November 3, 2026 | |||||||
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| Elections in New York |
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The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026. The primary election will take place on June 23, 2026, with only registered party members being allowed to vote in their respective parties' primaries. [1] In May 2025, the state legislature passed a bill ending separate primaries for the office of lieutenant governor; going forward, each candidate for governor "will form a joint ticket with their lieutenant governor pick" prior to the primary election held by their party. [2]
Incumbent Democratic governor Kathy Hochul took office on August 24, 2021 upon the resignation of her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo. [3] Hochul was elected to a full term in 2022 with 53.1% of the vote in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994. [4] [5] In July 2024, she announced her campaign for re-election. [6]
Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination. After Representative Elise Stefanik withdrew from the Republican primary in December 2025, Blakeman was endorsed by President Donald Trump. [7] Republicans have not won a statewide election in New York since George Pataki was re-elected governor in 2002. [8]
Due to low approval ratings, poor Democratic performances in the 2022 midterm elections in New York, and controversies surrounding her administration, Hochul was considered vulnerable to a primary challenge in 2026. [9]
On June 2, 2025, after months of reports about the fraying relationship between Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado and the governor's office, Delgado launched his campaign for the Democratic nomination. [10] On February 4, 2026, he announced nurse, union organizer, and socialist activist India Walton as his running mate. [11] [12]
Despite being initially perceived as vulnerable to a challenge from the left, Hochul was endorsed by New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani and U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez – both prominent members of the New York City Democratic Socialists of America – in February 2026. Politico described the endorsements as "nods that all but crowd out her little-known primary challenger, Anthony(sic) Delgado", while Democratic strategist Trip Yang called Hochul "the comeback player of the year." [13] Days later, Hochul was endorsed by the New York Democratic Party after winning the support of 85% of party members at the state convention. [14] Delgado ended his campaign on February 10, 2026, saying that he "could not see a viable path forward". [15]
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Antonio Delgado | Kathy Hochul | Undecided [c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics [61] | March 26 – February 3, 2026 | December 16, 2025 | 11.0% | 57.5% | 31.5% | Hochul +46.5% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado | Kathy Hochul | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delgado withdraws from the race | |||||||
| Siena College [62] | January 26–28, 2026 | – (RV) | – | 11% | 64% | 2% [e] | 23% |
| John Zogby Strategies [63] | January 6–8, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 12% | 64% | – | 24% |
| Siena College [64] | December 8–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.1% | 13% | 56% | 2% [e] | 29% |
| Siena College [65] | November 10–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.0% | 16% | 56% | 3% [f] | 25% |
| GrayHouse (R) [66] [A] | September 20–26, 2025 | 605 (LV) | – | 14% | 43% | 15% [g] | 28% |
| Siena College [68] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 15% | 50% | 4% | 31% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul | Antonio Delgado | Ritchie Torres | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 26% |
| Siena College [70] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 12% | 10% | 4% [h] | 28% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 262 (RV) | – | 24% | 6% | 7% | 8% [i] | 55% |
| Siena College [72] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 12% | 9% | 5% [j] | 30% |
| Data for Progress (D) [73] | March 26–31, 2025 | 767 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 11% | 11% | – | 27% |
| Siena College [74] | March 2–6, 2025 | 400 (RV) | – | 46% | 11% | 10% | 4% [h] | 28% |
| Citizen Data [75] [B] | February 10, 2025 | – (RV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 15% | 12% | – | 21% |
U.S. representative Elise Stefanik was considered a potential gubernatorial candidate throughout 2025. She formally announced her candidacy on November 7, 2025. [76] A July 2025 Siena poll showed Stefanik leading two other potential Republican gubernatorial candidates, U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. [77] In May 2025, President Donald Trump endorsed Lawler and Blakeman for re-election to their current posts "in a not-so-subtle attempt to clear the field for upstate Congresswoman Elise Stefanik to get the GOP nomination". [78] On July 23, 2025, Mike Lawler announced that he would run for re-election to Congress. [79]
Bruce Blakeman was re-elected to the post of Nassau County executive by a double-digit margin in November 2025. [80] When asked about Blakeman's potential gubernatorial candidacy, Trump stated that Blakeman and Stefanik were "both great people". [81] On December 9, 2025, Blakeman launched his campaign for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial nomination. [82] According to The New York Times , Trump's decision to remain neutral and not to attempt to clear the field for Stefanik "sent shock waves through Republican circles". [83] On December 19, Stefanik announced she was withdrawing her candidacy. [84] President Trump endorsed Blakeman's candidacy on December 20. [7]
In February 2026, Libertarian nominee Larry Sharpe announced his intention to petition his way onto the Republican primary ballot. [85]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Bruce Blakeman | Another candidate | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies [63] | January 6–8, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Bruce Blakeman | Elise Stefanik | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [64] | December 8–12, 2025 | – | ± 4.1% | 17% | 48% | 1% [k] | 34% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [118] | November 9–10, 2025 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 74% | 7% [l] | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Bruce Blakeman | Mike Lawler | Elise Stefanik | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 7% | 18% | 35% | 1% | 39% |
| co/efficient (R) [119] | June 18–20, 2025 | 1108 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 8% | 64% | – | 22% |
| Siena College [70] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 11% | 22% | 35% | 2% [e] | 30% |
