2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

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2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
Flag of Wisconsin.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
  Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Projected electoral vote100
Popular vote1,697,2981,667,881
Percentage49.64%48.78%
Wisconsin Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 U.S. Presidential election in Wisconsin by Congressional District.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [1]

Contents

A former Blue Wall state in the Upper Midwest partly located in the Rust Belt, Wisconsin is a clearly purple state today. In 2016, Donald Trump very narrowly won Wisconsin by 0.77% in his surprise sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt, becoming the first Republican since Reagan in his 1984 landslide to win the state's electoral votes; but in 2020, Democrat Joe Biden flipped Wisconsin back into the Democratic column by an even more narrow 0.63%. Given the state's competitive electoral history coupled with its nearly even partisan lean, Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup. [2]

The Wisconsin Green Party has attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020. [3] Milwaukee is set to recount 34,000 ballots in the city due to a "human error" issue. [4]

This was the third consecutive election where Wisconsin was decided by less than one percentage point, the longest such streak for any state. The state had the closest presidential race of all states considering percentage of difference and second-closest margin regarding raw votes after New Hampshire, third-closest margin if Nebraska's 2nd congressional district is included. It also marked the first time since 1988 in which Wisconsin was the most Democratic-leaning of the three Rust Belt swing states (including Michigan and Pennsylvania). Trump’s victory made him the first Republican candidate to carry Wisconsin twice since Ronald Reagan did so in 1980 and 1984. He also received nearly 1.7 million votes which was a record for votes cast for a candidate in the history of the state.

Democratic U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin was reelected on the same ballot. This was the first time that Wisconsin voted for candidates of different political parties for U.S. senator and president since Democrat Gaylord Nelson was reelected as Republican Richard Nixon carried the state in 1968.

With this election, Door County lost its longstanding bellwether status by voting for the losing candidate for the first time since 1992. Trump is the first Republican to ever win without Door County. Despite her loss, this was Harris's best performance among the seven swing states, and unlike in 2016 or 2020, Wisconsin actually voted to the left of the country as a whole by slightly under one point (the victory margin for Trump was less than that of America as a whole). As of 2024, Wisconsin has together with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the longest-running active streak among states of voting for the winning presidential candidate, having done so in the latest five presidential elections.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 2, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)512,37988.6%8282
Uninstructed 48,3738.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)17,7303.1%
Total:578,482100.0%821395

Republican primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Wisconsin Republican primary, April 2, 2024 [6]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 477,10378.97%4100
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)76,84112.72%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)20,1243.33%000
Uninstructed 13,0572.16%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)9,7711.62%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)5,2000.86%000
Write-ins 2,0810.34%000
Total:604,177100.00%41041

General election

Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee decorated to host the 2024 Republican National Convention Fiserv Forum RNC prep IMG 1958 (1).jpg
Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee decorated to host the 2024 Republican National Convention

Campaign

Convention

The Republican Party held their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket. [7] [8] This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention. The Democratic National Convention was selected for Milwaukee in 2020 but much of the convention activity was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. [9]

