2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Wisconsin.svg
  2016 April 7, 2020 2024  
  IL
AK  

97 delegates (84 pledged, 13 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count5628
Popular vote581,463293,441
Percentage62.9%31.7%

Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden
Pledged national
convention
delegates
TypeDel.
CD1 6
CD2 11
CD3 6
CD4 9
CD5 6
CD6 6
CD7 5
CD8 6
PLEO10
At-large19
Total pledged delegates84

The 2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary took place on April 7, 2020, in the midst of the global COVID-19 pandemic, along with the Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice election, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Wisconsin primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 97 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 84 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary. Although all forms of voting had to take place on or until April 7, full results were not allowed to be released before April 13, in accordance with a district court ruling. [1]

Contents

As of the primary on April 7, former vice president Joe Biden and senator Bernie Sanders were the only candidates left in the race. Even though results were only released six days later, Sanders dropped out and suspended his campaign the next morning (after he had already heavily scaled it back and focused on the treatment of the pandemic crisis), leaving Biden as the party's presumed presidential nominee. [2] [3] Nevertheless, Sanders declared that he wanted to continue competing for delegates at the national convention in subsequent primaries. [3] Biden had ultimately won the primary with around 63% of the vote and 56 delegates, while Sanders, who had previously won Wisconsin in the 2016 primaries, only received around 32% of the vote and 28 delegates.

Procedure

Wisconsin was the only state that voted on April 7, 2020, in the Democratic primaries. [4] The primary followed seven original primary dates between March 17 and April 4 which had been cancelled and postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15% at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 84 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 5 and 11 were allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 10 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 19 at-large delegates. [5] Originally planned with 77 delegates, the final number included a 10% bonus of 7 additional delegates on the 55 district and 19 at-large delegates by the Democratic National Committee due to the April date, which belonged to Stage II on the primary timetable. [6] [7]

On April 26, 2020, county caucuses selected delegates for congressional district caucuses, which took place on May 17, 2020, designating national convention district-level delegates. The administrative committee meeting was subsequently held on the day of the state convention on June 12, 2020, to vote on the 19 at-large and 10 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 13 unpledged PLEO delegates: 8 members of the Democratic National Committee, 4 members of Congress (one senator and 3 representatives), and the governor Tony Evers. [5]

COVID-19 pandemic

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, several states had delayed their scheduled primaries and extended the vote-by-mail period. Concerns were raised by health officials, poll workers, and voters that in-person voting at the height of the pandemic would be unsafe for vulnerable individuals. [8] Democratic Governor Tony Evers initially signed an executive order for all-mail-in election, but the order was rejected by the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Legislature. [9]

On April 2, although U.S. District Judge William M. Conley refused to postpone the election, he extended the deadline for absentee voting to April 13 (ordering clerks not to release any election data before that date). [10] [11] However, on April 6, the Supreme Court of the United States overturned Conley's decision, meaning that all absentee ballots still had to be postmarked by "election day, Tuesday, April 7" even though it was still acceptable for the ballots to be received by the clerks as late as April 13. [12] [13] The Supreme Court of the United States "did not alter the provision in Conley's amended order which prohibits the reporting of results until April 13". [14]

Governor Evers then called a special session of the legislature to postpone in-person voting, but the session ended within minutes without action, forcing the primary to go on as planned. [15] Despite having previously expressed the view that he would violate the law by doing so, [16] on April 6, Evers issued an executive order which, if enforced, would have postponed the April 7 elections until the tentative date of June 9. [17] [18] Republican leaders immediately announced that they would challenge the order in the Wisconsin Supreme Court. [17] The Wisconsin Supreme Court ruled that Evers did not have the authority to postpone the elections, thus meaning that Evers' executive order was nullified, and that the elections would be held as scheduled on April 7. [19] This was appealed to a federal court who sided with the governor, and that was appealed to the US Supreme Court, which on a 5–4 vote, upheld the state court's ruling. [20]

Voting was somewhat chaotic, with people waiting in the rain for hours in some cases in masks and social distancing. [21] However, by the time the election concluded, Milwaukee Election Commissioner Neil Albrecht stated that despite some of the problems, the in-person voting ran smoothly. [22]

