Hillary Clinton cattle futures controversy

Last updated

In 1978 and 1979, lawyer and First Lady of Arkansas Hillary Rodham Clinton engaged in a series of trades of cattle futures contracts. Her initial $1,000 investment had generated nearly $100,000 (equivalent to $403,209.54in 2022), [1] when she stopped trading after ten months. In 1994, after Clinton had become First Lady of the United States, the trading became the subject of considerable controversy regarding the likelihood of such a spectacular rate of return, possible conflict of interest, and allegations of disguised bribery. [2] It was suspected by commentators that the profits were in fact allocations to her of profits from unrelated large block trades managed by her investment advisor James Blair, outside counsel to Tyson Foods, Arkansas' largest employer, in an attempt to gain influence with her husband Bill Clinton, then Attorney General of Arkansas.

Contents

Background and Clinton's trading

Clinton had no experience in such financial instruments. [3] Bill Clinton's salary as Arkansas Attorney General and then Governor of Arkansas was modest and Clinton later said she had been interested in building a financial cushion for the future. [4] [5] The Clintons' combined income in 1978 from the governorship and Rose Law Firm amounted to $51,173, [6] equivalent to $229,600in 2022. James Blair was a friend, lawyer, outside counsel to Tyson Foods, Arkansas' largest employer, and had been doing so well trading commodities futures that he encouraged friends and family to enter the market too. [7] [4] [5] Blair in turn traded through, and relied upon cattle markets expertise from broker Robert L. "Red" Bone of Refco, a former Tyson executive. In October 1978, when Bill Clinton was Attorney General and on the verge of being elected Governor, [2] Clinton opened a trading account, although Blair made most of the trades.

By January 1979, Clinton was up $26,000; [5] but later, she would lose $16,000 in a single trade. [5] At one point she owed in excess of $100,000 to Refco as part of covering losses, but no margin calls were made by Refco against her. [5] Near the end of her trading, Blair correctly predicted a market downturn and sold short, giving her a $40,000 gain in one afternoon. [5] In July 1979, [2] once she became pregnant with Chelsea Clinton, "I lost my nerve for gambling [and] walked away from the table $100,000 ahead." [4] She briefly traded sugar futures contracts and other non-cattle commodities in October 1979, but more conservatively, through Stephens Inc. [5] [8] During this period she made about $6,500 in gains, which she failed to pay taxes on at the time, consequently later paying some $14,600 in federal and state tax penalties in the 1990s. [8] [9] Once her daughter was born in February 1980, she moved all her commodities gains into U.S. Treasury Bonds. [5]

Media scrutiny

The profits made during the cattle trading first came to public light in a March 18, 1994 report by The New York Times , which had been reviewing the Clintons' financial records for two months. [10] It coincided with the beginning of congressional hearings over the Whitewater controversy. [11] Clinton initially told aides that she had made the futures gains by studying the financial news and placing trades herself, but later acknowledged the help of Blair. Media pressure continued to build, and on April 22, 1994, she gave an unusual press conference under a portrait of Abraham Lincoln in the State Dining Room of the White House, to address questions on both matters; it was broadcast live by CBS, NBC, ABC, and CNN. [12] In it she said she had done the trading, but often relying upon the advice of Blair, and having him place orders for her; she said she did not believe she had received preferential treatment in the process. [12] She also downplayed the dangers of such trading: "I didn't think it was that big a risk. [Blair] and the people he was talking with knew what they were doing." [7]

Likelihood of results

Various publications sought to analyze the likelihood of Clinton's successful results. Clinton made her money by betting mostly on a market downturn at a time when cattle prices actually doubled. [13] The editor of the Journal of Futures Markets said in April 1994, "This is like buying ice skates one day and entering the Olympics a day later. She took some extraordinary risks." [3] Her activities involved exposure to losses that could have been greater than her family's net worth if the market had turned sharply against her. [14] The former head of the IRS chief counsel’s Commodities Industry Specialization Team expressed skepticism that a novice trader could make such a return. [15] One analysis performed by Auburn University and published in the Journal of Economics and Finance claimed to find that the odds of a return as large as Clinton obtained during the period in question were about one in 31 trillion. [16] [17] [18]

