2018 California gubernatorial election

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2018 California gubernatorial election
Flag of California.svg
←  2014 November 6, 2018 2021 (recall)  →
Turnout63.28% (Increase2.svg32.34 pp)
  Gavin Newsom by Gage Skidmore.jpg John H. Cox (3x4a).jpg
Candidate Gavin Newsom John H. Cox
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote7,721,4104,742,825
Percentage61.95%38.05%
2018 California gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 California gubernatorial election results map by Congressional District.svg
Newsom:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Cox:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Jerry Brown
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic

The 2018 California gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of California, concurrently with elections for the rest of California's executive branch, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Jerry Brown was ineligible to run for re-election for a third consecutive (and fifth non-consecutive) term due to term limits from the Constitution of California. The race was between the incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom and businessman John H. Cox, a Republican, who qualified for the general election after placing first and second in the June 5, 2018, primary election.

Contents

Newsom won in a landslide, with 62% of the vote, the biggest victory in a gubernatorial race in California since Earl Warren won re-election in 1950, and the biggest victory for a non-incumbent since 1930; Newsom received almost eight million votes. [1] The election also marked the first time Orange County had voted for the Democratic candidate since Jerry Brown won it in 1978, and the first time Democrats won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state's history. Newsom was sworn in on January 7, 2019.

Candidates

A primary election was held on June 5, 2018. Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appeared on the same ballot, regardless of party. Voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers – regardless of party – advance to the general election in November, regardless of whether a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

Green Party

Declared

  • Christopher Carlson, puppeteer [4]
  • Veronika Fimbres (write-in) [36]
  • Josh Jones, author, geologist, solar electric designer [4]

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

Independent (No Party)

Declared

Notes

  1. ↑ American Solidarity Party does not have ballot access. Desmond Silveira (ASP) appears on ballot as "No party preference". [60]

Primary election

From the later half of 2017, Lieutenant governor Gavin Newsom was widely seen as the favored front runner for the top two primary. Businessman John Cox and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa had both been running closely behind Newsom to obtain the second place spot. However soon in late 2017, as more prominent Democrats entered the race, Villaraigosa saw his polling numbers slip out of competition with Cox by the start of 2018. This had mainly left the race between Newsom and Cox, with a third place free for all between Allen and Villaraigosa.

