2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary

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2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary
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  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count7947
Popular vote566,247 [1] 328,058
Percentage63.32%36.68%
2016 New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own New Jersey primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Clinton had won the state eight years prior and had support from most of the state's Democratic Congressional delegation, [2] including Senator Cory Booker. [3] Feeling confident about her chances in the primary, Clinton cancelled campaign events in the state in favor of delegate-rich California ahead of the primary. [4]

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2ndOther
Official Primary results [5] June 7, 2016Hillary Clinton
63.3%		Bernie Sanders
36.7%
CBS/YouGov [6]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 586

May 31 –
June 3, 2016		Hillary Clinton
61%		Bernie Sanders
34%		Others / Undecided
5%
American Research Group [7]

Margin of error: ± -%
Sample size: 400

May 31 –
June 2, 2016		Hillary Clinton
60%		Bernie Sanders
37%		Others / Undecided
3%
Quinnipiac [8]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 696

May 10–16, 2016Hillary Clinton
54%		Bernie Sanders
40%		Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth University [9]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 301

May 1–3, 2016Hillary Clinton
60%		Bernie Sanders
32%		Others / Undecided
8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll [10]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample Size: 292

April 1–8, 2016Hillary Clinton
51%		Bernie Sanders
42%		Others / Undecided
7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll [11]

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample Size: 304

February 6–15, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%		Bernie Sanders
32%		Others / Undecided
13%
Polls in 2015
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll [12]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample Size: 304

November 30 – December 6, 2015Hillary Clinton
60%		Bernie Sanders
19%		Martin O'Malley 1%Other 3%, Don't know 17%
Farleigh Dickenson University [13]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample Size: 830

November 9–15, 2015Hillary Clinton
64%		Bernie Sanders
27%		Martin O'Malley 2%DK/Refused 3%, Wouldn't Vote 3%, Other 1%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll [14]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 367

October 3–10, 2015Hillary Clinton
49%		Bernie Sanders
19%		Joe Biden
10%		Other 3%, Don't know 20%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [15]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 345

June 15–21, 2015Hillary Clinton
63%		Bernie Sanders
15%		Martin O'Malley
3%		Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, DK/Refused 14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University [16]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 323

April 13–19, 2015Hillary Clinton
62%		Another Democratic candidate 9%, Don't know 27%, Refused 1%
Quinnipiac University [17]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 539

April 9–14, 2015Hillary Clinton
63%		Elizabeth Warren
12%		Joe Biden
10%		Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 7%
Joe Biden
36%		Elizabeth Warren
28%		Bernie Sanders
6%		Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 21%
Quinnipiac University [18]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

January 15–19, 2015Hillary Clinton
65%		Elizabeth Warren
11%		Joe Biden
7%		Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Rutgers-Eagleton [19]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 280

December 3–10, 2014Hillary Clinton
54%		Elizabeth Warren
6%		Cory Booker
2%		Joe Biden 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 34%
Rutgers-Eagleton [20]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 331

July 28 – August 5, 2014Hillary Clinton
59%		Joe Biden
3%		Elizabeth Warren
3%		Cory Booker 2%, Other 4%, Don't know 30%
Polls in 2013
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Fairleigh Dickinson University [21]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 337

August 21–27, 2013Hillary Clinton
63%		Joe Biden
10%		Andrew Cuomo
6%		Elizabeth Warren 4%, Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Kean University [22]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 420

April 25–29, 2013Hillary Clinton
67%		Joe Biden
13%		Andrew Cuomo
8%		Martin O'Malley 2%, Other 4%, Undecided 6%

Results

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 566,24763.32%791291
Bernie Sanders 328,05836.68%47249
Uncommitted—000
Total894,305100%12616142
Source: [23] [24]

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county except for Sussex and Warren.

County [25] Clinton %Sanders %TotalsTurnoutMargin
Atlantic 13,55660.62%8,80539.38%22,361
Bergen 57,31963.47%32,99436.53%90,313
Burlington 33,16663.02%19,46136.98%52,627
Camden 44,40062.27%26,90537.73%71,305
Cape May 3,96954.83%3,26945.17%7,238
Cumberland 6,89464.18%3,84735.82%10,741
Essex 77,83673.07%28,67926.93%105,915
Gloucester 18,01156.12%14,08243.88%32,093
Hudson 50,87566.34%25,81533.66%76,690
Hunterdon 5,79451.93%5,36248.07%11,156
Mercer 29,65066.00%15,27634.00%44,926
Middlesex 48,20261.01%30,80038.99%79,002
Monmouth 30,96758.07%22,36041.93%53,327
Morris 24,28558.32%17,35541.68%41,640
Ocean 19,66354.49%16,42445.51%36,087
Passaic 29,99767.63%14,35632.37%44,353
Salem 2,82156.46%2,17543.54%4,996
Somerset 19,83861.56%12,38538.44%32,223
Sussex 3,98642.91%5,30357.09%9,289
Union 41,60568.82%18,85331.18%60,458
Warren 3,41349.00%3,55251.00%6,965
Total566,24763.32%328,05836.68%894,305

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans, Hispanic/Latinos, and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, New Jersey was seen as a state Clinton would win in the final batch of primaries on June 7. Having won the state eight years earlier against Barack Obama, Clinton managed a 26-point-routing against Bernie Sanders in 2016 despite the Sanders campaign's efforts in the state. She carried all counties in New Jersey but two, winning large victories in the cities of Newark, Trenton, and Atlantic City.

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References

  1. ↑ "New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
  2. ↑ "Get Access". Asbury Park Press. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  3. ↑ Lach, Eric. "Ahead of the New Jersey Vote, Cory Booker Gets Out the Selfies". The New Yorker. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  4. ↑ Meckler, Laura (May 30, 2016). "Hillary Clinton Cancels N.J. Event to Campaign in California". Wall Street Journal. ISSN   0099-9660 . Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  5. ↑ Official Primary results
  6. ↑ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
  7. ↑ "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
  8. ↑ "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.
  9. ↑ "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
  10. ↑ "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved April 18, 2016.
  11. ↑ "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 24, 2016.
  12. ↑ "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
  13. ↑ "151117". View2.fdu.edu. November 17, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
  14. ↑ "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. October 15, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
  15. ↑ "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  16. ↑ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  17. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  18. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  19. ↑ Rutgers-Eagleton
  20. ↑ Rutgers-Eagleton
  21. ↑ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  22. ↑ Kean University
  23. ↑ The Green Papers
  24. ↑ New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State
  25. ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN . Retrieved June 4, 2018.
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