2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee

Last updated

2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  2006 November 6, 2012 2018  
Turnout61.86% Increase2.svg [1] 11.89 pp
  Bob Corker official Senate photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bob Corker Mark Clayton
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,506,443705,882
Percentage64.89%30.41%

2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee results map by county.svg
2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee by Congressional District.svg
TN S 2012 SS.svg
Map (20).svg
Corker:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Clayton:      50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Bob Corker
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Corker
Republican

The 2012 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the general election including the 2012 U.S. presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Bob Corker won a second term in a landslide, defeating Democrat Marck Clayton, carrying all but two counties in the state.

Contents

Corker narrowly flipped reliably Democratic Davidson County, home to Nashville, which had not voted Republican on the presidential level since 1988. He faced Democratic nominee Mark E. Clayton [2] as well as several third-party candidates and several independents in this election.

Corker easily won the Republican primary with 85% of the vote, and anti-LGBT activist and conspiracy theorist Clayton won the Democratic nomination with 30% of the vote, despite raising no money and having a website that was four years out of date. [3] [4] [5]

The next day Tennessee's Democratic Party disavowed Clayton over his active role in the Public Advocate of the United States, which they described as a "known hate group". They blamed his victory among candidates for whom the TNDP provided little forums to become known on the fact that his name appeared first on the ballot, and said they would do nothing to help his campaign, urging Democrats to vote for "the write-in candidate of their choice" in November. [6] One of the Democratic candidates, Larry Crim, filed a petition seeking to offer the voters a new primary in which to select a Democratic nominee among the remaining candidates the party had affirmed as bona fide and as a preliminary motion sought a temporary restraining order against certification of the results, but after a judge denied the temporary order Crim withdrew his petition. [7]

Background

The incumbent in the race, former Chattanooga mayor Bob Corker, was elected in 2006 with 50.7% of the vote in a win against U.S. representative Harold Ford, Jr.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Fred R. Anderson
  • Mark Twain Clemens, unemployed
  • Bob Corker, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • James Durkan, businessman
  • Brenda Lenard, businesswoman & doctoral student
  • Zach Poskevich, technology consultant

Publicly Speculated, but Declined

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker
More conservative
challenger
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [8] February 9–13, 2011400±4.9%38%43%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker
Marsha
Blackburn
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [8] February 9–13, 2011400±4.9%50%30%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker
Hank
Williams, Jr.
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [8] February 9–13, 2011400±4.9%66%13%21%

Results

Tennessee Republican primary [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Corker (Incumbent) 389,483 85.25%
Republican Zach Poskevich28,2996.19%
Republican Fred Anderson15,9423.49%
Republican Mark Twain Clemens11,7882.58%
Republican Brenda Lenard11,3782.49%
Total votes456,890 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Clayton
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Davis
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
Overall
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
60-70%
Hancock
30-40% Tennessee Democratic U.S. Senate primary results by county, 2012.svg
Results by county:
  Clayton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Davis
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Overall
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Hancock
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mark E. Clayton 48,126 29.99%
Democratic Gary Gene Davis24,78915.45%
Democratic Park Overall24,26315.12%
Democratic Larry Crim17,38310.83%
Democratic Benjamin Roberts16,36910.20%
Democratic David Hancock16,16710.08
Democratic Thomas Owens13,3668.33
Total votes160,463 100.00

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe RNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [17] Safe RNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [18] Safe RNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Mark
Clayton (D)
OtherUndecided
Issues and Answers Network Inc. [19] October 16–21, 2011609±4%59%21%4%15%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Phil
Bredesen (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%41%46%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Jim
Cooper (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%50%32%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Harold
Ford, Jr. (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%55%32%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Bart
Gordon (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%52%29%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Al
Gore (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%53%38%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Corker (R)
Tim
McGraw (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [20] February 9–13, 2011500±4.4%50%28%22%

Results

Despite the TN Democratic Party encouraging write-in voting, the general election only saw 0.05% cast write-in votes. Clayton significantly underperformed compared to Barack Obama, running for re-election to the presidency on the same day. Clayton got about 9% and 254,827 votes fewer than Obama.

