2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee

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2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee
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Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marsha Blackburn
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign. [1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.

Contents

Background

At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.

Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marsha Blackburn (R)$10,565,541$3,758,126$7,421,514
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marsha Blackburn (incumbent)
Republican Tres Wittum
Total votes

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Joanne Sowell, attorney [11]

Endorsements

Gloria Johnson
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Marquita Bradshaw (D)$11,687$9,285$2,402
Gloria Johnson (D)$2,339,251$915,942$1,423,308
Source: Federal Election Commission [7]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marquita
Bradshaw		Gloria
Johnson		Civil
Miller-Watkins		OtherUndecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15–April 2, 2024282 (LV)± 2.77%7%38%2%1%52%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] December 14–28, 2023251 (LV)± 2.66%11%41%2%1%45%

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Marquita Bradshaw
Democratic Lola Brown
Democratic Gloria Johnson
Democratic Kevin McCants
Democratic Civil Miller-Watkins
Total votes

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [16] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [18] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [19] Safe RNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marsha
Blackburn (R)		Marquita
Bradshaw (D)		Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15–April 2, 2024947 (LV)± 2.77%46%22%32%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] October 5–16, 2023824 (LV)± 2.79%48%36%17%
Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Marsha
Blackburn (R)		Gloria
Johnson (D)		Undecided
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] March 15–April 2, 2024955 (LV)± 2.77%45%29%26%
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 1] October 5–16, 2023850 (LV)± 2.79%49%29%23%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee

See also

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References

  1. ↑ Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Tennessee US Senate Poll".
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Candidate Lists | Tennessee Secretary of State". sos.tn.gov. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  4. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ↑ "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  7. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  8. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  9. ↑ Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News . Retrieved September 5, 2023.
  10. ↑ McCall, Holly (October 26, 2023). "Fayette County educator Civil Miller-Watkins enters Democratic primary for 2024 Tenn. U.S. Senate". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
  11. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Bloom, Madison (March 13, 2024). "Brittany Howard, Allison Russell, Maren Morris, and More Support U.S. Senate Candidate Gloria Johnson With New Song: Listen". Pitchfork . Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  13. ↑ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  15. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  17. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  19. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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