2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
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←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
TurnoutTBD
  TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,697,6261,668,229
Percentage49.60%48.74%
Wisconsin Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 U.S. Presidential election in Wisconsin by Congressional District.svg
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WI-24-pres-ad.svg
2024 Wisconsin Muni.svg
WI President 2024.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin awarded ten electoral votes in the Electoral College. [1]

Contents

Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup. [2] The Wisconsin Green Party attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020. [3]

Trump won Wisconsin with 49.6% of the vote, the highest percentage a Republican candidate has received in Wisconsin since Reagan's 1984 landslide. When Wisconsin was called for Trump, a number of networks simultaneously declared Trump the president-elect, winning a second, non-consecutive term.

Trump's victory in the state made him the first Republican candidate to carry Wisconsin twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also received nearly 1.7 million votes, a record for a candidate in the history of the state.

As of 2024, Wisconsin has, together with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections. The results also extended it to nine consecutive presidential elections where the winning party did not differ between those three states. This was the first election since 2012 where Wisconsin voted to the left of the nation as a whole.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 2, 2024 [4]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)512,37988.6%8282
Uninstructed 48,3738.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)17,7303.1%
Total:578,482100.0%821395

Republican primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Republican primary, April 2, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 477,10378.97%4100
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)76,84112.72%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)20,1243.33%000
Uninstructed 13,0572.16%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)9,7711.62%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)5,2000.86%000
Write-ins 2,0810.34%000
Total:604,177100.00%41041

General election

Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee decorated to host the 2024 Republican National Convention Fiserv Forum RNC prep IMG 1958 (1).jpg
Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee decorated to host the 2024 Republican National Convention

Campaign

Convention

The Republican Party held their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket. [6] [7] This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention. The Democratic National Convention was selected for Milwaukee in 2020 but much of the convention activity was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. [8]

