2006 United States Senate election in New York

Last updated

2006 United States Senate election in New York
Flag of New York (1909-2020).svg
←  2000 November 7, 2006 2010 (special)  →
Turnout38.48%
  Hillary Rodham Clinton-cropped.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Hillary Clinton John Spencer
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Parties
 Conservative
Popular vote3,008,4281,392,189
Percentage67.00%31.01%
2006 United States Senate election in New York results map by county.svg
County results
Clinton:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Spencer:     40–50%     50–60%
U.S. senator before election

Hillary Clinton
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Hillary Clinton
Democratic

The 2006 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton won re-election to a second term in office, by a more than two-to-one margin. Clinton was challenged by Republican John Spencer, the former mayor of Yonkers. Longtime political activist Howie Hawkins of the Green Party also ran a third-party campaign.

Contents

The election was not close, with Clinton winning 58 of New York's 62 counties. Clinton had a surprisingly strong performance in upstate New York, which was considered to be a tossup. Clinton's large margins in both upstate New York and in New York City helped propel her to a landslide victory over Spencer. Clinton was sworn in for what would be her last term in the senate serving from January 3, 2007, to January 21, 2009, when she assumed the office of United States Secretary of State in the Obama administration.

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Mark Greenstein, businessman

Campaign

Hillary Clinton announced in November 2004 that she would seek a second term in the Senate, and began fundraising and campaigning. Clinton faced opposition for the Democratic party nomination from the anti-war base of her own party, that had become increasingly frustrated with her support for the Iraq War.

On October 12, 2005 New Paltz firefighter and activist Steven Greenfield, a former Green Party leader, announced he would run as a Democrat. On December 6, 2005, labor advocate Jonathan Tasini announced that he would run as well, [1] running as an antiwar candidate, calling for immediate withdrawal of troops from Iraq, universal health care, expansion in Medicare benefits, the creation of Universal Voluntary Accounts for pensions, and what he termed "New Rules For the Economy", a more labor-centric as opposed to the corporate-centric approach to economic matters espoused by Clinton. Tasini was president of Economic Future Group and former president of the National Writers Union. [2] Tasini was supported by anti-war activist Cindy Sheehan, who had in October said of Clinton, "I will resist her candidacy with every bit of my power and strength...I will not make the mistake of supporting another pro-war Democrat for president again." [3]

On March 31, 2006, businessman Mark Greenstein announced his run for the seat. Greenstein, endorsed by the New Democrats, [4] presented himself as a non-liberal Democrat who was campaigning to "bring the far left back to reality that Big Government is the source of most ongoing problems Democrat constituents face." He contended that Clinton was "too liberal" in her support for regulations, "too wishy-washy" on the Iraq war and on gay rights, and had lost integrity by using the Dubai Ports issue for political purposes. Greenstein challenged Clinton to sign a pledge that she would serve out her full 6 year Senate term if re-elected. [5] However, in May 2006, Greenstein endorsed Tasini and essentially dropped out of the race. [6]

On June 1, 2006, Clinton accepted the unanimous endorsement of the New York State Democratic Party's convention in Buffalo. [7] Eight days later, Greenstein dropped out of the race. [8] Tasini pressed on, submitting 40,000 signatures to the State Election Commission on July 14, far more than the 15,000 needed to force a primary. Clinton's campaign said that she would not challenge the signatures.

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Clinton 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% New York U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2006.svg
Results by county:
  Clinton
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hillary Clinton (incumbent) 640,955 83.68%
Democratic Jonathan B. Tasini 124,99916.32%
Total votes765,954 100.00%

Republican nomination

Candidates

Withdrew

Campaign

New York Republicans originally had high hopes of mounting a serious challenge to Clinton, and derailing her expected future presidential bid. [9] However, Clinton was politically strong in the state and no major Republican entered the race, with Governor George Pataki and early 2000 senate opponent Rudy Giuliani both declining to run. [9] The two most prominent Republicans contemplating a challenge to Clinton were lawyer Ed Cox (the son-in-law of former President Richard M. Nixon) and Westchester County District Attorney Jeanine Pirro.

