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Turnout | 52.9% (voting eligible) [1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Flake: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Carmona: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Jon Kyl (R), the Senate Minority Whip, decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. [2] U.S. Representative Jeff Flake won the open seat. As of 2024, this was the last time that a Republican won Arizona's Class 1 Senate seat. This is also the last time an Arizona Republican was elected to and served a full term in the US Senate.
Kyl later served in the Senate again in 2018 from September 5 to December 31; he was appointed to Arizona's other Senate seat after John McCain's August 2018 death and served until his resignation.
The filing deadline for Republican candidates was June 1, 2012, and the primary election took place on August 28, 2012.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Wil Cardon | Jeff Flake | Bryan Hackbarth | Doug McKee | Clair Van Steenwyk | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [22] | May 17–20, 2012 | 421 | ± 4.8% | 20% | 42% | 3% | 1% | 2% | — | 33% |
Public Policy Polling [23] | February 17–19, 2012 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 7% | 56% | 5% | 1% | 1% | — | 31% |
Public Policy Polling [24] | November 17–20, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 7% | 53% | 5% | 1% | 2% | — | 33% |
Magellan Strategies [25] | November 14–15, 2011 | 722 | ± 3.6% | 4% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 32% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Flake | 357,360 | 69.3% | |
Republican | Wil Cardon | 110,150 | 21.4% | |
Republican | Clair Van Steenwyk | 29,159 | 5.6% | |
Republican | Bryan Hackbarth | 19,174 | 3.7% | |
Republican | John Lyon (Write-in) | 126 | nil | |
Republican | Luis Acle (Write-in) | 56 | nil | |
Total votes | 516,025 | 100% |
Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona was the only candidate for the Democratic nomination, receiving all 289,881 votes cast in the primary election. [27]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dennis Burke | Rodney Glassman | Terry Goddard | Phil Gordan | Harry Mitchell | Ed Pastor | Felecia Rotellini | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [41] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 2% | 5% | 50% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Richard Carmona | 289,881 | 100% | |
Total votes | 289,881 | 100% |
There were three debates before the election. The first was in Phoenix on October 10, 2012, the second in Tucson on October 15 and the last was in Yuma on October 25. External links
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Flake (R) | $9,026,951 | $9,557,420 | $97,360 | $0 |
Richard Carmona (D) | $6,459,739 | $6,373,544 | $86,195 | $0 |
Marc J. Victor (L) | $8,336 | $8,334 | $0 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] |
Richard Carmona | Contribution | Jeff Flake | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
University of Arizona | $54,100 | Club for Growth | $1,000,112 | |
League of Conservation Voters | $53,148 | Senate Conservatives Fund | $176,484 | |
Canyon Ranch | $31,400 | US Airways | $54,300 | |
Clorox Company | $25,000 | Freeport-McMoRan | $53,750 | |
Arizona State University | $22,600 | Cancer Treatment Centers of America | $40,500 | |
Banner Health | $18,500 | Knight Transportation | $35,500 | |
Lewis and Roca | $17,100 | Pinnacle West Capital | $35,500 | |
Taser International | $15,500 | Marriott International | $29,750 | |
Coca-Cola Co | $15,286 | Shamrock Farms | $24,750 | |
Pederson Group | $15,000 | Services Group of America | $15,650 | |
Source: OpenSecrets [47] |
Richard Carmona | Contribution | Jeff Flake | Contribution | Ian Gilyeat | Contribution |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retired | $653,066 | Republican/Conservative | $1,146,046 | Retired | $250 |
Lawyers/Law Firms | $409,395 | Retired | $643,260 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $250 |
Health Professionals | $313,135 | Leadership PACs | $502,352 | ||
Leadership PACs | $279,530 | Real Estate | $302,572 | ||
Colleges/Universities | $189,270 | Financial Institutions | $279,670 | ||
Real Estate | $145,000 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $200,702 | ||
Business Services | $122,749 | Misc Finance | $188,122 | ||
Financial Institutions | $118,500 | Mining | $170,602 | ||
Democratic/Liberal | $111,889 | Health Professionals | $164,607 | ||
Lobbyists | $105,172 | Oil & Gas | $147,860 | ||
Source: OpenSecrets [48] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [49] | Tossup | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [50] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report [51] | Tilt R | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics [52] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Flake (R) | Richard Carmona (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [53] | November 2–3, 2012 | 1,080 | ± 3% | 51% | 46% | — | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports [54] | October 21, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 3% |
Rocky Mountain Poll [55] | October 4–10, 2012 | 523 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 44% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling [56] | October 1–3, 2012 | 595 | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | — | 12% |
HighGround/Moore [57] | September 25–26, 2012 | 500 | ± 4% | 43% | 40% | 5% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports [58] | September 25, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 41% | 3% | 9% |
LCV/Public Policy Polling [59] | September 7–9, 2012 | 993 | ± n/a% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
LCV/Public Policy Polling [60] | July 23–25, 2012 | 833 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 38% | — | 25% |
Rasmussen Reports [61] | June 26, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 31% | 5% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling [62] | June 4–5, 2012 | 791 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling [22] | May 17–20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 35% | — | 17% |