Candidates

The following individuals were on the ballot in Wisconsin: [23]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 1]
270 to Win April 5, 2020March 6–29, 202055.3%37.0%7.7%
RealClear Politics April 5, 2020March 6–29, 202055.3%37.0%7.7%
FiveThirtyEight April 5, 2020until March 29, 2020 [lower-alpha 2] 51.6%36.0%12.4%
Average54.1%36.7%9.2%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Wisconsin Democratic Primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUn-
decided
Marquette University Law School Mar 24–29, 2020394 (LV)± 5.9%62%34%4% [lower-alpha 4]
Public Policy Polling Mar 10–11, 2020898(LV)55%39%3% [lower-alpha 5] 3%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020–(RV) [lower-alpha 6] ± 6.4%49%38%
Mar 1–5, 2020Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race
Marquette University Law School Feb 19–23, 2020490 (LV)± 5.1%15%17%13%11%29%9%2% [lower-alpha 7] 4%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Feb 11–20, 2020428 (LV)13%13%12%9%30%12%11% [lower-alpha 8]
Feb 11, 2020New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8–20, 2020464 (RV)21.8%8.4%7.7%3%28.4%14.7%2.2%2.5% [lower-alpha 9] 10.9%
Jan 13, 2020Booker withdraws from the race
Marquette University Law School Jan 8–12, 2020358 (LV)± 6.3%23%6%1%15%4%19%14%6%3% [lower-alpha 10] 9%
Fox News Jan 5–8, 2020671 (LV)± 3.5%23%7%3%9%4%21%13%3%6% [lower-alpha 11] 10%
Marquette University Law School Dec 3–8, 2019358 (LV)± 6.3%23%3%4%15%3%19%16%3%3% [lower-alpha 12] 11%
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019Bloomberg announces his candidacy
Marquette University Law School Nov 13–17, 2019801 (RV)30%3%13%2%3%17%15%2%6% [lower-alpha 13] 10%
Siena Research/New York Times Oct 13–26, 201929223%1%5%1%0%20%25%2%2% [lower-alpha 14] 19%
Kaiser Family Foundation Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019274 (LV)17%2%6%3%3%10%22%2%1% [lower-alpha 15] 35%
Fox News Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019663 (LV)± 3.5%28%2%7%5%2%17%22%2%5% [lower-alpha 16] 9%
Marquette University Law School Aug 25–29, 2019444 (RV)± 5.3%28%1%6%3%1%20%17%2%5% [lower-alpha 17] 13%
Change Research Aug 9–11, 2019935 (LV)± 3.2%20%1%9%5%2%24%29%2%5% [lower-alpha 18]
Change Research Archived 2019-10-08 at the Wayback Machine Jun 29 – Jul 4, 20191261 (LV)18%3%15%17%1%19%19%1%6% [lower-alpha 19]
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019238 (LV)± 6.4%28%2%7%7%3%13%14%0%2% [lower-alpha 20]
Apr 25, 2019Biden announces his candidacy
Zogby Analytics Apr 15–18, 2019485 (LV)± 4.5%24%4%10%7%4%20%6%1%11% [lower-alpha 21] 14%
Apr 14, 2019Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Emerson College Archived 2019-04-20 at the Wayback Machine Mar 15–17, 2019324 (LV)± 5.4%24%2%1%5%4%39%14%1%10% [lower-alpha 22]

Results

2020 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary [24]
CandidateVotes [25]  %Delegates [26]
Joe Biden 581,46362.8656
Bernie Sanders 293,44131.7228
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)14,0601.52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)8,8460.96
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)6,0790.66
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)5,5650.60
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)4,9460.53
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)3,3490.36
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)8360.09
John Delaney (withdrawn)5290.06
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)4750.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)3110.03
Write-in votes1,5750.17
Uninstructed Delegate3,5900.39
Total925,065100%84

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Don't know with 2%; Refused to answer with 2%
  5. Gabbard with 3%
  6. Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
  7. Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  8. "Not sure/other" with 11%
  9. Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
  10. Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
  11. Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
  12. Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
  13. Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
  14. Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
  15. O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
  16. Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
  17. "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
  18. Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
  19. Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
  20. Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
  21. O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
  22. O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%

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References

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