Candidates

The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot: [10]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [11] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Lean DNovember 4, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [13] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNN [14] TossupNovember 4, 2024
CNalysis [15] Lean DNovember 4, 2024
The Economist [16] TossupNovember 4, 2024
538 [17] TossupNovember 4, 2024
Inside Elections [18] TossupNovember 4, 2024
NBC News [19] TossupNovember 4, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
[b] 		Margin
270ToWin October 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.8%47.7%3.5%Harris +1.1%
538 through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.3%47.3%4.4%Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.7%47.7%3.6%Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.4%48.7%2.9%Trump +0.3%
Average48.6%47.9%3.5%Harris +0.7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [20] November 3–4, 2024869 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Research Co. [21] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%49%46%5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [22] November 1–3, 20241,086 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%5% [d]
Patriot Polling [23] November 1–3, 2024835 (RV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [24] November 1–2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3% [e]
AtlasIntel [25] November 1–2, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%49%50%1%
Emerson College [26] October 30 – November 2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%49%2% [f]
50% [g] 50%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [27] October 25 – November 2, 2024798 (RV)± 3.5%49%48%3% [h]
786 (LV)49%48%3% [h]
New York Times/Siena College [28] October 25 – November 2, 20241,305 (RV)± 3.5%49%47%4%
1,305 (LV)49%47%4%
ActiVote [29] October 10 – November 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%51%49%–
AtlasIntel [30] October 30–31, 2024673 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [31] October 29–31, 2024800 (LV)–47%48%5%
YouGov [32] [A] October 25–31, 2024889 (RV)± 4.5%51%47%2%
876 (LV)51%47%2%
Morning Consult [33] October 22−31, 2024540 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%3%
TIPP Insights [34] [B] October 28–30, 20241,038 (RV)± 3.5%48%46%6%
831 (LV)48%48%4%
Marist College [35] October 27–30, 20241,444 (RV)± 3.3%50%48%2% [i]
1,330 (LV)± 3.4%50%48%2% [i]
Echelon Insights [36] October 27–30, 2024600 (LV)± 4.5%49%49%2%
Quantus Insights (R) [37] [C] October 28–29, 2024637 (LV)± 3.8%49%49%2%
SoCal Strategies (R) [38] [D] October 28–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [39] [E] October 25–29, 2024818 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%3% [e]
AtlasIntel [40] October 25–29, 20241,470 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
CNN/SSRS [41] October 23–28, 2024736 (LV)± 4.8%51%45%4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [42] October 26–27, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3% [e]
CES/YouGov [43] October 1–25, 20241,552 (A)–51%46%3%
1,542 (LV)50%47%3%
Marquette University Law School [44] October 16–24, 2024834 (RV)± 4.4%48%46%6%
51% [g] 49%–
753 (LV)48%47%5%
50% [g] 49%1%
Emerson College [45] [F] October 21–22, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3% [f]
49% [g] 50%1% [f]
Quinnipiac University [46] October 17–21, 20241,108 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [47] October 18−20, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%47%47%6% [e]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [48] October 16–20, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
624 (LV)48%48%4%
The Bullfinch Group [49] October 11−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%47%3%
48%46%7% [j]
AtlasIntel [50] October 12–17, 2024932 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%
RMG Research [51] [G] October 10−16, 2024787 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3% [k]
49% [g] 50%1%
Morning Consult [33] October 6−15, 2024527 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%
Washington Post/Schar School [52] September 30 – October 15, 2024695 (RV)± 4.6%50%46%4%
695 (LV)50%47%3%
Patriot Polling [53] October 12–14, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [54] [E] October 9–14, 20241,004 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [55] October 8–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4% [d]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [56] [H] October 6–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3%
Emerson College [57] October 5–8, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2% [f]
49% [g] 50%1% [f]
Wall Street Journal [58] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%48%48%4%
Research Co. [59] October 5–7, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%47%45%8% [l]
50% [g] 48%2% [l]
Quinnipiac University [60] October 3–7, 20241,073 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%
Arc Insights [61] [I] October 2–6, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%47%48%5%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [62] [J] September 24 – October 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%46%47%7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [63] September 28–30, 20241,079 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7% [d]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [64] [K] September 23–29, 2024408 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%
ActiVote [65] August 29 – September 29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%–
New York Times/Siena College [66] September 21–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%
680 (LV)49%47%4%
Marquette University Law School [67] September 18–26, 2024882 (RV)± 4.4%50%45%5%
52% [g] 48%–
798 (LV)50%45%5%
52% [g] 48%–
AtlasIntel [68] September 20–25, 20241,077 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [69] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–49%47%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [70] September 19–25, 2024849 (RV)± 3.0%50%48%2%
785 (LV)51%48%1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies [71] [L] September 19–23, 2024400 (LV)–51%45%4%
RMG Research [72] [G] September 17–23, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%50%49%1% [f]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [73] [E] September 19−22, 20241,071 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%1%
Emerson College [74] September 15–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3% [f]
49% [g] 50%1% [f]