Pirro was considered the front-runner, but her campaign had immediate difficulties. During her August 10, 2005 live televised candidacy announcement in New York City, she paused for more than thirty seconds looking for a missing part of her speech, then asked, on the air, "Do I have page 10?" [9] [10] Democrats re-aired the sequence as part of a Jeopardy! theme parody. [9] The Conservative Party of New York was also reluctant to embrace Pirro. [10] On August 18, 2005, another Republican candidate, former mayor of Yonkers John Spencer, gave a radio interview in which he attacked Pirro, calling her chances of winning the Conservative Party of New York State nomination "a Chinaman's chance." Spencer later apologized. [11]

On October 14, 2005, Governor Pataki endorsed Pirro. Later that day, Cox withdrew from the race; his campaign had raised only $114,249 in contributions in the prior three months. [12] On October 18, 2005, remarks by Pirro that appeared to suggest that Democrats were indifferent to child molesters and murderers drew sharp criticism from the Clinton campaign and others. [13]

Pirro trailed Clinton badly in fund-raising and in polls; her campaign had failed to gain traction. [10] Under pressure from state party officials, she dropped out of the race on December 21, 2005, to run for New York State Attorney General instead, leaving the Republicans without a well-known candidate. [10] [14] The announcement was timed to coincide with the 2005 New York City transit strike, so as to draw minimal attention to the Republicans' difficulties. [10] Pirro did not mention her campaign woes, but instead said, "I have concluded that my head and my heart remain in law enforcement, and that my public service should continue to be in that arena." [10]

Declared Republican candidates now included Spencer and K. T. McFarland, who was a Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Public Affairs under President Ronald Reagan. [15] Cox considered reentering the race but did not. Politically, Spencer was generally opposed to abortion, against gun control, and a supporter of tighter border security. [16] He supported the George W. Bush administration and its policies, including the war in Iraq. Spencer came out in favor of New York's Court of Appeals denying same-sex marriage to 42 gay and lesbian couples who challenged that denial as unconstitutional. Spencer said that marriage equality for same-sex couples equated to "special rights for gays." Spencer was endorsed by Republican officials such as Congressman Vito Fossella. In contrast, McFarland was pro-choice. [9] However, McFarland ran into trouble with a March comment that appeared to allege that the Clinton campaign had been flying helicopters low over her Southampton, New York house and spying on her; she later said she had been joking, but the episode upset her. [9] In May, McFarland's campaign manager Ed Rollins made personal life charges against Spencer, to which the latter responded, "Shame on you." [9]

On May 31, 2006, Spencer won the endorsement of the state Republican Party organization but did not achieve the threshold of 75 percent he needed to prevent McFarland from gaining an automatic position on the primary ballot. He received 63 percent and would thus have to face McFarland in the September 12 Republican primary. Spencer called on McFarland to step aside after the vote, but McFarland said she would not. [17] In a June 2006 radio ad, Spencer attacked national Republicans for not funding his campaign. On August 22, McFarland announced that she would be suspending her campaign until further notice after her daughter was caught shoplifting. [18]

Results

On September 12, 2006, Spencer defeated McFarland in the Republican Primary, winning 61 to 39 percent of the vote. [19] Republican turnout was less than 6%, the lowest level in more than 30 years. [19] Spencer would also gain the Conservative Party line. [20]

Results

New York Republican Senate primary results 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Spencer 114,914 60.79%
Republican K.T. McFarland74,10839.21%
Total votes189,022 100.00%

Third party nominations

Green

Howie Hawkins was the Green Party's candidate for the United States Senate in the state of New York.

His signature campaign issue was the Iraq War. Specifically, Hawkins criticized Senator Clinton's endorsement of the Iraq war resolution, and continued support for an American troop presence in Iraq.

Hawkins pledged to implement what he described as a modern-day version of the Hatfield–Kennedy Amendment (a proposed Senate resolution intended to cut off funding for the Vietnam War) which would defund military operations for the U.S. Armed Forces unless and until they were redeployed out of theater, and possibly replaced by an international peacekeeping force.

He called upon supporters of Tasini to vote for him in the general election.

Libertarian

Jeff Russell was nominated as the official Libertarian Party candidate for United States Senate at the Libertarian Party of New York Convention on April 29, 2006, in Albany.

General election

Candidates

Lester "Beetlejuice" Green, a frequent guest on The Howard Stern Show announced a mock campaign via video for the "2008 New York Senate Election," though there was no Senate election in New York in 2008. His announcement video listed his stances on abortion and tax cuts. Green was not listed on any ballot.

Campaign

Clinton spent $36 million for her re-election, more than any other candidate for Senate in the 2006 elections.

