2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican



The 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Chris Sununu is eligible to seek re-election to a fifth term, but has announced that he will not do so, leaving the election an open race. [1]

Contents

Along with neighboring Vermont, this race is one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. Primary elections will take place on September 10, 2024. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Kelly Ayotte
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte		Chuck
Morse		Undecided
UMass Lowell January 6–16, 2024600 (LV)± 4.65%54%22%23%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte		Robert
Burns		Frank
Edelblut		Chuck
Morse		OtherUndecided
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023498 (RV)± 4.9%45%3%4%9%3%35%
coefficient/New Hampshire Journal June 14–16, 2023904 (LV)± 3.25%69%–9%22%––

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Joyce Craig
Governors
U.S. Representatives
New Hampshire cabinet officials
Judicial officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Other officials
Labor unions
Cinde Warmington
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Joyce
Craig		Cinde
Warmington		OtherUndecided
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%30%15%2%52%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [33] TossupJuly 21, 2023
Inside Elections [34] TossupSeptember 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [35] TossupJuly 13, 2023
Elections Daily [36] TossupJuly 12, 2023

Polling

Kelly Ayotte vs. Joyce Craig
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte (R)		Joyce
Craig (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College/WHDH-TV November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%43%40%–17%
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%46%37%–17%
Kelly Ayotte vs. Cinde Warmington
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte (R)		Cinde
Warmington (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson College/WHDH-TV November 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%44%37%–19%
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%47%34%–19%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. ↑ "Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor". CBS News. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ↑ Pellish, David; Wright, Aaron (July 24, 2023). "Kelly Ayotte launches campaign for governor of New Hampshire". CNN. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  4. ↑ Tasolides, Justin (July 19, 2023). "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". Spectrum News . Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  5. ↑ Porter, Steven (April 20, 2023). "Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?". Boston Globe.
  6. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (August 3, 2023). "Scott Brown isn't done yet". Politico . Retrieved August 3, 2023.
  7. ↑ Dawg, Jay (April 4, 2023). "Edelblut Considering A Run For Governor". The Pulse of NH .
  8. ↑ Edelblut, Frank (September 3, 2023). "America the beautiful. New Hampshire the crown jewel". New Hampshire Union Leader . Retrieved September 3, 2023. I have decided that I will not be running in this cycle.
  9. ↑ "Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor - CBS Boston". www.cbsnews.com. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  10. 1 2 Wagner, John (July 24, 2023). "Former GOP senator Kelly Ayotte to run for New Hampshire governor". The Washington Post . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  11. ↑ Tenser, Phil (July 24, 2023). "Kelly Ayotte announces 2024 campaign for New Hampshire governor". WCVB-TV 5. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  12. ↑ Sylvia, Andrew (September 8, 2023). "Levasseur, Manchester's GOP State Reps, endorse Ayotte". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  13. ↑ Robidoux, Carol (August 22, 2023). "Ayotte endorsed by Merrimack Republican delegation". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  14. ↑ "Rico Petrocelli endorses Ayotte". November 28, 2023. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
  15. ↑ Sexton, Adam (July 11, 2023). "Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor". WMUR . Retrieved July 11, 2023.
  16. ↑ Schinella, Tony (November 24, 2023). "Seacoast Restauranter Becomes Third NH Democrat To Run For Governor". Patch Media . Retrieved December 7, 2023.
  17. ↑ Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2023). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
  18. ↑ Wolf, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/20". Daily Kos . Retrieved July 20, 2023. Democratic Rep. Annie Kuster quickly ruled out running for governor next year following GOP Gov. Chris Sununu's Wednesday announcement that he wouldn't seek reelection
  19. ↑ DeWitt, Ethan (November 14, 2022). "After six-year battle to oust Sununu, Democrats fall short again". New Hampshire Bulletin.
  20. ↑ Porter, Steven (April 20, 2023). "Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?". The Boston Globe . Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  21. ↑ Porter, Steve (May 1, 2023). "Outgoing mayor of Manchester, N.H., launches exploratory committee for 2024 governor's race". Boston Globe. Former state senator Dr. Tom Sherman, who ran for governor in 2022 and who some had said could run again, told the Globe on Monday that he won't run for governor in 2024.
  22. 1 2 3 4 Steinhauser, Paul (May 1, 2023). "Craig launches gubernatorial exploratory committee". Concord Monitor. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Robidoux, Carol (August 20, 2023). "Craig campaign announces 160 new endorsements". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  24. 1 2 3 Sylvia, Andrew (October 27, 2023). "Craig endorsed by Dr. Tom Sherman". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  25. ↑ Landrigan, Kevin (January 29, 2024). "Donchess backs Craig for governor". UnionLeader.com. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  26. ↑ Robidoux, Carol (October 3, 2023). "Nashua Teachers' Union Endorses Joyce Craig for Governor". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
  27. ↑ Landrigan, Kevin (August 31, 2023). "Craig endorsed by Teamsters Local 633 in gubernatorial race". New Hampshire Union Leader . Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  28. ↑ "Howard Dean endorses Cinde Warmington". Manchester Ink Link. February 10, 2024. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
  29. ↑ Bookman, Todd (June 1, 2023). "Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington announces campaign for NH governor". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Scacchi, Mitchell (June 1, 2023). "Exec Councilor Warmington Enters Gov's Race, Likely to Face Craig in Primary". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  31. ↑ "NH State Employees Throw Support Behind Cinde Warmington in Democratic Gubernatorial Primary - SEA/SEIU DEV". SEA/SEIU DEV -. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  32. ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  33. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  34. ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  35. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
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