2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016 March 3, 2020 2024  
  AS
CA  

36 delegates (31 pledged, 5 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count179
Popular vote93,01251,413
Percentage40.59%22.44%

  Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Michael Bloomberg Elizabeth Warren
Home state New York Massachusetts
Delegate count50
Popular vote38,31222,971
Percentage16.72%10.03%

2020 Arkansas Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
County results

The 2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Arkansas primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 36 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 31 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Contents

Former vice president Joe Biden won every county but Washington County, home to the University of Arkansas, and received 41% of the vote and 17 delegates, far ahead of senator Bernie Sanders' 22% and former mayor Michael Bloomberg's 17%, who won 9 and 5 delegates respectively. Senator Elizabeth Warren did not pass the 15% threshold.

Procedure

Arkansas was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday", [1] having joined other states on the date after the signing of a bill calling for simultaneous state, local, and presidential primaries on the first Tuesday in March in presidential election years by governor Asa Hutchinson on March 21, 2019. [2]

In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 31 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 6 were allocated to each of the state's 4 congressional districts and another 4 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 7 at-large delegates. The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general. [3]

The congressional district caucus and state conventions were all held virtually on May 30, 2020, as a "first-in-the-nation virtual convention" in Little Rock, to vote on all pledged degates from district-level and statewide level. [4] The delegation also included 5 unpledged PLEO delegates: 5 members of the Democratic National Committee. [5]

Pledged national
convention
delegates
TypeDel.
CD1 4
CD2 6
CD3 5
CD4 5
PLEO4
At-large7
Total pledged delegates31

Candidates

The following people have filed for the presidential primary. [6]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided [b]
270 to Win [7] March 3, 2020February 6–March 2, 202027.7%22.3%18.7%11.3%0.5%19.5%
RealClear Politics [8] March 3, 2020Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight [9] March 3, 2020until March 2, 2020 [c] 27.5%21.0%18.1%12.5%0.3%20.6%
Average27.6%21.65%18.4%11.9%0.4%20.05%
Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020)40.5%16.7%22.4%10.0%0.7%9.7%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
OtherUndecided
Mar 1–2, 2020Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race
Swayable [10] Mar 1–2, 2020714 (LV)± 6.0%28%25%8%17%10%13% [e]
Data for Progress [11] Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020300 (LV)± 5.6%36%22%2%23%15%2% [f]
The Progress Campaign (D) [12] Feb 21–25, 2020209 (RV)± 4.9%17%17%18%19%12%6% [g] 10% [h]
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics [13] February 6–7, 2020496 (LV)± 4.3%18.5%19.6%15.5%16.4%8.9%10.1% [i] 11%

Results

Popular vote share by county
Biden--30-40%
Biden--40-50%
Biden--50-60%
Biden--60-70%
Sanders--30-40% Arkansas Democratic presidential primary election results by county (vote share), 2020.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Sanders—30–40%
2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary [14]
CandidateVotes %Delegates
Joe Biden 93,01240.5917
Bernie Sanders 51,41322.449
Michael Bloomberg 38,31216.725
Elizabeth Warren 22,97110.03
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [a] 7,6493.34
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [a] 7,0093.06
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [a] 2,0530.90
Tulsi Gabbard 1,5930.70
Kamala Harris (withdrawn)7150.31
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)7150.31
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)5740.25
Cory Booker (withdrawn)5720.25
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)5010.22
Steve Bullock (withdrawn)4850.21
John Delaney (withdrawn)4430.19
Joe Sestak (withdrawn)4080.18
Julian Castro (withdrawn)3040.13
Other candidate3930.17
Total229,122100%31

Results by county

2020 Arkansas Democratic primary

(results per county) [15]

CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersMichael BloombergElizabeth WarrenPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTom SteyerTulsi GabbardKamala HarrisAndrew YangMichael BennetCory BookerMarianne WilliamsonSteve BullockJohn DelaneyJoe SestakMosie BoydJulian CastroTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Arkansas 45049.2312513.6815817.29818.86212.30353.83161.75101.0910.1100.0010.1100.0010.1130.3340.4400.0060.6620.22914
Ashley 63352.4025320.9413311.01625.13292.40292.4070.5870.5850.4130.2570.5850.41100.83120.9930.2500.0060.5040.331,208
Baxter 95543.0244820.1840018.021888.471004.50793.56110.5070.3280.3670.3200.0000.0050.2340.1830.1430.1410.0510.052,220
Benton 5,74531.655,27029.032,81915.532,43813.431,0015.514982.741180.65950.5290.05600.33100.06130.07180.10160.0990.05110.0650.03170.0918,152
Boone 67640.3640624.2426515.821529.07653.88553.2880.48221.3120.1260.3620.1210.0630.1850.3030.1820.1210.0610.061,675
Bradley 37254.959614.1810615.66243.55152.2281.18162.3650.74142.0710.1540.5991.3320.3000.0020.3010.1510.1510.15677
Calhoun 14143.935316.516620.56134.05134.0582.4920.6210.3110.3120.6251.5641.2510.3130.9320.6230.9320.6210.31321
Carroll 74231.6072831.0129312.4830813.121205.11913.88120.51281.1940.1780.3420.0910.0440.1730.1310.0400.0010.0420.092,348
Chicot 71154.2719715.0426620.31453.44141.07181.37100.7640.3180.6140.3170.5310.0810.0870.5360.4630.2350.3830.231,310
Clark 94848.7933117.0428214.511507.72572.93683.50281.44110.57231.1880.4100.0020.1050.2630.1570.3680.41100.5120.101,943
Clay 26239.7011517.4217927.12355.30142.12142.12101.5250.7660.9100.0020.3020.3060.9120.3040.6120.3020.3000.00660
Cleburne 55645.6117814.6027822.81856.97403.28443.61141.1580.6620.1620.1620.1610.0810.0840.3300.0010.0810.0820.161,219
Cleveland 18647.216616.757017.77174.3192.28174.3151.2751.2710.2530.7600.0000.0051.2730.7610.2530.7620.5110.25394
Columbia 61352.6617515.0318716.07514.38161.37252.15262.23131.1280.6940.3460.5260.5280.6970.60100.8660.5200.0030.261,164
Conway 97445.7335916.8537017.371255.87683.19622.91522.44271.27261.2260.2830.1460.2830.1460.28100.47100.47221.0310.052,130
Craighead 1,84936.141,39727.3187317.064879.521983.871663.24310.61260.51130.25220.4330.0680.1660.12210.4130.0620.0420.0490.185,116
Crawford 1,06137.9162322.2656920.332217.90712.54802.86562.00301.0790.32140.5070.2570.25110.3940.1420.0760.21230.8250.182,799
Crittenden 1,65253.2049115.8156818.291444.64431.38682.19200.64210.68110.35200.64100.3290.29120.3970.2370.23110.3550.1660.193,105
Cross 43048.3714916.7616118.11444.95364.05222.4780.9040.4580.9030.3440.4550.5620.2230.3440.4530.3420.2210.11889
Dallas 35053.68588.9010816.56182.7671.07284.29172.61121.8450.7740.6110.15121.8420.31101.5330.4630.46101.5340.61652
Desha 64152.1617314.0822718.47463.74161.30292.36231.8760.49120.9860.49131.06131.0660.4970.5720.1630.2450.4110.081,229
Drew 65546.4922515.9726418.74815.75231.63715.04140.99100.7150.3550.3560.4370.5070.50171.2140.28110.7830.2110.071,409
Faulkner 3,05934.272,50328.041,22313.701,29514.512943.293173.55570.64540.60210.24240.27130.1580.09120.13190.2150.0660.07110.1260.078,927
Franklin 35536.0814714.9424725.10727.32323.25424.27191.93131.32111.1230.3050.51111.1260.6120.2070.7140.4140.4140.41984
Fulton 33140.6615418.9216019.66566.88253.07283.44121.4760.7410.1280.98121.4730.3700.0030.3791.1130.3710.1220.25814
Garland 2,89036.851,65321.081,55019.766778.633914.993894.96871.11480.61190.24300.3860.08200.26340.4370.09190.24100.1370.0960.087,843
Grant 35536.5217217.7019119.65858.74545.56555.66161.65101.0330.3140.4160.6230.3140.4160.6220.2120.2130.3110.10972
Greene 64634.9639921.5942623.051337.20824.44563.03241.30150.8130.16150.8170.38110.6050.27120.65100.5440.2200.0000.001,848
