1952 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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1952 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  1948 November 4, 1952 [1] 1956  
  Dwight David Eisenhower 1952 crop.jpg Adlai Stevenson close-up.jpg
Nominee Dwight D. Eisenhower Adlai Stevenson
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York [2] Illinois
Running mate Richard Nixon John Sparkman
Electoral vote110
Popular vote446,147443,710
Percentage49.99%49.71%

Tennessee Presidential Election Results 1952.svg
TN-1952-pres-districts.svg

President before election

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

Elected President

Dwight D. Eisenhower
Republican

The 1952 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 4, 1952, as part of the 1952 United States presidential election. Tennessee voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. [3]

Contents

For over a century after the Civil War, Tennessee was divided according to political loyalties established in that war. Unionist regions covering almost all of East Tennessee, Kentucky Pennyroyal-allied Macon County, and the five Western Highland Rim counties of Carroll, Henderson, McNairy, Hardin and Wayne [4] voted Republican — generally by landslide margins — as they saw the Democratic Party as the "war party" who had forced them into a war they did not wish to fight. [5] Contrariwise, the rest of Middle and West Tennessee who had supported and driven the state's secession was equally fiercely Democratic as it associated the Republicans with Reconstruction. [6] After the disfranchisement of the state’s African-American population by a poll tax was largely complete in the 1890s, [7] the Democratic Party was certain of winning statewide elections if united, [8] although unlike the Deep South Republicans would almost always gain thirty to forty percent of the statewide vote from mountain and Highland Rim support.

Between 1896 and 1948, the Republicans would win statewide contests three times but only in the second did they receive down-ballot coattails by winning three congressional seats in addition to the rock-ribbed GOP First and Second Districts. [9] In the early 1910s, prohibitionist “Independent Democrats” fled the party and formed a coalition, known as the “Fusionists,” with Republicans to elect Ben W. Hooper Governor, [10] whilst in 1920 the national anti-Wilson and anti-League of Nations tide allowed the GOP to carry a few traditionally Democratic areas in Middle Tennessee and with them the state, [11] and in 1928 anti-Catholicism against Democratic nominee Al Smith gave this powerfully fundamentalist state to Herbert Hoover. [12]

After the beginning of the Great Depression, however, for the next third of a century the Republicans would rarely contest statewide offices seriously despite continuing dominance of East Tennessee and half a dozen Unionist counties in the middle and west of the state. [13] The Crump political machine that dominated state politics for a decade and a half, however, broke down in 1948 after Crump supported Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond but his own subordinates dissented knowing that a Democratic split would hand the state to the Republicans. [14] Even Crump’s long-time ally Senator Kenneth D. McKellar broke with him, [15] and a Middle Tennessee liberal, Estes Kefauver, won the state’s Senate seat. In 1949, after a failed effort six years before, [16] Tennessee would substantially modify its poll tax and entirely abolish it two years later, [16] largely due to the fact that the Crump machine had “block bought” voters’ poll taxes. [17]

The abolition of the poll tax would, if not to the same extent as in South Carolina, substantially increase voter turnout in Tennessee. There was also the issue of the substantial Dixiecrat vote from 1948, especially with Thurmond’s endorsement of Republican nominees former Supreme Allied Commander Dwight D. Eisenhower and California Senator Richard Nixon. [18]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Lansing State Journal [19] Likely DSeptember 17, 1952
Lubbock Morning Avalanche [20] Tilt DOctober 24, 1952
The Greeneville Sun [21] Lean DOctober 25, 1952
The Modesto Bee [22] Lean DOctober 27, 1952
The Commercial Appeal [23] TossupOctober 31, 1952

Results

1952 United States presidential election in Tennessee [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower 446,147 49.99%
Democratic Adlai Stevenson 443,71049.71%
Prohibition Stuart Hamblen 1,4320.16%
People’s Vincent Hallinan 8850.10%
Christian Nationalist Douglas MacArthur 379 [lower-alpha 1] 0.04%
Total votes892,553 100%

