2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

Last updated April 09, 2024

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.^[1]

As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election starting in 1992, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%-41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware, and is predicted to once again go comfortably blue in 2024.^[2]

Incumbent President Biden is running for reelection to a second term.^[3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The New Jersey Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

Republican primary

The New Jersey Republican primary is scheduled to be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report ^[4]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections ^[5]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[6]	Solid D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ^[7]	Solid D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis ^[8]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN ^[9]	Solid D	January 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	39%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	36%	8%	1%	1%	13%

Notes

1 2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

Partisan clients

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References

↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
↑ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.

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[key-10] 1 2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.

[2] "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 8, 2024.

[3] Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.

[4] "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[5] "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[6] "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[7] "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[8] "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[9] "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.

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