Magellan Strategies [63] | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 40% | — | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports [64] | March 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 34% | 4% | 16% |
NBC News/Marist [65] | February 19–20, 2012 | 2,487 | ± 2.0% | 42% | 29% | — | 28% |
Public Policy Polling [66] | February 17–19, 2012 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling [67] | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 36% | — | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Wil Cardon (R) | Richard Carmona (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [67] | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 33% | — | 32% |
Public Policy Polling [66] | February 17–19, 2012 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 33% | — | 30% |
Rasmussen Reports [64] | March 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 38% | 3% | 20% |
Magellan Strategies [63] | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 40% | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling [22] | May 17–20, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 37% | — | 23% |
Republican primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Flake | J.D. Hayworth | Sarah Palin | Gary Pierce | Marilyn Quayle | Fife Symington | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [41] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 33% | 11% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 13% |
Democratic primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dennis Burke | Gabrielle Giffords | Rodney Glassman | Terry Goddard | Phil Gordan | Harry Mitchell | Ed Pastor | Felecia Rotellini | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [41] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 2% | 46% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
with Don Bivens
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Wil Cardon (R) | Don Bivens (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [67] | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 27% | — | 37% |
Public Policy Polling [66] | February 17–19, 2012 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 38% | 32% | — | 31% |
Rasmussen Reports [64] | March 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 30% | 4% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Flake (R) | Don Bivens (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [67] | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 32% | — | 26% |
Public Policy Polling [66] | February 17–19, 2012 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
Rasmussen Reports [64] | March 13, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 30% | 3% | 20% |
with J.D. Hayworth
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J.D. Hayworth (R) | Gabrielle Giffords (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 31% | 57% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J.D. Hayworth (R) | Terry Goddard (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 51% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J.D. Hayworth (R) | Phil Gordon (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | J.D. Hayworth (R) | Ed Pastor (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 37% | 42% | 21% |
with Jeff Flake
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Flake (R) | Gabrielle Giffords (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
with Jon Kyl
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jon Kyl (R) | Terry Goddard (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [69] | January 28–30, 2011 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jon Kyl (R) | Phil Gordon (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [69] | January 28–30, 2011 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 33% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jon Kyl (R) | Ann Kirkpatrick (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [69] | January 28–30, 2011 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jon Kyl (R) | Janet Napolitano (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [69] | January 28–30, 2011 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
with Sarah Palin
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sarah Palin (R) | Gabrielle Giffords (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 36% | 54% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sarah Palin (R) | Terry Goddard (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sarah Palin (R) | Phil Gordon (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 41% | 45% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sarah Palin (R) | Ed Pastor (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [68] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Flake | 1,104,457 | 49.23% | −4.11% | |
Democratic | Richard Carmona | 1,036,542 | 46.20% | +2.70% | |
Libertarian | Marc J. Victor | 102,109 | 4.55% | +1.39% | |
Independent | Steven Watts (write-in) | 290 | 0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Don Manspeaker (write-in) | 24 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 2,243,422 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Despite losing, Carmona carried 5 of the 9 congressional districts. [71]
District | Carmona | Flake | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 49.11% | 46.32% | Ann Kirkpatrick |
2nd | 51.52% | 45.03% | Ron Barber |
3rd | 63.08% | 32.79% | Raúl Grijalva |
4th | 33.36% | 60.94% | Paul Gosar |
5th | 35.52% | 60.06% | Matt Salmon |
6th | 40.32% | 55.35% | David Schweikert |
7th | 71.87% | 23.14% | Ed Pastor |
8th | 38.9% | 56.29% | Trent Franks |
9th | 51.77% | 43.39% | Kyrsten Sinema |
Jon Llewellyn Kyl is an American politician and lobbyist who served as a United States Senator for Arizona from 1995 to 2013. Following the death of John McCain in 2018, Kyl briefly returned to the Senate; his resignation led to the appointment of Martha McSally in 2019. A Republican, he held both of Arizona's Senate seats at different times, serving alongside McCain during his first stint. Kyl was Senate Minority Whip from 2007 until 2013. He first joined the lobbying firm Covington & Burling after retiring in 2013, then rejoined in 2019.
