Background
New Jersey is a historically Democratic stronghold, particularly due to its dense urban population centers, which, in the United States, mostly tend to support Democrats. [2] However, the state was unusually close in the 2024 presidential election, with Kamala Harris carrying the state by less than 6 points, the lowest margin of victory for a Democratic candidate since 2004. The 2026 Senate election is not expected to be close at the moment, with the Cook Political Report and Center for Politics both rating it as a Safe/Solid Democratic-favoring race. [3] [4]
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