United States Senate election in Tennessee, 2012 [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Bob Corker (incumbent) 1,506,443 64.89% +14.18%
Democratic Mark Clayton705,88230.41%−17.59%
Green Martin Pleasant38,4721.66%+1.52%
Independent Shaun Crowell20,9360.90%N/A
Constitution Kermit Steck18,6200.80%N/A
Independent James Higdon8,0850.35%N/A
Independent Michael Joseph Long8,0800.35%N/A
Independent Troy Stephen Scoggin7,1480.31%N/A
Independent David Gatchell6,5230.28%N/A
n/a Write-ins1,2880.05%N/A
Total votes2,321,477 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Corker carried 8 of the 9 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat. [22] [23]

DistrictCorkerClaytonRepresentative
1st 76.58%19.24%
Phil Roe
2nd 72.75%21.24% John J. Duncan, Jr.
3rd 70.60%25.60% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 69.30%26.31% Scott DesJarlais
5th 50.21%43.32% Jim Cooper
6th 73.32%22.04% Diane Black
7th 69.62%25.75% Marsha Blackburn
8th 70.26%26.40% Stephen Fincher
9th 28.56%67.00% Steve Cohen

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Phil Bredesen</span> Governor of Tennessee from 2003 to 2011

Philip Norman Bredesen Jr. is an American politician and businessman who served as the 48th governor of Tennessee from 2003 to 2011. A member of the Democratic Party, he was elected in 2002 with 50.6% of the vote and re-elected in 2006 with 68.6%. He served as the 66th mayor of Nashville from 1991 to 1999. Bredesen is the founder of the HealthAmerica Corporation, which he sold in 1986. He is the last Democrat to win and/or hold statewide office in Tennessee.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2006 United States Senate elections were held on November 7, 2006, with all 33 Class 1 Senate seats being contested. The term of office for those elected in 2006 ran from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2013. Before the election cycle, the Republican Party controlled 55 of the 100 Senate seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in Tennessee</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Frist, the Majority Leader, retired after two terms in office. The open seat was won by Republican nominee Bob Corker, who defeated Democratic nominee Harold Ford Jr.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bob Corker</span> American businessman and politician (born 1952)

Robert Phillips Corker Jr. is an American businessman and politician who served as a United States Senator from Tennessee from 2007 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he served as Chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee from 2015 to 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2012 United States Senate elections were held on November 6, 2012, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate, all Class 1 seats, being contested in regular elections whose winners would serve 6-year terms beginning January 3, 2013, with the 113th Congress. Democrats had 21 seats up for election, plus 1 Independent, and 1 Independent Democrat, while the Republicans only had 10 seats up for election. The presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives, elections for governors in 14 states and territories, and many state and local elections were also held on the same day.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in Virginia</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican Senator John Warner decided to retire instead of seeking a sixth term. Former Governor Mark Warner (unrelated) won the open seat by more than 31 percentage points. Warner became the first Democrat to win this seat since 1966. This was also the first time since 1964 that the state voted simultaneously for a Democratic presidential candidate and a Democratic Senate candidate, having voted for Barack Obama in the presidential election, albeit by a far lesser margin. This was Virginia's first open-seat election since 1988. Mark Warner's inauguration marked the first time since Harry Flood Byrd Jr. left the Democratic Party to become an independent in 1970 where Democrats held both of Virginia's Senate seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in Tennessee</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate from the State of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator Lamar Alexander won re-election to a second term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in Colorado</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in Colorado was held November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held August 12, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Wayne Allard decided to retire instead of seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Mark Udall won the open seat, making this the first time a Democrat won this seat since 1972, and that Democrats held both Senate seats since 1979.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2008. The Senate election coincided with the presidential, U.S. House elections, gubernatorial, Council of State, and statewide judicial elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole ran for re-election to a second term, but was defeated by Kay Hagan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 6, 2012, to elect one of West Virginia's two members of the U.S. Senate for a six-year term. In a rematch of the 2010 special election, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a first full term against the Republican nominee, John Raese. Notably, Manchin outperformed Barack Obama in the concurrent presidential election by 25.06 percentage points in vote share, and by 50.86 percentage points on margin.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Tom Smith, and Libertarian nominee Rayburn Smith.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar faced Republican State Representative Kurt Bills. Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Bills by almost one million votes and carrying all but two of the state's 87 counties by double digits, only narrowly losing the counties of Pipestone and Rock in the state's southwest corner. This election marked the first time since 1996 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected and the first time since 1976 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected to this seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee</span>