Endorsements

Travis Allen (R)
U.S. representatives
State-level officials
Notable individuals
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
  • California Republican Assembly [69]
John Chiang (D)
Federal elected officials
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Individuals
Delaine Eastin (D)
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Josh Jones (G)
Individuals
Desmond Silveira (ASP)
Notable individuals
Organizations
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
U.S. representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Individuals
Nickolas Wildstar (L)
Individuals
Organizations
Zoltan Istvan (L)
Notable individuals and organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Travis
Allen
(R)		John
Chiang
(D)		John
Cox
(R)		Delaine
Eastin
(D)		Gavin
Newsom
(D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		Other /
Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication Archived 2020-09-10 at the Wayback Machine May 29–30, 2018504± 4.4%10%4%23%5%31%13%15% [lower-alpha 1]
UC Berkeley May 22−28, 20182,106± 3.5%12%7%20%4%33%13%11% [lower-alpha 2]
Emerson College Archived 2018-06-07 at the Wayback Machine May 21–24, 2018600± 4.2%11%10%16%4%24%12%23% [lower-alpha 3]
YouGov Archived 2018-06-01 at the Wayback Machine May 12–24, 20181,113± 4.0%10%8%17%4%33%9%16% [lower-alpha 4]
Competitive Edge Research & Communication Archived 2018-05-25 at the Wayback Machine May 20–22, 2018501± 4.4%9%7%22%8%26%12%17% [lower-alpha 5]
SurveyUSA May 21, 2018678± 6.1%12%10%17%2%33%8%16% [lower-alpha 6]
Public Policy Institute of California May 11–20, 2018901± 4.1%11%9%19%6%25%15%16% [lower-alpha 7]
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times April 18 – May 18, 2018517± 4.0%5%6%10%3%21%11%43% [lower-alpha 8]
Gravis Marketing May 4–5, 2018525± 4.3%8%9%23%4%22%19%15% [lower-alpha 9]
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) April 26–27, 2018533± 4.2%13%4%20%4%36%8%16% [lower-alpha 10]
SurveyUSA April 19–23, 2018520± 5.5%10%9%15%1%21%18%25% [lower-alpha 11]
UC Berkeley April 16−22, 20181,738± 3.5%16%7%18%4%30%9%16% [lower-alpha 12]
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research March 30 – April 4, 2018800± 3.7%9%9%16%5%26%7%28% [lower-alpha 13]
Public Policy Institute of California March 25 – April 3, 2018867± 4.4%10%7%15%6%26%13%23% [lower-alpha 14]
SurveyUSA March 22–25, 2018517± 5.0%7%9%11%3%22%14%34% [lower-alpha 15]
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) March 16–21, 20181,750–13%9%16%2%29%7%24% [lower-alpha 16]
Public Policy Institute of California March 7–13, 20181,706± 3.4%10%6%14%5%28%12%25% [lower-alpha 17]
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) Archived 2018-03-24 at the Wayback Machine March 1–5, 20181,000–10%13%16%7%26%12%16% [lower-alpha 18]
David Binder Research (D-Newsom) January 31 – February 4, 2018800± 3.5%4%11%7%4%30%11%33% [lower-alpha 19]
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) January 27 – February 1, 2018500–7%10%10%5%28%14%3% [lower-alpha 20]
Public Policy Institute of California January 21–30, 20181,705± 3.2%8%9%7%4%23%21%28% [lower-alpha 21]
Tulchin Research/Moore Information Archived 2018-02-06 at the Wayback Machine January 21–28, 20182,500± 2.0%8%9%10%6%29%11%26% [lower-alpha 22]
SurveyUSA January 7–9, 2018506± 4.4%9%5%4%1%19%10%53% [lower-alpha 23]
UC Berkeley December 7–16, 2017672± 3.8%9%5%9%5%26%17%29% [lower-alpha 24]
Public Policy Institute of California November 10–19, 20171,070± 4.3%6%9%9%3%23%18%31% [lower-alpha 25]
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times October 27 – November 6, 20171,070 [lower-alpha 26] ± 4.0%15%12%11%4%31%21%6% [lower-alpha 27]
UC Berkeley August 27 – September 5, 20171,000± 4.0%9%7%11%4%26%10%33% [lower-alpha 28]
SmithJohnson Research (R-Cox) July 27–30, 2017500± 4.4%10%7%14%3%25%12%28% [lower-alpha 13]
GSSR (D-Chiang) May 30 – June 5, 2017602––10%11%–26%12%–
UC Berkeley May 4–29, 20171,628± 3.3%–5%9%3%22%17%44% [lower-alpha 29]
The Feldman Group (D-Villaraigosa) March 2017––––22%–26%20%–
Notes
  1. ↑ Other 5%, Undecided 10%
  2. ↑ Other 4%, Undecided 7%
  3. ↑ Other 4%, Undecided 19%