Polls during the campaign generally showed Clinton with a 20-point lead or better over Spencer, with none of the third-party candidates — Hawkins, Bill Van Auken of the Socialist Equality Party, and Jeff Russell of the Libertarian Party — showing strength.

On November 7, 2006, Clinton won easily, garnering 67% of the vote to Spencer's 31%.

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [24] Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics [25] Safe DNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateClinton (D)Spencer (R)
Marist College [26] September 30, 200562%31%
Strategic Vision (R) [27] October 27, 200566%19%
Strategic Vision (R) [28] December 8, 200567%20%
Quinnipiac [29] January 20, 200660%30%
Siena Research Institute [30] January 30, 200658%31%
Marist College [31] January 30, 200662%33%
Strategic Vision (R) [32] March 2, 200663%24%
Quinnipiac [33] March 30, 200660%30%
Zogby International [34] April 4, 200654%33%
Strategic Vision (R) [35] April 28, 200658%24%
Siena Research Institute [36] May 4, 200658%33%
Marist College [37] May 10, 200663%33%
Quinnipiac [38] May 18, 200663%27%
Field Research Corporation [39] June 5, 200659%28%
Siena Research Institute [40] June 19, 200658%32%
Quinnipiac [41] June 22, 200657%33%
Marist College [42] July 19, 200661%34%
Rasmussen [43] August 5, 200661%31%
Siena Research Institute [44] August 7, 200658%32%
Quinnipiac [45] August 21, 200662%26%
Marist College [46] August 23, 200660%35%
Blue & Weprin [47] September 7, 200660%33%
Marist College [48] September 8, 200662%32%
Siena Research Institute [49] September 18, 200662%33%
New York Times/CBS News [50] September 24–27, 200659%27%
Quinnipiac [51] October 5, 200666%31%
Zogby [52] October 9, 200653%28%
Siena Research Institute [53] October 16, 200659%32%
Quinnipiac [54] October 19, 200665%30%
Marist College [55] October 20, 200667%30%
Siena Research Institute [56] November 3, 200665%28%
Marist College [57] November 3, 200665%32%

Results

Source: New York State Board of Elections General Election Results, Certified December 14, 2006
2006 United States Senate election, New York [58]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 2,698,93160.11%
Independence Hillary Clinton 160,7053.58%
Working Families Hillary Clinton 148,7923.31%
total Hillary Clinton (incumbent)3,008,42867.00%+11.73%
Republican John Spencer 1,212,90227.01%
Conservative John Spencer 179,2873.99%
total John Spencer 1,392,18931.01%−12.00%
Green Howie Hawkins 55,4691.24%+0.64%
Libertarian Jeff Russell 20,9960.47%+0.40%
Socialist Workers Roger Calero 6,9670.16%+0.12%
Socialist Equality Bill Van Auken 6,0040.13%n/a
Majority1,616,23936.00%+23.74%
Turnout 4,490,05338.48%
Democratic hold Swing +11.9
Percentages do not add to 100% due to rounding.
Per New York State law, Clinton and Spencer totals include their minor party line votes: Independence Party and Working Families Party for Clinton, Conservative Party for Spencer.
In addition, 213,777 ballots were blank, void, or scattered, and are not included in the Turnout sum or percentages.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Election results by county. NYSen06Counties.png
Election results by county.

Clinton's victory margin over her Republican opponent (67%–31%) was a significant gain over her showing in the 2000 senate race against Rick Lazio (55%–43%). She carried all but four of New York's sixty-two counties. [59] Clinton's 2006 margin did not quite equal the percentage received by Eliot Spitzer in the concurrent gubernatorial race (69%%–29%) nor by Charles Schumer in his 2004 Senate re-election campaign (71%%–24%), both of which had also been against little-known Republican opponents.

Jeanine Pirro would go on to get the Republican nomination for New York State Attorney General, but lost in the 2006 attorney general election to Democrat Andrew Cuomo. [60]

Clinton was criticized by some Democrats for spending too much in a one-sided contest, while some supporters were concerned she did not leave more funds for a potential presidential bid in 2008. [61] In the following months she transferred $10 million of her Senate funds toward her 2008 presidential campaign. [62]

Following her Attorney General loss, Pirro left electoral politics and became a television judge and political commentator. Spencer left politics altogether. Tasani ran for a House seat in 2010 but was not competitive. Clinton fell short in her 2008 presidential nomination bid, served as U.S. Secretary of State for four years, and then ran again in the 2016 United States presidential election but suffered a general election loss.

