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Turnout | 63.28% (![]() | |||||||||||||||
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Newsom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Cox: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California. The race was between the incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018, primary election.
Newsom won in a landslide, with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930; Newsom received almost eight million votes. [1] The election also marked the first time in 40 years since Orange County had voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history. Newsom was sworn in on January 7, 2019.
A primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.
From the latter half of 2017, Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom was widely seen as the favored front runner for the top two primary. Businessman John Cox and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa had both been running closely behind Newsom to obtain the second place spot. However, in late 2017, as more prominent Democrats entered the race, Villaraigosa saw his polling numbers slip out of competition with Cox. This mainly left the race between Newsom and Cox, with a third place free-for-all between Allen and Villaraigosa.
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Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Travis Allen (R) | John Chiang (D) | John Cox (R) | Delaine Eastin (D) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Antonio Villaraigosa (D) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Competitive Edge Research & Communication [130] | May 29–30, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 4% | 23% | 5% | 31% | 13% | 15% [a] |
UC Berkeley [131] | May 22−28, 2018 | 2,106 | ± 3.5% | 12% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 33% | 13% | 11% [b] |
Emerson College [132] | May 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 23% [c] |
YouGov [133] | May 12–24, 2018 | 1,113 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 33% | 9% | 16% [d] |
Competitive Edge Research & Communication [134] | May 20–22, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 7% | 22% | 8% | 26% | 12% | 17% [e] |
SurveyUSA [135] | May 21, 2018 | 678 | ± 6.1% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 16% [f] |
Public Policy Institute of California [136] | May 11–20, 2018 | 901 | ± 4.1% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 6% | 25% | 15% | 16% [g] |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [137] | April 18 – May 18, 2018 | 517 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 21% | 11% | 43% [h] |
Gravis Marketing [138] | May 4–5, 2018 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 8% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 22% | 19% | 15% [i] |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) [139] | April 26–27, 2018 | 533 | ± 4.2% | 13% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 36% | 8% | 16% [j] |
SurveyUSA [140] | April 19–23, 2018 | 520 | ± 5.5% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 21% | 18% | 25% [k] |
UC Berkeley [141] | April 16−22, 2018 | 1,738 | ± 3.5% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 30% | 9% | 16% [l] |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research [142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 26% | 7% | 28% [m] |
Public Policy Institute of California [143] | March 25 – April 3, 2018 | 867 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 26% | 13% | 23% [n] |
SurveyUSA [144] | March 22–25, 2018 | 517 | ± 5.0% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 22% | 14% | 34% [o] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) [145] | March 16–21, 2018 | 1,750 | – | 13% | 9% | 16% | 2% | 29% | 7% | 24% [p] |
Public Policy Institute of California [146] | March 7–13, 2018 | 1,706 | ± 3.4% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 28% | 12% | 25% [q] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) [147] | March 1–5, 2018 | 1,000 | – | 10% | 13% | 16% | 7% | 26% | 12% | 16% [r] |
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) [148] | January 31 – February 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 30% | 11% | 33% [s] |
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) [149] | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | – | 7% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 28% | 14% | 3% [t] |
Public Policy Institute of California [150] | January 21–30, 2018 | 1,705 | ± 3.2% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 28% [u] |
Tulchin Research/Moore Information [151] | January 21–28, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 29% | 11% | 26% [v] |
SurveyUSA [152] | January 7–9, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 10% | 53% [w] |
UC Berkeley [153] | December 7–16, 2017 | 672 | ± 3.8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 26% | 17% | 29% [x] |
Public Policy Institute of California [154] | November 10–19, 2017 | 1,070 | ± 4.3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 23% | 18% | 31% [y] |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [155] | October 27 – November 6, 2017 | 1,070 [z] | ± 4.0% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 31% | 21% | 6% [aa] |
