1980 United States presidential election in New York

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1980 United States presidential election in New York
Flag of New York (1909-2020).svg
  1976 November 4, 1980 1984  
  Official Portrait of President Reagan 1981-cropped.jpg Carter cropped.jpg John B. Anderson in New Jersey (cropped).jpg
Nominee Ronald Reagan Jimmy Carter John B. Anderson
Party Republican Democratic Liberal
Alliance Conservative
Home state California Georgia Illinois
Running mate George H. W. Bush Walter Mondale Patrick Lucey
Electoral vote4100
Popular vote2,893,8312,728,372467,801
Percentage46.66%43.99%7.54%

New York Presidential Election Results 1980.svg
County results

President before election

Jimmy Carter
Democratic

Elected President

Ronald Reagan
Republican

The 1980 United States presidential election in New York took place on November 4, 1980. All 50 states and the District of Columbia were part of the 1980 United States presidential election. Voters chose 41 electors to the Electoral College, which voted for President and Vice President.

Contents

New York was won by former California Governor Ronald Reagan, in a narrow victory against President of the United States Jimmy Carter, who failed to gain reelection against Reagan. [1] Also in the running was Independent candidate Congressman John B. Anderson of Illinois, who ran in New York as the Liberal Party candidate.

Reagan won the state with a plurality of 46.66% of the vote to Carter's 43.99%, a margin of 2.67%. Anderson finished in third, with 7.54%. New York's election results reflect the Republican Party's re-consolidation of base under what is popularly called the "Reagan Revolution," [2] which sounded various overwhelming conservative electoral victories across the United States throughout the 1980s – and most evidently against the relatively unpopular President Carter during the 1980 presidential election. New York weighed in for this election as more Democratic than the national average by about 7%.

This election is notable in that while the highly populated regions of New York City, Buffalo and Albany turned out for Carter, and the sparsely populated upstate counties turned out for Reagan, the election in the state was tipped by the downstate suburban counties around NYC, which were won by Reagan. Most notably, Reagan won in the Long Island suburban counties of Nassau and Suffolk by bigger vote number margins than in all of the counties that Carter won in the state except Manhattan. Carter actually picked up plurality wins in two counties where he had lost in 1976 to Gerald Ford: namely Monroe County, home to the city of Rochester (thereby making Reagan the first-ever Republican to win the White House without carrying this county), and Niagara County. Despite these two county gains by Carter, it wasn't enough for him to retain the state that he had won four years earlier, as Carter's winning margin in New York City was considerably lower than what it had been in 1976. This fact, combined with the big vote number margins that Reagan won by in the densely populated downstate counties outside New York City, enabled Reagan to overtake Carter in the popular vote statewide.

Another major contributing factor to Reagan's victory over Carter was the relatively strong third party showing by independent candidate John B. Anderson, a former liberal Republican congressman who garnered 7.54% of the vote in the State – nearly twice the 4% margin by which Carter had won New York in 1976. Running on the ballot line of New York's Liberal Party, Anderson attracted the votes of many liberals and moderates who normally leaned Democratic but were dissatisfied with the policies of the Carter Administration, and with Rockefeller Republicans who viewed Reagan as too far to the right, thus splitting the left-leaning vote in New York State.

Primaries

1980 Democratic primary
CandidateVotesDelegates
Ted Kennedy582,757176
Jimmy Carter (incumbent)406,305123
Totals989,062299
1980 Republican primary*
CandidateDelegates
Ronald Reagan73
George H. W. Bush6
John Anderson1
Uncommitted47
Totals127

Results

1980 United States presidential election in New York
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Ronald Reagan2,637,70042.53%
Conservative Ronald Reagan256,1314.13%
Total Ronald Reagan 2,893,83146.66%41
Democratic Jimmy Carter (Incumbent)2,728,37243.99%0
Liberal John B. Anderson 467,8017.54%0
Free Libertarian Ed Clark 52,6480.85%0
Right to Life Ellen McCormack 24,1590.39%0
Citizens Party Barry Commoner 23,1860.37%0
Communist Gus Hall 7,4140.12%0
Socialist Workers Clifton DeBerry 2,0680.03%0
Workers’ World Deirdre Griswold 1,4160.02%0
Write-ins 1,0640.02%0
Totals6,201,959100.0%41