Candidates

The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot: [9]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Lean DNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [12] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNN [13] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [14] Lean DNovember 4, 2024
The Economist [15] TossupNovember 4, 2024
538 [16] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Inside Elections [17] TossupNovember 4, 2024
NBC News [18] TossupNovember 4, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270ToWin [19] October 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.8%47.7%3.5%Harris +1.1%
538 [20] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.3%47.3%4.4%Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin [21] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.7%47.7%3.6%Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ [22] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.4%48.7%2.9%Trump +0.3%
Average48.6%47.9%3.5%Harris +0.7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [23] November 3–5, 20241,727 (RV)± 2.4%47%46%7%
51% [d] 49%–
1,549 (LV)49%47%4%
51% [d] 49%–
AtlasIntel [24] November 3–4, 2024869 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Research Co. [25] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%49%46%5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [26] November 1–3, 20241,086 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%5% [e]
Patriot Polling [27] November 1–3, 2024835 (RV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [28] November 1–2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3% [f]
AtlasIntel [29] November 1–2, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%49%50%1%
Emerson College [30] October 30 – November 2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%49%2% [g]
50% [d] 50%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [31] October 25 – November 2, 2024798 (RV)± 3.5%49%48%3% [h]
786 (LV)49%48%3% [h]
The New York Times/Siena College [32] October 25 – November 2, 20241,305 (RV)± 3.5%49%47%4%
1,305 (LV)49%47%4%
ActiVote [33] October 10 – November 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%51%49%–
AtlasIntel [34] October 30–31, 2024673 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [35] October 29–31, 2024800 (LV)–47%48%5%
YouGov [36] [A] October 25–31, 2024889 (RV)± 4.5%51%47%2%
876 (LV)51%47%2%
Morning Consult [37] October 22−31, 2024540 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%3%
TIPP Insights [38] [B] October 28–30, 20241,038 (RV)± 3.5%48%46%6%
831 (LV)48%48%4%
Marist College [39] October 27–30, 20241,444 (RV)± 3.3%50%48%2% [i]
1,330 (LV)± 3.4%50%48%2% [i]
Echelon Insights [40] October 27–30, 2024600 (LV)± 4.5%49%49%2%
Quantus Insights (R) [41] [C] October 28–29, 2024637 (LV)± 3.8%49%49%2%
SoCal Strategies (R) [42] [D] October 28–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [43] [E] October 25–29, 2024818 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%3% [f]
AtlasIntel [44] October 25–29, 20241,470 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
CNN/SSRS [45] October 23–28, 2024736 (LV)± 4.8%51%45%4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [46] October 26–27, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3% [f]
CES/YouGov [47] October 1–25, 20241,552 (A)–51%46%3%
1,542 (LV)50%47%3%
Marquette University Law School [48] October 16–24, 2024834 (RV)± 4.4%48%46%6%
51% [d] 49%–
753 (LV)48%47%5%
50% [d] 49%1%
Emerson College [49] [F] October 21–22, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3% [g]
49% [d] 50%1% [g]
Quinnipiac University [50] October 17–21, 20241,108 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [51] October 18−20, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%47%47%6% [f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [52] October 16–20, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
624 (LV)48%48%4%
The Bullfinch Group [53] October 11−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%47%3%
48%46%7% [j]
AtlasIntel [54] October 12–17, 2024932 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%
RMG Research [55] [G] October 10−16, 2024787 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3% [k]
49% [d] 50%1%
Morning Consult [37] October 6−15, 2024527 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%
The Washington Post/Schar School [56] September 30 – October 15, 2024695 (RV)± 4.6%50%46%4%
695 (LV)50%47%3%
Patriot Polling [57] October 12–14, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [58] [E] October 9–14, 20241,004 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [59] October 8–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4% [e]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [60] [H] October 6–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3%
Emerson College [61] October 5–8, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2% [g]
49% [d] 50%1% [g]
The Wall Street Journal [62] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%48%48%4%
Research Co. [63] October 5–7, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%47%45%8% [l]
50% [d] 48%2% [l]
Quinnipiac University [64] October 3–7, 20241,073 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
Arc Insights [65] [I] October 2–6, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%47%48%5%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [66] [J] September 24 – October 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%46%47%7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [67] September 28–30, 20241,079 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7% [e]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [68] [K] September 23–29, 2024408 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%
ActiVote [69] August 29 – September 29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%–
The New York Times/Siena College [70] September 21–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%
680 (LV)49%47%4%
Marquette University Law School [71] September 18–26, 2024882 (RV)± 4.4%50%45%5%
52% [d] 48%–
798 (LV)50%45%5%
52% [d] 48%–
AtlasIntel [72] September 20–25, 20241,077 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [73] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–49%47%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [74] September 19–25, 2024849 (RV)± 3.0%50%48%2%
785 (LV)51%48%1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies [75] [L] September 19–23, 2024400 (LV)–51%45%4%
RMG Research [76] [G] September 17–23, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%50%49%1% [g]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [77] [E] September 19−22, 20241,071 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%1%
Emerson College [78] September 15–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3% [g]
49% [d] 50%1% [g]
MassINC Polling Group [79] [M] September 12−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.8%53%46%1%
Morning Consult [37] September 9−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6%
Marist College [80] September 12−17, 20241,312 (RV)± 3.5%50%47%3% [m]
1,194 (LV)± 3.6%50%49%1% [i]
Quinnipiac University [81] September 12–16, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [82] [N] September 11–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%48%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [83] September 11–12, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%49%47%4% [n]