  4. ↑ Amanda Renteria (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP) with 1%, all other candidates 0%, Undecided 13%
  5. ↑ Other 4%, Undecided 13%
  6. ↑ Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Robert C. Newman (R), Klement Tinaj (D) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Yvonne Girard (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Gloria La Riva (PFP), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Amanda Renteria (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 0%; Undecided with 13%
  7. ↑ Other 1%, Undecided 16%
  8. ↑ Akinyemi Agbede (D), Robert Davidson Griffis (D), Amanda Renteria (D), and Gloria La Riva (PFP) with 1%; Juan Bribiesca (D), Thomas Jefferson Cares (D), Albert Caesar Mezzetti (D), Michael Shellenberger (D), Klement Tinaj (D), Christopher Carlson (G), Josh Jones (G), Zoltan Istvan (L), Nickolas Wildstar (L), Yvonne Girard (R), Robert C. Newman (R), Shubham Goel (NPP), Hakan "Hawk" Mikado (NPP), Desmond Silveira (ASP), Jeffrey Edward Taylor (NPP), Johnny Wattenburg (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%; Undecided 39%
  9. ↑ Albert Mezzetti (D) 2%, Undecided 13%
  10. ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 0%, Undecided 16%
  11. ↑ Robert Newman (R) 4%, Amanda Renteria (D) 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%
  12. ↑ Other 3%, Undecided 13%
  13. 1 2 Undecided 28%
  14. ↑ Other 1%, Undecided 22%
  15. ↑ Robert Newman (R) 3%; Yvonne Girard (R) and Robert Kleinberger* (NPP) with 2%; Daniel Amare* (R), Brian Domingo* (R), Peter Yuan Liu (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Harmesh Kumar* (D), and James Tran* (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%l; Undecided 21%. *Withdrawn.
  16. ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 2%, Other 6%, Undecided 16%
  17. ↑ Other 1%, Undecided 24%
  18. ↑ Amanda Renteria (D) 4%, Undecided 12%
  19. ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Other 29%. *Withdrawn.
  20. ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 3%. *Withdrawn.
  21. ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 3%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 24%. *Withdrawn.
  22. ↑ Doug Ose* (R) 4%, Someone else 4%, Undecided 18%. *Withdrawn.
  23. ↑ Robert Newman (R), Doug Ose* (R), Tom Steyer† (D), Peter Thiel† (R), and Steve Westly† (D) with 2%; Akinyemi Agbede (D), Daniel Amare* (R), Stasyi Barth* (R), Michael Bracamontes* (D), Juan Bribiesca (D), Brian Domingo* (R), Yvonne Girard (R), Zoltan Istvan (L), Josh Jones (G), Robert Kleinberger* (NPP), Harmesh Kumar* (D), Peter Yuan Liu (R), James Tran* (NPP), and Nickolas Wildstar (L) with 1%; Michael Bilger* (NPP), Andy Blanch* (NPP), Scooter Braun† (D), John-Leslie Brown* (R), David Bush* (NPP), Christopher Carlson (G), Peter Crawford-Valentino* (NPP), Ted Crisell* (D), Grant Handzlik* (NPP), Analila Joya* (NPP), Joshua Laine* (AIP), Chad Mayes† (R), Jacob Morris* (R), Timothy Richardson* (NPP), Boris Romanowsky* (NPP), Michael Shellenberger (D), H. Fuji Shioura* (NPP), Laura Smith* (R), Scot Sturtevant* (NPP), Ashley Swearengin† (R), Klement Tinaj (D), and Frédéric Prinz von Anhalt* (NPP) with 0%; Other with 29%. *Withdrawn. †Hypothetical candidate.
  24. ↑ Other 1%, Undecided 28%
  25. ↑ Other 1%, Undecided 30%
  26. ↑ 1,070 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 22% out of 1,504 not voting.
  27. ↑ Other 6%
  28. ↑ Undecided 33%
  29. ↑ David Hadley* (R) 7%, Undecided 37%. *Withdrawn.
Hypothetical polling
with Kevin Faulconer and Eric Garcetti
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		John
Chiang
(D)		John
Cox
(R)		Kevin
Faulconer
(R)		Eric
Garcetti
(D)		Gavin
Newsom
(D)		Tom
Steyer
(D)		Ashley
Swearengin
(R)		Antonio
Villaraigosa
(D)		Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley/YouGov March 13–20, 20171,000± 3.6%6%11%11%9%24%4%–7%25% [lower-alpha 1]
Public Policy Polling January 17–18, 2017882± 3.3%2%–20%13%25%4%12%9%16% [lower-alpha 2]
Field Research Corporation October 25–31, 2016600–2%–16%7%23%5%11%6%30% [lower-alpha 3]
Public Policy Polling February 6–8, 2015824–10%–30%11%22%––13%26% [lower-alpha 4]