New York City results

1980 presidential election in New York City Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Democratic Jimmy Carter 275,742181,090288,893269,14737,3061,052,17854.87%
62.40%64.02%55.44%47.98%33.72%
Republican-
Conservative
Ronald Reagan 115,91186,843200,306251,33364,885719,27837.51%
26.23%30.70%38.43%44.81%58.64%
Liberal John B. Anderson 38,59711,28624,34132,5667,055113,8455.94%
8.73%3.99%4.67%5.81%6.38%
Citizens Party Barry Commoner 5,3616852,2661,88922510,4260.54%
1.21%0.24%0.43%0.34%0.20%
Free Libertarian Roger MacBride 2,7189912,0392,4825618,7910.46%
0.62%0.35%0.39%0.44%0.51%
Right to Life Ellen McCormack 8629951,6152,2275186,2170.32%
0.20%0.35%0.31%0.40%0.47%
Communist Gus Hall 1,9976691,222945594,8920.26%
0.45%0.24%0.23%0.17%0.05%
Socialist Workers Clifton DeBerry 451204279258321,2240.06%
0.10%0.07%0.05%0.05%0.03%
Workers’ World Deirdre Griswold 259841317665560.03%
0.06%0.03%0.03%0.01%0.01%
TOTAL441,901282,847521,109560,923110,6511,917,431100.00%

