2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election

Last updated

2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Flag of New Jersey.svg
  2017 November 2, 2021 2025  
Turnout40.5% [1] (Increase2.svg2.0%)
  Phil Murphy for Governor (34592772625) (1).jpg Jack Ciattarelli December 2021 (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Phil Murphy Jack Ciattarelli
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sheila Oliver Diane Allen
Popular vote1,339,4711,255,185
Percentage51.2%48.0%

2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
2021 NJ Governor election by municipality.svg
NJ Governor 2021.svg
Murphy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ciattarelli:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%
     No votes

Governor before election

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Phil Murphy
Democratic

The 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the governor of New Jersey.

Contents

Incumbent governor Phil Murphy was first elected in 2017 with 56% of the vote [2] and won re-election to a second term. Murphy and his running mate, Lt. Gov. Sheila Oliver, defeated the Republican ticket of Jack Ciattarelli and Diane Allen, 51.2% to 48%.

Murphy formally announced his intention to run for a second term on October 1, 2020. [3] Primaries were held on June 8, 2021. Murphy, who won the Democratic nomination unopposed after his two primary challengers were disqualified, faced Ciattarelli, Green nominee Madelyn Hoffman, Libertarian nominee Gregg Mele, and Socialist Workers Party nominee Joanne Kuniansky in the general election. The race was considered by many media outlets to be a "safe" or "likely" Democratic hold, as Murphy had led a majority of pre-election polls by double digits. [4] However, Murphy defeated Ciattarelli by a much smaller margin than expected. [5]

Murphy is the first Democratic governor of New Jersey to win re-election since Brendan Byrne in 1977, as well as the first candidate of the same party as the incumbent U.S. president to win since Thomas Kean in 1985. This is also the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 2009 where both the Democratic and Republican nominees received more than one million votes each. [5] It also was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election where the Green Party candidate placed third. Murphy also became the first Democrat to win a New Jersey gubernatorial election without carrying Gloucester and Cumberland Counties since Robert B. Meyner in 1953, and the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election without carrying Atlantic County since Richard J. Hughes in 1961.

Atlantic County voted for the losing candidate for the first time since 1993. Also, this was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election in which Somerset County voted more Democratic than the state as a whole since 1910. Murphy became the first New Jersey Governor since Brendan Byrne to win both of his elections with a majority of the vote each time. It was the first single-digit Democratic win in a governor's election since 1961. [6] [7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Roger Bacon, perennial candidate [8]
  • Lisa McCormick, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [9]

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 28, 2021
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Phil Murphy$7,966,075$7,752,229$213,846
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [13]

Lieutenant Governor nomination

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Philip Murphy (incumbent) 382,984 100.0%
Total votes382,984 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 28, 2021
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli$7,125,870$7,045,692$69,178
Brian Levine<$5,800<$5,800<$5,800
Phil Rizzo$678,619$655,282$23,337
Hirsh Singh$616,398$615,931$468
Doug Steinhardt (withdrew)$248,345$221,819$26,527
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [13]

Endorsements

Hirsh Singh
Individuals
  • Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman, actor, and perennial candidate [21]
Phil Rizzo
State Legislators
Individuals

Lieutenant Governor nomination

Nominee

  • Diane Allen, former state senator from the 7th district (1998–2018) and candidate for US Senate in 2002 [35]

Potential candidates not selected

  • Holly Schepisi, state assemblywoman (2012–2021) and senator (2021–present) from the 39th district [36] [32]

On May 4, 2021, the New Jersey Globe published a list of nine potential candidates for lieutenant governor after speaking with "more than two dozen Republican leaders, strategists and activists." [37] Diane Allen (who was selected as Republican gubernatorial nominee Jack Ciattarelli's running mate) was one of the names on this list. The others were:

Debates

2021 New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Jack Ciattarelli Brian LevinePhil RizzoHirsh Singh
1 [38] May 25, 2021 WKXW Eric Scott PNNP

A second debate on NJ PBS featuring Ciattarelli and Singh and moderated by NJ Spotlight News reporters Briana Vannozzi, Colleen O'Dea, and David Cruz was planned for May 26, 2021, [39] but later cancelled on May 24, 2021, [40] after Singh announced that he would decline to participate. [41]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jack
Ciattarelli
Brian
Levine
Phil
Rizzo
Hirsh
Singh
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [lower-alpha 2] May 24–25, 2021591 (LV)± 4.1%29%2%8%23%38%
Brad Parscale (R) [lower-alpha 3] April 16–21, 2021>1200 (LV)± 3%20%3%10%22%

Results

Results by county:
Ciattarelli
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
<40% New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary results by county, 2021.svg
Results by county:
  Ciattarelli
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 167,690 49.46%
Republican Philip Rizzo87,00725.66%
Republican Hirsh V. Singh73,15521.58%
Republican Brian D. Levine11,1813.30%
Total votes339,033 100.0%

