2026 New York gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 New York gubernatorial election
Flag of New York.svg
  2022
November 3, 2026
2030 
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Kathy Hochul
Democratic



The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026. The primary election will take place on June 23, 2026, with only registered party members being allowed to vote in their respective parties' primaries. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul took office on August 24, 2021 upon the resignation of her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo. [2] Hochul was elected to a full term in 2022 with 53.1% of the vote [3] in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994. In July 2024, she announced her campaign for re-election. [4] Hochul faces a Democratic primary challenge from incumbent Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado. [5]

Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman is a Republican candidate for governor in the 2026 election. After Republican U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik withdrew her gubernatorial bid in December 2025, Blakeman was endorsed by President Donald Trump. [6] Republicans have not won a statewide election in New York since George Pataki was re-elected governor in 2002. [7]

Democratic primary

Background

Due to low approval ratings, poor Democratic performances in the 2022 midterm elections in New York, and controversies surrounding her administration, Hochul has been considered vulnerable to a primary challenge in 2026. [8] Lieutenant Governor Antonio Delgado launched his campaign for the Democratic nomination on June 2, 2025, after months of reports about a fraying relationship between Delgado and the governor's office. [5]

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Kathy Hochul
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Party officials
Party chapters
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State legislators

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Antonio
Delgado
Kathy
Hochul
Undecided [a] Margin
RealClearPolitics [24] March 26 – December 12, 2025December 16, 202512.0%53.5%34.5%Hochul +41.5%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Antonio
Delgado
Kathy
Hochul
OtherUndecided
Siena College [25] December 8–12, 2025± 4.1%13%56%2% [c] 29%
Siena College [26] November 10–12, 2025± 4.0%16%56%3% [d] 25%
GrayHouse (R) [27] [A] September 20–26, 2025605 (LV)14%43%15% [e] 28%
Siena College [29] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%15%50%4%31%
Hypothetical polling
Kathy Hochul vs. Antonio Delgado vs. Ritchie Torres
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul
Antonio
Delgado
Ritchie
Torres
OtherUndecided
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%49%12%10%4%26%
Siena College [31] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%46%12%10%4% [f] 28%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025262 (RV)24%6%7%8% [g] 55%
Siena College [33] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%44%12%9%5% [h] 30%
Data for Progress (D) [34] March 26–31, 2025767 (LV)± 4.0%51%11%11%27%
Siena College [35] March 2–6, 2025400 (RV)46%11%10%4% [f] 28%
Citizen Data [36] [B] February 10, 2025– (RV)± 4.4%52%15%12%21%

Lieutenant governor

In May 2025, the legislature passed a bill ending separate primaries for the office of Lt. Governor, requiring candidates for that position and the governor to run in the primary as a team. [37]

Candidates

Potential
Declined

Republican primary

Background

U.S. representative Elise Stefanik was considered a potential gubernatorial candidate throughout 2025. She formally announced her candidacy on November 7, 2025. [41] A July 2025 Siena poll showed Stefanik leading two other potential Republican gubernatorial candidates, U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman. [42] In May 2025, President Donald Trump endorsed Lawler and Blakeman for re-election to their current posts "in a not-so-subtle attempt to clear the field for upstate Congresswoman Elise Stefanik to get the GOP nomination". [43]

On July 23, 2025, Mike Lawler announced that he would run for re-election to Congress. [44]

Blakeman was re-elected to the post of Nassau County executive by a double-digit margin in November 2025. [45] On December 9, 2025, Blakeman launched his campaign for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial nomination. [46] Shortly thereafter, on December 19, Stefanik announced she was withdrawing her candidacy. [47] On December 20, President Trump endorsed Blakeman's candidacy. [6]

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Filed paperwork
  • Pat Hahn, union leader [49]
  • David Tulley, cannabis shop owner [50]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Bruce Blakeman
Executive branch officials
Party officials
Elise Stefanik (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Bruce
Blakeman
Elise
Stefanik
OtherUndecided
Siena College [25] December 8–12, 2025± 4.1%17%48%1% [j] 34%
J.L. Partners (R) [72] November 9–10, 2025400 (LV)± 4.9%5%74%7% [k] 14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Bruce
Blakeman
Mike
Lawler
Elise
Stefanik
OtherUndecided
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%7%18%35%1%39%
co/efficient (R) [73] June 18–20, 20251108 (LV)± 3.8%6%8%64%22%
Siena College [31] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%11%22%35%2% [c] 30%
co/efficient (R) [74] May 1–2, 20251163 (LV)± 3.3%8%9%56%27%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025400 (RV)± 5.0%5%7%44%44%
Siena College [33] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%28%22%4% [f] 46%
Siena College [35] March 2–6, 2025400 (RV)13%25%3% [d] 60%