Morning Consult [37] August 30 – September 8, 2024638 (LV)± 4.0%49%46%5%
co/efficient (R) [84] September 4–6, 2024917 (LV)± 3.2%47%47%6%
CBS News/YouGov [85] September 3–6, 2024946 (LV)± 4.0%51%49%–
Marquette University Law School [86] August 28 – September 5, 2024822 (RV)± 4.6%49%45%6%
52% [d] 48%–
738 (LV)± 4.7%49%44%7%
52% [d] 48%–
Patriot Polling [87] September 1–3, 2024826 (RV)–48%48%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [88] August 28–30, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7% [e]
Emerson College [89] August 25–28, 2024850 (LV)± 3.3%48%49%3%
49% [d] 50%1% [g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [90] August 23–26, 2024648 (LV)± 4.0%53%44%3%
701 (RV)52%44%4%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov [91] [O] August 15–23, 2024500 (A)± 5.3%48%42%10% [o]
– (LV)± 5.9%51%46%3%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies [92] [P] August 19–21, 2024600 (LV)–48%45%7%
Fabrizio Ward (R) [93] [Q] August 19–21, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%45%6%
Spry Strategies (R) [94] [R] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%7%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [95] [S] August 13–19, 20241,099 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%5%
Focaldata [96] August 6–16, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%52%48%–
Quantus Insights (R) [97] [C] August 14–15, 2024601 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
TIPP Insights [98] [B] August 12–14, 20241,015 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%7%
976 (LV)47%47%6%
The Bullfinch Group [99] [T] August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%51%42%7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [100] August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–48%49%3%
Navigator Research (D) [101] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [102] July 26 – August 8, 2024404 (LV)–49%46%5%
The New York Times/Siena College [103] August 5–8, 2024661 (RV)± 4.3%50%46%4%
661 (LV)50%46%3%
August 6, 2024Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [104] [G] July 31 – August 5, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%7%
Marquette University Law School [105] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%47%44%9%
49% [d] 50%1%
801 (LV)± 4.8%49%45%6%
50% [d] 49%1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [106] [U] July 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [107] July 24–28, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%
Fox News [108] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Emerson College [109] July 22–23, 2024845 (RV)± 3.3%47%47%6%
51% [d] 49%–
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–48%49%3%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [111] [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [112] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%41%49%10%
Emerson College [113] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
The New York Times/Siena College [114] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%46%47%7%
603 (LV)46%48%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
HarrisX [23] November 3–5, 20241,727 (RV)± 2.4%45%45%2%1%–7%
48.0% [d] 47.9%2.6%1.4%––
1,549 (LV)47%47%2%1%–3%
48.1% [d] 48.5%2.1%1.3%––
AtlasIntel [24] November 3–4, 2024869 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%–1%0%1% [n]
AtlasIntel [29] November 1–2, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%–1%0%2% [n]
The New York Times/Siena College [32] October 25 – November 2, 20241,305 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%0%2%0%5%
1,305 (LV)48%45%0%1%0%6%
Focaldata [115] October 3 – November 1, 20241,799 (LV)–50%47%–0%1%2%
1,613 (RV)± 2.3%51%46%–1%1%1%
1,799 (A)–49%46%–1%1%3%
AtlasIntel [34] October 30–31, 2024673 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%–1%0%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [116] October 28–31, 2024932 (LV)–48%47%–0%1%4%
YouGov [36] [A] October 25–31, 2024889 (RV)± 4.5%48%45%0%3%–4%
876 (LV)49%45%0%2%–4%
AtlasIntel [44] October 25–29, 20241,470 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%–1%1%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [117] October 25–27, 2024746 (LV)–49%47%–0%1%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [118] October 20–22, 2024557 (LV)–49%47%–0%1%3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [119] [W] October 19–22, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%–0%1%4% [n]
Quinnipiac University [50] October 17–21, 20241,108 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%0%0%0%4% [p]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [52] October 16–20, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%47%47%–1%3%2%
624 (LV)47%47%–1%3%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [120] October 16–18, 2024622 (LV)–47%46%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [121] October 12–14, 2024641 (LV)–48%47%–1%1%3%
Quinnipiac University [64] October 3–7, 20241,073 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%0%1%1%4% [p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [122] September 27 – October 2, 2024533 (LV)–47%46%–0%1%6%
The New York Times/Siena College [70] September 21–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%48%45%–1%2%4%
680 (LV)48%46%–1%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [74] September 19–25, 2024849 (RV)± 3.0%49%47%–1%2%1%
785 (LV)50%47%–0%1%2%
Remington Research Group (R) [123] [X] September 16–20, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%48%1%0%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [124] September 16–19, 2024600 (LV)–47%47%–0%0%6%
Quinnipiac University [81] September 12–16, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%0%1%1%3% [p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [125] September 6–9, 2024626 (LV)–49%46%–0%1%4%
YouGov [126] [A] August 23 – September 3, 2024900 (RV)± 4.1%47%44%1%1%–7% [f]
CNN/SSRS [127] August 23–29, 2024976 (LV)± 4.4%50%44%0%2%2%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [128] August 25–28, 2024672 (LV)–48%44%–0%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [90] August 23–26, 2024648 (LV)± 4.0%52%44%–1%1%2%
701 (RV)51%44%–1%1%3%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		 Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr. [q]
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Others/
Undecided
[r] 		Margin
Race to the WH [129] through October 7, 2024October 13, 202447.7%46.3%1.5%0.9%0.2%1.1%2.3%Harris +1.4%
270toWin [130] October 2 – 11, 2024October 11, 202447.0%45.7%2.5%0.3%0.6%0.8%3.1%Harris +1.3%
Average47.4%46.0%2.0%0.6%0.4%1.0%2.6%Harris +1.4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
TIPP Insights [38] [B] October 28–30, 20241,038 (RV)± 3.5%46%44%3%1%1%–5%
831 (LV)48%47%3%1%1%––
Echelon Insights [40] October 27–30, 2024600 (LV)± 4.5%48%48%0%0%1%0%3%
CNN/SSRS [131] October 23–28, 2024736 (LV)± 4.8%51%45%1%0%1%0%2%
Marquette University Law School [48] October 16–24, 2024834 (RV)± 4.4%46%43%5%1%1%2%2% [p]
753 (LV)46%44%5%1%1%2%1% [p]
USA Today/Suffolk University [132] [133] October 20–23, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%48%1%0%1%0%3% [p]
AtlasIntel [54] October 12–17, 2024932 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%1%–0%1%1%