Results by county

County [24] Dwight D. Eisenhower
Republican
Adlai Stevenson
Democratic
Stuart Hamblen
Prohibition
Vincent Hallinan
People's
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %
Anderson 10,48953.88%8,93945.92%380.20%00.00%1,5507.96%19,466
Bedford 2,61137.44%4,36262.56%00.00%00.00%-1,751-25.12%6,973
Benton 1,30434.57%2,45265.01%160.42%00.00%-1,148-30.44%3,772
Bledsoe 1,22950.85%1,15847.91%301.24%00.00%712.94%2,417
Blount 11,70869.22%5,16330.53%240.14%180.11%6,54538.69%16,913
Bradley 4,60663.36%2,64636.40%90.12%80.11%1,96026.96%7,269
Campbell 4,55765.63%2,34633.79%190.27%210.30%2,21131.84%6,943
Cannon 93037.97%1,49160.88%60.24%220.90%-561-22.91%2,449
Carroll 3,74156.46%2,84142.88%230.35%210.32%90013.58%6,626
Carter 9,01976.15%2,70722.86%1181.00%00.00%6,31253.29%11,844
Cheatham 53619.31%2,22280.04%50.18%130.47%-1,686-60.73%2,776
Chester 1,67453.01%1,48446.99%00.00%00.00%1906.02%3,158
Claiborne 3,22159.62%2,18240.38%00.00%00.00%1,03919.24%5,403
Clay 84246.24%96853.16%110.60%00.00%-126-6.92%1,821
Cocke 5,68882.02%1,24717.98%00.00%00.00%4,44164.04%6,935
Coffee 2,11037.25%3,53762.44%70.12%110.19%-1,427-25.19%5,665
Crockett 1,34338.27%2,15561.41%70.20%40.11%-812-23.14%3,509
Cumberland 3,28259.75%2,05937.48%811.47%711.29%1,22322.27%5,493
Davidson 35,91640.99%51,56258.84%810.09%710.08%-15,646-17.85%87,630
Decatur 1,40645.35%1,68154.23%130.42%00.00%-275-8.88%3,100
DeKalb 1,81448.21%1,94951.79%00.00%00.00%-135-3.58%3,763
Dickson 1,41525.22%4,19674.78%00.00%00.00%-2,781-49.56%5,611
Dyer 3,23141.30%4,53157.92%610.78%00.00%-1,300-16.62%7,823
Fayette 1,02946.73%1,17353.27%00.00%00.00%-144-6.54%2,202
Fentress 2,14369.65%93430.35%00.00%00.00%1,20939.30%3,077
Franklin 2,01529.48%4,78670.03%290.42%40.06%-2,771-40.55%6,834
Gibson 3,76635.90%6,68763.74%260.25%120.11%-2,921-27.84%10,491
Giles 1,64925.98%4,64073.11%290.46%290.46%-2,991-47.13%6,347
Grainger 3,03076.28%93723.59%20.05%30.08%2,09352.69%3,972
Greene 6,86464.98%3,65634.61%180.17%250.24%3,20830.37%10,563
Grundy 70921.47%2,58378.23%70.21%30.09%-1,874-56.76%3,302
Hamblen 5,03167.19%2,39531.98%620.83%00.00%2,63635.21%7,488
Hamilton 29,68155.14%23,83244.27%1390.26%1780.33%5,84910.87%53,830
Hancock 1,83079.50%45819.90%140.61%00.00%1,37259.60%2,302
Hardeman 1,25631.17%2,74768.18%80.20%180.45%-1,491-37.01%4,029
Hardin 2,45959.28%1,67740.43%120.29%00.00%78218.85%4,148
Hawkins 5,29568.19%2,40430.96%130.17%530.68%2,89137.23%7,765
Haywood 94027.80%2,43271.93%90.27%00.00%-1,492-44.13%3,381
Henderson 3,31767.45%1,60132.55%00.00%00.00%1,71634.90%4,918
Henry 2,42129.77%5,67769.81%120.15%220.27%-3,256-40.04%8,132
Hickman 1,04428.38%2,62571.35%40.11%60.16%-1,581-42.97%3,679
Houston 46527.45%1,22972.55%00.00%00.00%-764-45.10%1,694
Humphreys 89825.16%2,67074.81%10.03%00.00%-1,772-49.65%3,569
Jackson 1,13840.25%1,68659.64%30.11%00.00%-548-19.39%2,827
Jefferson 4,62278.87%1,22820.96%90.15%10.02%3,39457.91%5,860
Johnson 3,59087.65%50612.35%00.00%00.00%3,08475.30%4,096
Knox 44,35862.32%26,68137.48%1130.16%260.04%17,67724.84%71,178
Lake 48724.66%1,47574.68%60.30%70.35%-988-50.02%1,975
Lauderdale 1,39024.26%4,34075.74%00.00%00.00%-2,950-51.48%5,730
Lawrence 4,56151.07%4,29948.14%710.79%00.00%2622.93%8,931
Lewis 54029.05%1,30870.36%110.59%00.00%-768-41.31%1,859
Lincoln 1,65426.78%4,51073.01%80.13%50.08%-2,856-46.23%6,177
Loudon 4,31166.52%2,13832.99%170.26%150.23%2,17333.53%6,481
Macon 2,60269.20%1,15830.80%00.00%00.00%1,44438.40%3,760
Madison 7,24345.50%8,62354.17%300.19%230.14%-1,380-8.67%15,919
Marion 2,22742.91%2,93856.61%120.23%130.25%-711-13.70%5,190
Marshall 1,52528.44%3,83771.56%00.00%00.00%-2,312-43.12%5,362
Maury 3,58232.58%7,37767.09%360.33%00.00%-3,795-34.51%10,995
McMinn 5,77862.39%3,44037.15%180.19%250.27%2,33825.24%9,261
McNairy 3,42655.94%2,69844.06%00.00%00.00%72811.88%6,124
Meigs 85052.31%75446.40%20.12%191.17%965.91%1,625
Monroe 4,58155.11%3,69344.42%390.47%00.00%88810.69%8,313
Montgomery 2,57330.78%5,75968.90%170.20%100.12%-3,186-38.12%8,359
Moore 35430.00%82670.00%00.00%00.00%-472-40.00%1,180
Morgan 2,56563.22%1,49236.78%00.00%00.00%1,07326.44%4,057
Obion 2,68236.51%4,62362.94%320.44%80.11%-1,941-26.43%7,345
Overton 1,45339.47%2,20960.01%60.16%130.35%-756-20.54%3,681
Perry 76239.00%1,19261.00%00.00%00.00%-430-22.00%1,954
Pickett 1,00364.71%54735.29%00.00%00.00%45629.42%1,550
Polk 2,28355.63%1,82144.37%00.00%00.00%46211.26%4,104
Putnam 3,18343.73%4,09656.27%00.00%00.00%-913-12.54%7,279
Rhea 2,52054.46%2,09045.17%140.30%30.06%4309.29%4,627
Roane 5,58360.13%3,70239.87%00.00%00.00%1,88120.26%9,285
Robertson 1,83426.59%5,06373.41%00.00%00.00%-3,229-46.82%6,897
Rutherford 3,19631.77%6,79367.52%240.24%480.48%-3,597-35.75%10,061
Scott 3,27473.82%1,16126.18%00.00%00.00%2,11347.64%4,435
Sequatchie 53537.57%88261.94%70.49%00.00%-347-24.37%1,424
Sevier 7,24487.17%1,06612.83%00.00%00.00%6,17874.34%8,310
Shelby 65,17047.53%71,77952.36%1120.08%360.03%-6,609-4.83%137,099 [lower-alpha 2]
Smith 1,41234.80%2,62264.61%150.37%90.22%-1,210-29.81%4,058
Stewart 64122.71%2,17076.87%10.04%110.39%-1,529-54.16%2,823
Sullivan 15,59656.58%11,84942.99%710.26%470.17%3,74713.59%27,563
Sumner 2,23328.10%5,67471.40%400.50%00.00%-3,441-43.30%7,947
Tipton 1,31219.54%5,35179.68%340.51%190.28%-4,039-60.14%6,716
Trousdale 26117.43%1,23682.57%00.00%00.00%-975-65.14%1,497
Unicoi 3,45374.81%1,16325.19%00.00%00.00%2,29049.62%4,616
Union 2,08775.78%66724.22%00.00%00.00%1,42051.56%2,754
Van Buren 39336.12%67461.95%100.92%111.01%-281-25.83%1,088
Warren 1,91234.68%3,56864.72%210.38%120.22%-1,656-30.04%5,513
Washington 12,02369.31%5,24530.24%430.25%360.21%6,77839.07%17,347
Wayne 2,43970.63%1,00829.19%40.12%20.06%1,43141.44%3,453
Weakley 3,04341.83%4,19857.70%340.47%00.00%-1,155-15.87%7,275
White 1,37437.00%2,31962.44%130.35%80.22%-945-25.44%3,714
Williamson 2,32636.17%4,08563.53%190.30%00.00%-1,759-27.36%6,430
Wilson 2,44932.57%5,07067.43%00.00%00.00%-2,621-34.86%7,519
Totals446,14749.99%443,71049.71%1,4320.16%8850.10%2,4370.28%892,553 [lower-alpha 3]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Dixiecrat to Democratic