Merc and Melamed investigations

Chicago Mercantile Exchange records indicated that $40,000 of her profits came from larger trades initiated by James Blair. According to exchange records, Robert "Red" Bone, the commodities broker that facilitated the trades on behalf of Refco, reportedly because Blair was a good client, allowed Clinton to maintain her positions even though she did not have enough money in her account to cover her activity. For example, she was allowed to order 10 cattle futures contracts, normally a $12,000 investment, in her first commodity trade in 1978 although she had only $1,000 in her account at the time. [19] Bone denied any wrongdoing in conjunction with Clinton's trading and said he did not recall ever dealing with Clinton personally. [3] [8]

As it happened, during the period of Clinton's trading, Refco was under investigation by the Mercantile Exchange for systematic violations of its margin trading rules and reporting requirements regarding cattle trading. [3] [8] In December 1979, the exchange issued a three-year suspension to Bone and a $250,000 fine of Refco (at the time, the largest such penalty imposed by the exchange). [3] [8]

After the Clinton trading matter became public, Leo Melamed, a former chairman of the Mercantile Exchange, was brought in by request of the White House to review the trading records. On April 11, 1994, he said that the whole matter was "a tempest in a teapot" and that while her brokers had not required her to provide typical margin cushions, she had not knowingly benefited. [9] On May 26, 1994, after the new records concerning the larger Blair trades came to light, he said "I have no reason to change my original assessment. Mrs. Clinton violated no rules in the course of her transactions." [19] But as to the question of whether she had been allocated profits from larger block trades, he said of the new accounting, "It doesn't suggest that there was allocation, and it doesn't prove there wasn't," [20] an assessment of uncertainty shared by Merton Miller, a Nobel Prize-winning economist at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business. [20]

Clinton responses

Hillary Clinton's defenders, including White House Counsel Lloyd Cutler, maintained throughout that she had made her own decisions, that her own money was constantly at risk, and that she made both winning and losing trades throughout the ten months. [21] Regarding suggestions that Blair had favored Clinton so that Tyson Foods could gain influence with Governor Clinton, they pointed out that CEO Don Tyson, who had in 1978 endorsed Clinton, in 1980 endorsed Frank D. White, Clinton's opponent in his reelection bid. Tyson denied any knowledge of Blair's trading partnership with Clinton. The New York Times noted, however, that notwithstanding Hillary Clinton's "artful explanation", the commodities trading had ended over a year before the 1980 election and that Tyson had switched sides after Bill Clinton did not lobby the state legislature to increase the weight limit on trucks, although Tyson believed that he had received such a promise from him at the time of the 1978 election. [12] [21] [22]

Clinton's defenders also stressed that Blair and others stayed in the market longer than Clinton and lost much of what they had previously earned, showing that the risk was real. [4] Indeed, some reports had Blair losing $15 million [23] and Bone was reported as bankrupt. [10]

Official findings

There never was any official governmental investigation into, [4] or findings about, or charges brought regarding Hillary Rodham's cattle futures trading. [7]

Related Research Articles

The Whitewater controversy, Whitewater scandal, Whitewatergate, or simply Whitewater, was an American political controversy during the 1990s. It began with an investigation into the real estate investments of Bill and Hillary Clinton and their associates, Jim McDougal and Susan McDougal, in the Whitewater Development Corporation. This failed business venture was incorporated in 1979 with the purpose of developing vacation properties on land along the White River near Flippin, Arkansas.

A futures exchange or futures market is a central financial exchange where people can trade standardized futures contracts defined by the exchange. Futures contracts are derivatives contracts to buy or sell specific quantities of a commodity or financial instrument at a specified price with delivery set at a specified time in the future. Futures exchanges provide physical or electronic trading venues, details of standardized contracts, market and price data, clearing houses, exchange self-regulations, margin mechanisms, settlement procedures, delivery times, delivery procedures and other services to foster trading in futures contracts. Futures exchanges can be organized as non-profit member-owned organizations or as for-profit organizations. Futures exchanges can be integrated under the same brand name or organization with other types of exchanges, such as stock markets, options markets, and bond markets. Non-profit member-owned futures exchanges benefit their members, who earn commissions and revenue acting as brokers or market makers. For-profit futures exchanges earn most of their revenue from trading and clearing fees.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dorothy Howell Rodham</span> American homemaker and mother of Hillary Rodham Clinton

Dorothy Emma Rodham was an American homemaker and the mother of former First Lady, U.S. Senator, United States Secretary of State, and 2016 Democratic Party presidential nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Refco</span> Financial services company in New York

Refco was a New York City-based financial services company, primarily known as a broker of commodities and futures contracts. It was founded in 1969 by Raymond Earl Friedman as Ray E. Friedman and Co. Prior to its collapse in October, 2005, the firm had over $4 billion in approximately 200,000 customer accounts, and it was the largest broker on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. The firm's balance sheet at the time of the collapse showed about $75 billion in assets and a roughly equal amount in liabilities. Though these filings have since been disowned by the company, they are probably roughly accurate in showing the firm's level of leverage.

