November 3, 2026 | |||||||
| |||||||
| |||||||
| Elections in New York |
|---|
The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026. The primary election will take place on June 23, 2026, with only registered party members being allowed to vote in their respective parties' primaries. [1]
Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul took office on August 24, 2021 upon the resignation of her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo. [2] Hochul was elected to a full term in 2022 with 53.1% of the vote [3] in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994. In July 2024, she announced her campaign for re-election. [4] Hochul faces a Democratic primary challenge from incumbent Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado. [5]
Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman is a Republican candidate for governor in the 2026 election. After Republican U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik withdrew her gubernatorial bid in December 2025, Blakeman was endorsed by President Donald Trump. [6] Republicans have not won a statewide election in New York since George Pataki was re-elected governor in 2002. [7]
Due to low approval ratings, poor Democratic performances in the 2022 midterm elections in New York, and controversies surrounding her administration, Hochul has been considered vulnerable to a primary challenge in 2026. [8] Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado launched his campaign for the Democratic nomination on June 2, 2025, after months of reports about a fraying relationship between Delgado and the governor's office. [5]
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Antonio Delgado | Kathy Hochul | Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics [24] | March 26 – December 12, 2025 | December 16, 2025 | 12.0% | 53.5% | 34.5% | Hochul +41.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado | Kathy Hochul | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [25] | December 8–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.1% | 13% | 56% | 2% [c] | 29% |
| Siena College [26] | November 10–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.0% | 16% | 56% | 3% [d] | 25% |
| GrayHouse (R) [27] [A] | September 20–26, 2025 | 605 (LV) | – | 14% | 43% | 15% [e] | 28% |
| Siena College [29] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 15% | 50% | 4% | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul | Antonio Delgado | Ritchie Torres | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 26% |
| Siena College [31] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 12% | 10% | 4% [f] | 28% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 262 (RV) | – | 24% | 6% | 7% | 8% [g] | 55% |
| Siena College [33] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 12% | 9% | 5% [h] | 30% |
| Data for Progress (D) [34] | March 26–31, 2025 | 767 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 11% | 11% | – | 27% |
| Siena College [35] | March 2–6, 2025 | 400 (RV) | – | 46% | 11% | 10% | 4% [f] | 28% |
| Citizen Data [36] [B] | February 10, 2025 | – (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 15% | 12% | – | 21% |
In May 2025, the legislature passed a bill ending separate primaries for the office of Lt. Governor, requiring candidates for that position and the governor to run in the primary as a team. [37]
U.S. representative Elise Stefanik was considered a potential gubernatorial candidate throughout 2025. She formally announced her candidacy on November 7, 2025. [41] A July 2025 Siena poll showed Stefanik leading two other potential Republican gubernatorial candidates, U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. [42] In May 2025, President Donald Trump endorsed Lawler and Blakeman for re-election to their current posts "in a not-so-subtle attempt to clear the field for upstate Congresswoman Elise Stefanik to get the GOP nomination". [43]
On July 23, 2025, Mike Lawler announced that he would run for re-election to Congress. [44]
Blakeman was re-elected to the post of Nassau County executive by a double-digit margin in November 2025. [45] On December 9, 2025, Blakeman launched his campaign for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial nomination. [46] Shortly thereafter, on December 19, Stefanik announced she was withdrawing her candidacy. [47] On December 20, President Trump endorsed Blakeman's candidacy. [6]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Bruce Blakeman | Elise Stefanik | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [25] | December 8–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.1% | 17% | 48% | 1% [j] | 34% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [72] | November 9–10, 2025 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 74% | 7% [k] | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Bruce Blakeman | Mike Lawler | Elise Stefanik | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 7% | 18% | 35% | 1% | 39% |
| co/efficient (R) [73] | June 18–20, 2025 | 1108 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 8% | 64% | – | 22% |
| Siena College [31] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 22% | 35% | 2% [c] | 30% |
| co/efficient (R) [74] | May 1–2, 2025 | 1163 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 8% | 9% | 56% | – | 27% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 7% | 44% | – | 44% |
| Siena College [33] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 28% | 22% | – | 4% [f] | 46% |
| Siena College [35] | March 2–6, 2025 | 400 (RV) | – | 13% | 25% | – | 3% [d] | 60% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [77] | Solid D | December 20, 2025 |
| Inside Elections [78] | Likely D | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [79] | Likely D | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH [80] | Likely D | September 16, 2025 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul | Bruce Blakeman | Other/Undecided [l] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [81] | April 30 – December 18, 2025 | December 16, 2025 | 49.5 | 27.1% | 23.4% | Hochul +22.4% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Bruce Blakeman (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [25] | December 8–12, 2025 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 25% | 4% [f] | 21% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [82] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 36% | – | 17% |
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 19% | – | 37% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | – | 20% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [25] | December 8–12, 2025 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 30% | 1% | 20% |
| Siena College [26] | November 10–12, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 32% | 2% [c] | 14% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [82] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Manhattan Institute (R) [83] | October 22–26, 2025 | 900 (LV/RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 43% | 9% [m] | 6% |
| GrayHouse (R) [27] [A] | September 20–26, 2025 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Siena College [84] | September 8–10, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 27% | 3% | 17% |
| Siena College [29] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 31% | 3% | 20% |
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 24% | – | 29% |
| Harper Polling (R) [85] [C] | May 7–9, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| co/efficient (R) [74] | May 1–2, 2025 | 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Mike Lawler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Mike Lawler (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 24% | – | 32% |
| Harper Polling (R) [85] [C] | May 7–9, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | – | 11% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
| Citizen Data [36] [B] | February 10, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 38% | 10% | 6% [n] |
Kathy Hochul vs. different candidate
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Different Candidate | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [26] | November 10–12, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [82] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 55% | 7% |
| GrayHouse (R) [27] | September 20–26, 2025 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 34% | 59% | 7% |
| Siena College [84] | September 8–10, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 51% | 12% |
| Siena College [29] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 53% | 12% |
| Siena College [30] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 55% | 8% |
| Siena College [31] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 55% | 9% |
| GrayHouse (R) [32] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 61% | 12% |
| Siena College [33] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| Siena College [35] | March 2–6, 2025 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 56% | 10% |
| Siena College [86] | January 27–30, 2025 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 31% | 57% | 12% |
| Siena College [87] | December 2–5, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 57% | 11% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D) [88] | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 34% | 44% | 21% |
Kathy Hochul vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.L. Partners (R) [82] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Antonio Delgado vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Institute (R) [83] | October 22–26, 2025 | 900 (LV/RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
Partisan clients
Asked about a run for governor in 2026, she said that's the year she'll be running for reelection as attorney general
Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.) told Axios he won't mount another run for governor in 2026.