This article needs to be updated. The reason given is: The election results need to be updated in the infobox and the results table at the bottom needs to be filled in.(November 2024) |
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The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election took place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election used ranked-choice voting.
Incumbent mayor London Breed ran for re-election to a second term in office: she was considered vulnerable, as polls had consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed had also faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction. [1]
On November 7, Breed conceded the race to Daniel Lurie. [2]
A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002. [3] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating. [4] [5]
Date | Host | Moderator(s) | Link | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
London Breed | Mark Farrell | Daniel Lurie | Aaron Peskin | Ahsha Safaí | ||||
May 20, 2024 (cancelled) [16] | TogetherSF Action | Karen Breslau Kim-Mai Cutler | W | A | W | W | A | |
June 12, 2024 | City Arts & Lectures | Heather Knight Manny Yekutiel | Video | P | P | P | P | P |
June 17, 2024 | San Francisco Democratic Party | Terisa Estacio | P | P | P | P | P | |
July 8, 2024 | Stop Crime Action Stop Crime SF ConnectedSF | Frank Noto Amber Lee | P | P | P | A | P | |
Sept. 5, 2024 | District 8 Neighborhood Groups | Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez | Video | A | P | P | P | P |
Sept. 11, 2024 | KPIX San Francisco Examiner KCBS | Ryan Yamamoto Doug Sovereign Adam Shanks | A | P | P | P | P | |
Sept. 19, 2024 | KQED San Francisco Chronicle | Joe Garofoli Marisa Lagos Scott Shafer | Video | P | P | P | P | P |
Sept. 26, 2024 | Asian Pacific Islander Council | Richard Lui Gia Vang | P | P | P | P | P | |
Sept. 28, 2024 | San Francisco Latino Parity and Equity Coalition | Chris Iglesias Ani Rivera | P | A | P | P | P | |
Sept. 30, 2024 | League of Women Voters of San Francisco | Alison Goh Darcy Brown | Video | A | P | P | P | P |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | RCV round | London Breed | Mark Farrell | Daniel Lurie | Aaron Peskin | Ahsha Safaí | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
David Binder Research [55] [A] | October 26–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 23% | 17% | 26% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling [56] [B] | October 18–19, 2024 | 621 (LV) | ± 4% | – | 18% | 15% | 25% | 25% | – | 6% | 11% |
Sextant Strategies & Research [57] [C] | October 15–16, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 27% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – |
2 | 27% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 7% | – | – | ||||
3 | 30% | 18% | 28% | 24% | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 33% | – | 41% | 26% | – | – | – | ||||
5 | 44% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | ||||
Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc. [58] [D] | October 9–19, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 25% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
David Binder Research [59] [A] | September 28 – October 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1 | 23% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 10% |
2 | 27% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 5% | – | – | ||||
3 | 29% | 24% | 28% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 37% | 27% | 36% | – | – | – | – | ||||
5 | 47% | – | 53% | – | – | – | – | ||||
FM3 Research (D) [60] [E] | September 21–26, 2024 | 415 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 1 | 38% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 4% | – | 11% |
2 | 39% | 19% | 21% | 21% | – | – | – | ||||
3 | 43% | – | 34% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 51% | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | ||||
David Binder Research [61] [A] | September 3–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 26% | 28% | 26% | 14% | 6% | – | – |
2 | 27% | 29% | 28% | 16% | – | – | – | ||||
3 | 33% | 33% | 34% | – | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 43% | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | ||||
KRON4/Emerson College [62] | September 5–7, 2024 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 20.3% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | – | 26.5% |
FM3 Research (D) [63] [A] | August 21–28, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 36% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 5% | – | – |
2 | 38% | 23% | 23% | 15% | – | – | – | ||||
3 | 44% | 27% | 28% | – | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
Probolsky Research [64] [F] | July 30–August 7, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 1 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – |
2 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
3 | 29% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
4 | 30% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 3% | – | – | ||||
5 | 30% | 26% | 21% | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
6 | 36% | 36% | – | 28% | – | – | – | ||||
7 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Sextant Strategies & Research [65] [C] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 28% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 5% | – | 18% |
FM3 Research (D) [66] [E] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1066 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA [b] | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 7% | – | 18% |
1 | 30% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 8% | – | – | ||||
2 | 33% | 27% | 21% | 19% | – | – | – | ||||
3 | 41% | 32% | 26% | – | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Impact Research (D) [67] [G] | June 1–6, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA [b] | 21% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
5 | 43% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
FM3 Research (D) [68] [H] | May 10–16, 2024 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.5% | BA [b] | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28% |
5 | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
FM3 Research (D) [69] [E] | April 29–May 5, 2024 | 412 (RV) | ± 4.9% | BA [b] | 21% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | 28% |
1 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 9% | – | – | ||||
2 | 30% | 26% | 24% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
3 | 39% | 31% | 30% | – | – | – | – | ||||
4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Probolsky Research [70] [F] | June 16–20, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 45% |
Sextant Strategies & Research [71] [C] | February 14–18, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 18% | 20% | 16% | – | 8% | – | 38% |
David Binder Research (D) [72] [A] | January 15–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 15% | 21% | – | 10% | – | 28% |
Elections in California |
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2024 San Francisco mayoral election [73] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Round 1 | |||
Votes | % | |||
Daniel Lurie | 102,720 | 26.33% | ||
London Breed (incumbent) | 95,117 | 24.38% | ||
Aaron Peskin | 89,215 | 22.86% | ||
Mark Farrell | 72,115 | 18.48% | ||
Ahsha Safaí | 11,425 | 2.93% | ||
Ellen Lee Zhou | 8,665 | 2.22% | ||
Henry Flynn | ||||
Keith Freedman | ||||
Dylan Hirsch-Shell | ||||
Nelson Mei | ||||
Paul Robertson | ||||
Shahram Shariati | ||||
Jon Soderstrom | ||||
Total active votes | 100.00% | |||
Source: San Francisco Department of Elections |
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