The Wall Street Journal [62] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%46%45%3%1%0%0%5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [68] [K] September 23–29, 2024408 (LV)± 4.9%46%45%2%1%0%1%5%
Marquette University Law School [71] September 18–26, 2024882 (RV)± 4.4%48%44%3%0%1%1%3% [s]
798 (LV)49%44%3%0%1%1%2% [s]
AtlasIntel [72] September 20–25, 20241,077 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%0%0%1%1%–
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [73] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–48%46%0%1%2%–3%
MassINC Polling Group [79] [M] September 12−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.8%51%45%1%0%1%0%2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [82] [N] September 11–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%2%0%1%0%4% [t]
Marquette University Law School [86] August 28 – September 5, 2024822 (RV)± 4.6%47%43%6%1%1%1%1%
738 (LV)± 4.7%48%43%6%1%1%1%1% [u]
Z to A Research (D) [134] [Y] August 23–26, 2024518 (LV)–47%47%2%–0%1%3%
YouGov [91] [O] August 15–23, 2024500 (A)± 5.3%45%40%4%1%1%0%9% [v]
– (LV)± 5.9%49%45%1%1%0%0%4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [95] [S] August 13–19, 20241,099 (LV)± 3.0%46%46%4%1%1%0%2%
Focaldata [96] August 6–16, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%50%44%4%–1%0%1%
700 (RV)50%42%5%–1%0%2%
700 (A)50%43%5%–1%0%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [135] August 12–15, 2024469 (LV)–48%44%3%–0%0%5%
The Bullfinch Group [99] [T] August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%49%40%3%1%1%–6%
The New York Times/Siena College [103] August 5–8, 2024661 (RV)± 4.3%49%42%6%0%1%1%2%
661 (LV)49%43%5%0%1%1%2%
Navigator Research (D) [101] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%5%1%1%1%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [102] July 26 – August 8, 2024404 (LV)–48%43%5%1%0%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [136] July 31 – August 3, 2024597 (LV)–43%43%3%–0%0%11%
Marquette University Law School [105] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%45%43%8%0%1%1%2%
801 (LV)± 4.8%46%45%6%0%1%1%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [107] July 24–28, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%44%45%6%–0%3%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [137] July 22–24, 2024523 (LV)–44%44%5%–1%1%5%
Fox News [108] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%46%5%1%1%–1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R) [94] [R] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%42%3%2%7%
Emerson College [109] July 22–23, 2024845 (RV)± 3.3%45%45%3%1%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R) [93] [Q] August 19–21, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%47%42%4%7%
Civiqs [138] [Y] July 13–16, 2024514 (RV)± 4.8%48%48%2%2%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School [105] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%42%47%11%
801 (LV)± 4.8%44%47%9%
Emerson College [139] [Z] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Public Policy Polling (D) [140] [AA] July 11–12, 2024653 (V)± 3.8%47%46%7%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [141] [AB] July 5–12, 20241,020 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%6%
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%47%6%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [111] [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Echelon Insights [142] [AC] July 1–8, 2024617 (LV)± 4.7%45%47%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [143] July 1–5, 2024695 (RV)± 4.0%47%44%9%
SoCal Strategies (R) [144] [AD] June 30 – July 2, 2024490 (RV)± 4.4%43%44%13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [145] [N] June 28 – July 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%50%5%
Emerson College [146] [Z] June 30 – July 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Marquette University Law School [147] June 12–20, 2024871 (RV)± 4.6%44%44%12%
50% [d] 50%–
784 (LV)± 4.9%47%44%9%
51% [d] 49%–
Emerson College [148] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
49% [d] 51%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [149] May 30–31, 2024338 (RV)± 5.3%40%38%22% [w]
290 (LV)40%41%19% [x]
KAConsulting (R) [150] [AE] May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–45%45%10%
Prime Group [151] [AF] May 9–16, 2024488 (RV)–51%49%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [112] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%46%47%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [152] May 6–13, 2024503 (LV)± 4.4%45%45%9%
The New York Times/Siena College [153] April 28 – May 9, 2024614 (RV)± 4.0%47%45%8%
614 (LV)46%47%7%
Quinnipiac University [154] May 2–6, 20241,457 (RV)± 2.6%50%44%6%
Emerson College [155] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%47%8%
48% [d] 52%–
Kaplan Strategies [156] April 20–21, 2024802 (RV)± 3.5%38%48%14%
John Zogby Strategies [157] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–46%48%6%
CBS News/YouGov [158] April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%49%50%1%
Fox News [159] April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [160] April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School [161] April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%44%47%9%
49% [d] 51%–
736 (LV)± 5.0%45%48%7%
49% [d] 51%–
North Star Opinion Research (R) [162] [AH] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
The Wall Street Journal [163] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%46%46%8%
Echelon Insights [164] [AI] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.5%47%46%7%
Emerson College [165] March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%11%
48% [d] 52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [166] March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [167] February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College [113] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%13%
Kaplan Strategies [168] February 23, 2024941 (RV)± 3.2%39%41%20%
Marquette University Law School [169] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%44%44%12%
49% [d] 49%2%
808 (LV)44%46%10%
49% [d] 50%1%
Fox News [170] January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%47%47%6%
Focaldata [171] January 17–23, 2024863 (A)–38%43%19% [y]
– (LV)42%46%12% [z]
49% [d] 51%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [172] January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%44%49%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [173] November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
J.L. Partners [174] [AJ] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%45%41%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [175] October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%46%47%7%
Emerson College [176] October 30 - November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%44%13%
819 (LV)45%45%10%
The New York Times/Siena College [114] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%47%45%8%
603 (LV)47%45%8%
Marquette University Law School [177] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%45%42%13%
50% [d] 48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [178] October 5–10, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Emerson College [179] October 1–4, 2023532 (RV)± 4.2%40%42%19%