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Tasini Launches Bid To Defeat Clinton - December 7, 2005 - The New York Sun". Nysun.com. December 7, 2005. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  2. ↑ Jonathan Tasini for New York Primary campaign site.
  3. ↑ "Opinion". Madison.com. Archived from the original on September 19, 2008. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  4. ↑ "家具の運送は引っ越し業者にお任せ". Newdems2008.org. Archived from the original on October 22, 2016. Retrieved July 18, 2016.
  5. ↑ Archived September 28, 2007, at the Wayback Machine
  6. ↑ "Attorney general contender says to give peace candidate a chance". Thevillager.com. Archived from the original on June 12, 2011. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  7. ↑ "Regional & NY State News on". Newsday.com. December 1, 2010. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  8. ↑ PaulKB (June 9, 2006). "Senate Race Dropout - Capitol Confidential". Blogs.timesunion.com. Archived from the original on October 13, 2007. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Murray, Mark (September 5, 2006). "GOP unable to stop Hillary in 2006". NBC News . Archived from the original on January 12, 2016.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Raymond Hernandez and Patrick J. Healy (December 22, 2005). "Pirro Quits Senate Race to Run for Attorney General". The New York Times. Retrieved November 11, 2008.
  11. ↑ [ dead link ]
  12. ↑ Archived December 18, 2005, at the Wayback Machine
  13. ↑ Hernandez, Raymond (October 20, 2005). "Pirro's Jab at the Assembly Infuriates State Democrats". The New York Times. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  14. ↑ Hirschkorn, Phil (December 21, 2005). "Sen. Clinton's GOP challenger quits race". CNN. Retrieved August 22, 2006.
  15. ↑ "Online Guide to New York Politics". Politics1. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  16. ↑ Issues - Spencer for Senate. Retrieved April 17, 2006.
  17. ↑ Horrigan, Marie (May 31, 2006). "NY Senate: Spencer Wins GOP Nod, But Still Faces Primary". Congressional Quarterly. Archived from the original on August 29, 2006.
  18. ↑ "KT McFarland Suspends Senate Campaign After Daughter's Arrest". NY1. August 22, 2006. Archived from the original on October 8, 2007.
  19. 1 2 "GOP Primary Turnout Was Lowest In More Than 30 Years". Newsday. September 17, 2006.
  20. 1 2 3 "Sample Ballot of Voting Machine, General Election, November 7, 2006" (PDF). New York State Board of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 30, 2008.
  21. ↑ "Socialist Equality Party announces candidates in New York, Michigan and California". Wsws.org. March 21, 2006. Retrieved December 14, 2010.
  22. ↑ "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  23. ↑ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  24. ↑ "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  25. ↑ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  26. ↑ Marist College
  27. ↑ Strategic Vision (R)
  28. ↑ Strategic Vision (R)
  29. ↑ Quinnipiac
  30. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  31. ↑ Marist College
  32. ↑ Strategic Vision (R)
  33. ↑ Quinnipiac
  34. ↑ Zogby International
  35. ↑ Strategic Vision (R)
  36. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  37. ↑ Marist College
  38. ↑ Quinnipiac
  39. ↑ Field Research Corporation
  40. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  41. ↑ Quinnipiac
  42. ↑ Marist College
  43. ↑ Rasmussen
  44. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  45. ↑ Quinnipiac
  46. ↑ Marist College
  47. ↑ Blue & Weprin
  48. ↑ Marist College
  49. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  50. ↑ New York Times/CBS News
  51. ↑ Quinnipiac
  52. ↑ Zogby
  53. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  54. ↑ Quinnipiac
  55. ↑ Marist College
  56. ↑ Siena Research Institute
  57. ↑ Marist College
  58. ↑ untitled
  59. ↑ "Is America Ready?". Newsweek. December 25, 2006. Retrieved September 27, 2007.
  60. ↑ New York State Board of Elections: Attorney General Archived November 5, 2013, at the Wayback Machine
  61. ↑ Kornblut, Anne E.; Zeleny, Jeff (November 21, 2006). "Clinton Won Easily, but Bankroll Shows the Toll". The New York Times. page A1.
  62. ↑ "Record millions roll in for Clinton White House bid". CNN. April 1, 2007. Retrieved April 2, 2007.

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