UC Berkeley [156] | August 27 – September 5, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 26% | 10% | 33% [ab] |
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) [157] | July 27–30, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 25% | 12% | 28% [m] |
GSSR (D-Chiang) [158] | May 30 – June 5, 2017 | 602 | – | – | 10% | 11% | – | 26% | 12% | – |
UC Berkeley [159] | May 4–29, 2017 | 1,628 | ± 3.3% | – | 5% | 9% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 44% [ac] |
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa) [160] | March 2017 | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | 26% | 20% | – |
with Kevin Faulconer and Eric Garcetti
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Chiang (D) | John Cox (R) | Kevin Faulconer (R) | Eric Garcetti (D) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Tom Steyer (D) | Ashley Swearengin (R) | Antonio Villaraigosa (D) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley/YouGov [161] | March 13–20, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 24% | 4% | – | 7% | 25% [a] |
Public Policy Polling [162] | January 17–18, 2017 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 2% | – | 20% | 13% | 25% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 16% [b] |
Field Research Corporation [163] | October 25–31, 2016 | 600 | – | 2% | – | 16% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 30% [c] |
Public Policy Polling [164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | 10% | – | 30% | 11% | 22% | – | – | 13% | 26% [d] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 2,343,792 | 33.7% | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 1,766,488 | 25.4% | |
Democratic | Antonio Villaraigosa | 926,394 | 13.3% | |
Republican | Travis Allen | 658,798 | 9.5% | |
Democratic | John Chiang | 655,920 | 9.4% | |
Democratic | Delaine Eastin | 234,869 | 3.4% | |
Democratic | Amanda Renteria | 93,446 | 1.3% | |
Republican | Robert C. Newman II | 44,674 | 0.6% | |
Democratic | Michael Shellenberger | 31,692 | 0.5% | |
Republican | Peter Y. Liu | 27,336 | 0.4% | |
Republican | Yvonne Girard | 21,840 | 0.3% | |
Peace and Freedom | Gloria La Riva | 19,075 | 0.3% | |
Democratic | J. Bribiesca | 18,586 | 0.3% | |
Green | Josh Jones | 16,131 | 0.2% | |
Libertarian | Zoltan Istvan | 14,462 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Albert Caesar Mezzetti | 12,026 | 0.2% | |
Libertarian | Nickolas Wildstar | 11,566 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Robert Davidson Griffis | 11,103 | 0.2% | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 9,380 | 0.1% | |
Democratic | Thomas Jefferson Cares | 8,937 | 0.1% | |
Green | Christopher N. Carlson | 7,302 | 0.1% | |
Democratic | Klement Tinaj | 5,368 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Hakan "Hawk" Mikado | 5,346 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Johnny Wattenburg | 4,973 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Desmond Silveira | 4,633 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Shubham Goel | 4,020 | 0.1% | |
No party preference | Jeffrey Edward Taylor | 3,973 | 0.1% | |
Green | Veronika Fimbres (write-in) | 62 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Arman Soltani (write-in) | 32 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in) | 21 | 0.0% | |
Republican | K. Pearce (write-in) | 8 | 0.0% | |
No party preference | Armando M. Arreola (write-in) | 1 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 6,862,254 | 100% |
Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa. [166]
County | Newsom % | Cox % | Villaraigosa % | Allen % | Chiang % | Others % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alameda | 53.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
Alpine | 38.5% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
Amador | 21.5% | 41.8% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
Butte | 25.6% | 34.4% | 5.5% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% |
Calaveras | 23.3% | 38.2% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
Colusa | 13.0% | 43.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 7.8% |
Contra Costa | 49.9% | 19.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
Del Norte | 23.4% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% |
El Dorado | 24.5% | 40.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Fresno | 16.8% | 33.7% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
Glenn | 12.4% | 48.1% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 10.1% |
Humboldt | 37.9% | 22.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 18.8% |
Imperial | 11.8% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 16.6% |
Inyo | 22.6% | 30.7% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% |
Kern | 12.1% | 40.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% |
Kings | 9.4% | 36.7% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Lake | 37.5% | 28.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% |