Public Policy Polling (D) [180] [AK] September 25–26, 2023673 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%
Prime Group [181] [AF] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–53%47%–
500 (RV)–37%40%23% [aa]
Marquette University Law School [182] June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%48%38%14%
52% [d] 43%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [183] April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%9%
Emerson College [184] October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%43%13%
Emerson College [185] September 16–18, 2022860 (LV)± 3.3%45%44%11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [186] [H] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%52%6%
Marquette University Law School [187] October 26–31, 2021805 (RV)± 3.9%45%41%14%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [188] July 16–18, 2024470 (LV)–42%42%6%–1%9% [ab]
Trafalgar Group (R) [189] July 15–17, 20241,087 (LV)± 2.9%43%46%3%0%1%7%
Emerson College [139] [Z] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%4%0%1%6% [ac]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [141] [AB] July 5–12, 20241,020 (LV)± 3.0%42%45%7%0%1%5% [ac]
YouGov [190] [A] July 4–12, 2024900 (RV)± 4.1%38%43%4%1%1%13%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%38%11%–3%12% [ad]
Echelon Insights [142] [AC] July 1–8, 2024617 (LV)± 4.7%42%43%6%1%2%6% [ae]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [143] July 1–5, 2024695 (RV)± 4.0%41%39%10%1%1%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [145] [N] June 28 – July 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%38%44%9%–3%6% [ac]
Marquette University Law School [147] June 12–20, 2024871 (RV)± 4.6%40%43%8%4%2%3% [ae]
784 (LV)± 4.9%42%44%7%3%2%2% [ac]
Emerson College [148] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%44%6%0%1%7%
J.L. Partners [191] June 5–10, 2024500 (LV)± 4.3%44%44%5%0%0%6%
KAConsulting (R) [150] [AE] May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–42%42%7%1%2%6% [af]
Prime Group [151] [AF] May 9–16, 2024488 (RV)–44%44%7%3%2%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [112] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%42%43%6%1%1%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [152] May 6–13, 2024503 (LV)± 4.4%41%41%9%1%1%7%
The New York Times/Siena College [153] April 28 – May 9, 2024614 (RV)± 4.0%38%38%9%0%1%14% [ag]
614 (LV)39%40%8%0%0%13% [ag]
Quinnipiac University [154] May 2–6, 20241,457 (RV)± 2.6%40%39%12%1%4%4%
Emerson College [155] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%45%6%1%1%7%
Fox News [159] April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%43%41%9%2%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [160] April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%41%44%8%1%1%5%
Marquette University Law School [161] April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%40%41%13%3%2%1%
736 (LV)± 5.0%41%42%12%3%1%1%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [162] [AH] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%37%13%2%4%9%
The Wall Street Journal [163] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%41%38%10%1%1%9%
Emerson College [165] March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%43%6%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [166] March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%39%41%10%1%1%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [167] February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%35%41%10%1%1%12%
Emerson College [113] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%41%7%1%1%13%
Marquette University Law School [169] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%37%40%16%2%4%1%
808 (LV)39%41%13%2%4%1%
Fox News [170] January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%39%42%7%1%2%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [192] January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%35%43%10%0%2%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [193] November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%34%40%10%1%3%13%
J.L. Partners [174] [AJ] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%42%37%7%1%1%12% [ah]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Civiqs [138] [Y] July 13–16, 2024514 (RV)± 4.8%47%47%3%3%
P2 Insights [194] [AL] June 11–20, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%42%45%4%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [149] May 30–31, 2024338 (RV)± 5.3%38%31%13%18%
290 (LV)40%35%12%13%
P2 Insights [195] [AL] May 13−21, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%42%44%7%7%
The New York Times/Siena College [196] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%37%35%22%6%
603 (LV)37%35%21%7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [197] October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%36%38%13%2%11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov [158] April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%44%48%8%0%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [157] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–42%48%10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [157] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–41%41%18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–48%48%4%
Emerson College [113] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [108] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%50%4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%46%7%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		JB
Pritzker
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%47%6%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Josh
Shapiro
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [108] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%49%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–46%44%10%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [110] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%46%7%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School [169] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%33%45%22%
930 (RV)± 4.2%41% [d] 57%2%
808 (LV)± 4.2%35%46%19%
808 (LV)± 4.2%42% [d] 57%1%
The New York Times/Siena College [198] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%39%52%9%
603 (LV)39%53%8%
Marquette University Law School [177] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%36%41%23%
44% [d] 53%3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
The New York Times/Siena College [198] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%44%48%8%
603 (LV)44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School [177] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%43%42%15%
48% [d] 50%1%
Marquette University Law School [182] June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%45%43%12%
49% [d] 47%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [199] April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%45%10%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin [200]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
1,697,626 49.60% +0.58
Democratic
1,668,22948.74%−0.81
Independent
17,7400.52%N/A
Green
12,2750.36%+0.33
Libertarian
10,5110.31%−0.86
Constitution
4,0440.12%−0.04
Independent
2,7530.08%N/A
Socialism and Liberation
2,0350.06%+0.06
Independent
5610.02%−0.14
Write-in 7,1440.21%+0.02
Total votes3,422,918 100.00% N/A