MassINC Polling Group [75] [M] September 12−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.8%53%46%1%
Morning Consult [33] September 9−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6%
Marist College [76] September 12−17, 20241,312 (RV)± 3.5%50%47%3% [m]
1,194 (LV)± 3.6%50%49%1% [i]
Quinnipiac University [77] September 12–16, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [78] [N] September 11–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%48%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [79] September 11–12, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%49%47%4% [n]
Morning Consult [33] August 30 – September 8, 2024638 (LV)± 4.0%49%46%5%
co/efficient (R) [80] September 4–6, 2024917 (LV)± 3.2%47%47%6%
CBS News/YouGov [81] September 3–6, 2024946 (LV)± 4.0%51%49%–
Marquette University Law School [82] August 28 – September 5, 2024822 (RV)± 4.6%49%45%6%
52% [g] 48%–
738 (LV)± 4.7%49%44%7%
52% [g] 48%–
Patriot Polling [83] September 1–3, 2024826 (RV)–48%48%4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [84] August 28–30, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7% [d]
Emerson College [85] August 25–28, 2024850 (LV)± 3.3%48%49%3%
49% [g] 50%1% [f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [86] August 23–26, 2024648 (LV)± 4.0%53%44%3%
701 (RV)52%44%4%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov [87] [O] August 15–23, 2024500 (A)± 5.3%48%42%10% [o]
– (LV)± 5.9%51%46%3%
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies [88] [P] August 19–21, 2024600 (LV)–48%45%7%
Fabrizio Ward (R) [89] [Q] August 19–21, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%45%6%
Spry Strategies (R) [90] [R] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%7%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [91] [S] August 13–19, 20241,099 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%5%
Focaldata [92] August 6–16, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%52%48%–
Quantus Insights (R) [93] [C] August 14–15, 2024601 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
TIPP Insights [94] [B] August 12–14, 20241,015 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%7%
976 (LV)47%47%6%
The Bullfinch Group [95] [T] August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%51%42%7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [96] August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–48%49%3%
Navigator Research (D) [97] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%48%4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [98] July 26 – August 8, 2024404 (LV)–49%46%5%
New York Times/Siena College [99] August 5–8, 2024661 (RV)± 4.3%50%46%4%
661 (LV)50%46%3%
August 6, 2024Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [100] [G] July 31 – August 5, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%7%
Marquette University Law School [101] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%47%44%9%
49% [g] 50%1%
801 (LV)± 4.8%49%45%6%
50% [g] 49%1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [102] [U] July 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [103] July 24–28, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%
Fox News [104] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%
Emerson College [105] July 22–23, 2024845 (RV)± 3.3%47%47%6%
51% [g] 49%–
July 21, 2024Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–48%49%3%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [107] [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [108] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%41%49%10%
Emerson College [109] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
New York Times/Siena College [110] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%46%47%7%
603 (LV)46%48%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel [20] November 3–4, 2024869 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%–1%0%1% [n]
AtlasIntel [25] November 1–2, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%–1%0%2% [n]
New York Times/Siena College [28] October 25 – November 2, 20241,305 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%0%2%0%5%
1,305 (LV)48%45%0%1%0%6%
Focaldata [111] October 3 – November 1, 20241,799 (LV)–50%47%–0%1%2%
1,613 (RV)± 2.3%51%46%–1%1%1%
1,799 (A)–49%46%–1%1%3%
AtlasIntel [30] October 30–31, 2024673 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%–1%0%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [112] October 28–31, 2024932 (LV)–48%47%–0%1%4%
YouGov [32] [A] October 25–31, 2024889 (RV)± 4.5%48%45%0%3%–4%
876 (LV)49%45%0%2%–4%
AtlasIntel [40] October 25–29, 20241,470 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%–1%1%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [113] October 25–27, 2024746 (LV)–49%47%–0%1%3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [114] October 20–22, 2024557 (LV)–49%47%–0%1%3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [115] [W] October 19–22, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%–0%1%4% [n]
Quinnipiac University [46] October 17–21, 20241,108 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%0%0%0%4% [p]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [48] October 16–20, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%47%47%–1%3%2%
624 (LV)47%47%–1%3%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [116] October 16–18, 2024622 (LV)–47%46%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [117] October 12–14, 2024641 (LV)–48%47%–1%1%3%
Quinnipiac University [60] October 3–7, 20241,073 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%0%1%1%4% [p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [118] September 27 – October 2, 2024533 (LV)–47%46%–0%1%6%
New York Times/Siena College [66] September 21–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%48%45%–1%2%4%
680 (LV)48%46%–1%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [70] September 19–25, 2024849 (RV)± 3.0%49%47%–1%2%1%
785 (LV)50%47%–0%1%2%
Remington Research Group (R) [119] [X] September 16–20, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%48%1%0%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [120] September 16–19, 2024600 (LV)–47%47%–0%0%6%
Quinnipiac University [77] September 12–16, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%0%1%1%3% [p]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [121] September 6–9, 2024626 (LV)–49%46%–0%1%4%
YouGov [122] [A] August 23 – September 3, 2024900 (RV)± 4.1%47%44%1%1%–7% [e]
CNN/SSRS [123] August 23–29, 2024976 (LV)± 4.4%50%44%0%2%2%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [124] August 25–28, 2024672 (LV)–48%44%–0%0%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [86] August 23–26, 2024648 (LV)± 4.0%52%44%–1%1%2%
701 (RV)51%44%–1%1%3%


Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		 Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr. [q]
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Others/
Undecided
[r] 		Margin
Race to the WH through October 7, 2024October 13, 202447.7%46.3%1.5%0.9%0.2%1.1%2.3%Harris +1.4%
270toWin October 2 – 11, 2024October 11, 202447.0%45.7%2.5%0.3%0.6%0.8%3.1%Harris +1.3%
Average47.4%46.0%2.0%0.6%0.4%1.0%2.6%Harris +1.4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
TIPP Insights [34] [B] October 28–30, 20241,038 (RV)± 3.5%46%44%3%1%1%–5%
831 (LV)48%47%3%1%1%––
Echelon Insights [36] October 27–30, 2024600 (LV)± 4.5%48%48%0%0%1%0%3%
CNN/SSRS [125] October 23–28, 2024736 (LV)± 4.8%51%45%1%0%1%0%2%
Marquette University Law School [44] October 16–24, 2024834 (RV)± 4.4%46%43%5%1%1%2%2% [p]
753 (LV)46%44%5%1%1%2%1% [p]
USA Today/Suffolk University [126] [127] October 20–23, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%48%1%0%1%0%3% [p]
AtlasIntel [50] October 12–17, 2024932 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%1%–0%1%1%
Wall Street Journal [58] September 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%46%45%3%1%0%0%5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [64] [K] September 23–29, 2024408 (LV)± 4.9%46%45%2%1%0%1%5%
Marquette University Law School [67] September 18–26, 2024882 (RV)± 4.4%48%44%3%0%1%1%3% [s]
798 (LV)49%44%3%0%1%1%2% [s]
AtlasIntel [68] September 20–25, 20241,077 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%0%0%1%1%–
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [69] September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–48%46%0%1%2%–3%
MassINC Polling Group [75] [M] September 12−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.8%51%45%1%0%1%0%2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [78] [N] September 11–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%2%0%1%0%4% [t]
Marquette University Law School [82] August 28 – September 5, 2024822 (RV)± 4.6%47%43%6%1%1%1%1%
738 (LV)± 4.7%48%43%6%1%1%1%1% [u]
Z to A Research (D) [128] [Y] August 23–26, 2024518 (LV)–47%47%2%–0%1%3%
YouGov [87] [O] August 15–23, 2024500 (A)± 5.3%45%40%4%1%1%0%9% [v]
– (LV)± 5.9%49%45%1%1%0%0%4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [91] [S] August 13–19, 20241,099 (LV)± 3.0%46%46%4%1%1%0%2%
Focaldata [92] August 6–16, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%50%44%4%–1%0%1%
700 (RV)50%42%5%–1%0%2%
700 (A)50%43%5%–1%0%1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [129] August 12–15, 2024469 (LV)–48%44%3%–0%0%5%
The Bullfinch Group [95] [T] August 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%49%40%3%1%1%–6%
New York Times/Siena College [99] August 5–8, 2024661 (RV)± 4.3%49%42%6%0%1%1%2%
661 (LV)49%43%5%0%1%1%2%
Navigator Research (D) [97] July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%5%1%1%1%2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [98] July 26 – August 8, 2024404 (LV)–48%43%5%1%0%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [130] July 31 – August 3, 2024597 (LV)–43%43%3%–0%0%11%
Marquette University Law School [101] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%45%43%8%0%1%1%2%
801 (LV)± 4.8%46%45%6%0%1%1%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [103] July 24–28, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%44%45%6%–0%3%2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [131] July 22–24, 2024523 (LV)–44%44%5%–1%1%5%
Fox News [104] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%46%5%1%1%–1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R) [90] [R] August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%42%3%2%7%
Emerson College [105] July 22–23, 2024845 (RV)± 3.3%45%45%3%1%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R) [89] [Q] August 19–21, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%47%42%4%7%
Civiqs [132] [Y] July 13–16, 2024514 (RV)± 4.8%48%48%2%2%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School [101] July 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%42%47%11%
801 (LV)± 4.8%44%47%9%
Emerson College [133] [Z] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%48%9%
Public Policy Polling (D) [134] [AA] July 11–12, 2024653 (V)± 3.8%47%46%7%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [135] [AB] July 5–12, 20241,020 (LV)± 3.0%46%48%6%
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%47%6%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [107] [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Echelon Insights [136] [AC] July 1–8, 2024617 (LV)± 4.7%45%47%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [137] July 1–5, 2024695 (RV)± 4.0%47%44%9%
SoCal Strategies (R) [138] [AD] June 30 – July 2, 2024490 (RV)± 4.4%43%44%13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [139] [N] June 28 – July 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%50%5%
Emerson College [140] [Z] June 30 – July 2, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
Remington Research Group (R) [141] June 29 – July 1, 2024593 (LV)± 4.0%43%49%8%
Marquette University Law School [142] June 12–20, 2024871 (RV)± 4.6%44%44%12%
50% [g] 50%–
784 (LV)± 4.9%47%44%9%
51% [g] 49%–
Emerson College [143] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%
49% [g] 51%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [144] May 30–31, 2024338 (RV)± 5.3%40%38%22% [w]
290 (LV)40%41%19% [x]
KAConsulting (R) [145] [AE] May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–45%45%10%
Prime Group [146] [AF] May 9–16, 2024488 (RV)–51%49%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [108] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%46%47%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [147] May 6–13, 2024503 (LV)± 4.4%45%45%9%
New York Times/Siena College [148] April 28 – May 9, 2024614 (RV)± 4.0%47%45%8%
614 (LV)46%47%7%
Quinnipiac University [149] May 2–6, 20241,457 (RV)± 2.6%50%44%6%
Emerson College [150] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%47%8%
48% [g] 52%–
Kaplan Strategies [151] April 20–21, 2024802 (RV)± 3.5%38%48%14%
John Zogby Strategies [152] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–46%48%6%
CBS News/YouGov [153] April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%49%50%1%
