2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming

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2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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Nominee John Barrasso Scott Morrow
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote198,41863,727
Percentage75.11%24.12%
2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
County results
Barrasso:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Morrow:     60–70%
U.S. senator before election

John Barrasso
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Barrasso
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Incumbent Senator John Barrasso was appointed to the Senate in 2007 after Craig Thomas died. Barrasso won a 2008 special election to complete Thomas' term and won full terms in 2012 and 2018. He was seeking a third full term, and has declared his intent to run for Assistant Republican Leader at the end of the year. [1] Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024. Barrasso won renomination and defeated Democrat Scott Morrow in the general election. Wyoming has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977 and Barasso was heavily favored to win another term. [2]

Contents

Barrasso was easily re-elected with over 75% of the vote, carrying every county except Teton, and flipping Albany. Barrasso overperformed president Donald Trump in the concurrent Presidential election by 4.51%. This was the largest margin of victory in any U.S. Senate election since North Dakota in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • John Holtz, retired circuit court judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 [3]
  • Reid Rasner, financial executive [4]

Endorsements

John Barrasso

Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Reid Rasner (R)$262,251$180,915$81,336
John Barrasso (R)$7,171,125$3,736,139$7,392,759
Source: Federal Election Commission [9]

Results

Primary results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Barrasso 60-70% 70-80% 2024 United States Senate Republican primary election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
Primary results by county
  Barrasso
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 70,494 67.9%
Republican Reid Rasner25,42724.5%
Republican John Holtz7,8687.6%
Total votes103,789 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Scott Morrow, educator [3]

Results

Democratic primary results [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Scott Morrow 10,088 100.0%
Total votes10,088 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [11] Solid RMay 3, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RJanuary 24, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14] Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [15] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [16] Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [17] Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [18] Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538 [19] Solid ROctober 23, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		John
Barrasso		Scott
Morrow		Undecided
Cygnal (R) [20] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%73%26%1%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2024 [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 198,418 75.11% +8.15%
Democratic Scott Morrow63,72724.12%−5.98%
Write-in 2,0170.76%+0.60%
Total votes264,162 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. 1 2 "Wyoming Sen. Barrasso Will Run for No. 2 Spot in GOP Leadership, Narrowing Race to Replace McConnell". US News & World Report. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. 1 2 "Wyoming's Primary Election Is Set: 167 Candidates In 72 Contested Races". cowboystatedaily.com. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  4. ↑ Rasner, Ryan (August 4, 2023). "Reid Rasner of Wyoming Announces Candidacy for United States Senate". EIN News. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
  5. 1 2 Hageman, Harriet (May 4, 2024). "I'm Endorsing Sen. John Barrasso For Re-Election And Here's Why". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  6. ↑ https://goconow.com/senator-lummis-endorses-barrasso-for-reelection/
  7. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  8. ↑ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  9. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Wyoming". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  10. 1 2 "Legislative Candidates Summaries" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
  11. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  12. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  13. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  14. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  16. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  18. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  19. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  20. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  21. ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 16, 2024.

Official campaign websites

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