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Kamala Harris
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 7,76360.26%4,44334.49%6765.25%3,32025.77%12,882
Ashland 4,19146.80%4,61251.50%1521.70%-421-4.70%8,955
Barron 16,72662.39%8,94133.35%1,1424.26%7,78529.04%26,809
Bayfield 4,86043.24%6,10754.33%2732.43%-1,247-11.09%11,240
Brown 79,13252.99%67,93745.49%2,2641.52%11,1957.50%149,333
Buffalo 5,21364.36%2,76534.14%1221.51%2,44830.22%8,100
Burnett 7,00864.83%3,66533.90%1371.27%3,34330.93%10,810
Calumet 19,48859.21%12,92739.27%5011.52%6,56119.94%32,916
Chippewa 23,39960.82%14,57337.88%4991.30%8,82622.94%38,471
Clark 10,48168.32%4,50929.39%3502.28%5,97238.93%15,340
Columbia 17,98851.52%16,38846.94%5381.54%1,6004.58%34,914
Crawford 5,11356.16%3,86042.39%1321.45%1,25313.77%9,105
Dane 85,45423.35%273,99574.88%6,4801.77%-188,541-51.53%365,929
Dodge 33,06765.74%16,51832.84%7151.42%16,54932.90%50,300
Door 10,09948.22%10,56550.44%2801.34%-466-2.22%20,944
Douglas 11,73246.49%13,07351.81%4291.70%-1,341-5.32%25,234
Dunn 14,72657.35%10,64341.45%3091.20%4,08315.90%25,678
Eau Claire 27,72843.89%34,40054.45%1,0491.66%-6,672-10.56%63,177
Florence 2,35674.60%78324.79%190.60%1,57349.81%3,158
Fond du Lac 37,27263.68%20,49535.02%7601.30%16,77728.66%58,527
Forest 3,38266.35%1,68132.98%340.67%1,70133.37%5,097
Grant 15,92258.31%10,96640.16%4181.53%4,95618.15%27,306
Green 10,84349.12%10,90349.39%3301.49%-60-0.27%22,076
Green Lake 7,45867.48%3,44931.21%1451.31%4,00936.27%11,052
Iowa 6,63145.18%7,75052.80%2962.02%-1,119-7.62%14,677
Iron 2,55762.61%1,48736.41%400.98%1,07026.20%4,084
Jackson 6,20459.07%4,15739.58%1411.34%2,04719.49%10,502
Jefferson 28,77157.37%20,57441.03%8011.60%8,19716.34%50,146
Juneau 9,52565.45%4,85433.35%1741.20%4,67132.10%14,553
Kenosha 47,47852.36%41,82646.12%1,3761.52%5,6526.24%90,680
Kewaunee 8,26766.22%4,05932.51%1581.27%4,20833.71%12,484
La Crosse 32,24744.63%39,00853.98%1,0061.39%-6,761-9.35%72,261
Lafayette 5,25659.51%3,46939.28%1071.21%1,78720.23%8,832
Langlade 7,78266.72%3,74632.12%1361.17%4,03634.60%11,664
Lincoln 10,63361.79%6,30636.64%2701.57%4,32725.15%17,209
Manitowoc 28,20060.89%17,39937.57%7171.55%10,80123.32%46,316
Marathon 46,21358.63%31,52940.00%1,0841.38%14,68418.63%78,826
Marinette 16,67068.28%7,41530.37%3301.35%9,25537.91%24,415
Marquette 6,04164.08%3,25234.50%1341.42%2,78929.58%9,427
Menominee 29618.83%1,26680.53%100.64%-970-61.70%1,572
Milwaukee 138,02229.74%316,29268.15%9,7932.11%-178,270-38.41%464,107
Monroe 14,56362.32%8,47636.27%3301.41%6,08726.05%23,369
Oconto 17,67570.95%6,96727.97%2701.08%10,70842.98%24,912
Oneida 14,45558.06%10,08040.49%3601.45%4,37517.57%24,895
Outagamie 60,82754.34%49,43844.17%1,6671.49%11,38910.17%111,932
Ozaukee 34,50454.36%27,87443.92%1,0941.72%6,63010.44%63,472
Pepin 2,79864.26%1,52334.98%330.76%1,27529.28%4,354
Pierce 14,41756.78%10,17140.06%8043.17%4,24616.72%25,392
Polk 18,29664.83%9,56733.90%3591.27%8,72930.93%28,222
Portage 20,98748.52%21,50349.71%7681.78%-516-1.19%43,258
Price 5,76365.07%3,00533.93%880.99%2,75831.14%8,856
Racine 56,34752.33%49,72146.17%1,6181.50%6,6266.16%107,686
Richland 5,20755.85%3,98542.74%1311.41%1,22213.11%9,323
Rock 40,21845.54%46,64252.82%1,4501.64%-6,424-7.28%88,310
Rusk 5,66068.44%2,51630.42%941.14%3,14438.02%8,270
St. Croix 35,53758.60%23,87039.36%1,2352.04%11,66719.24%60,642
Sauk 18,79850.02%18,17248.35%6141.63%6261.67%37,584
Sawyer 6,42257.65%4,59941.28%1191.07%1,82316.37%11,140
Shawano 15,85067.45%7,33631.22%3141.34%8,51436.23%23,500
Sheboygan 38,76357.37%27,73541.05%1,0641.57%11,02816.32%67,562
Taylor 8,20973.39%2,82325.24%1541.38%5,38648.15%11,186
Trempealeau 9,66160.08%6,21938.68%1991.24%3,44221.40%16,079
Vernon 8,80753.03%7,51445.24%2881.73%1,2937.79%16,609
Vilas 9,83760.97%6,11937.92%1791.11%3,71823.05%16,135
Walworth 36,60360.40%23,16138.22%8331.37%13,44222.18%60,597
Washburn 6,96263.42%3,86735.22%1491.36%3,09528.20%10,978
Washington 61,60467.40%28,50431.18%1,2991.42%33,10036.22%91,407
Waukesha 162,76859.02%108,47839.33%4,5411.65%54,29019.69%275,787
Waupaca 20,09366.09%9,94732.72%3631.19%10,14633.37%30,403
Waushara 9,62567.01%4,57131.82%1671.16%5,05435.19%14,363
Winnebago 49,17951.57%44,66046.83%1,5321.61%4,5194.74%95,371
Wood 24,99759.21%16,59939.32%6201.47%8,39819.89%42,216
Totals1,697,62649.60%1,668,22948.74%57,0631.67%29,3970.86%3,422,918

