16.8%Hochul +17.6%
RealClearPolitics [130] January 26, 2026 – March 4, 2026March 4, 202650.5%32.0%17.5%Hochul +18.5%
Average50.5%32.4%17.2%Hochul +18.1%

Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Bruce
Blakeman (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [131] February 23–26, 2026805 (RV)± 4.5%51%31%3% [f] 15%
Marist University [132] February 16–19, 20261,442 (RV)± 3.3%50%33%2% [n] 15%
MAD Global Strategy [133] [C] February 2–4, 2026600 (LV)± 4.0%47%34%19%
Siena College [62] January 26–28, 2026802 (RV)± 4.3%54%28%1% [k] 17%
John Zogby Strategies [63] January 6–8, 2026844 (LV)± 3.4%53%39%8%
49%34%8% [o] 9%
Siena College [64] December 8–12, 2025801 (RV)± 4.1%50%25%4% [h] 21%
J.L. Partners (R) [134] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%47%36%17%
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%44%19%37%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%44%36%20%
Hypothetical polling

Kathy Hochul vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [64] December 8–12, 2025801 (RV)± 4.1%49%30%1%20%
Siena College [65] November 10–12, 2025802 (RV)± 4.0%52%32%2% [e] 14%
J.L. Partners (R) [134] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%46%43%11%
Manhattan Institute (R) [135] October 22–26, 2025900 (LV/RV)± 3.3%42%43%9% [p] 6%
GrayHouse (R) [66] [A] September 20–26, 20251,250 (LV)± 2.6%48%43%9%
Siena College [136] September 8–10, 2025802 (RV)± 4.2%52%27%3%17%
Siena College [68] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%45%31%3%20%
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%47%24%29%
Harper Polling (R) [137] [D] May 7–9, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%50%39%11%
co/efficient (R) [120] May 1–2, 20251,163 (LV)± 3.3%43%42%15%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%46%40%14%

Kathy Hochul vs. Mike Lawler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Mike
Lawler (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%44%24%32%
Harper Polling (R) [137] [D] May 7–9, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%48%41%11%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%45%38%17%
Citizen Data [75] [B] February 10, 20251,000 (RV)± 3.1%46%38%10%6% [q]

Kathy Hochul vs. different candidate

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Different
Candidate
Undecided
Siena College [62] January 26–28, 2026802 (RV)± 4.3%42%51%7%
Siena College [65] November 10–12, 2025802 (RV)± 4.0%42%48%10%
J.L. Partners (R) [134] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%37%55%7%
GrayHouse (R) [66] September 20–26, 20251,250 (LV)± 2.6%34%59%7%
Siena College [136] September 8–10, 2025802 (RV)± 4.2%37%51%12%
Siena College [68] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%35%53%12%
Siena College [69] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%37%55%8%
Siena College [70] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%36%55%9%
GrayHouse (R) [71] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%27%61%12%
Siena College [72] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%39%48%13%
Siena College [74] March 2–6, 2025806 (RV)± 4.3%34%56%10%
Siena College [138] January 27–30, 2025803 (RV)± 4.2%31%57%12%
Siena College [139] December 2–5, 20241,059 (RV)± 4.1%33%57%11%
Slingshot Strategies (D) [140] May 2–3, 20241,059 (RV)± 5.0%34%44%21%

Kathy Hochul vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
J.L. Partners (R) [134] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%45%42%13%

Antonio Delgado vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Antonio
Delgado (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Manhattan Institute (R) [135] October 22–26, 2025900 (LV/RV)± 3.3%37%43%20%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Rodneyse Bichotte Hermelyn and the Brooklyn Democratic Party rescinded their endorsements of Hochul after she selected Adams as her running mate, before quickly re-endorsing her. [35] [38]
  2. The New York Working Families Party declined to endorse Hochul or Delgado, instead nominating a "placeholder candidate" for their ballot line. The party stated that the placeholder candidate will later be replaced by whichever candidate wins the Democratic nomination. [60]
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else" with 2%
  6. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 3%
  7. "Someone else" with 15%
  8. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else" with 4%
  9. Jamaal Bowman with 8%
  10. "Someone else" with 5%
  11. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  12. "Someone else" with 7%
  13. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  14. "Another party's candidate" with 2%
  15. Larry Sharpe (L) with 8%
  16. "Someone else" with 9%
  17. "I don't plan to vote in this election" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by a Stefanik-affiliated PAC. [67]
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Unite NY
  3. Poll sponsored by Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future
  4. 1 2 Poll conducted for an undisclosed Republican client

References

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