Fox News [154] April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%48%48%4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [155] April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School [156] April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%44%47%9%
49% [g] 51%–
736 (LV)± 5.0%45%48%7%
49% [g] 51%–
North Star Opinion Research (R) [157] [AH] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%45%45%10%
Wall Street Journal [158] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%46%46%8%
Echelon Insights [159] [AI] March 12–19, 2024400 (LV)± 5.5%47%46%7%
Emerson College [160] March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%11%
48% [g] 52%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [161] March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [162] February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%42%46%12%
Emerson College [109] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%13%
Kaplan Strategies [163] February 23, 2024941 (RV)± 3.2%39%41%20%
Marquette University Law School [164] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%44%44%12%
49% [g] 49%2%
808 (LV)44%46%10%
49% [g] 50%1%
Fox News [165] January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%47%47%6%
Focaldata [166] January 17–23, 2024863 (A)–38%43%19% [y]
– (LV)42%46%12% [z]
49% [g] 51%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [167] January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%44%49%7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [168] November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%41%45%14%
J.L. Partners [169] [AJ] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%45%41%14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [170] October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%46%47%7%
Emerson College [171] October 30 - November 4, 20231,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%44%13%
819 (LV)45%45%10%
New York Times/Siena College [110] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%47%45%8%
603 (LV)47%45%8%
Marquette University Law School [172] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%45%42%13%
50% [g] 48%1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [173] October 5–10, 2023700 (RV)± 4.0%44%46%10%
Emerson College [174] October 1–4, 2023532 (RV)± 4.2%40%42%19%
Public Policy Polling (D) [175] [AK] September 25–26, 2023673 (RV)± 3.8%48%44%8%
Prime Group [176] [AF] June 14–28, 2023500 (RV)–53%47%–
500 (RV)–37%40%23% [aa]
Marquette University Law School [177] June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%48%38%14%
52% [g] 43%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [178] April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%9%
Emerson College [179] October 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%44%43%13%
Emerson College [180] September 16–18, 2022860 (LV)± 3.3%45%44%11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [181] [H] November 11–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%52%6%
Marquette University Law School [182] October 26–31, 2021805 (RV)± 3.9%45%41%14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [183] July 16–18, 2024470 (LV)–42%42%6%–1%9% [ab]
Trafalgar Group (R) [184] July 15–17, 20241,087 (LV)± 2.9%43%46%3%0%1%7%
Emerson College [133] [Z] July 15–16, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%43%46%4%0%1%6% [ac]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [135] [AB] July 5–12, 20241,020 (LV)± 3.0%42%45%7%0%1%5% [ac]
YouGov [185] [A] July 4–12, 2024900 (RV)± 4.1%38%43%4%1%1%13%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [B] July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%38%11%–3%12% [ad]
Echelon Insights [136] [AC] July 1–8, 2024617 (LV)± 4.7%42%43%6%1%2%6% [ae]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [137] July 1–5, 2024695 (RV)± 4.0%41%39%10%1%1%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [139] [N] June 28 – July 2, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%38%44%9%–3%6% [ac]
Marquette University Law School [142] June 12–20, 2024871 (RV)± 4.6%40%43%8%4%2%3% [ae]
784 (LV)± 4.9%42%44%7%3%2%2% [ac]
Emerson College [143] June 13–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%42%44%6%0%1%7%
J.L. Partners [186] June 5–10, 2024500 (LV)± 4.3%44%44%5%0%0%6%
KAConsulting (R) [145] [AE] May 15–19, 2024600 (RV)–42%42%7%1%2%6% [af]
Prime Group [146] [AF] May 9–16, 2024488 (RV)–44%44%7%3%2%–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [108] May 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%42%43%6%1%1%7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [147] May 6–13, 2024503 (LV)± 4.4%41%41%9%1%1%7%
New York Times/Siena College [148] April 28 – May 9, 2024614 (RV)± 4.0%38%38%9%0%1%14% [ag]
614 (LV)39%40%8%0%0%13% [ag]
Quinnipiac University [149] May 2–6, 20241,457 (RV)± 2.6%40%39%12%1%4%4%
Emerson College [150] April 25–29, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%45%6%1%1%7%
Fox News [154] April 11–16, 20241,198 (RV)± 3.0%43%41%9%2%2%3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [155] April 8–15, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%41%44%8%1%1%5%
Marquette University Law School [156] April 3–10, 2024814 (RV)± 4.8%40%41%13%3%2%1%
736 (LV)± 5.0%41%42%12%3%1%1%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [157] [AH] April 6–9, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%36%37%13%2%4%9%
Wall Street Journal [158] March 17–24, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%41%38%10%1%1%9%
Emerson College [160] March 14–18, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%40%43%6%1%1%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [161] March 8–14, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%39%41%10%1%1%8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [162] February 12–20, 2024702 (RV)± 4.0%35%41%10%1%1%12%
Emerson College [109] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%37%41%7%1%1%13%
Marquette University Law School [164] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%37%40%16%2%4%1%
808 (LV)39%41%13%2%4%1%
Fox News [165] January 26–30, 20241,172 (RV)± 3.0%39%42%7%1%2%11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [187] January 16–21, 2024697 (RV)± 4.0%35%43%10%0%2%10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [188] November 27 – December 6, 2023681 (RV)± 4.0%34%40%10%1%3%13%
J.L. Partners [169] [AJ] November 27 – December 1, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%42%37%7%1%1%12% [ah]