County that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Wisconsin County Swings in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg
Wisconsin County Flips in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts. [201]

DistrictHarrisTrumpRepresentative
1st 46.89%51.39% Bryan Steil
2nd 69.16%29.12% Mark Pocan
3rd 45.46%52.84% Derrick Van Orden
4th 74.68%23.28% Gwen Moore
5th 38.15%60.24% Scott L. Fitzgerald
6th 41.02%57.46% Glenn Grothman
7th 37.94%60.40% Tom Tiffany
8th 41.17%57.40% Tony Wied

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Candidate has suspended campaign, but will stay on the ballot.
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 3%
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 "Other" with 2%
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Someone else" with 1%
  8. 1 2 "Another Candidate" with 1%
  9. 1 2 3 "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
  10. ↑ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
  11. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  12. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. ↑ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  14. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  17. ↑ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  18. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  19. 1 2 Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  20. ↑ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  21. ↑ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
  22. ↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
  23. ↑ "Another candidate" with 12%
  24. ↑ "Another candidate" with 11%
  25. ↑ "Another candidate" with 13%
  26. ↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
  27. ↑ No Labels candidate
  28. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  29. 1 2 3 4 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  30. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  31. 1 2 Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  32. ↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  33. 1 2 Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 12%
  35. ↑ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.
  36. ↑ Sonski and Onak were nominated by the American Solidarity Party, but registered as independent write-in candidates because the party was not recognized by the Wisconsin Secretary of State.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for The Times , Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  4. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  6. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  7. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
  9. ↑ Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  10. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  12. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
  13. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by AARP
  14. 1 2 Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
  16. 1 2 Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  18. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  19. 1 2 Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  20. ↑ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  24. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  25. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  26. ↑ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
  27. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  28. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  29. ↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  30. 1 2 Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  31. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  32. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  33. 1 2 Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  34. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  35. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  36. ↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  37. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