Lassen | 13.1% | 41.7% | 2.1% | 26.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% |
Los Angeles | 32.7% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
Madera | 12.8% | 40.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% |
Marin | 64.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% |
Mariposa | 19.1% | 34.9% | 8.2% | 23.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% |
Mendocino | 45.2% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 14.9% |
Merced | 18.2% | 29.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% |
Modoc | 11.4% | 49.9% | 3.0% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 14.6% |
Mono | 31.6% | 26.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 13.1% |
Monterey | 37.8% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% |
Napa | 46.1% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 9.3% |
Nevada | 34.1% | 25.7% | 5.9% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% |
Orange | 24.3% | 36.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
Placer | 25.7% | 40.2% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Plumas | 26.9% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% |
Riverside | 22.3% | 34.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
Sacramento | 29.7% | 26.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 8.7% |
San Benito | 33.6% | 23.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% |
San Bernardino | 19.7% | 33.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
San Diego | 30.5% | 32.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
San Francisco | 57.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% |
San Joaquin | 26.3% | 31.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
San Luis Obispo | 33.2% | 29.4% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
San Mateo | 55.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% |
Santa Barbara | 33.8% | 26.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% |
Santa Clara | 48.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% |
Santa Cruz | 52.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 12.8% |
Shasta | 16.9% | 44.3% | 3.9% | 19.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% |
Sierra | 22.9% | 35.1% | 3.7% | 17.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% |
Siskiyou | 23.3% | 34.5% | 3.4% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 15.3% |
Solano | 41.6% | 23.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% |
Sonoma | 54.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% |
Stanislaus | 23.2% | 31.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
Sutter | 16.4% | 40.0% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
Tehama | 13.2% | 45.4% | 4.5% | 21.6% | 4.7% | 10.6% |
Trinity | 23.6% | 31.4% | 4.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 17.0% |
Tulare | 13.9% | 36.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% |
Tuolumne | 26.8% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% |
Ventura | 26.7% | 32.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
Yolo | 31.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
Yuba | 16.3% | 39.6% | 7.6% | 21.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% |
Totals | 33.6% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [167] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [168] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [169] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [170] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [171] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [172] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [173] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [174] [e] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [175] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [176] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom (D) | John Cox (R) | None | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research [223] [ better source needed ] | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,108 | – | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
Research Co. [224] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA [225] | November 1–2, 2018 | 924 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 38% | – | – | 9% |
Probolsky Research [226] | October 25–30, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | 47% | 37% | – | – | 16% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [227] | October 25–27, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 55% | 42% | – | – | 3% |
Gravis Marketing [228] | October 25–26, 2018 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 55% | 35% | – | – | 9% |
UC Berkeley [229] | October 19–25, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | 58% | 40% | – | – | 2% |
YouGov [230] | October 10–24, 2018 | 2,178 | ± 3.1% | 53% | 34% | 3% | – | 10% |
Public Policy Institute of California [231] | October 12–21, 2018 | 989 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 38% | 2% | – | 10% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [232] | October 18–20, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 41% | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College [233] | October 17–19, 2018 | 671 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 32% | – | – | 16% |
