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Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent two-term Democratic Governor Tim Walz is running for re-election to a third term in office. [1]
Since the adoption of four-year terms in 1962, [a] no Minnesota governor has been elected to a third term.
Organizations
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [18] | Likely D | September 11, 2025 |
Inside Elections [19] | Likely D | August 28, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [20] | Likely D | September 4, 2025 |
Race to the WH [21] | Likely D | September 16, 2025 |
Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (D) | Kendall Qualls (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [22] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Kristin Robbins
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (D) | Kristin Robbins (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [22] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Phil Parrish
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (D) | Phil Parrish (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [22] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Tim Walz vs. Scott Jensen
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Tim Walz (D) | Scott Jensen (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [22] [A] | September 15–18, 2025 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Partisan clients
He ruled out a bid for the U.S. Senate or for the governor's office in 2026
Another candidate, U.S. Navy veteran Phillip Parrish, wrote that he is 'running as a Republican but reject the divisive tactics of partisan elites.'
Two of Minnesota's most prominent Republicans, U.S. Reps. Tom Emmer and Pete Stauber, both said they will not run for governor next year.