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All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results by district
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Elections in Nebraska |
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Government |
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of Nebraska, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Primary elections were held on May 14, 2024.
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County results Flood: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Mike Flood, who was re-elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2022. [1]
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Michael Connely (R) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Mike Flood (R) | $1,279,065 | $928,355 | $357,582 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [9] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Flood (incumbent) | 56,846 | 81.52% | |
Republican | Michael Connely | 12,884 | 18.48% | |
Total votes | 69,730 | 100.00% |
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Carol Blood (D) | $36,076 | $20,647 | $15,428 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [9] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Carol Blood | 34,888 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 34,888 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [15] | Solid R | April 29, 2024 |
Inside Elections [16] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [18] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis [19] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Mike Flood (R) | Carol Blood (D) | Undecided |
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YouGov [A] | October 21–28, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 53% | 39% | 8% [b] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Flood (incumbent) | 187,559 | 60.10 | |
Democratic | Carol Blood | 124,498 | 39.90 | |
Total votes | 312,057 | 100.00 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Bacon: 60–70% 70–80% Vargas: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022. [1]
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Don Bacon (R) | $3,465,982 | $1,929,712 | $1,727,525 |
Dan Frei (R) | $125,759 | $84,491 | $41,268 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [40] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 35,748 | 61.96% | |
Republican | Dan Frei | 21,946 | 38.04% | |
Total votes | 57,694 | 100.00% |
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Tony Vargas (D) | $2,407,207 | $819,341 | $1,641,255 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [40] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Tony Vargas | 39,038 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 39,038 | 100.00% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Bacon | Vargas | |||||
1 [59] | October 4, 2024 | WOWT | Brian Mastre | [60] | P | P |
2 [61] | October 8, 2024 | Nebraska Public Media | Aaron Sanderford | [62] | P | P |
3 [63] | October 13, 2024 | KETV | Rob McCartney | [64] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [15] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2024 |
Inside Elections [16] | Tilt D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] | Lean D (flip) | September 30, 2024 |
Elections Daily [18] | Lean D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
CNalysis [19] | Tilt D (flip) | October 7, 2024 |
Roll Call [65] | Tilt D (flip) | October 15, 2024 |
Fox News [66] | Tossup | September 25, 2024 |
DDHQ [67] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
FiveThirtyEight [68] | Lean D (flip) | October 8, 2024 |
The Economist [69] | Lean D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Don Bacon (R) | Tony Vargas (D) | Undecided [c] | Margin |
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The Hill/DDHQ | through October 28, 2024 | October 30, 2024 | 44.9% | 50.2% | 4.9% | Vargas +5.3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Don Bacon (R) | Tony Vargas (D) | Undecided |
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YouGov [A] | October 21–28, 2024 | 389 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 46% | 50% | 4% [d] |
The New York Times/Siena College | September 24–26, 2024 | 663 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 49% | 6% |
663 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% | ||
SSRS [B] | September 20-25, 2024 | 749 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | 6% |
Change Research (D) [C] | September 16-23, 2024 | 548 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Global Strategy Group [D] | September 9-13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
SurveyUSA [E] | August 23–27, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Change Research (D) [C] | August 10–17, 2024 | 2,429 (V) | ± 2.2% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Remington Research Group (R) | August 14–17, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
GQR (D) [F] | July 16–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Torchlight Strategies (R) [G] | July 8–11, 2024 | 300 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [D] | June 25–30, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | 9% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [D] | February 20–25, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Don Bacon (R) | $5,630,302 | $3,638,458 | $2,006,079 |
Tony Vargas (D) | $6,189,421 | $4,718,757 | $1,524,052 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [40] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Don Bacon (incumbent) | 160,198 | 50.93 | |
Democratic | Tony Vargas | 154,369 | 49.07 | |
Total votes | 314,567 | 100.00 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2022. [1]
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Adrian Smith (R) | $1,236,502 | $945,970 | $1,205,069 |
John Walz (R) | $19,932 | $18,380 | $1,570 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [77] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 68,056 | 74.16% | |
Republican | John Walz | 17,060 | 18.59% | |
Republican | Robert McCuiston | 6,654 | 7.25% | |
Total votes | 91,770 | 100.00% |
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Else (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [77] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Daniel Ebers | 7,841 | 52.90% | |
Democratic | David Else | 6,982 | 47.10% | |
Total votes | 14,823 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [15] | Solid R | April 29, 2024 |
Inside Elections [16] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [18] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis [19] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Adrian Smith (R) | Daniel Ebers (D) | Undecided |
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YouGov [A] | October 21–28, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 68% | 22% | 10% [e] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 243,481 | 80.42 | |
Democratic | Daniel Ebers | 59,287 | 19.58 | |
Total votes | 302,768 | 100.00 | ||
Republican hold |
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Nebraska that encompasses the core of the Omaha–Council Bluffs metropolitan area. It includes all of Douglas County, which includes the state's largest city Omaha; it also includes Saunders County and areas of western Sarpy County. It has been represented in the United States House of Representatives since 2017 by Don Bacon, a member of the Republican Party. It was one of 18 districts that would have voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election had they existed in their current configuration while being won or held by a Republican in 2022.
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