Hempstead 54955.5712812.9614915.08434.35151.52282.83101.0180.8190.9110.1040.4020.2090.91151.52101.0120.2020.2040.40988
Hot Spring 73538.9945223.9834418.251115.89432.28854.51261.38110.5850.27110.58120.6490.4890.4830.16140.7430.1650.2770.371,885
Howard 35852.4910415.258111.88385.57192.79294.25121.7660.8871.0330.4450.7330.4430.4450.7300.0020.2940.5930.44682
Independence 79641.2235418.3333817.5020010.36613.16794.09241.24281.4570.3670.3640.2180.4190.4750.2620.1020.1050.2620.101,931
Izard 35645.0114418.2012015.17648.09344.30415.1820.2560.7630.3860.7610.1320.2520.2520.2510.1310.1350.6310.13791
Jackson 46646.3216316.2019319.18575.67353.48313.0870.70121.1950.5020.2090.8920.2010.1050.50111.0940.4020.2010.101,006
Jefferson 5,01848.401,49614.432,23821.596496.261141.101971.901891.82850.82310.30400.39230.22620.60430.41270.26250.24640.62140.14530.5110,368
Johnson 57333.4335620.7730317.681619.39854.96865.02472.74311.8140.23140.8290.5390.5370.4170.4160.3560.3530.1870.411,714
Lafayette 23768.303710.664011.5382.3151.4441.1530.8600.0041.1500.0000.0000.0041.1541.1500.0010.2900.0000.00347
Lawrence 39136.3718717.4021119.63787.26373.44474.37322.98393.6380.7480.7440.3710.0930.2830.28131.2170.6530.2830.281,075
Lee 42053.9811214.4014218.25121.5450.64263.34101.2991.1620.2640.51212.7010.1340.5120.2620.2630.3920.2610.13778
Lincoln 37152.3311916.7810715.09202.8270.99263.67131.83121.6940.5650.7110.1420.2830.4240.5620.2891.2720.2820.28709
Little River 37954.539713.969413.53365.18172.45121.7350.7271.0191.2930.4360.8650.7271.0160.8610.1430.4320.2960.86695
Logan 41540.3316315.8426125.36767.39272.62191.85212.04100.9740.3970.6870.6840.3910.1010.1020.1940.3940.3930.291,029
Lonoke 1,25237.9779524.1156016.992989.041313.971354.09280.85270.82110.33150.4590.2730.0930.0990.2740.12100.3030.0940.123,297
Madison 39135.4826924.4120218.33928.35524.72262.36171.54151.3660.5420.1810.0940.3660.5450.4560.5420.1840.3620.181,102
Marion 32738.0221024.4214817.21728.37475.47283.2670.8140.4740.4720.2310.1200.0060.7020.2300.0000.0000.0020.23860
Miller 1,06961.0927015.4321512.29784.46231.31221.2690.51100.57110.6320.1150.2970.4090.5150.2970.4020.1140.2320.111,750
Mississippi 1,01751.0532216.1638119.131015.07341.71291.4690.4590.4550.25110.55130.65130.6550.25160.80100.50100.5040.2030.151,992
Monroe 37548.7013217.1410914.16395.06111.43121.56121.56162.0840.5240.52263.38101.3040.5250.6530.3950.6520.2610.13770
Montgomery 22645.028516.938516.93367.17152.99275.3871.3930.6010.2010.2061.2010.2020.4020.4000.0020.4020.4010.20502
Nevada 29951.379015.467713.23345.8461.03264.47111.8971.2030.5210.1710.1740.6971.2040.6940.6940.6910.1730.52582
Newton 18439.6613729.536113.155311.4251.08112.3710.2271.5100.0030.6500.0000.0000.0000.0010.2200.0000.0010.22464
Ouachita 1,21857.2929513.8834816.37673.15492.30391.83130.61190.89110.5280.38140.6630.14120.56130.6130.1440.1980.3820.092,126
Perry 26933.1716420.2218122.32718.75293.58435.30141.7340.4960.7460.7430.3750.6250.6240.4930.3720.2520.2500.00811
Phillips 96952.5229115.7729616.04945.09191.03532.8780.43211.14100.5490.4970.38140.7660.3370.38180.98150.8120.1160.331,845
Pike 19041.677316.016814.91429.21163.51337.2481.7581.7520.4430.6640.8851.1010.2210.2200.0010.2200.0010.22456
Poinsett 39346.5616819.9115718.60495.81101.18131.54121.4291.0720.2430.3620.2440.4730.3670.8340.4720.2440.4720.24844
Polk 27231.7420824.2715718.32748.63404.67404.67161.87131.5210.1291.0560.7010.1240.4710.1240.4770.8220.2320.23857
Pope 1,07034.3586127.6449115.7632310.371344.301133.63280.90190.6170.22110.3560.1930.10150.4880.26110.35100.3230.1020.063,115
Prairie 20747.707617.516915.90235.3051.15204.6161.3871.6140.9200.0040.9220.4600.0030.6900.0040.9210.2330.69434
