2018 United States Senate election in Maryland

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
Flag of Maryland.svg
←  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  →
Turnout58.17% Decrease2.svg 10.03 pp
  Ben Cardin official Senate portrait (cropped).jpg Tony Campbell.jpg
Nominee Ben Cardin Tony Campbell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,491,614697,017
Percentage64.86%30.31%
2018 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Maryland results by congressional district.svg
MD Senate 2018.svg
Cardin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Campbell:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Ben Cardin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third and ultimately final term by a landslide margin of almost 35 points, the largest margin in any election for this seat since Maryland began holding direct elections for Senate in 1913.

Contents

The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018. [1] The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term. [2] Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator. [3] [4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates. With Republican governor Larry Logan winning re-election in the same year, this was the first election since 1974 in which Maryland simultaneously voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of opposite parties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Chelsea Manning

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ben
Cardin		Chelsea
Manning		OtherUndecided
Goucher College [22] February 12–18, 2018409± 4.8%61%17%3%19%

Results

Results by county: Cardin .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} 70-80% 80-90% Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Election Results by County, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Cardin
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 447,441 79.24%
Democratic Chelsea Manning 34,6116.13%
Democratic Jerome Segal 20,0273.55%
Democratic Debbie Wilson18,9533.36%
Democratic Marcia H. Morgan16,0472.84%
Democratic Lih Young9,8741.75%
Democratic Richard Vaughn9,4801.68%
Democratic Erik Jetmir8,2591.46%
Total votes564,692 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Campbell, [5] of Baltimore County, [9] political science faculty member at Towson University [24]
  • Chris Chaffee, [5] candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 [25]
  • Evan M. Cronhardt, [5] of Anne Arundel County
  • Nnabu Eze, [5] of Baltimore County, [9] Green nominee for MD-03 in 2016 [26]
  • John Graziani, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for MD-04 in 2014 [5]
  • Christina J. Grigorian, attorney [5]
  • Albert Howard [5]
  • Bill Krehnbrink, perennial candidate [5]
  • Gerald I. Smith, Jr., conspiracy theorist, [5] of Cecil County [9]
  • Blaine Taylor, perennial candidate, [5] of Baltimore County [9]
  • Brian Charles Vaeth, perennial candidate [5]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Tony Campbell

State legislators [29]

Individuals

Sam Faddis (withdrew)

State Senators

Individuals

Results

Results by county: Campbell <40% Chaffee <40% 40-50% 50-60% Maryland Senate Republican Primary Election Results by County, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Campbell
  •   <40%
Chaffee
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tony Campbell 51,426 29.22%
Republican Chris Chaffee42,32824.05%
Republican Christina J. Grigorian30,78617.49%
Republican John Graziani15,4358.77%
Republican Blaine Taylor8,8485.03%
Republican Gerald I. Smith, Jr.7,5644.30%
Republican Brian Vaeth5,4113.08%
Republican Evan M. Cronhardt4,4452.53%
Republican Bill Krehnbrink3,6062.05%
Republican Nnabu Eze3,4421.96%
Republican Albert Howard2,7201.55%
Total votes175,981 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Michael B Puskar, property manager
  • Edward Shlikas, home care compliance manager [35]
  • Neal Simon, businessman [36] [37]

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Tony Campbell (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

State Senators [29]

State Delegates

Individuals

Organizations

Neal Simon (I)

Organizations

Individuals

Debates

On October 7, 2018, Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign. [49] [50] [51]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [52] Safe DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [53] Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [54] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [55] Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN [56] Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics [57] Safe DJune 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ben
Cardin (D)		Tony
Campbell (R)		Neal
Simon (I)		OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research (I-Simon) [58] October 1–6, 2018806± 3.5%49%22%18%–11%
Goucher College [59] September 11–16, 2018472± 4.5%56%17%8%1% [60] 14%

Results

2018 United States Senate election in Maryland [61]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 1,491,614 64.86% +8.88%
Republican Tony Campbell 697,01730.31%+3.98%
Independent Neal Simon 85,9643.74%N/A
Libertarian Arvin Vohra22,9431.00%−0.22%
Write-in 2,3510.10%N/A
Total votes2,299,889 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

