This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
November 3, 2026 | |||||||||||||
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic governor Dan McKee ran for re-election to a second full term but was defeated in the primary by Helena Foulkes. Primary elections took place on September 9, 2026. [1]
Republicans have not won a statewide election in Rhode Island since 2006. While Rhode Island is generally a safely Democratic state, the Democratic primary was predicted to be competitive due to McKee's high unpopularity [2] . The election has also been noted as not following national trends of progressives versus moderates, with both Democrats being relatively moderate and the primary instead largely boiling down to anger over the longtime closure of the Washington Bridge. [2]
This is the first election since 2014 in which an elected state governor lost renomination. [a] It is also the first time since 1994 in which an incumbent governor of Rhode Island lost renomination.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Foulkes | McKee | |||||||
| 1 | Aug 3, 2026 | WPRO | Bill Bartholomew | YouTube [38] | P | P | ||
| 2 | Aug 12, 2026 | WJAR | Gene Valicenti | YouTube [39] | P | P | ||
| 3 | Aug 18, 2026 | WPRI-TV Rhode Island College | Ted Nesi Tim White | YouTube [40] | P | P | ||
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Helena Foulkes | Dan McKee | Gregory Stevens | Other/Undecided [d] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin [41] | August 18–27, 2026 | August 27, 2026 | 49.7% | 25.3% | — | 25.0% | Foulkes +24.4% |
| Race to the WH [42] | through August 11, 2026 | August 19, 2026 | 46.0% | 27.6% | 1.3% | 25.1% | Foulkes +18.4% |
| Average | 47.9% | 26.5% | 1.3% | 24.3% | Foulkes +21.4% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Helena Foulkes | Dan McKee | Gregory Stevens | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [43] | August 20–24, 2026 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 56% | 18% | — | 2% | 23% |
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [44] | August 21–22, 2026 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 30% | — | — | 24% |
| Embold Research [45] [A] | August 3–11, 2026 | (LV) | — | 48% | 28% | — | 1% [f] | 22% |
| Tavern Research (D) [46] [B] | July 10–14, 2026 | 777 (LV) | — | 39% | 33% | — | — | 28% |
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 337 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 22% | 1% | 4% [g] | 31% |
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [48] | May 14–16, 2026 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 20% | — | 3% [h] | 37% |
| University of New Hampshire [49] | April 16–20, 2026 | 327 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 45% | 11% | 3% | 2% [i] | 39% |
| Expedition Strategies (D) [50] | March 24–29, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 34% | 20% | 8% | — | 38% |
| Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) [51] [C] | February 28, 2026 | 319 (LV) | — | 24% | 15% | 3% | — | 58% |
| University of New Hampshire [52] | February 12–16, 2026 | 364 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 34% | 18% | 4% | 3% [h] | 40% |
| University of New Hampshire [53] | September 17–23, 2025 | 275 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 35% | 19% | — | 6% [j] | 40% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Helena Foulkes | 81,314 | 62.5 | |
| Democratic | Dan McKee (incumbent) | 48,872 | 37.5 | |
| Total votes | 130,186 | 100.0 | ||
2022 lieutenant governor nominee Aaron Guckian defeated actress Elaine Pelino for the Republican nomination. Pelino requested a recount, which was approved by the Rhode Island Board of Elections, however it did not change the outcome. [56]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Guckian | Pelino | |||||||
| 1 | Aug 12, 2026 | WJAR | Gene Valicenti | YouTube [63] | P | P | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Aaron Guckian | Elaine Pelino | Robert Raimondo | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research [45] [A] | August 3–11, 2026 | (LV) | — | 17% | 37% | — | 2% [l] | 44% |
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 145 (LV) | ± 8.1% | 17% | 42% | 1% | 1% [m] | 39% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Aaron Guckian | 11,691 | 50.6 | |
| Republican | Elaine Pelino | 11,432 | 49.4 | |
| Total votes | 23,123 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [69] | Solid D | October 29, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ [70] | Safe D | November 2, 2026 |
| Fox News [71] | Solid D | November 1, 2026 |
| Inside Elections [72] | Solid D | October 29, 2026 |
| NBC News [73] | Solid D | November 2, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics [74] | Solid D | November 1, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [75] | Safe D | November 2, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin [76] | Solid D | November 2, 2026 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Helena Foulkes (D) | Aaron Guckian (R) | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [84] | October 27–31, 2026 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 55% | 8% | 34% | 2% [n] | 2% | |||||||
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [85] | October 8–11, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% [o] | 12% | 38% | 2% [p] | — | |||||||
| 44% | 10% | 35% | 2% [p] | 9% | |||||||||||
| Embold Research [86] [A] | October 5–8, 2026 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 17% | 28% | 1% [q] | 13% | |||||||
| Opinion Diagnostics [87] [D] | September 23–25, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 19% | 24% | — | 16% | |||||||
| 39% | — | 44% | — | 17% | |||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire [88] | September 17–21, 2026 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 17% | 25% | 4% [r] | 10% | |||||||
| Primary elections | |||||||||||||||
| University of New Hampshire [43] | August 20–24, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 15% | 19% | 6% [s] | 19% | |||||||
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [44] | August 21–22, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 18% | 21% | 2% | 14% | |||||||
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 22% | 19% | — | 21% | |||||||
| Opinion Diagnostics [89] [D] | April 13–16, 2026 | 802 (LV) | — | 33% | 16% | 18% | — | 33% | |||||||
Helena Foulkes vs. Elaine Pelino vs. Ken Block
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Helena Foulkes (D) | Elaine Pelino (R) | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [43] | August 20–24, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 20% | 18% | 4% [t] | 17% |
Dan McKee vs. Aaron Guckian vs. Ken Block
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Dan McKee (D) | Aaron Guckian (R) | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [43] | August 20–24, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 27% | 17% | 26% | 10% [u] | 20% |
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [44] | August 21–22, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 17% | 26% | 3% | 19% |
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 27% | 23% | 27% | — | 23% |
| Opinion Diagnostics [89] [D] | April 13–16, 2026 | 802 (LV) | — | 28% | 15% | 20% | — | 37% |
Dan McKee vs. Elaine Pelino vs. Ken Block
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Dan McKee (D) | Elaine Pelino (R) | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [43] | August 20–24, 2026 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 26% | 19% | 25% | 9% [v] | 20% |
Helena Foulkes vs. Republican nominee vs. Ken Block
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Helena Foulkes (D) | Republican nominee | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 22% | 19% | 1% [w] | 20% |
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [48] | May 14–16, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 21% | 19% | 3% [x] | 19% |
Dan McKee vs. Republican nominee vs. Ken Block
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [e] | Margin of error | Dan McKee (D) | Republican nominee | Ken Block (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire [47] | June 18–23, 2026 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 27% | 23% | 27% | 2% [y] | 21% |
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV [48] | May 14–16, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 23% | 22% | 6% [z] | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Helena Buonanno Foulkes | ||||
| Republican | Aaron C. Guckian | ||||
| Independent | Kenneth Block | ||||
| Independent | Jasjit S. Gotra | ||||
| Independent | C.D. Reynolds | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0 | ||||
Partisan clients
{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)I'll break it to you right here. I am not running for governor in 2026. You can take me right off that list.
Via campaign spokesman Jon Romano, Foulkes is ruling out running as an independent
Official campaign websites