SurveyUSA [234] | October 12–14, 2018 | 762 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 35% | – | – | 14% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [235] | October 12–14, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | – | 6% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [236] | September 17 – October 14, 2018 | 794 LV | ± 4.0% | 54% | 31% | – | – | 15% |
980 RV | ± 4.0% | 51% | 30% | – | – | 19% | ||
Thomas Partners Strategies [237] | October 5–7, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [238] | September 28–30, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [239] | September 21–23, 2018 | 1,068 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 42% | – | – | 5% |
Vox Populi Polling [240] | September 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 60% | 40% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Institute of California [241] | September 9–18, 2018 | 964 | ± 4.8% | 51% | 39% | 3% | – | 7% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [242] | September 14–16, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 41% | – | – | 14% |
Ipsos [243] | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,021 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | – | 3% | 6% |
Thomas Partners Strategies [244] | September 7–9, 2018 | 1,227 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | – | – | 12% |
Probolsky Research [245] | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 900 | ± 5.8% | 44% | 39% | – | – | 17% |
Public Policy Institute of California [246] | July 8–17, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 4.3% | 55% | 31% | 5% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA [247] | June 26–27, 2018 | 559 | ± 5.9% | 58% | 29% | – | – | 13% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times [248] | June 6–17, 2018 | 767 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 28% | – | – | 27% |
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research [142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 32% | – | – | 26% |
with Newsom and Chiang
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | John Chiang (D) | Gavin Newsom (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) [149] | January 27 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | 44% | 30% | – |
Public Policy Polling [164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 30% | 37% | 33% |
with Newsom and Villaraigosa
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom (D) | Antonio Villaraigosa (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research [142] | March 30 – April 4, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 21% | 41% |
Public Policy Polling [164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | – | 42% | 22% | 36% |
with Villaraigosa and Garcetti
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Eric Garcetti (D) | Antonio Villaraigosa (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [164] | February 6–8, 2015 | 824 | 28% | 30% | 42% |
Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County – the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the state's more rural areas, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and Riverside County in the Inland Empire in addition to handily winning traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gavin Newsom | 7,721,410 | 61.95% | +1.98% | |
Republican | John H. Cox | 4,742,825 | 38.05% | −1.98% | |
Total votes | 12,464,235 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Turnout | 12,712,542 | 64.54% | |||
Registered electors | 19,696,371 | ||||
Democratic hold |
Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox. [250]
County | Gavin Newsom Democratic | John Cox Republican | Total votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | |
Alameda | 462,558 | 80.6% | 111,677 | 19.4% | 574,235 |
Alpine | 386 | 62.8% | 229 | 37.2% | 615 |
Amador | 6,237 | 35.5% | 11,356 | 64.5% | 17,593 |
Butte | 41,500 | 46.8% | 47,226 | 53.2% | 88,726 |
Calaveras | 7,765 | 35.9% | 13,845 | 64.1% | 21,610 |
Colusa | 1,999 | 34.7% | 3,764 | 65.3% | 5,763 |
Contra Costa | 283,805 | 68.2% | 132,345 | 31.8% | 416,150 |
Del Norte | 3,441 | 41.3% | 4,887 | 58.7% | 8,328 |
El Dorado | 36,297 | 40.6% | 53,140 | 59.4% | 89,437 |
Fresno | 124,332 | 49.1% | 128,974 | 50.9% | 253,306 |
Glenn | 2,424 | 29.1% | 5,908 | 70.9% | 8,332 |
Humboldt | 33,455 | 64.5% | 18,418 | 35.5% | 51,873 |
Imperial | 20,573 | 61.7% | 12,785 | 38.3% | 33,358 |
Inyo | 3,244 | 44.7% | 4,018 | 55.3% | 7,262 |
Kern | 83,507 | 41.1% | 119,870 | 58.9% | 203,377 |
Kings | 12,275 | 40.6% | 17,976 | 59.4% | 30,251 |
Lake | 10,869 | 51.4% | 10,280 | 48.6% | 21,149 |
Lassen | 2,043 | 22.7% | 6,973 | 77.3% | 9,016 |
Los Angeles | 2,114,699 | 71.9% | 826,402 | 28.1% | 2,941,101 |
Madera | 15,037 | 39.0% | 23,488 | 61.0% | 38,525 |
Marin | 103,671 | 79.5% | 26,750 | 20.5% | 130,421 |
Mariposa | 3,183 | 38.7% | 5,043 | 61.3% | 8,226 |
Mendocino | 22,152 | 66.3% | 11,255 | 33.7% | 33,407 |
Merced | 30,783 | 52.0% | 28,424 | 48.0% | 59,207 |
Modoc | 820 | 23.8% | 2,628 | 76.2% | 3,448 |