CountyBen Cardin

Democratic

Tony Campbell

Republican

Neal Simon

Independent

Arvin Vohra

Libertarian

Write-ins

Independent

MarginTotal

Votes

Cast

#%#%#%#%#%#%
Allegany 859736.82%1379059.06%7463.19%1960.84%200.09%-5193-22.24%23349
Anne Arundel 12291053.74%9240140.40%105284.60%26741.17%1900.08%3050913.34%228703
Baltimore (City) 16037086.95%161848.77%55963.03%19171.04%3750.20%14418678.17%184442
Baltimore (County) 19753060.85%10627532.74%171925.30%33131.02%2900.09%9125528.11%324600
Calvert 1737244.51%1990150.99%12733.26%4581.17%270.07%-2529-6.48%39031
Caroline 426537.73%647457.27%4513.99%1050.93%90.08%-2209-19.54%11304
Carroll 2598634.89%4247957.03%50206.74%9661.30%380.05%-16493-22.14%74489
Cecil 1323738.05%1985157.06%12673.64%4121.18%240.07%-6614-19.01%34791
Charles 4487469.54%1787227.69%12841.99%4620.72%410.06%2700241.84%64533
Dorchester 592848.23%586447.71%3973.23%950.77%80.07%640.52%12292
Frederick 5525651.67%4703843.99%32423.03%12921.21%1050.10%82187.69%106933
Garrett 281725.75%780171.31%2161.97%980.90%70.06%-4984-45.56%10939
Harford 4592141.63%5674951.45%61855.61%13521.23%1000.09%-10828-9.82%110307
Howard 9606766.97%3879727.05%66214.62%18191.27%1440.10%5727039.92%143448
Kent 458853.49%349040.69%4114.79%861.00%30.03%109812.80%8578
Montgomery 31456877.29%7492418.41%133333.28%36550.90%5170.13%23964458.88%406997
Prince George's 28697590.10%241407.58%50311.58%20310.64%3460.11%26283582.52%318523
Queen Anne's 846337.21%1281356.34%12305.41%2321.02%60.03%-4350-19.13%22744
St. Mary's 1684941.93%2139353.24%13613.39%5591.39%180.04%-4544-11.31%40180
Somerset 365247.09%388250.06%1722.22%450.58%40.05%-230-2.97%7755
Talbot 905450.12%805044.56%7964.41%1540.85%120.07%10045.56%18066
Washington 1995639.59%2831956.18%15983.17%5071.01%260.05%-8363-16.59%50406
Wicomico 1653949.09%1564446.43%11333.36%3511.04%240.07%8952.66%33691
Worcester 984041.37%1288654.17%8813.70%1640.69%170.07%-3046-12.80%23788
Total149161464.86%69701730.31%859643.74%229431.00%23510.10%79459734.55%2299889

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[62] [63]

By congressional district

Cardin won 7 of 8 congressional districts. [64]

DistrictCardinCampbellElected
Representative
1st 40%54% Andy Harris
2nd 65%30% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 67%27% John Sarbanes
4th 79%18% Anthony Brown
5th 68%29% Steny Hoyer
6th 60%35% David Trone
7th 75%20% Elijah Cummings
8th 67%28% Jamie Raskin