Jeffry Lane "Jeff" Flake is an American politician and diplomat who is the United States ambassador to Turkey. A member of the Republican Party, Flake served in the United States House of Representatives from 2001 to 2013 and in the United States Senate from 2013 to 2019, representing Arizona. He was nominated by Democratic president Joe Biden and confirmed by the Senate for his ambassador post on October 26, 2021. He presented his credentials to Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan at the Presidential Complex of Turkey in Ankara on January 26, 2022.
Richard Henry Carmona is an American physician, nurse, police officer, public health administrator, and politician. He was a vice admiral in the Public Health Service Commissioned Corps and served as the seventeenth Surgeon General of the United States. Appointed by President George W. Bush in 2002, Carmona left office at the end of July 2006 upon the expiration of his term. After leaving office, Carmona was highly critical of the Bush administration for suppressing scientific findings which conflicted with the administration's ideological agenda.
Matthew James Salmon is an American politician who served as a U.S. representative from Arizona from 1995 to 2001 and again from 2013 until 2017. A member of the Republican Party, he retired from office after representing Arizona's 5th congressional district. The district is based in Mesa and includes most of the East Valley; he previously represented Arizona's 1st congressional district. In 2002, he lost by less than 1% to Janet Napolitano in a highly competitive gubernatorial race. He regained a congressional seat in the 2012 election.
The 2008 congressional elections in Arizona were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the state of Arizona in the United States House of Representatives, coinciding with the presidential election. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected would serve in the 111th Congress from January 4, 2009, until January 3, 2011.
The 2010 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2010, along with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 24, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain, who had lost the 2008 United States presidential election to then-United States Senator from Illinois Barack Obama, ran for reelection to a fifth term and won. As of 2024, this was the last time the counties of Coconino and Pima voted for the Republican candidate.
The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the House and Senate, as well as various state and local elections. The primary election was held August 14, 2012. Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson won reelection to a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Connie Mack IV by 13%, winning 55% to 42%. Nelson defeated Mack by over 1 million votes.
The 2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jeff Bingaman decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a sixth term. Democratic U.S. Representative Martin Heinrich won the open seat.
The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts, including the newly created 9th district following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with other federal and state elections, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. Primary elections were held on August 28, 2012.
The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the State of Arizona, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, other elections to the U.S. Senate in other states and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Flake did not seek reelection to a second term. The election was held concurrently with a gubernatorial election, other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, and various other state and local elections.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 26.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Arizona on November 6, 2018. All of Arizona's executive offices were up for election as well as a United States Senate seat and all of Arizona's nine seats in the United States House of Representatives. The Republican Party won the majority of statewide offices, albeit by much narrower margins than in previous elections, while the Democratic Party picked up three statewide offices.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The 2018 general elections saw the Democratic party gain the 2nd congressional district, thus flipping the state from a 5–4 Republican advantage to a 5–4 Democratic advantage, the first time since the 2012 election in which Democrats held more House seats in Arizona than the Republicans.
A special election for Arizona's 8th congressional district was held in 2018 subsequent to the resignation of Republican U.S. Representative Trent Franks. Governor Doug Ducey called a special primary election for Tuesday, February 27, 2018, and a special general election for the balance of Franks' eighth term for Tuesday, April 24, 2018.
The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona was held on November 3, 2020, following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican to fill the vacant seat until a special election winner could be sworn in. On September 5, 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat. However, Kyl announced he would resign on December 31, 2018.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. This election was the first time since 1990 in which no third-party candidates appeared on the ballot in the House of Representatives elections.
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