Results by county

CountyRonald Reagan
Republican
Jimmy Carter
Democratic
John B. Anderson
Liberal
Ed Clark [3]
Free Libertarian
Ellen McCormack [3]
Right to Life
Barry Commoner [3]
Citizens
Various candidates [3]
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %# %# %
Albany 52,35436.27%74,42951.56%14,56310.09%1,7231.19%6420.44%5020.35%1510.10%−22,075−15.29%144,364
Allegany 10,42359.09%5,87933.33%9735.52%2751.56%440.25%250.14%210.12%4,54425.76%17,640
Bronx 86,84330.70%181,09064.02%11,2863.99%9910.35%9950.35%6850.24%9570.34%−94,247−33.32%282,847
Broome 39,27543.99%37,01341.46%11,38812.76%9691.09%3230.36%2060.23%1060.12%2,2622.53%89,280
Cattaraugus 17,22252.65%12,91739.49%1,8485.65%4771.46%1490.46%420.13%540.17%4,30513.16%32,709
Cayuga 17,94554.78%11,70835.74%2,5397.75%3601.10%1110.34%470.14%460.14%6,23719.04%32,756
Chautauqua 30,08151.20%22,87138.93%4,6998.00%8151.39%1420.24%720.12%760.13%7,21012.27%58,756
Chemung 19,67452.87%14,56539.14%2,4656.62%3270.88%1210.33%380.10%190.05%5,10913.73%37,209
Chenango 10,40053.08%6,91735.31%1,9089.74%2611.33%570.29%370.19%120.06%3,48317.77%19,592
Clinton 13,12048.79%11,49842.76%1,9047.08%1930.72%950.35%600.22%200.07%1,6226.03%26,890
Columbia 13,94653.08%9,50036.16%2,2048.39%3781.44%1250.48%860.33%350.13%4,44616.92%26,274
Cortland 9,88554.77%6,17634.22%1,6038.88%2491.38%490.27%550.30%310.17%3,70920.55%18,048
Delaware 10,60955.36%6,33333.05%1,8659.73%2521.31%350.18%520.27%180.09%4,27622.31%19,164
Dutchess 53,61657.65%28,61630.77%8,8249.49%1,1291.21%3880.42%2750.30%1590.17%25,00026.88%93,007
Erie 169,20940.24%215,28351.20%29,5807.03%3,8530.92%1,3810.33%7670.18%4000.10%−46,074−10.96%420,473
Essex 9,02553.16%6,44337.95%1,2137.14%2041.20%450.27%310.18%170.10%2,58215.21%16,978
Franklin 7,62046.77%7,28144.69%1,1827.26%880.54%800.49%300.18%110.07%3392.08%16,292
Fulton 11,44853.19%8,10537.66%1,5667.28%2801.30%720.33%300.14%210.10%3,34315.53%21,522
Genesee 11,65047.57%10,67743.60%1,6516.74%3461.41%970.40%290.12%390.16%9733.97%24,489
Greene 11,28657.88%6,48833.28%1,3386.86%2201.13%1150.59%290.15%220.11%4,79824.60%19,498
Hamilton 2,03863.10%92528.64%1765.45%521.61%160.50%200.62%30.09%1,11334.46%3,230
Herkimer 14,10550.58%11,49741.23%1,8306.56%3211.15%730.26%400.14%220.08%2,6089.35%27,888
Jefferson 16,45549.67%13,27140.06%2,8348.55%3871.17%850.26%710.21%250.08%3,1849.61%33,128
Kings 200,30638.43%288,89355.44%24,3414.67%2,0390.39%1,6150.31%2,2660.43%1,6490.32%−88,587−17.01%521,109
Lewis 4,93750.26%3,97340.45%7167.29%1501.53%320.33%40.04%100.10%9649.81%9,822
Livingston 11,19349.85%9,03040.22%1,6947.54%4001.78%630.28%470.21%270.12%2,1639.63%22,454
Madison 13,36955.85%7,84332.77%2,1228.86%4441.85%770.32%530.22%290.12%5,52623.08%23,937
Monroe 128,61541.93%142,42346.43%29,1189.49%4,3351.41%9800.32%8460.28%4160.14%−13,808−4.50%306,733
Montgomery 11,91749.48%9,64540.04%2,0808.64%3091.28%720.30%380.16%270.11%2,2729.44%24,088
Nassau 333,56755.95%207,60234.81%44,7587.51%3,4630.58%3,7950.64%2,2570.38%7120.12%125,96521.14%596,154
New York 115,91126.23%275,74262.40%38,5978.73%2,7180.62%8620.20%5,3611.21%2,7100.61%−159,831−36.17%441,901
Niagara 38,76044.86%40,40546.77%6,0146.96%8160.94%2850.33%720.08%560.06%−1,645−1.91%86,409
Oneida 51,96849.59%44,29242.26%6,9296.61%1,1071.06%3080.29%980.09%970.09%7,6767.33%104,799
Onondaga 97,88750.62%73,45337.99%18,8059.72%1,9080.99%6950.36%3520.18%2720.14%24,43412.63%193,372
Ontario 17,03647.98%14,47740.77%3,1478.86%6061.71%1330.37%660.19%410.12%2,5597.21%35,506
Orange 51,26856.67%30,02233.18%7,6568.46%9481.05%3020.33%1510.17%1230.14%21,24623.49%90,470
Orleans 7,53651.58%5,76739.47%9776.69%2521.72%410.28%200.14%180.12%1,76912.11%14,611
Oswego 22,81653.63%15,34336.07%3,3337.83%8101.90%1180.28%650.15%560.13%7,47317.56%42,541
Otsego 11,81449.42%8,79536.79%2,87412.02%2991.25%470.20%510.21%270.11%3,01912.63%23,907
Putnam 20,19363.46%8,69127.31%2,3407.35%2940.92%1460.46%1120.35%430.14%11,50236.15%31,819
Queens 251,33344.81%269,14747.98%32,5665.81%2,4820.44%2,2270.40%1,8890.34%1,2790.23%−17,814−3.17%560,923
Rensselaer 32,00545.89%29,88042.84%6,4439.24%9551.37%2700.39%1300.19%640.09%2,1253.05%69,747
Richmond 64,88558.64%37,30633.72%7,0556.38%5610.51%5180.47%2250.20%1010.09%27,57924.92%110,651
Rockland 59,06856.26%35,27733.60%8,7098.29%8790.84%4840.46%4270.41%1510.14%23,79122.66%104,993
Saratoga 34,18452.30%23,64136.17%6,2019.49%9571.46%1940.30%1280.20%570.09%10,54316.13%65,362
Schenectady 32,00345.37%29,93242.44%7,14610.13%9471.34%2060.29%2020.29%980.14%2,0712.93%70,534
Schoharie 6,38252.05%4,71538.45%9407.67%1651.35%300.24%170.14%130.11%1,66713.60%12,262
Schuyler 3,83855.17%2,51436.14%4766.84%791.14%140.20%260.37%100.14%1,32419.03%6,957
Seneca 7,17452.40%5,01036.60%1,2058.80%1991.45%530.39%340.25%150.11%2,16415.80%13,690
St. Lawrence 18,43746.53%17,00642.92%3,5448.94%3190.81%1640.41%1150.29%390.10%1,4313.61%39,624
Steuben 22,41858.73%12,82633.60%2,2575.91%4671.22%1210.32%540.14%270.07%9,59225.13%38,170
Suffolk 256,29457.00%149,94533.35%34,7437.73%3,5980.80%2,8270.63%1,6760.37%5730.13%106,34923.65%449,655
Sullivan 15,08955.44%9,55335.10%2,0957.70%2971.09%1040.38%190.07%610.22%5,53620.34%27,218
Tioga 10,29153.56%6,69034.82%1,8519.63%2611.36%520.27%330.17%360.19%3,60118.74%19,214
Tompkins 12,44841.96%11,97040.35%4,08113.76%3051.03%490.17%7642.58%510.17%4781.61%29,668
Ulster 36,70955.01%22,17933.24%5,9958.98%8681.30%1840.28%6400.96%1510.23%14,53021.77%66,726
Warren 13,26459.28%6,97131.15%1,7667.89%2661.19%590.26%350.16%160.07%6,29328.13%22,377
Washington 12,83558.59%7,14432.61%1,5016.85%3371.54%480.22%290.13%120.05%5,69125.98%21,906
Wayne 16,49850.74%12,59038.72%2,6238.07%6281.93%850.26%550.17%330.10%3,90812.02%32,512
Westchester 198,55254.37%130,13635.64%30,1198.25%2,6390.72%1,5870.43%1,5550.43%5780.16%68,41618.73%365,166
Wyoming 8,10855.72%5,23435.97%8555.88%2661.83%580.40%170.12%140.10%2,87419.75%14,552
Yates 4,69455.99%2,82833.73%6908.23%1251.49%140.17%280.33%50.06%1,86622.26%8,384
Totals2,893,83146.66%2,728,37243.99%467,8017.54%52,6480.85%24,1590.39%23,1860.37%11,9620.19%165,4592.67%6,201,959

