2026 Arizona gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 Arizona gubernatorial election
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Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Katie Hobbs
Democratic



The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs is eligible to seek re-election to a second term, but has not yet stated whether she will do so.

Contents

Following the passage of proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly-established position of Lieutenant Governor. [1]

This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Christopher Ames [7]
  • Christian Grey [8]
  • Scott Neely, concrete pumping contractor and candidate for governor in 2022 [7]
  • George Nicholson [7]

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Andy Biggs
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Karrin Taylor Robson
Federal officials
Governors

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Barry Hess, businessman and perennial candidate [a] [18]

Green primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • William Pounds, streamer/recording artist and candidate for governor in 2022 [19]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] TossupJanuary 23, 2025
Inside Elections [21] BattlegroundFebruary 6, 2025

Polling

Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Andy
Biggs (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%38%5%17%
Kreate Strategies (R) [23] [A] February 5–7, 2025924 (LV)± 3.0%43%44%–13%

Katie Hobbs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Karrin
Taylor Robson (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%43%35%4%18%
Kreate Strategies (R) [23] [A] February 5–7, 2025924 (LV)± 3.0%40%38%–22%
Hypothetical polling

Katie Hobbs vs. Charlie Kirk

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Charlie
Kirk (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%39%36%7%18%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jake Hoffman

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Jake
Hoffman (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%35%5%20%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jake McCain

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Jake
McCain (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%37%36%6%21%

Katie Hobbs vs. Kimberly Yee

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs (D)		Kimberly
Yee (R)		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [22] February 11–13, 20251,006 (RV)± 3.1%40%34%6%20%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014, 2018, and 2022; nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, and write-in candidate in 2018 and 2020
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by American Encore which supports the Republican Party.

References

  1. ↑ Barchenger, Stacey (September 21, 2023). "Arizona will elect its first lieutenant governor in 2026. What to know about the role". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 14, 2024.
  2. ↑ Barchenger, Stacey (February 2, 2024). "Why Arizonans can't see Gov. Katie Hobbs' fundraising numbers, but can see others". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved September 13, 2024. "I'm actively raising funds for reelection," Hobbs said.
  3. ↑ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne; Marley, Patrick (December 17, 2024). "Top Arizona election official accuses predecessors of ignoring proof-of-citizenship problem". The Washington Post . Retrieved December 19, 2024. Fontes told The Post this week that he is running for reelection and is no longer considering challenging Hobbs in the Democratic primary for governor.
  4. ↑ Gilger, Lauren (November 20, 2024). "How the field is shaping up for the 2026 Arizona governor race". KJZZ . Retrieved December 14, 2024. There's also been talk from the Democratic side of Attorney General Kris Mayes challenging [Katie Hobbs]...She says as of right now she's planning on running for reelection.
  5. ↑ Schutsky, Wayne (January 27, 2025). "Congressman Andy Biggs officially enters 2026 Arizona governor's race". KJZZ-TV . Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  6. 1 2 Stone, Kevin (February 12, 2025). "Karrin Taylor Robson announces 2nd run for governor of Arizona". KTAR-TV . Retrieved February 12, 2025.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Gersony, Laura (January 21, 2024). "US Rep. Andy Biggs signals he is considering run for Arizona governor in 2026". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved January 21, 2023.
  8. ↑ "STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Christian Grey" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. January 22, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
  9. ↑ Fischer, Howard (December 23, 2024). "Trump endorsement of Robson draws flak, praise from GOP". The Daily Independent. Retrieved January 6, 2025.
  10. ↑ Nir, David (December 2, 2024). "Morning Digest: The Downballot's early guide to the top races for governor this cycle". The Downballot. Retrieved December 2, 2024.
  11. ↑ Solender, Andrew (December 12, 2024). "GOP Rep. Ciscomani passes on run for Arizona governor". Axios . Retrieved December 12, 2024. Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) will run for reelection to Congress rather than mount a bid for governor in 2026, his campaign spokesperson told Axios.
  12. ↑ Roberts, Laurie (November 19, 2024). "Republican goal for 2026 election: Kari Lake types need not apply | Opinion". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved November 20, 2024. A smattering of prominent and not-so-prominent Republicans are being mentioned as possibilities for making a run at Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs in 2026...some are floating Sen. Jake Hoffman as a possibility.
  13. ↑ Gersony, Laura (December 27, 2024). "'I don't want to run again': Kari Lake shrugs off political future at Turning Point event". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved December 27, 2024.
  14. 1 2 3 Arcand, Cameron (February 12, 2025). "'I will not rest': Border state gubernatorial hopeful launches campaign weeks after Trump backed her". FOX News. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  15. ↑ NW Valley Times (February 10, 2025). "Debbie Lesko endorses Andy Biggs for governor of Arizona". NW Valley Times. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  16. ↑ Arcand, Cameron (December 22, 2024). "Trump endorses Robson in 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race". The Center Square . Retrieved December 22, 2024.
  17. ↑ Arcand, Cameron (March 24, 2025). "Top GOP governor makes key endorsement in border state gubernatorial race: 'Deeply honored'". Fox News . Retrieved March 24, 2025.
  18. ↑ "STATE OF ARIZONA Candidate Statement of Interest - Barry Hess" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. January 3, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
  19. ↑ "SeeTheMoney". seethemoney.az.gov.
  20. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  21. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Arizona GOP Voters Still Searching for a Gubernatorial Primary Frontrunner". Noble Predictive Insights. February 26, 2025. Retrieved February 27, 2025.
  23. 1 2 "Arizona 2026 General Ballot Poll" (PDF). Kreate Strategies. February 8, 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 14, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
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