Results

2018 California gubernatorial primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Newsom—60–70%
  Newsom—50–60%
  Newsom—40–50%
  Newsom—30–40%
  Newsom—20–30%
  Cox—20–30%
  Cox—30–40%
  Cox—40–50%
  Villaraigosa—30–40%
2018 California gubernatorial primary election results map by congressional district.svg
Results by congressional district:
  Newsom—50–60%
  Newsom—40–50%
  Newsom—30–40%
  Newsom—20–30%
  Cox—20–30%
  Cox—30–40%
  Cox—40–50%
  Villaraigosa—20–30%
  Villaraigosa—30–40%
  Villaraigosa—40–50%
Non-partisan blanket primary results [131]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gavin Newsom 2,343,792 33.7%
Republican John H. Cox 1,766,488 25.4%
Democratic Antonio Villaraigosa 926,39413.3%
Republican Travis Allen 658,7989.5%
Democratic John Chiang 655,9209.4%
Democratic Delaine Eastin 234,8693.4%
Democratic Amanda Renteria 93,4461.3%
Republican Robert C. Newman II44,6740.6%
Democratic Michael Shellenberger 31,6920.5%
Republican Peter Y. Liu27,3360.4%
Republican Yvonne Girard21,8400.3%
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 19,0750.3%
Democratic J. Bribiesca18,5860.3%
Green Josh Jones16,1310.2%
Libertarian Zoltan Istvan 14,4620.2%
Democratic Albert Caesar Mezzetti12,0260.2%
Libertarian Nickolas Wildstar11,5660.2%
Democratic Robert Davidson Griffis11,1030.2%
Democratic Akinyemi Agbede9,3800.1%
Democratic Thomas Jefferson Cares8,9370.1%
Green Christopher N. Carlson7,3020.1%
Democratic Klement Tinaj5,3680.1%
No party preference Hakan "Hawk" Mikado5,3460.1%
No party preference Johnny Wattenburg4,9730.1%
No party preference Desmond Silveira 4,6330.1%
No party preference Shubham Goel4,0200.1%
No party preference Jeffrey Edward Taylor3,9730.1%
Green Veronika Fimbres (write-in)620.0%
No party preference Arman Soltani (write-in)320.0%
No party preference Peter Crawford Valentino (write-in)210.0%
Republican K. Pearce (write-in)80.0%
No party preference Armando M. Arreola (write-in)10.0%
Total votes6,862,254 100%

Results by county

Red represents counties won by Cox. Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Green represents counties won by Villaraigosa. [132]

CountyNewsom %Cox %Villaraigosa %Allen %Chiang %Others %
Alameda 53.5%10.6%10.0%4.4%9.6%11.9%
Alpine 38.5%24.1%6.7%8.7%10.4%11.6%
Amador 21.5%41.8%5.8%15.1%8.0%7.8%
Butte 25.6%34.4%5.5%14.5%6.1%13.9%
Calaveras 23.3%38.2%5.3%18.1%6.6%8.5%
Colusa 13.0%43.3%16.0%16.3%3.6%7.8%
Contra Costa 49.9%19.7%8.7%7.4%6.9%7.4%
Del Norte 23.4%27.0%3.5%24.8%7.7%13.6%
El Dorado 24.5%40.7%5.8%13.9%8.1%7.0%
Fresno 16.8%33.7%20.2%14.3%7.6%7.4%
Glenn 12.4%48.1%7.9%18.2%3.3%10.1%
Humboldt 37.9%22.3%5.0%9.6%6.4%18.8%
Imperial 11.8%22.7%31.2%9.8%7.9%16.6%
Inyo 22.6%30.7%8.6%15.9%8.7%13.5%
Kern 12.1%40.6%13.9%19.9%5.4%8.1%
Kings 9.4%36.7%17.0%23.8%6.7%6.4%
Lake 37.5%28.4%6.6%12.0%5.0%10.5%
Lassen 13.1%41.7%2.1%26.8%6.6%9.7%
Los Angeles 32.7%19.6%21.7%5.8%13.2%7.0%
Madera 12.8%40.2%15.7%18.9%5.2%7.2%
Marin 64.1%12.5%8.2%3.8%5.3%6.1%
Mariposa 19.1%34.9%8.2%23.4%6.3%8.1%
Mendocino 45.2%17.9%7.8%9.1%5.1%14.9%
Merced 18.2%29.7%17.9%16.0%7.3%10.8%
Modoc 11.4%49.9%3.0%18.0%3.1%14.6%
Mono 31.6%26.1%12.2%12.0%5.0%13.1%
Monterey 37.8%19.8%16.8%9.4%6.6%9.6%
Napa 46.1%19.4%10.0%9.7%5.5%9.3%
Nevada 34.1%25.7%5.9%17.4%7.0%9.9%
Orange 24.3%36.3%11.4%11.5%9.0%7.5%
Placer 25.7%40.2%5.8%13.1%9.0%6.2%
Plumas 26.9%38.5%3.8%15.5%5.7%9.6%
Riverside 22.3%34.4%13.7%15.3%7.5%6.8%
Sacramento 29.7%26.2%10.7%10.2%14.5%8.7%
San Benito 33.6%23.4%13.3%16.0%4.8%8.9%
San Bernardino 19.7%33.9%15.2%14.7%9.2%7.3%
San Diego 30.5%32.6%10.4%7.5%9.8%9.2%
San Francisco 57.5%6.6%9.1%2.2%8.9%15.7%
San Joaquin 26.3%31.4%11.1%13.6%9.3%8.3%
San Luis Obispo 33.2%29.4%6.8%14.6%7.3%8.7%
San Mateo 55.0%13.9%10.4%5.1%7.1%8.5%
Santa Barbara 33.8%26.2%12.3%11.5%6.8%9.4%
Santa Clara 48.5%13.9%10.9%8.3%7.7%10.7%
Santa Cruz 52.4%11.8%11.5%7.0%4.5%12.8%
Shasta 16.9%44.3%3.9%19.9%4.5%10.5%
Sierra 22.9%35.1%3.7%17.6%7.1%13.6%
Siskiyou 23.3%34.5%3.4%18.5%5.0%15.3%
Solano 41.6%23.3%8.9%11.3%6.9%8.0%
Sonoma 54.6%16.4%8.9%5.5%4.9%9.7%
Stanislaus 23.2%31.6%12.3%16.3%7.3%9.3%
Sutter 16.4%40.0%8.3%17.4%8.2%9.7%
Tehama 13.2%45.4%4.5%21.6%4.7%10.6%
Trinity 23.6%31.4%4.7%17.9%5.4%17.0%
Tulare 13.9%36.5%16.4%20.4%5.2%7.6%
Tuolumne 26.8%37.6%5.7%15.8%5.6%8.5%
Ventura 26.7%32.6%13.4%9.1%11.0%7.2%
Yolo 31.6%19.9%13.7%7.0%14.6%13.2%
Yuba 16.3%39.6%7.6%21.1%6.6%8.8%
Totals33.6%25.5%13.3%9.5%9.5%8.6%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [133] Safe DOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [134] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [135] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [136] Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [137] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [138] Likely DNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [139] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [140] [lower-alpha 5] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Politico [141] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Governing [142] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ Delaine Eastin (D) and Steve Westly with 2%, Undecided with 21%
  2. ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 3%, Undecided 13%
  3. ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Steve Westly (D) 1%, Undecided 25%
  4. ↑ Alex Padilla (D) 4%, Undecided 22%
  5. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