General election

Five candidates appeared on the general election ballot, the lowest number of candidates for a New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1953, which also featured five. [42]

Candidates

Withdrew

Fundraising

General election campaign finance activity through November 19, 2021
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Phil Murphy$16,747,434$16,393,069$354,365
Jack Ciattarelli$16,361,174$15,828,691$532,483
Gregg Mele$6,000<$5,800N/A
Madelyn Hoffman$1,874<$5,800<$5,800
Joanne Kuniansky<$5,800<$5,800<$5,800
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission [52]

Debates

Although New Jersey State Law gives until September 1, 2021, for independent gubernatorial candidates to fundraise $490,000 to qualify for the debates, the invitees of the first debate were definitively stated at around July 20, 2021, which was over a month before the deadline.[ failed verification ] [53] [54] Despite the third-party candidates being ineligible to debate in any debates that were sponsored by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the New Jersey Globe held another debate for third-party lieutenant governor candidates on October 11, 2021. [55]

2021 New Jersey gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Libertarian Green Socialist Workers
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn Phil Murphy Jack Ciattarelli Gregg MeleMadelyn HoffmanJoanne Kuniansky
1 [56] [57] September 28, 2021 NJPAC Sade Baderinwa
Brian Taff
PPNNN
2 [56] October 12, 2021 NJ PBS Briana Vannozzi PPNNN
2021 New Jersey Lieutenant Governor debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican Libertarian Green Socialist Workers
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn Sheila Oliver Diane Allen Eveline BrownsteinHeather WarburtonVivian Sahner
1 [56] October 5, 2021 New Jersey Globe David Wildstein
Shenell McCloud
Micah Rasmussen
PPNNN
2 [55] October 11, 2021Joey Fox NNPPW

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [58] Solid DOctober 5, 2021
Inside Elections [59] Solid DNovember 1, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [60] Likely DNovember 1, 2021

Endorsements

Phil Murphy (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
County executives
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
Executive branch officials
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Newspapers
Trade associations
Declined to endorse

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Date(s)
administered
Dates
updated
Phil
Murphy

Democratic
Jack
Ciattarelli

Republican
Gregg
Mele
Libertarian
Madelyn
Hoffman
Green
Joanne
Kuniansky
Socialist Workers
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 5]
Lead
Real Clear Politics Oct 15–31, 2021Nov 1, 202150.5%42.7%---6.8%7.8%

Graphical summary

Table

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Phil
Murphy (D)
Jack
Ciattarelli (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co. October 31 – November 1, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%50%44%1%5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–31, 20211,085 (LV)± 3.0%49%45%1%4%
Fairleigh Dickinson University October 23–28, 2021823 (RV)± 3.4%53%44%3% [lower-alpha 6]
Rutgers-Eagleton October 21–27, 2021901 (RV)± 4.1%50%42%-8%
Stockton University October 17–26, 2021522 (LV)± 4.3%50%41%6% [lower-alpha 7] 3%
Monmouth University October 21–25, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%50%39%2% [lower-alpha 8] 9%
Emerson College October 15–18, 2021600 (LV)± 3.9%50%44%7%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D) October 9–12, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%50%41%9%
Stockton University September 17–25, 2021552 (LV)± 4.1%50%41%6% [lower-alpha 9] 3%
Monmouth University September 16–20, 2021804 (RV)± 3.5%51%38%3% [lower-alpha 10] 9%
National Research Inc. (R) [lower-alpha 11] September 13–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%42%10%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R) [lower-alpha 12] August 24–29, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%43%41%3% [lower-alpha 13] 14%
Monmouth University August 11–16, 2021810 (RV)± 3.5%52%36%3% [lower-alpha 14] 9%
National Research Inc. (R) [lower-alpha 11] June 17–22, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%49%37%-14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University June 9–16, 2021803 (RV)± 3.9%48%33%5% [lower-alpha 15] 14%
Rutgers University May 21–29, 2021493 (A)± 5.4%52%24%13% [lower-alpha 16] 12%
467 (RV)± 5.6%52%26%11% [lower-alpha 17] 10%
Change Research (D) [lower-alpha 18] May 15–20, 20211,215 (A)± 3.9%47%36%-17%
National Research Inc. (R) [lower-alpha 11] April 11–13, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%30%-23%
Hypothetical polling
Phil Murphy vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Phil
Murphy (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Rutgers-Eagleton May 21–29, 2021461 (RV)42%31%27% [lower-alpha 19]
Monmouth University April 29 – May 4, 2021661 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%

Results

During the election, several technical problems with internet connections were reported across the state after newly installed voting machines were used for the first time, resulting in machine malfunctions that were eventually resolved. This caused a delay in the final results. [130] [131] [132] With 98% of the vote tallied, Ciattarelli conceded to Murphy at a news conference on November 12, 2021, and announced he would run again in 2025. [133]

Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
*Blue municipalities won by Murphy *Red municipalities won by Ciattarelli *Purple municipality (Loch Arbour) tied 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
•Blue municipalities won by Murphy •Red municipalities won by Ciattarelli •Purple municipality (Loch Arbour) tied
2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election [134] [135] [lower-alpha 20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic
1,339,471 51.22% –4.81
Republican 1,255,18548.00%+6.11
Green
  • Madelyn R. Hoffman
  • Heather Warburton
8,4500.32%–0.15
Libertarian
  • Gregg Mele
  • Eveline Brownstein
7,7680.30%–0.19
Socialist Workers
  • Joanne Kuniansky
  • Vivian Sahner
4,0120.15%N/A
Total votes2,614,886 100.00%
Turnout 2,648,81440.47%+1.97
Registered electors 6,545,250
Democratic hold

Results by county

CountyMurphyCiattarelliOthersTotalMargin
VotesPercentVotesPercentVotesPercentVotesVotesPercent
Atlantic 35,73644.0%44,97755.3%5950.7%81,308-9,241-11.30%
Bergen 145,15052.5%129,64446.9%1,5560.6%276,35015,5065.60%
Burlington 82,87753.3%71,77246.1%8980.6%155,54711,1057.20%
Camden 92,16261.7%56,01637.5%1,2140.8%149,39236,14624.20%
Cape May 14,18336.7%24,26062.8%2180.6%38,661-10,077-26.10%
Cumberland 13,97843.6%17,79455.6%2570.8%32,029-3,816-12.00%
Essex 132,52074.0%45,54225.4%1,1050.6%179,16786,97848.60%
Gloucester 44,95944.6%54,97654.6%8130.8%100,748-10,017-10.00%
Hudson 88,06673.6%30,44325.4%1,2061.0%119,71557,62348.20%
Hunterdon 22,82040.2%33,45958.9%5050.9%56,784-10,639-18.70%
Mercer 66,15165.1%34,61734.1%8570.8%101,62531,53431.00%
Middlesex 116,35255.9%90,29743.4%2,1090.7%208,75826,05512.50%
Monmouth 96,66440.3%141,10058.8%2,0240.8%239,788-44,436-18.50%
Morris 81,91544.1%102,76955.3%1,2390.7%185,923-20,854-11.20%
Ocean 68,61531.8%145,75667.5%1,4390.7%215,810-77,141-35.70%
Passaic 57,81251.5%53,55147.7%9610.9%112,3244,2613.80%
Salem 6,89335.0%12,62064.1%1780.9%19,691-5,727-29.10%
Somerset 58,58551.5%54,26447.7%8230.7%113,6724,3213.80%
Sussex 17,34631.9%36,31066.8%6631.2%54,319-18,964-34.90%
Union 83,91361.6%51,27937.6%1,1260.8%136,31832,63424.00%
Warren 12,77434.6%23,73964.2%4441.2%36,957-10,965-29.60%
Total1,339,47151.22%1,255,18548.00%20,2300.77%2,614,88684,2863.22%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Murphy and Ciattarelli each won six of 12 congressional districts. Four districts won by Ciattarelli were represented by Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives.

DistrictMurphyCiattarelliRepresentative
1st 56.8%41.5% Donald Norcross
2nd 40.2%58.9% Jeff Van Drew
3rd 42.5%56.2% Andy Kim
4th 39.6%59.6% Chris Smith
5th 45.9%53.2% Josh Gottheimer
6th 51.3%47.7% Frank Pallone
7th 46.5%52.7% Tom Malinowski
8th 73.3%25.8% Albio Sires
9th 57.9%41.9% Bill Pascrell
10th 81.4%15.6% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 46.4%53.0% Mikie Sherrill
12th 62.3%36.8% Bonnie Watson Coleman

[138]

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  3. Internal poll for the Hirsh Singh campaign
  4. While the NJRTL recommended that voters choose Ciatarelli over Murphy, they refused to endorse him due to his support of abortion
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. "Someone Else" with 3%; "No One" with 1%
  7. "Refused" with 1%
  8. "Other candidate" with 1%; "No one" with 1%
  9. "Refused" with 1%
  10. "Other candidate" with 2%; "No one" with <1%
  11. 1 2 3 Internal poll for the Jack Ciattarelli campaign
  12. This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  13. Mele (L) with 2%; Hoffman (G) with 1%; Kuniansky (SW) with <1%
  14. "Other candidate" with 2%; "No one" with 1%
  15. "Someone Else" with 4%; "No One" with 1%
  16. "Neither" with 7%; "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  17. "Neither" with 6%; "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  18. This poll was sponsored by Project Ready
  19. "Consider voting for someone else [besides Murphy]" with 21%; Undecided with 6%
  20. In New Jersey, within 30 days after the certification of the statewide primary election, the candidate for governor selects a running mate to join the ticket as the candidate for lieutenant governor. [136] The governor and lieutenant governor must be members of the same political party. As candidates they campaign on the same ticket, are elected conjointly, and serve the same four-year term concurrently. [136] [137]

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