The 2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from the State of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lamar Alexander defeated Democrat Gordon Ball, and was re-elected to a third term in office with 61.9% of the vote against 31.9%.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia</span>

The 2014 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This election was the fifth consecutive even-number year in which a senate election was held in West Virginia after elections in 2006, 2008, 2010, and 2012.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 New York gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo sought re-election to a second term in office, though incumbent lieutenant governor Robert Duffy did not seek re-election. Cuomo and his running mate, former U.S. representative Kathy Hochul, won contested primaries, while Republican Rob Astorino, the Westchester County Executive, and his running mate were unopposed for their party's nomination. Astorino and Moss were also cross-nominated by the Conservative Party and the Stop Common Core Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Tennessee gubernatorial election</span>

The 2014 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Bill Haslam was re-elected to a second term with 70.3% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Charles Brown. Improving on his performance from 2010, Haslam also carried every county in the state.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2018 United States Senate elections were held on November 6, 2018. Among the 100 seats, the 33 of Class 1 were contested in regular elections while 2 others were contested in special elections due to Senate vacancies in Minnesota and Mississippi. The regular election winners were elected to 6-year terms running from January 3, 2019, to January 3, 2025. Senate Democrats had 26 seats up for election, while Senate Republicans had 9 seats up for election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican senator Bob Corker opted to retire instead of running for a third term. Republican U.S. representative Marsha Blackburn won the open seat, defeating former Democratic governor Phil Bredesen.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the gubernatorial election.

References

  1. "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2012". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 6, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. "2012's worst candidate? With Mark Clayton, Tennessee Democrats hit bottom." by David A. Fahrenthold, Washington Post, October 22, 2012, Retrieved 2012-10-23, ""If there are people who don't believe that there's a campaign here, then guess what? They can come to Tennessee, if they're a voter, and they can see Mark E. Clayton, and next to Mark E. Clayton there's going to be a 'D,' " he said on the phone. "Like it or not, Mark Clayton is the Democratic nominee in Tennessee.""
  3. Murphy, Tim (August 3, 2012). "Dems Nominate Anti-Gay Conspiracy Theorist for Senate". Mother Jones. Retrieved August 21, 2012.
  4. Fahrenthold, David A. (May 19, 2023). "2012's worst candidate? With Mark Clayton, Tennessee Democrats hit bottom". Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  5. Kenny's Sideshow (August 5, 2012). Democractic Primary Winner for Senate in Tennessee Mark Clayton Responds to Attacks . Retrieved June 11, 2024 via YouTube.
  6. Cass, Michael (August 3, 2012). "Tennessee Democratic Party disavows Senate nominee". The Tennessean . Retrieved August 4, 2012.
  7. Sisk, Chas (August 17, 2012). "Mark Clayton victory in Democratic primary upheld by Nashville judge". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 21, 2012.
  8. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling
  9. 1 2 "Tennessee Secretary of State Unofficial Election Results". Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved August 2, 2012.
  10. "clayton forus' – Products I Tried To Satisfy Myself" . Retrieved December 30, 2022.
  11. "Candidates GPTN".
  12. 1 2 Winger, Richard (February 3, 2012). "Tennessee Ballot Access Law for New and Minor Parties Struck Down". Ballot Access News . Retrieved August 4, 2012.
  13. "Current Candidates « The Constitution Party of Tennessee". Archived from the original on October 21, 2012. Retrieved August 4, 2012.
  14. "Jacob Maurer - US Senate Candidate - Home". Archived from the original on June 6, 2013. Retrieved September 27, 2012.
  15. "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  16. "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  17. "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  18. "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  19. Issues and Answers Network Inc.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Public Policy Polling
  21. State of Tennessee. November 6, 2012. General Election
  22. "Detailed CD Results".
  23. Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos .

Official campaign websites