John H. Cox (R)
Federal officials
U.S. representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Gavin Newsom (D)
Federal officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom (D)		John
Cox (R)		NoneOtherUndecided
Change Research [ better source needed ]November 2–4, 20181,108–53%41%–––
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%58%38%––4%
SurveyUSA November 1–2, 2018924± 4.6%53%38%––9%
Probolsky Research October 25–30, 2018900± 3.3%47%37%––16%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 25–27, 20181,068± 3.5%55%42%––3%
Gravis Marketing October 25–26, 2018743± 3.6%55%35%––9%
UC Berkeley October 19–25, 20181,339± 4.0%58%40%––2%
YouGov [ permanent dead link ]October 10–24, 20182,178± 3.1%53%34%3%–10%
Public Policy Institute of California October 12–21, 2018989± 4.2%49%38%2%–10%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 18–20, 20181,068± 3.5%54%41%––5%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2018671± 4.1%52%32%––16%
SurveyUSA October 12–14, 2018762± 4.9%52%35%––14%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 12–14, 20181,068± 3.5%51%43%––6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times September 17 – October 14, 2018794 LV± 4.0%54%31%––15%
980 RV± 4.0%51%30%––19%
Thomas Partners Strategies October 5–7, 20181,068± 3.5%54%42%––4%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 28–30, 20181,068± 3.5%50%45%––5%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 21–23, 20181,068± 3.5%53%42%––5%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018500± 4.4%60%40%–––
Public Policy Institute of California September 9–18, 2018964± 4.8%51%39%3%–7%
Thomas Partners Strategies Archived 2018-09-25 at the Wayback Machine September 14–16, 20181,040± 3.5%45%41%––14%
Ipsos September 5–14, 20181,021± 4.0%52%40%–3%6%
Thomas Partners Strategies September 7–9, 20181,227± 3.3%48%40%––12%
Probolsky Research August 29 – September 2, 2018900± 5.8%44%39%––17%
Public Policy Institute of California July 8–17, 20181,020± 4.3%55%31%5%–9%
SurveyUSA June 26–27, 2018559± 5.9%58%29%––13%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times June 6–17, 2018767± 4.0%45%28%––27%
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research March 30 – April 4, 2018800± 3.7%42%32%––26%
Hypothetical polling
with Newsom and Chiang
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		John
Chiang (D)		Gavin
Newsom (D)		Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D-Chiang) January 27 – February 1, 201850044%30%–
Public Policy Polling February 6–8, 201582430%37%33%
with Newsom and Villaraigosa
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Undecided
J. Wallin Opinion Research/Tulchin Research March 30 – April 4, 2018800± 3.7%38%21%41%
Public Policy Polling February 6–8, 2015824–42%22%36%
with Villaraigosa and Garcetti
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Eric
Garcetti (D)		Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 6–8, 201582428%30%42%