Pulaski 24,58744.6611,06320.108,99116.336,26111.371,6042.911,5032.732360.432270.411140.21860.161230.22930.17250.05270.05270.05390.07280.05180.0355,052
Randolph 33332.8422522.1924624.26727.10353.45403.9490.89111.08131.2840.3920.2090.8930.3010.1060.5910.1010.1030.301,014
Saline 3,12137.301,81421.681,53218.318349.973994.773854.60961.15390.47450.54220.2690.11140.17170.2020.0280.10100.1270.08130.168,367
Scott 15944.415515.367320.39164.47113.07133.6341.1261.6800.0000.0061.6851.4000.0041.1210.2810.2830.8410.28358
Searcy 12136.568224.775215.714513.60123.6382.4210.3010.3000.0010.3020.6010.3010.3010.3000.0010.3010.3010.30331
Sebastian 2,73535.851,91925.151,48619.486718.803284.301942.54911.19560.73100.13220.2980.1090.1240.05140.18100.1330.04630.8360.087,629
Sevier 25547.2210519.449417.41325.93112.0491.6761.1150.9330.5650.9320.3700.0061.1110.1910.1900.0000.0050.93540
Sharp 41741.4919519.4018818.71646.37424.18343.38111.09212.0970.7010.1070.7020.2020.2010.1060.6040.4010.1020.201,005
St. Francis 1,18255.0329713.8336817.13843.91271.26341.58100.47150.70200.93100.47140.65110.51160.74200.93190.8850.23130.6130.142,148
Stone 34333.8324624.2615815.5811211.05484.73414.04131.28151.4820.2030.3010.1050.4930.3020.20171.6800.0040.3910.101,014
Union 1,35054.0945018.0335614.261134.53512.04381.52140.56150.60291.1620.0880.32251.00160.6440.1670.2890.3640.1650.202,496
Van Buren 41837.7919817.9021719.6212110.94433.89554.97211.90121.0810.0910.0930.2720.1830.2750.4510.0930.2710.0910.091,106
Washington 6,91428.338,49134.793,00712.323,88415.919203.776872.811490.611570.64220.09580.24140.06220.09170.07140.06140.0680.0390.04190.0824,406
White 1,40142.5368520.8059918.182848.62862.611113.37260.79290.88140.43170.5290.2740.1240.1260.1840.1240.1280.2430.093,294
Woodruff 30343.6612017.2911917.15578.21121.73152.16152.1681.1530.4360.8650.7230.4340.5830.4381.1560.8660.8610.14694
Yell 34236.4216617.6816117.15889.37363.83606.39252.66111.1730.3240.4330.32101.0670.7530.3250.5320.2180.8550.53939
Total93,01140.5951,41322.4438,31216.7222,97010.037,6493.347,0093.062,0530.901,5930.707150.317150.315740.255720.255010.224850.214430.194080.183930.173040.13229,120

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Candidate withdrew after early voting had started.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  3. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
  6. Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
  7. Klobuchar with 6%
  8. Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
  9. Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%

See also

References

  1. Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  2. Putnam, Josh (March 25, 2019). "Arkansas Presidential Primary to Super Tuesday". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  3. "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  4. "Arkansas Elects Delegates To The Democratic National Convention". Democratic Party of Arkansas. May 30, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2022.
  5. "Arkansas Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  6. "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org. Retrieved February 21, 2021.
  7. 270 to Win
  8. RealClear Politics
  9. FiveThirtyEight
  10. Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  11. Data for Progress
  12. The Progress Campaign (D)
  13. Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics
  14. "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 16, 2020. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
  15. "2020 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election". clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. April 15, 2020. Archived from the original on April 16, 2020. Retrieved April 16, 2020.