2006 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2006 United States Senate election in Maryland
Flag of Maryland.svg
  2000 November 7, 2006 2012  
  Ben Cardin portrait.jpg Michael Steele.jpg
Nominee Ben Cardin Michael Steele
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote965,477787,182
Percentage54.21%44.19%

2006 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by county.svg
County results
Cardin:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Steele:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Paul Sarbanes
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

The 2006 United States Senate election in Maryland was held Tuesday, November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democrat Paul Sarbanes, Maryland's longest-serving United States senator, decided to retire instead of seeking a sixth term. Democratic nominee Ben Cardin, a U.S. representative, won the open seat, defeating Republican lieutenant governor Michael Steele.

Contents

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Campaign

Kweisi Mfume, a former congressman and NAACP President, was the first to announce for the position, in March 2005. Ben Cardin, then a congressman since 1987, was the only other major candidate until September 2005, when former Baltimore County Executive Dennis F. Rasmussen, American University professor Allan Lichtman, and wealthy Potomac businessman Josh Rales entered the contest. Thirteen other candidates subsequently also entered the primary. As of August 2006, Cardin had raised more than $4.8 million and collected endorsements from a number of Democratic politicians, the AFL–CIO, and The Washington Post ; Mfume had raised over $1.2 million and collected endorsements from the Maryland State Teachers Association, Progressive Maryland, former Maryland Governor Parris Glendening, the National Organization for Women, and Maryland Congressmen Elijah Cummings and Al Wynn.

On August 31, 2006, Maryland Public Television (MPT) and the League of Women Voters (LWV) sponsored a debate between the two leading Democratic Primary Candidates. [4] [5] The LWV of Maryland and MPT arbitrarily excluded most of the FEC qualified candidates from the only televised debates in the primary election. There were 18 candidates in this race, only 2, Ben Cardin and Kweisi Mfume, were allowed to debate, despite the strenuous protests of the excluded candidates. Lichtman, Rales, and Rasmussen petitioned MPT and LWV for inclusion in the debate but received no response. On the day of the debate, Lichtman, his wife, and a campaign aide were arrested for trespassing while protesting during the taping of the debate. [6] They were found not guilty on all charges. The judge in the case said it should never have been brought to court and was a gross violation of the parties' constitutional rights. [7]

Debates

Polling

SourceDateBen
Cardin
A. Robert
Kaufman
Allan
Lichtman
Kweisi
Mfume
Josh
Rales
Dennis F.
Rasmussen
Washington Post [8] June 25, 200626%2%4%33%0%4%
Baltimore Sun [9] July 17, 200632%1%1%28%1%1%
Public Opinion Strategies [10] August 1–2, 200631%25%4%6%
Gonzales Research [11] August 30, 200643%30%6%
SurveyUSA [12] August 31, 200638%42%7%
SurveyUSA [13] September 11, 200647%38%7%
Results by county:
Map legend
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Cardin--50-60%
Cardin--40-50%
Cardin--30-40%
Mfume--60-70%
Mfume--40-50% 2006 United States Senate election in Maryland Democratic Primary results map by county.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Cardin—50–60%
  •   Cardin—40–50%
  •   Cardin—30–40%
  •   Mfume—60–70%
  •   Mfume—40–50%

Results

Democratic primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Benjamin L. Cardin 257,545 43.67
Democratic Kweisi Mfume238,95740.52
Democratic Josh Rales30,7375.21
Democratic Dennis F. Rasmussen10,9971.86
Democratic Mike Schaefer7,7731.32
Democratic Allan Lichtman6,9191.17
Democratic Theresa C. Scaldaferri5,0810.86
Democratic James H. Hutchinson4,9490.84
Democratic David Dickerson3,9500.67
Democratic A. Robert Kaufman3,9080.66
Democratic Anthony Jaworski3,4860.59
Democratic Thomas McCaskill3,4590.59
Democratic George T. English2,3050.39
Democratic Bob Robinson2,2080.37
Democratic Lih Young2,0390.35
Democratic Blaine Taylor1,8480.31
Democratic Joseph Werner1,8320.31
Democratic Charles Ulysses Smith1,7020.29
Total votes589,695 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Michael S. Steele was expected to win the Republican primary, and the Baltimore Sun wrote the month before that he faced "only nominal opposition". [15] Among a field of nine other candidates, the only Republican receiving sufficient media coverage was Daniel Vovak.