Results

Newsom won the general election by the largest margin of any California gubernatorial candidate since Earl Warren's re-election in 1950. In addition to winning the traditional Democratic strongholds of the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, Sacramento, and North Coast, Newsom performed well in the traditionally swing Central Coast, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, as well as narrowly winning traditionally Republican Orange County – the latter voting for a Democrat for the first time in a gubernatorial election since Jerry Brown's first re-election in 1978. Cox did well in the state's more rural areas, even flipping Stanislaus County; Stanislaus is the only county that voted for Brown in 2014 but flipped to Cox in 2018. Cox also narrowly won Fresno County and Riverside County in the Inland Empire in addition to handily winning traditionally Republican Kern County in the Central Valley.

California gubernatorial election, 2018 [189]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Gavin Newsom 7,721,410 61.95% +1.98%
Republican John H. Cox 4,742,82538.05%−1.98%
Total votes12,464,235 100.00% N/A
Turnout 12,712,54264.54%
Registered electors 19,696,371
Democratic hold

By county

Blue represents counties won by Newsom. Red represents counties won by Cox. [190]

CountyGavin Newsom

Democratic

John Cox

Republican

Total Votes
#%#%#
Alameda 462,55880.6%111,67719.4%574,235
Alpine 38662.8%22937.2%615
Amador 6,23735.5%11,35664.5%17,593
Butte 41,50046.8%47,22653.2%88,726
Calaveras 7,76535.9%13,84564.1%21,610
Colusa 1,99934.7%3,76465.3%5,763
Contra Costa 283,80568.2%132,34531.8%416,150
Del Norte 3,44141.3%4,88758.7%8,328
El Dorado 36,29740.6%53,14059.4%89,437
Fresno 124,33249.1%128,97450.9%253,306
Glenn 2,42429.1%5,90870.9%8,332
Humboldt 33,45564.5%18,41835.5%51,873
Imperial 20,57361.7%12,78538.3%33,358
Inyo 3,24444.7%4,01855.3%7,262
Kern 83,50741.1%119,87058.9%203,377
Kings 12,27540.6%17,97659.4%30,251
Lake 10,86951.4%10,28048.6%21,149
Lassen 2,04322.7%6,97377.3%9,016
Los Angeles 2,114,69971.9%826,40228.1%2,941,101
Madera 15,03739.0%23,48861.0%38,525
Marin 103,67179.5%26,75020.5%130,421
Mariposa 3,18338.7%5,04361.3%8,226
Mendocino 22,15266.3%11,25533.7%33,407
Merced 30,78352.0%28,42448.0%59,207
Modoc 82023.8%2,62876.2%3,448
Mono 2,70655.8%2,14744.2%4,853
Monterey 76,64866.0%39,51634.0%116,164
Napa 36,51364.8%19,83435.2%56,347
Nevada 27,98552.9%24,88247.1%52,867
Orange 543,04750.1%539,95149.9%1,082,998
Placer 72,27041.2%103,15758.8%175,427
Plumas 3,43337.2%5,80762.8%9,240
Riverside 319,84549.8%322,24350.2%642,088
Sacramento 302,69658.8%212,01041.2%514,706
San Benito 11,27456.1%8,81543.9%20,089
San Bernardino 276,87451.5%260,37948.5%537,253
San Diego 658,34656.9%499,53243.1%1,157,878
San Francisco 312,18186.4%49,18113.6%361,362
San Joaquin 101,47452.2%92,96647.8%194,440
San Luis Obispo 65,11751.6%61,13748.4%126,254
San Mateo 213,28275.2%70,24224.8%283,524
Santa Barbara 93,84160.5%61,30039.5%155,141
Santa Clara 438,75871.4%175,79128.6%614,549
Santa Cruz 91,52376.8%27,66523.2%119,188
Shasta 20,25628.9%49,82571.1%70,081
Sierra 59935.9%1,06864.1%1,667
Siskiyou 7,21839.7%10,94660.3%18,164
Solano 89,69461.3%56,62738.7%146,321
Sonoma 152,04072.3%58,33827.7%210,378
Stanislaus 77,22049.2%79,75150.8%156,971
Sutter 11,12237.0%18,95363.0%30,075
Tehama 5,75627.5%15,13772.5%20,893
Trinity 2,25042.3%3,07557.7%5,325
Tulare 42,70242.8%57,01257.2%99,714
Tuolumne 9,29438.9%14,58061.1%23,874
Ventura 171,72955.6%137,39344.4%309,122
Yolo 49,75967.8%23,61132.2%73,370
Yuba 6,90336.0%12,29364.0%19,196
Totals7,721,41061.9%4,742,82538.1%12,464,235
California counties shift 2014-2018 gubernatorial.svg
California counties trend 2014-2018 gubernatorial.svg
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Newsom won 42 of the 53 congressional districts. Cox won 11, including four won by Democrats. [191]