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [77] Solid DDecember 20, 2025
Inside Elections [78] Likely DAugust 28, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [79] Likely DSeptember 4, 2025
Race to the WH [80] Likely DSeptember 16, 2025

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kathy
Hochul
Bruce
Blakeman
Other/Undecided
[l]
Margin
Race to the WH [81] April 30 – December 18, 2025December 16, 202549.527.1%23.4%Hochul +22.4%

Kathy Hochul vs. Bruce Blakeman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Bruce
Blakeman (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [25] December 8–12, 2025801 (RV)± 4.1%50%25%4% [f] 21%
J.L. Partners (R) [82] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%47%36%17%
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%44%19%37%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%44%36%20%
Hypothetical polling

Kathy Hochul vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [25] December 8–12, 2025801 (RV)± 4.1%49%30%1%20%
Siena College [26] November 10–12, 2025802 (RV)± 4.0%52%32%2% [c] 14%
J.L. Partners (R) [82] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%46%43%11%
Manhattan Institute (R) [83] October 22–26, 2025900 (LV/RV)± 3.3%42%43%9% [m] 6%
GrayHouse (R) [27] [A] September 20–26, 20251,250 (LV)± 2.6%48%43%9%
Siena College [84] September 8–10, 2025802 (RV)± 4.2%52%27%3%17%
Siena College [29] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%45%31%3%20%
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%47%24%29%
Harper Polling (R) [85] [C] May 7–9, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%50%39%11%
co/efficient (R) [74] May 1–2, 20251,163 (LV)± 3.3%43%42%15%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%46%40%14%

Kathy Hochul vs. Mike Lawler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Mike
Lawler (R)
OtherUndecided
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%44%24%32%
Harper Polling (R) [85] [C] May 7–9, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%48%41%11%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%45%38%17%
Citizen Data [36] [B] February 10, 20251,000 (RV)± 3.1%46%38%10%6% [n]

Kathy Hochul vs. different candidate

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Different
Candidate
Undecided
Siena College [26] November 10–12, 2025802 (RV)± 4.0%42%48%10%
J.L. Partners (R) [82] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%37%55%7%
GrayHouse (R) [27] September 20–26, 20251,250 (LV)± 2.6%34%59%7%
Siena College [84] September 8–10, 2025802 (RV)± 4.2%37%51%12%
Siena College [29] August 4–7, 2025813 (RV)± 4.2%35%53%12%
Siena College [30] June 23–26, 2025800 (RV)± 4.4%37%55%8%
Siena College [31] May 12–15, 2025805 (RV)± 4.3%36%55%9%
GrayHouse (R) [32] April 22–24, 2025600 (RV)± 4.0%27%61%12%
Siena College [33] April 14–16, 2025802 (RV)± 4.4%39%48%13%
Siena College [35] March 2–6, 2025806 (RV)± 4.3%34%56%10%
Siena College [86] January 27–30, 2025803 (RV)± 4.2%31%57%12%
Siena College [87] December 2–5, 20241,059 (RV)± 4.1%33%57%11%
Slingshot Strategies (D) [88] May 2–3, 20241,059 (RV)± 5.0%34%44%21%

Kathy Hochul vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
J.L. Partners (R) [82] November 9–10, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%45%42%13%

Antonio Delgado vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Antonio
Delgado (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Manhattan Institute (R) [83] October 22–26, 2025900 (LV/RV)± 3.3%37%43%20%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 2%
  4. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  5. "Someone else" with 15%
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else" with 4%
  7. Jamaal Bowman with 8%
  8. "Someone else" with 5%
  9. While Blakeman lost the Republican primary, he did appear in the general election as the nominee for the Tax Revolt Party.
  10. "Someone else" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 7%
  12. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  13. "Someone else" with 9%
  14. "I don't plan to vote in this election" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by a Stefanik-affiliated PAC. [28]
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Unite NY
  3. 1 2 Poll conducted for an undisclosed Republican client

References

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Official campaign websites