Results

Republican primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael S. Steele 190,790 86.96
Republican John Kimble6,2802.86
Republican Earl S. Gordon4,1101.87
Republican Daniel "Wig Man" Vovak4,0631.85
Republican Thomas J. Hampton3,9461.80
Republican Corrogan R. Vaughn2,5651.17
Republican Daniel Muffoletto2,3351.06
Republican Richard Shawver2,2981.05
Republican Ray Bly2,1140.96
Republican Edward Raymond Madej9020.41
Total votes219,403 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

This was Maryland's first open Senate seat since 1986, when junior Senator Barbara Mikulski was first elected.

Michael Steele won the Republican nomination after facing little competition in the contest for the Republican ticket. With mostly unknown secondary candidates, Steele received 87% of the Republican Primary vote.

Third District Congressional Representative Ben Cardin won the Democratic Party nomination after facing tough competition in the contest for the Democratic ticket from former congressman and NAACP President Kweisi Mfume, businessman Josh Rales, former Baltimore County Executive Dennis F. Rasmussen, and several lesser-known candidates. Cardin received 44% of the Democratic Primary vote to 40% for Mfume, his next closest competitor. All other candidates received percentages only in the single digits.

Kevin Zeese, the nominee for the Green, Populist and Libertarian Parties, was also on the ballot.

Though Steele lost the general election by 10% of the vote, a much wider margin than predicted, his was and remains the best showing for a Republican in a Senate race in Maryland since Charles Mathias, Jr. was re-elected in 1980 with 66.17% of the vote.

Controversies

Both Steele and Cardin made controversial statements and advertising throughout the campaign.

Debates

The first debate of the race was held Tuesday, October 3, 2006. All three candidates were present and participated. The evening was hosted by the Baltimore Urban League and moderated by Charles Robinson from Maryland Public Television and Doni Glover from BMORENEWS. [18]

The first televised debate of the campaign was broadcast on News Channel 8 on the program "News Talk". All three candidates participated in the debate, and were moderated by Bruce DePuyt, the host of the program. There was no audience. This debate was widely reported because of the constant bickering between the three candidates, who often interrupted and talked over one another. [19]

Another debate took place between Steele and Cardin on Sunday, October 29, 2006, as a part of the Meet The Press Senatorial debate series. Moderated by Tim Russert, the debate focused primarily on the Iraq War and stem-cell research, amongst other issues. [20]

The three candidates all participated in the final debate of the campaign on Friday, November 3, 2006. The event was sponsored by the Collective Banking Group and held at the First Baptist Church of Glenarden. [21]

Cardin primarily attacked Steele over his close relations with President Bush, including pictures of Bush and Steele in Cardin's TV ads. [22] Steele focused on low taxes, less government spending, free markets and national security. [23]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [24] TossupNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] Lean DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [26] Lean DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics [27] TossupNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateBen
Cardin (D)
Michael
Steele (R)
Kevin
Zeese (G)
Baltimore Sun [28] April 200541%37%
Baltimore Sun [29] October 25, 200547%38%
Potomac Survey Research [30] November 1, 200541%32%
Rasmussen [31] November 21, 200549%41%
Rasmussen [32] January 13, 200640%45%
Zogby [33] January 20, 200649%43%
Rasmussen [34] February 22, 200649%35%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [35] March 31, 200649%39%
Gonzales Research [36] April 18, 200649%35%
Rasmussen [37] April 25, 200645%35%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [38] June 21, 200651%40%
Washington Post [39] June 25, 200649%39%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. [40] July 6–10, 200647%36%
Rasmussen [41] July 17, 200647%41%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [42] July 24, 200650%42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [43] August 1–2, 200643%35%
Rasmussen [44] August 18, 200647%42%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [45] August 28, 200650%41%
Gonzales Research [46] August 30, 200644%39%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [47] September 10, 200649%40%
Rasmussen [48] September 19, 200650%43%
SurveyUSA [49] September 20, 200647%48%4%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. [50] September 25, 200651%40%
VC Research (R) [51] September 27–28, 200644%39%
Zogby/Wall Street Journal [52] September 28, 200652%39%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC [53] October 2, 200647%41%1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [54] October 2–4, 200647%43%
Reuters/Zogby [55] October 5, 200645%37%
USA Today/Gallup [56] October 6, 200654%39%
Rasmussen [57] October 16, 200653%44%
SurveyUSA [58] October 18, 200646%46%3%
VC Research (R) [59] October 22–23, 200641%39%
Garin Hart Yang (D) [60] October 23–24, 200652%40%
Rasmussen [61] October 26, 200649%42%
Washington Post [62] October 29, 200654%43%1%
Reuters/Zogby [63] November 2, 200649%44%
Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. [64] November 2, 200649%43%2%
SurveyUSA [65] November 3, 200647%47%
Mason-Dixon/MSNBC [66] November 5, 200647%44%1%
SurveyUSA [67] November 6, 200649%46%3%

Results

Despite polls days before the election showing the race at a 3% margin, Cardin won by just over 10% with a 178,295-vote margin, although as of 2024, this is the closest a Republican has come to winning a U.S. Senate election in Maryland since Charles Mathias was reelected in 1980. On the same day, incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich lost reelection to Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley.