Mono | 2,706 | 55.8% | 2,147 | 44.2% | 4,853 |
Monterey | 76,648 | 66.0% | 39,516 | 34.0% | 116,164 |
Napa | 36,513 | 64.8% | 19,834 | 35.2% | 56,347 |
Nevada | 27,985 | 52.9% | 24,882 | 47.1% | 52,867 |
Orange | 543,047 | 50.1% | 539,951 | 49.9% | 1,082,998 |
Placer | 72,270 | 41.2% | 103,157 | 58.8% | 175,427 |
Plumas | 3,433 | 37.2% | 5,807 | 62.8% | 9,240 |
Riverside | 319,845 | 49.8% | 322,243 | 50.2% | 642,088 |
Sacramento | 302,696 | 58.8% | 212,010 | 41.2% | 514,706 |
San Benito | 11,274 | 56.1% | 8,815 | 43.9% | 20,089 |
San Bernardino | 276,874 | 51.5% | 260,379 | 48.5% | 537,253 |
San Diego | 658,346 | 56.9% | 499,532 | 43.1% | 1,157,878 |
San Francisco | 312,181 | 86.4% | 49,181 | 13.6% | 361,362 |
San Joaquin | 101,474 | 52.2% | 92,966 | 47.8% | 194,440 |
San Luis Obispo | 65,117 | 51.6% | 61,137 | 48.4% | 126,254 |
San Mateo | 213,282 | 75.2% | 70,242 | 24.8% | 283,524 |
Santa Barbara | 93,841 | 60.5% | 61,300 | 39.5% | 155,141 |
Santa Clara | 438,758 | 71.4% | 175,791 | 28.6% | 614,549 |
Santa Cruz | 91,523 | 76.8% | 27,665 | 23.2% | 119,188 |
Shasta | 20,256 | 28.9% | 49,825 | 71.1% | 70,081 |
Sierra | 599 | 35.9% | 1,068 | 64.1% | 1,667 |
Siskiyou | 7,218 | 39.7% | 10,946 | 60.3% | 18,164 |
Solano | 89,694 | 61.3% | 56,627 | 38.7% | 146,321 |
Sonoma | 152,040 | 72.3% | 58,338 | 27.7% | 210,378 |
Stanislaus | 77,220 | 49.2% | 79,751 | 50.8% | 156,971 |
Sutter | 11,122 | 37.0% | 18,953 | 63.0% | 30,075 |
Tehama | 5,756 | 27.5% | 15,137 | 72.5% | 20,893 |
Trinity | 2,250 | 42.3% | 3,075 | 57.7% | 5,325 |
Tulare | 42,702 | 42.8% | 57,012 | 57.2% | 99,714 |
Tuolumne | 9,294 | 38.9% | 14,580 | 61.1% | 23,874 |
Ventura | 171,729 | 55.6% | 137,393 | 44.4% | 309,122 |
Yolo | 49,759 | 67.8% | 23,611 | 32.2% | 73,370 |
Yuba | 6,903 | 36.0% | 12,293 | 64.0% | 19,196 |
Totals | 7,721,410 | 61.9% | 4,742,825 | 38.1% | 12,464,235 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Newsom won 42 of 53 congressional districts, with the remaining 11 going to Cox, including four that elected Democrats. [251]
Demographic subgroup | Newsom | Cox | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 90 | 10 | 34 |
Moderates | 59 | 41 | 37 |
Conservatives | 16 | 84 | 29 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 93 | 7 | 46 |
Republicans | 7 | 93 | 23 |
Independents | 53 | 47 | 31 |
Party by gender | |||
Democratic men | 92 | 8 | 18 |
Democratic women | 93 | 7 | 28 |
Republican men | 6 | 94 | 12 |
Republican women | 9 | 91 | 10 |
Independent men | 53 | 47 | 18 |
Independent women | 54 | 46 | 13 |
Gender | |||
Men | 56 | 44 | 48 |
Women | 65 | 35 | 52 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 57 | 43 | 57 |
Unmarried | 65 | 35 | 43 |
Gender by marital status | |||
Married men | 53 | 47 | 35 |
Married women | 64 | 36 | 22 |
Unmarried men | 58 | 42 | 19 |
Unmarried women | 68 | 32 | 24 |
Race and ethnicity | |||
White | 57 | 43 | 63 |
Black | 84 | 16 | 6 |
Latino | 64 | 36 | 19 |
Asian | 65 | 35 | 8 |
Other | 71 | 29 | 3 |
Gender by race and ethnicity | |||
White men | 54 | 46 | 31 |
White women | 59 | 41 | 32 |
Black men | 78 | 22 | 2 |
Black women | 87 | 13 | 4 |
Latino men | 61 | 39 | 9 |
Latino women | 67 | 33 | 10 |
Others | 67 | 33 | 11 |
Religion | |||
Protestant, Other Christian | 46 | 54 | 34 |
Catholic | 56 | 44 | 21 |
Jewish | 72 | 28 | 4 |
Other religion | 76 | 24 | 10 |
No religion | 79 | 21 | 31 |
Religious service attendance | |||
Weekly or more | 46 | 54 | 21 |
A few times a month | 56 | 44 | 13 |
A few times a year | 71 | 29 | 23 |
Never | 69 | 31 | 43 |
White evangelical or born-again Christian | |||
Yes | 18 | 82 | 11 |
No | 65 | 35 | 89 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 72 | 28 | 8 |
25–29 years old | 66 | 34 | 7 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 58 | 42 | 14 |
50–64 years old | 56 | 44 | 29 |
65 and older | 57 | 43 | 27 |
Sexual orientation | |||
LGBT | 83 | 17 | 5 |
Heterosexual | 58 | 42 | 95 |
First time voter | |||
First time voter | 69 | 31 | 18 |
Everyone else | 58 | 42 | 82 |
Education | |||
High school or less | 58 | 42 | 19 |
Some college education | 56 | 44 | 29 |
Associate degree | 60 | 40 | 13 |
Bachelor's degree | 65 | 35 | 24 |
Advanced degree | 63 | 37 | 16 |
Education by race and ethnicity | |||
White college graduates | 59 | 41 | 28 |
White no college degree | 55 | 45 | 35 |
Non-white college graduates | 78 | 22 | 11 |
Non-white no college degree | 64 | 36 | 25 |
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex | |||
White women with college degrees | 62 | 38 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 56 | 44 | 19 |
White men with college degrees | 56 | 44 | 15 |
White men without college degrees | 52 | 48 | 17 |
Non-whites | 68 | 32 | 36 |
Family income | |||
Under $30,000 | 57 | 43 | 17 |
$30,000–49,999 | 66 | 34 | 21 |
$50,000–99,999 | 55 | 45 | 22 |
$100,000–199,999 | 45 | 55 | 27 |
Over $200,000 | 41 | 59 | 13 |
Military service | |||
Veterans | 32 | 68 | 14 |
Non-veterans | 64 | 36 | 86 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Health care | 85 | 15 | 43 |
Immigration | 36 | 64 | 18 |
Economy | 35 | 65 | 21 |
Gun policy | 66 | 34 | 15 |
Official campaign websites