DistrictCoxNewsomRepresentative
1st 61.21%38.79% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 27.88%72.12% Jared Huffman
3rd 47.59%52.41% John Garamendi
4th 59.49%40.51% Tom McClintock
5th 30.0%70.0% Mike Thompson
6th 30.63%69.37% Doris Matsui
7th 48.04%51.96% Ami Bera
8th 59.77%40.23% Paul Cook
9th 46.05%53.95% Jerry McNerney
10th 50.49%49.51% Josh Harder
11th 29.45%70.55% Mark DeSaulnier
12th 12.86%87.14% Nancy Pelosi
13th 9.82%90.18% Barbara Lee
14th 24.04%75.96% Jackie Speier
15th 30.95%69.05% Eric Swalwell
16th 43.91%56.09% Jim Costa
17th 28.47%71.53% Ro Khanna
18th 27.46%72.54% Anna Eshoo
19th 29.68%70.32% Zoe Lofgren
20th 29.77%70.23% Jimmy Panetta
21st 47.88%52.12% TJ Cox
22nd 56.81%43.19% Devin Nunes
23rd 62.62%37.38% Kevin McCarthy
24th 43.41%56.59% Salud Carbajal
25th 48.94%51.06% Katie Hill
26th 42.69%57.31% Julia Brownley
27th 34.87%65.13% Judy Chu
28th 24.68%75.32% Adam Schiff
29th 22.17%77.83% Tony Cárdenas
30th 30.09%69.91% Brad Sherman
31st 43.4%56.6% Pete Aguilar
32nd 34.83%65.17% Grace Napolitano
33rd 32.3%67.7% Ted Lieu
34th 15.5%84.5% Jimmy Gomez
35th 34.35%65.65% Norma Torres
36th 46.83%53.17% Raul Ruiz
37th 13.7%86.3% Karen Bass
38th 34.66%65.34% Linda Sánchez
39th 50.39%49.61% Gil Cisneros
40th 19.52%80.48% Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st 40.62%59.38% Mark Takano
42nd 58.8%41.2% Ken Calvert
43rd 22.04%77.96% Maxine Waters
44th 18.63%81.37% Nanette Barragán
45th 50.58%49.42% Katie Porter
46th 36.19%63.81% Lou Correa
47th 38.3%61.7% Alan Lowenthal
48th 52.12%47.88% Harley Rouda
49th 48.51%51.49% Mike Levin
50th 59.05%40.95% Duncan Hunter
51st 32.08%67.92% Juan Vargas
52nd 41.71%58.29% Scott Peters
53rd 35.08%64.92% Susan Davis

