November 3, 2026 | |||||||
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| Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Primary elections are scheduled for August 11, 2026. [1] Incumbent two-term Democratic Governor Tim Walz initially ran for reelection to a third term in office, but announced in January 2026 that he would suspend his campaign. [2]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [38] | Likely D | September 11, 2025 |
| Inside Elections [39] | Likely D | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [40] | Likely D | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH [41] | Lean D | January 6, 2026 |
Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Kendall Qualls (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [42] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Kristin Robbins
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Kristin Robbins (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [42] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Phil Parrish
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Phil Parrish (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [42] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Scott Jensen
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Scott Jensen (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA [42] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (DFL) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research [43] [B] | December 10–16, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Partisan clients
He ruled out a bid for the U.S. Senate or for the governor's office in 2026
Sitting from left to right at the Steele County Republican Governor forum, businessman and Divine Mercy Catholic Church Executive Administrator Phillip Parrish, former Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson, House Speaker Lisa Demuth, businessman and former UFC fighter Brad Kohler, Minnesota Rep. Kristin Robbins, physician and entrepreneur Kendall Qualls, former state lawmaker Patrick Knight, former state senator Scott Jensen and former ordained minister John Krhin.
Another candidate, U.S. Navy veteran Phillip Parrish, wrote that he is 'running as a Republican but reject the divisive tactics of partisan elites.'
Two of Minnesota's most prominent Republicans, U.S. Reps. Tom Emmer and Pete Stauber, both said they will not run for governor next year.