This is a list of books and scholarly articles by and about Hillary Clinton, as well as columns by her.

Hugh Edwin Rodham is an American lawyer and former Democratic Party politician who is the only surviving brother of former New York Senator, First Lady, and Secretary of State, Hillary Rodham Clinton, and the brother-in-law of former U.S. President Bill Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hillary Clinton</span> American politician and diplomat (born 1947)

Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton is an American politician and diplomat who served as the 67th United States secretary of state under president Barack Obama from 2009 to 2013, as a U.S. senator representing New York from 2001 to 2009, and as the first lady of the U.S. to president Bill Clinton from 1993 to 2001. A member of the Democratic Party, she was the party's nominee in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, becoming the first woman to win a presidential nomination by a major U.S. political party.

George Jefferson Dwire was an American small businessman in Arkansas and the third husband of Virginia Clinton Kelley, and a stepfather of former U.S. President Bill Clinton and Roger Clinton Jr.

Anthony Dean Rodham was an American consultant and businessman who was the youngest brother of Hillary Clinton and brother-in-law of former U.S. President Bill Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hillary Rodham senior thesis</span>

In 1969, Hillary Rodham wrote a 92-page senior thesis for Wellesley College about the views advocated by community organizer Saul Alinsky, titled "There Is Only the Fight . . . ": An Analysis of the Alinsky Model.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">US Senate career of Hillary Clinton</span> Overview of Hillary Clintons United States Senate career

The United States Senate career of Hillary Rodham Clinton began when she defeated Republican Rick Lazio in the 2000 United States Senate election in New York. She was elected to a second term in 2006. Clinton resigned from the Senate on January 21, 2009, to become United States Secretary of State for the Obama Administration.

Susan P. Thomases is a New York-based attorney. She served as personal counsel and an informal adviser to Hillary Clinton during the presidency of Bill Clinton. She was a prominent witness during the Senate Whitewater Hearings in 1995. She served as the model for the character Lucille Kaufmann from the 1996 political novel Primary Colors.

MF Global, formerly known as Man Financial, was a major global financial derivatives broker, or commodities brokerage firm that went bankrupt in 2011. MF Global provided exchange-traded derivatives, such as futures and options as well as over-the-counter products such as contracts for difference (CFDs), foreign exchange and spread betting. MF Global Inc., its broker-dealer subsidiary, was a primary dealer in United States Treasury securities. A series of perceived liquidity problems and large fines and penalties dogged MF Global starting in 2008, and led to its bankruptcy in 2011.

FXCM, also known as Forex Capital Markets, is a retail foreign exchange broker for trading on the foreign exchange market. FXCM allows people to speculate on the foreign exchange market and provides trading in contract for difference (CFDs) on major indices and commodities such as gold and crude oil. It is based in London.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Public image of Hillary Clinton</span>

The cultural and political image of Hillary Clinton has been explored since the early 1990s, when her husband Bill Clinton launched his presidential campaign, and has continued to draw broad public attention during her time as First Lady of the United States, U.S. Senator from New York, 67th United States Secretary of State, and the Democratic Party's nominee for President of the United States in the 2016 election.

Subsequent to her loss of the 2016 United States presidential election, Hillary Clinton retired from electoral politics and has since engaged in a number of activities.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Legal career of Hillary Clinton</span>

Following her graduation from Yale Law School in 1973 until becoming first lady of the United States in 1993, Hillary Clinton practiced law. In 1988 and 1991 The National Law Journal named Clinton one of the 100 most influential lawyers in the United States. While she did pass the Arkansas bar exam, she failed to pass the District of Columbia bar exam.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hillary Clinton's tenure as First Lady of the United States</span>

Hillary Clinton served as the first lady of the United States from 1993 until 2001, during the presidency of her husband Bill Clinton.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hillary Clinton's tenures as First Lady of Arkansas</span>

Hillary Clinton served as first lady of Arkansas during the two governorships of her husband, Bill Clinton. During her husband's first governorship, she was known as Hillary Rodham. However, in his second governorship, she made use of the name Hillary Rodham Clinton.