Voter demographics

CNN exit poll by demographic subgroups [192]
Demographic subgroupNewsomCox % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 901034
Moderates 594137
Conservatives 168429
Party
Democrats 93746
Republicans 79323
Independents 534731
Party by gender
Democratic men92818
Democratic women93728
Republican men69412
Republican women99110
Independent men534718
Independent women544613
Gender
Men564448
Women653552
Marital status
Married574357
Unmarried653543
Gender by marital status
Married men534735
Married women643622
Unmarried men584219
Unmarried women683224
Race and ethnicity
White 574363
Black 84166
Latino 643619
Asian 65358
Other71293
Gender by race and ethnicity
White men544631
White women594132
Black men78222
Black women87134
Latino men61399
Latino women673310
Others673311
Religion
Protestant, Other Christian 465434
Catholic 564421
Jewish 72284
Other religion762410
No religion 792131
Religious service attendance
Weekly or more465421
A few times a month564413
A few times a year712923
Never693143
White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes188211
No653589
Age
18–24 years old72288
25–29 years old66347
30–39 years old653515
40–49 years old584214
50–64 years old564429
65 and older574327
Sexual orientation
LGBT 83175
Heterosexual 584295
First time voter
First time voter 693118
Everyone else584282
Education
High school or less584219
Some college education564429
Associate degree 604013
Bachelor's degree 653524
Advanced degree633716
Education by race and ethnicity
White college graduates594128
White no college degree554535
Non-white college graduates782211
Non-white no college degree643625
Education by race, ethnicity, and sex
White women with college degrees623813
White women without college degrees564419
White men with college degrees564415
White men without college degrees524817
Non-whites683236
Family income
Under $30,000574317
$30,000–49,999663421
$50,000–99,999554522
$100,000–199,999455527
Over $200,000415913
Military service
Veterans 326814
Non-veterans643686
Issue regarded as most important
Health care 851543
Immigration 366418
Economy 356521
Gun policy 663415

See also

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  71. 1 2 Chiang, John (October 17, 2017). "Join me this morning LIVE as three elected officials endorse my candidacy for governor in the #SanGabrielValley! #JoinJohn". @JohnChiangCA. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
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  82. ↑ "San Diego City Councilmember Georgette Goméz Endorses John Chiang for Governor". JohnChiang.com. February 24, 2018. Archived from the original on February 28, 2018. Retrieved February 27, 2018.
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  104. ↑ "Los Angeles Rep. Karen Bass endorses Antonio Villaraigosa in governor's race". Los Angeles Times. August 29, 2017.
  105. ↑ "BREAKING NEWS: Former House Majority Whip Tony Coelho Endorses Antonio Villaraigosa for Governor – Antonio For California". December 13, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  106. 1 2 3 4 "Congresswoman Lucille Roybal-Allard Endorses Antonio Villaraigosa For Governor – Antonio For California". October 19, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
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  109. ↑ "BREAKING NEWS: California Assembly Majority Leader Ian Calderon Endorses Antonio Villaraigosa for Governor – Antonio For California". November 27, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  110. 1 2 "ASSEMBLYMAN EDUARDO GARCIA, COACHELLA VALLEY LEADERS ENDORSE ANTONIO VILLARAIGOSA FOR GOVERNOR". Antonio For California. June 21, 2017.
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  116. 1 2 "ASSEMBLYMEMBER BLANCA RUBIO, MAYOR LOZANO, THREE BALDWIN PARK COUNCILMEMBERS ENDORSE ANTONIO VILLARAIGOSA". Antonio For California. June 16, 2017.
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  120. ↑ "COMPTON MAYOR AJA BROWN BACKS ANTONIO VILLARAIGOSA FOR GOVERNOR". Antonio For California. June 30, 2017.
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  128. ↑ "Larry Sharpe Says California Has A Bright Future With Governor Wildstar!". crowdpac.com. Archived from the original on April 30, 2018. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
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  145. ↑ Mehta, Seema (March 12, 2018). "Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich endorses John Cox in governor's race". Los Angeles Times.
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  164. ↑ Patrick McGreevy (June 13, 2018). "Gov. Jerry Brown rallies Democrats to elect Gavin Newsom as his successor". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved July 17, 2018.
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