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Civiqs [132] [Y] July 13–16, 2024514 (RV)± 4.8%47%47%3%3%
P2 Insights [189] [AL] June 11–20, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%42%45%4%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [144] May 30–31, 2024338 (RV)± 5.3%38%31%13%18%
290 (LV)40%35%12%13%
P2 Insights [190] [AL] May 13−21, 2024650 (LV)± 3.8%42%44%7%7%
New York Times/Siena College [191] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%37%35%22%6%
603 (LV)37%35%21%7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [192] October 30 – November 7, 2023675 (RV)± 4.0%36%38%13%2%11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov [153] April 19–25, 20241,226 (LV)± 3.2%44%48%8%0%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [152] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–42%48%10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [152] [AG] April 13–21, 2024518 (LV)–41%41%18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–48%48%4%
Emerson College [109] February 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%36%45%19%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [104] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%50%4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%46%7%

JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		JB
Pritzker
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%47%6%

Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Josh
Shapiro
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Fox News [104] July 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%46%49%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–46%44%10%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [106] [V] July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–47%46%7%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School [164] January 24–31, 2024930 (RV)± 4.2%33%45%22%
930 (RV)± 4.2%41% [g] 57%2%
808 (LV)± 4.2%35%46%19%
808 (LV)± 4.2%42% [g] 57%1%
New York Times/Siena College [193] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%39%52%9%
603 (LV)39%53%8%
Marquette University Law School [172] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%36%41%23%
44% [g] 53%3%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College [193] October 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%44%48%8%
603 (LV)44%48%8%
Marquette University Law School [172] October 26 – November 2, 2023908 (RV)± 4.5%43%42%15%
48% [g] 50%1%
Marquette University Law School [177] June 8–13, 2023913 (RV)± 4.3%45%43%12%
49% [g] 47%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [194] April 17–20, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%45%10%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin [195]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
Democratic
Libertarian
Green
Constitution
Socialism and Liberation
Independent
Independent
Write-in
Total votes