| co/efficient (R) [120] | May 1–2, 2025 | 1163 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 8% | 9% | 56% | – | 27% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 7% | 44% | – | 44% |
| Siena College [72] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 28% | 22% | – | 4% [h] | 46% |
| Siena College [74] | March 2–6, 2025 | 400 (RV) | – | 13% | 25% | – | 3% [f] | 60% |
The New York Working Families Party declined to nominate Hochul or Delgado, instead opting for a "placeholder candidate" to appear on their ballot line. The party have stated that the placeholder candidate will later be replaced by whichever candidate wins the Democratic nomination. [60] A convention attendee told City & State that Delgado won 41% of the weighted party committee vote to Hochul's 3%, while placeholder candidate won 56% of the vote. State party leaders Jasmine Gripper and Ana Maria Archila disputed the claim, but did not share the exact vote totals. [60]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [125] | Solid D | December 20, 2025 |
| Inside Elections [126] | Likely D | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [127] | Likely D | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH [128] | Safe D | January 6, 2026 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul | Bruce Blakeman | Other/Undecided [m] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH [129] | April 30, 2025 – February 26, 2026 | March 4, 2026 | 50.4% | 32.8% | 16.8% | Hochul +17.6% |
| RealClearPolitics [130] | January 26, 2026 – March 4, 2026 | March 4, 2026 | 50.5% | 32.0% | 17.5% | Hochul +18.5% |
| Average | 50.5% | 32.4% | 17.2% | Hochul +18.1% | ||
Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Bruce Blakeman (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [131] | February 23–26, 2026 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 31% | 3% [f] | 15% |
| Marist University [132] | February 16–19, 2026 | 1,442 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 33% | 2% [n] | 15% |
| MAD Global Strategy [133] [C] | February 2–4, 2026 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 34% | – | 19% |
| Siena College [62] | January 26–28, 2026 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 28% | 1% [k] | 17% |
| John Zogby Strategies [63] | January 6–8, 2026 | 844 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 53% | 39% | – | 8% |
| 49% | 34% | 8% [o] | 9% | ||||
| Siena College [64] | December 8–12, 2025 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 25% | 4% [h] | 21% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [134] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 36% | – | 17% |
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 19% | – | 37% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | – | 20% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [64] | December 8–12, 2025 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 30% | 1% | 20% |
| Siena College [65] | November 10–12, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 32% | 2% [e] | 14% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [134] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Manhattan Institute (R) [135] | October 22–26, 2025 | 900 (LV/RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 43% | 9% [p] | 6% |
| GrayHouse (R) [66] [A] | September 20–26, 2025 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% |
| Siena College [136] | September 8–10, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 27% | 3% | 17% |
| Siena College [68] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 31% | 3% | 20% |
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 24% | – | 29% |
| Harper Polling (R) [137] [D] | May 7–9, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| co/efficient (R) [120] | May 1–2, 2025 | 1,163 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 42% | – | 15% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Mike Lawler
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Mike Lawler (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 24% | – | 32% |
| Harper Polling (R) [137] [D] | May 7–9, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | – | 11% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 38% | – | 17% |
| Citizen Data [75] [B] | February 10, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 38% | 10% | 6% [q] |
Kathy Hochul vs. different candidate
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Different Candidate | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College [62] | January 26–28, 2026 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Siena College [65] | November 10–12, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners (R) [134] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 55% | 7% |
| GrayHouse (R) [66] | September 20–26, 2025 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 34% | 59% | 7% |
| Siena College [136] | September 8–10, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 51% | 12% |
| Siena College [68] | August 4–7, 2025 | 813 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 53% | 12% |
| Siena College [69] | June 23–26, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 55% | 8% |
| Siena College [70] | May 12–15, 2025 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 55% | 9% |
| GrayHouse (R) [71] | April 22–24, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 61% | 12% |
| Siena College [72] | April 14–16, 2025 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| Siena College [74] | March 2–6, 2025 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 56% | 10% |
| Siena College [138] | January 27–30, 2025 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 31% | 57% | 12% |
| Siena College [139] | December 2–5, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 57% | 11% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D) [140] | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 34% | 44% | 21% |
Kathy Hochul vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.L. Partners (R) [134] | November 9–10, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Antonio Delgado vs. Elise Stefanik
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [d] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Institute (R) [135] | October 22–26, 2025 | 900 (LV/RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
Partisan clients
Asked about a run for governor in 2026, she said that's the year she'll be running for reelection as attorney general
Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.) told Axios he won't mount another run for governor in 2026.
Shortly after Mamdani endorsed her, Hochul also secured support from New York Attorney General Letitia James and the property service workers union, 32BJ SEIU.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)Conservative Party Chair Jerry Kassar announced today he's backing Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's gubernatorial bid — a crucial endorsement for the likely Republican nominee and a signal the party likely won't run an opposing candidate.