Maryland United States Senate election results, 2006 [68]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ben Cardin 965,477 54.21 −9.0
Republican Michael Steele 787,18244.19+7.5
Green Kevin Zeese 27,5641.55n/a
Write-in 9160.050
Majority178,295100.00
Turnout 1,781,139
Democratic hold Swing

Results by county

CountyBen Cardin

Democratic

Michael Steele

Republican

Kevin Zeese

Green

Write-Ins

Independent

MarginTotal

Votes

Cast

#%#%#%#%#%
Allegany 839638.87%1289259.69%3091.43%20.01%-4496-20.82%21599
Anne Arundel 8268744.17%10111054.01%33311.78%790.04%-18423-9.84%187207
Baltimore (City) 11280574.54%3518523.25%32282.13%1200.08%7762051.29%151338
Baltimore (County) 14526251.55%13129146.59%51171.82%1400.05%139714.96%281810
Calvert 1268742.46%1670355.90%4811.61%100.03%-4016-13.44%29881
Caroline 286031.74%595766.12%1922.13%10.01%-3097-34.37%9010
Carroll 1889330.19%4255067.99%11141.78%260.04%-23657-37.80%62583
Cecil 1160040.73%1629657.21%5772.03%100.04%-4696-16.49%28483
Charles 2093850.77%1974347.87%5391.31%220.05%11952.90%41242
Dorchester 418339.28%632659.40%1341.26%70.07%-2143-20.12%10650
Frederick 2939840.38%4217457.93%11961.64%320.04%-12776-17.55%72800
Garrett 268627.42%699571.42%1101.12%30.03%-4309-44.00%9794
Harford 3259035.82%5670362.32%16641.83%370.04%-24113-26.50%90994
Howard 5687353.90%4701544.55%15771.49%590.06%98589.34%105524
Kent 348444.34%423953.95%1341.71%10.01%-755-9.61%7858
Montgomery 20526467.16%9661931.61%35781.17%1520.05%10864535.55%305613
Prince George's 15479875.01%4948423.98%19480.94%1500.07%10531451.03%206380
Queen Anne's 593533.03%1171065.17%3181.77%60.03%-5775-32.14%17969
St. Mary's 1161440.77%1638157.50%4821.69%110.04%-4767-16.73%28488
Somerset 265139.53%395358.95%991.48%30.04%-1302-19.42%6706
Talbot 584437.13%968661.55%2001.27%80.05%-3842-24.41%15738
Washington 1592138.56%2477359.99%5821.41%170.04%-8852-21.44%41293
Wicomico 1057137.66%1707460.83%4051.44%170.06%-6503-23.17%28067
Worcester 753737.47%1232661.28%2491.24%30.01%-4789-23.81%20115
Total96547754.33%78318544.07%275641.55%9160.05%18229210.26%1777142
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Ben Cardin</span> American lawyer and politician (born 1943)

Benjamin Louis Cardin is an American lawyer and politician serving as the senior United States senator from Maryland, a seat he has held since 2007. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the U.S. representative for Maryland's 3rd congressional district from 1987 to 2007. Cardin served in the Maryland House of Delegates from 1967 to 1987 and as its speaker from 1979 to 1987. Cardin has never lost an election in his entire political career.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Michael Steele</span> American politician (born 1958)

Michael Stephen Steele is an American politician, attorney, and political commentator who served as the seventh lieutenant governor of Maryland from 2003 to 2007 and as chair of the Republican National Committee (RNC) from 2009 until 2011; he was the first African-American to hold either office.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kweisi Mfume</span> American politician (born 1948)

Kweisi Mfume is an American politician who is the U.S. representative for Maryland's 7th congressional district, first serving from 1987 to 1996 and again since 2020. A member of the Democratic Party, Mfume first left his seat to become the president and CEO of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP), a position he held from 1996 to 2004. In 2006, he ran for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Paul Sarbanes, losing the Democratic primary to the eventual winner, Ben Cardin. Mfume returned to his former House seat in 2020 after it was left vacant by the death of Elijah Cummings.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kevin Zeese</span> American activist

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Allan Lichtman</span> American historian (born 1947)

Allan Jay Lichtman is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington DC since 1973. He is best known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Maryland</span>

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