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts. [196]

DistrictHarrisTrumpRepresentative
1st 47%51% Bryan Steil
2nd 69%29% Mark Pocan
3rd 46%53% Derrick Van Orden
4th 75%23% Gwen Moore
5th 38%60% Scott L. Fitzgerald
6th 41%57% Glenn Grothman
7th 38%60% Tom Tiffany
8th 41%57% Tony Wied

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Candidate has suspended campaign, but will stay on the ballot.
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 3%
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Other" with 2%
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Someone else" with 1%
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. 1 2 "Another Candidate" with 1%
  9. 1 2 3 "Another Party's Candidate" with 1%
  10. ↑ "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
  11. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  12. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. ↑ "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
  14. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 1%
  15. ↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
  17. ↑ Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
  18. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  19. 1 2 Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
  20. ↑ Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  21. ↑ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
  22. ↑ "Will not vote" with 4%
  23. ↑ "Another candidate" with 12%
  24. ↑ "Another candidate" with 11%
  25. ↑ "Another candidate" with 13%
  26. ↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
  27. ↑ No Labels candidate
  28. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  29. 1 2 3 4 Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  30. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  31. 1 2 Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  32. ↑ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  33. 1 2 Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 12%
  35. ↑ Listed on the ballot without party affiliation.

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for The Times , Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  4. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
  6. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  7. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  8. ↑ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
  9. ↑ Poll conducted for the Article III Project
  10. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
  12. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
  13. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by AARP
  14. 1 2 Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
  16. 1 2 Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  17. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  18. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  19. 1 2 Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  20. ↑ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
  24. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  25. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  26. ↑ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
  27. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  28. 1 2 Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  29. ↑ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  30. 1 2 Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  31. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
  32. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  33. 1 2 Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  34. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  35. 1 2 Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
  36. ↑ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  37. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Nevada</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New York</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Ohio had 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Texas</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election</span>

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

References

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  130. ↑ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
  131. ↑ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
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  137. 1 2 Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (July 6, 2024). "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". Bloomberg– via www.bloomberg.com.
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  145. 1 2 "Vapor Technology Association Wisconsin Crosstabs" (PDF). Vapor Technology Association. July 8, 2024.
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  175. ↑ "NEW POLLING: Biden Leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; Impeachment of Biden Unpopular with Voters". Save My Country Action Fund. September 28, 2023.
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  181. ↑ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (November 21, 2021). "TRUMP "RUNNING THE TABLE" AGAINST BIDEN IN FIVE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES; BIDEN INFRASTRUCTURE AND BBB PLANS FLOP WITH THESE VOTERS". Politico .
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  188. ↑ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling" (PDF). Morning Consult. December 14, 2023.
  189. ↑ Lim, Naomi (June 27, 2024). "Age and economy top concerns of battleground state voters in pre-debate poll". The Washington Examiner .
  190. ↑ "Trump's Lead Expands in Battlegrounds as Voters View Biden as Too Old" (PDF). Building America's Future. June 26, 2024.
  191. ↑ Epstein, Reid J.; Igielnik, Ruth; Baker, Camille (November 7, 2023). "What's Behind Kennedy's Poll Numbers? Voters Dread a Trump-Biden Rematch". The New York Times– via NYTimes.com.
  192. ↑ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines" (PDF). Morning Consult. November 9, 2023.
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  194. ↑ "Poll favors DeSantis over Trump head to head with Biden in Wisconsin". archive.ph. April 24, 2023.
  195. ↑ Carter, Dylan Hunter (August 27, 2024). "Wisconsin's 2024 Presidential ballot is set". WTMJ. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  196. ↑ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZHx5E0-5vuXxcZShBgsAl_vwAntkkanGqYQp0owNjoQ/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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