References

  1. ↑ 1634–1699: McCusker, J. J. (1997). How Much Is That in Real Money? A Historical Price Index for Use as a Deflator of Money Values in the Economy of the United States: Addenda et Corrigenda (PDF). American Antiquarian Society. 1700–1799: McCusker, J. J. (1992). How Much Is That in Real Money? A Historical Price Index for Use as a Deflator of Money Values in the Economy of the United States (PDF). American Antiquarian Society. 1800–present: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. "Consumer Price Index (estimate) 1800–" . Retrieved May 28, 2023.
  2. 1 2 3 Claudia Rosett, "Hillary's Bull Market", The Wall Street Journal , October 26, 2000. Accessed July 14, 2007.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Mark Hosenball, Rich Thomas, and Eleanor Clift, "Hillary's Adventures In Cattle Futures Land", Newsweek , April 11, 1994. Accessed March 2, 2009.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Clinton, Hillary Rodham (2003). Living History. Simon & Schuster. ISBN   978-0-7432-2224-2. pp. 86–87.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Bernstein, Carl (2007). A Woman in Charge: The Life of Hillary Rodham Clinton . Knopf. ISBN   978-0-375-40766-6. pp. 134–138.
  6. ↑ Chozick, Amy (August 11, 2016). "Stress Over Family Finances Propelled Hillary Clinton Into Corporate World". The New York Times. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
  7. 1 2 3 Gerth, Jeff; Don Van Natta, Jr. (2007). Her Way: The Hopes and Ambitions of Hillary Rodham Clinton . New York: Little, Brown and Company. ISBN   978-0-316-01742-8., pp. 73–76.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 Bill Montague; Kevin Johnson, "Commodities trading saga: Pieces still missing", USA Today , April 25, 1994. Accessed December 14, 2012.
  9. 1 2 Gwen Ifill, " Hillary Clinton Didn't Report $6,498 Profit In Commodities Account, White House Says", The New York Times , April 12, 1994. Accessed July 15, 2007.
  10. 1 2 Jeff Gerth, " Top Arkansas Lawyer Helped Hillary Clinton Turn Big Profit", The New York Times , March 18, 1994. On March 28, 1994, Securities Week, a McGraw-Hill Companies publication, published an article outlining the repeated regulatory violations committed by her broker, Red Bone, which resulted in greater scrutiny and questions not only about how much money she had made in the markets, but how she had made it. Accessed July 14, 2007.
  11. ↑ Bob Herbert, "The Circus That Is Whitewater", The New York Times , March 20, 1994. Accessed April 6, 2008.
  12. 1 2 3 Gwen Ifill, "Hillary Clinton Takes Questions on Whitewater", The New York Times , April 23, 1994. Accessed July 15, 2007.
  13. ↑ Chancellor, Edward (1999). Devil Take The Hindmost: A History Of Financial Speculation . Farrar Straus & Giroux. pp.  251–252. ISBN   9780374138585.
  14. ↑ BRODER, JOHN M.; FRITZ, SARA (March 31, 1994). "Hillary Clinton's Futures Trades Unusual, Experts Say". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved October 9, 2016.
  15. ↑ Brandon, David (April 7, 1994). "The Mystery of Hillary's Trades". Wall Street Journal.
  16. ↑ Staff, Vox (April 11, 2015). "The 11 moments that define Hillary Clinton". Vox. Retrieved October 3, 2016.
  17. ↑ Anderson, Seth C.; Jackson, John D.; Steagall, Jeffrey W. (1994). "A note on odds in the cattle futures market". Journal of Economics and Finance. 18 (3): 357–365. doi:10.1007/BF02920493. ISSN   1055-0925. S2CID   154058488.
  18. ↑ Carter, Colin A. (June 21, 2007). Futures and Options Markets: An Introduction. Waveland Press. p. 3. ISBN   9781478608226 . Retrieved October 8, 2016.
  19. 1 2 Charles R. Babcock, "Hillary Clinton Futures Trades Detailed", The Washington Post , May 27, 1994. Accessed July 14, 2007.
  20. 1 2 Stephen Engelberg, "New Records Outline Favor for Hillary Clinton on Trades", The New York Times , May 27, 1994. Accessed July 15, 2007.
  21. 1 2 " No One Bribed Anyone in Clinton Trading", Lloyd Cutler (letter to the editor), The New York Times , June 3, 1994. Accessed July 15, 2007.
  22. ↑ Kelly, Michael (July 31, 1994). "The President's Past". The New York Times. Retrieved September 30, 2016.
  23. ↑ Roger Morris, Partners in Power: The Clintons and Their America. Henry Holt, 1996. ISBN   0-8050-2804-8, p. 233.
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.