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  2. ↑ "Maryland Primary Election Results". The New York Times . June 28, 2018. Retrieved October 18, 2018.
  3. ↑ Dresser, Michael (October 7, 2018). "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". The Baltimore Sun . Archived from the original on October 12, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  4. ↑ Hall, Tom; Sivak, Rob (October 15, 2018). "Tony Campbell: Republican for US Senate". WYPR . Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "2018 Candidate Listing". 2018 Gubernatorial Election. Maryland Board of Elections. June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidates (criteria: 2018+Senate+Maryland)". Campaign finance data. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  7. ↑ Jouvenal, Justin; Portnoy, Jenna (January 13, 2018). "Chelsea Manning files to run for U.S. Senate in Maryland". The Washington Post . Katherine Shaver contributed. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  8. ↑ "Chelsea Manning officially files for US Senate race". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. January 18, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Divilio, Daniel (February 22, 2018). "Candidate filing last call Feb. 27 (Pt. 2: Filing)". Kent County News. Chestertown, Maryland. p. A15. Retrieved June 27, 2018– via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  10. 1 2 "Somebody's already using the 'E' word". Community. The Enterprise. St. Mary's County, Maryland. June 28, 2017. p. A8. Retrieved June 27, 2018– via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  11. ↑ Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm Running for President". The Washington Post .
  12. ↑ Siegel, Rachel; Wiggins, Ovetta (October 5, 2017). "Former Maryland congresswoman Donna Edwards to run for county executive". The Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved December 14, 2017.
  13. 1 2 3 Shurberg, Jonathan (June 7, 2016). "2018: Whither Ben Cardin?". Maryland Scramble.
  14. 1 2 "AFSCME Maryland Council 3 2018 Primary Guide". June 8, 2018.
  15. 1 2 "Afro 2018 endorsement guide". June 6, 2018.
  16. 1 2 "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Cardin for Reelection". League of Conservation Voters. May 30, 2018.
  17. ↑ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  18. 1 2 "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". March 19, 2021.
  19. ↑ ContraPointsLive (March 24, 2018). "Discussion with Chelsea Manning" – via YouTube.
  20. ↑ The Jimmy Dore Show (January 15, 2018). "Chelsea Manning Announces Senate Run – Democrats Smear Her" – via YouTube.
  21. ↑ "Linda Sarsour endorses Chelsea Manning for U.S. Senate". The Washington Times. January 16, 2018.
  22. ↑ Goucher College
  23. 1 2 "2018 Maryland primary election results" . Retrieved June 12, 2019.
  24. ↑ "Faculty" (PDF). Faculty Resources. Towson University. October 31, 2016. Political Science. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  25. ↑ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Board of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  26. ↑ "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Board of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  27. ↑ Murphy, Jack (May 31, 2017). "Former CIA Officer Sam Faddis running for Senate in Maryland". SOFREP. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  28. ↑ Fritze, John (July 14, 2017). "Ben Cardin raises nearly $1M for 2018 reelection". The Baltimore Sun . Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  29. 1 2 "Twenty One State Senators and Delegates". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 28, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2018.
  30. 1 2 "Ellen Sauerbrey Endorsement". Campbell 4 Maryland. May 16, 2018. Archived from the original on May 30, 2018. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  31. 1 2 "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  32. 1 2 "Former RNC Chairman and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele Endorses Tony Campbell". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 21, 2018. Retrieved June 21, 2018.
  33. 1 2 3 "I Stand With Sam". Sam Faddis For US Senate. Archived from the original on September 25, 2017. Retrieved September 25, 2017.
  34. ↑ Pyeatt, Jill (July 4, 2017). "Arvin Vohra, Vice Chairman of Libertarian Party, Announces Run for U S Senate". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
  35. ↑ "Shlikas will fix it!". Shlikas for Senate. Retrieved December 20, 2017.
  36. ↑ "Sen. Ben Cardin may get independent challenger backed by Centrist Project". December 6, 2017.
  37. ↑ Fritze, John (February 6, 2018). "An independent candidate for Senate in Maryland says 'it's about change,' as the incumbent files for re-election". The Baltimore Sun. Archived from the original on October 20, 2018. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
  38. ↑ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support".
  39. ↑ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  40. ↑ Campbell4Maryland. "Tony Campbell has obtained the enthusiastic support of Dr. Ben Carson!". www.facebook.com.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  41. ↑ "Your Freedom is Under Attack! Vote On or Before November 6th!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023. The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Tony Campbell for U.S. Senate in Maryland. Tony is committed to protecting our right to self-defense!
  42. ↑ "NRA-PVF". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  43. ↑ "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  44. 1 2 "Campbell Releases New Endorsements". Red Maryland. September 27, 2018.
  45. ↑ "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of Dr. Tony Campbell for U.S. Senate". FRC Action. September 18, 2018.
  46. ↑ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 27, 2018). "Statewide independents roll out national slate".
  47. ↑ Barker, Jeff (November 4, 2018). "Independent U.S. Senate candidate for Maryland Neal Simon says Gov. Larry Hogan voted for him". Baltimore Sun. Baltimore Sun. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  48. ↑ The Fray’s Isaac Slade plays first solo show at rally for Md. Senate candidate Neal Simon – The Washington Post
  49. ↑ "Cardin defends record in first Maryland debate for U.S. Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 8, 2018.
  50. ↑ Dresser, Michael. "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". baltimoresun.com. Archived from the original on October 9, 2018. Retrieved October 8, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Maryland Senate Debate, Oct 7 2018 - Video - C-SPAN.org". www.c-span.org.
  52. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  53. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  54. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  55. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  56. ↑ "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  57. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  58. ↑ Gonzales Research (I-Simon)
  59. ↑ Goucher College
  60. ↑ Arvin Vohra (L) with 1%
  61. ↑ "2018 Election Results". elections.maryland.gov.
  62. ↑ "2018 Senatorial General Election Results - Maryland". Dave Leip's election atlas.
  63. ↑ "2012 General Election Results - Maryland". Dave Leip's election atlas.
  64. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

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