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Analysis

In the heavily populated, and very liberal, five boroughs of New York City, Carter still won overall, and Reagan made only modest gains in vote share over Gerald Ford's 1976 showing of 33%, with Reagan taking 37.5% in NYC in 1980. While Carter still won in 4 of the 5 boroughs, Carter bled considerable support in New York City to Anderson, with Carter's NYC vote percentage dropping from 66% in 1976 to only 55% in 1980. Since Democratic victories in New York State in that era depended on running up massive margins in New York City to overcome the rest of the state's Republican lean, the reduced vote number margin in New York City from vote-splitting would prove fatal to Carter's chances in 1980. While Reagan only bled about 1% off Republican base support in the state (winning a plurality in a 3-way-race with 46.66% while Gerald Ford had lost the state in a two-man race with 47.52% in 1976), Carter bled 8% off his 1976 support, falling from a 51.95% majority win in 1976 to a losing 43.99% in 1980, with most of these lost Democratic base votes going to Anderson instead.

1980 remains the last election in which a Republican presidential nominee has won traditionally rock-ribbed GOP Tompkins County in upstate New York, home to the college town of Ithaca, where Cornell University and Ithaca College are located. [4] From the Republican Party's founding in 1854 all the way up to 1976, Tompkins County had been a Republican stronghold in presidential elections and had only gone Democratic in the landslides of 1912 and 1964, [5] with Franklin D. Roosevelt never topping 40% in the county in a presidential election. With the Republican Party nationally being increasingly taken over by its conservative wing, the GOP's fortunes quickly began to fade in the county in the 1980s. Reagan narrowly won Tompkins County in 1980 with a plurality of 42% to Carter's 40%, while Anderson took nearly 14%, making it Anderson's strongest county in the state. Four years later in 1984, Tompkins County would vote against Reagan, and by 2004 had become the most Democratic county in all of upstate New York in giving 64.19% of the vote to John Kerry. Tompkins County later gave Barack Obama 70.09% of the vote in 2008, and Joe Biden 73.51% of the vote in 2020.

1980 remains the last election where any presidential candidate would get at least 40 electoral votes from New York. After the 1980 census, the state's electoral votes would drop from 41 electoral votes to 36 votes.

Along with Maine, Michigan, Mississippi and Vermont, New York was one of the few states in which President Carter won counties that had gone to Ford in the previous presidential election, as Carter flipped both Monroe and Niagara counties.

See also

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References

  1. "1980 Presidential General Election Results – New York". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved April 27, 2013.
  2. Jerry Lanson (November 6, 2008). "A historic victory. A changed nation. Now, can Obama deliver?". Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved April 27, 2013.
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  5. Menendez, Albert J.; The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004, pp. 261–265, ISBN   0786422173.