Analysis

Despite expectations that Democratic nominees Illinois Governor Adlai Stevenson II and running mate Alabama Senator John Sparkman had a slightly better chance of carrying the state, Tennessee would be won by Eisenhower with 49.99 percent of the popular vote, against Stevenson’s 49.71 percent. Eisenhower’s 0.28 percentage point victory was the first of three consecutive Republican victories in the state, as Tennessee would not vote Democratic again until Lyndon B. Johnson’s landslide victory in 1964. The result deviated little from long-established partisan patterns, with Chester County — where Eisenhower was the first-ever Republican victor [25] – the only county Eisenhower carried that neither Harding nor Hoover won. Nonetheless, whereas Harding’s and Hoover’s victories were based upon gains in Middle Tennessee, gains in the pro-Dixiecrat cotton counties of West Tennessee were most critical for Eisenhower: fifteen of the top twenty-four Thurmond counties were also amongst the top twenty-four in terms of Democratic loss since 1936. [26]

See also

Notes

  1. Except for two votes in Shelby County, votes for the Christian Nationalist Party were listed as a state-wide total and not by counties. [24]
  2. The total for this county includes two votes for Christian Nationalist candidate Douglas Macarthur.
  3. This total includes 377 votes for Christian Nationalist candidate Douglas Macarthur that were not separated by county.

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References

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