References

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  155. 1 2 Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
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  162. 1 2 McHenry, Jon; Judy, Dan (April 10, 2024). "Key Findings from Survey of Wisconsin Likely Voters". League of American Workers. Archived from the original on April 17, 2024.
  163. 1 2 "The Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey" (PDF). The Wall Street Journal. April 2, 2024.
  164. ↑ "The Heritage Foundation Focus 2024 Survey" (PDF). The Heritage Foundation. April 15, 2024.
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  167. 1 2 Korte, Gregory (February 29, 2024). "Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
  168. ↑ "Trump-Noem Ticket is Preferred Presidential Pairing Among Wisconsin Voters in New Poll" (PDF). Dropbox . February 26, 2024.
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  171. ↑ Kanagasooriam, James (February 20, 2024). "Bi_Focal #12: How Biden can still beat Trump". Focaldata.
  172. ↑ Fabian, Jordan; Korte, Gregory (January 31, 2024). "Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
  173. ↑ Cook, Nancy; Haque, Jennah; Korte, Gregory; Lu, Denise; Mejía, Elena (December 14, 2023). "Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
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  175. ↑ Korte, Gregory; Marlow, Iain (November 9, 2023). "Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
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  178. ↑ Cook, Nancy; Korte, Gregory (October 19, 2023). "Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
  179. ↑ Mumford, Camille (October 12, 2023). "Wisconsin 2024 Poll: Trump and Biden on Track for Another Close Election". Emerson Polling.
  180. ↑ "NEW POLLING: Biden Leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; Impeachment of Biden Unpopular with Voters". Save My Country Action Fund. September 28, 2023.
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  183. ↑ Glauber, Bill (April 24, 2023). "Early poll sizes up the 2024 strengths of Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump in Wisconsin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel .
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  186. ↑ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (November 21, 2021). "TRUMP "RUNNING THE TABLE" AGAINST BIDEN IN FIVE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES; BIDEN INFRASTRUCTURE AND BBB PLANS FLOP WITH THESE VOTERS". Politico .
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  188. ↑ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16-18 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 21, 2024.
  189. ↑ "Wisconsin Presidential General Election Survey July 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. July 18, 2024.
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  193. ↑ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling" (PDF). Morning Consult. December 14, 2023.
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  195. ↑ "Trump's Lead Expands in Battlegrounds as Voters View Biden as Too Old" (PDF). Building America's Future. June 26, 2024.
  196. ↑ Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (November 7, 2023). "What's Behind Kennedy's Poll Numbers? Voters Dread a Trump-Biden Rematch". The New York Times– via NYTimes.com.
  197. ↑ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines" (PDF). Morning Consult. November 9, 2023.
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  199. ↑ "Poll favors DeSantis over Trump head to head with Biden in Wisconsin". archive.ph. April 24, 2023. Archived from the original on April 24, 2023.
  200. ↑ WEC (November 27, 2024). "WEC Canvass Reporting System County by County Report 2024 General Election" (PDF).
  201. ↑ "Ward by Ward Report by Congressional District_November 5 2024 General Election_Federal and State Contests". Wisconsin Elections Commission . 2024. Archived from the original on November 30, 2024. Spreadsheet download
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