2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2016 November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08) 2028  
  Senator John Boozman Official Portrait (115th Congress) (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee John Boozman Natalie James
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote592,437280,187
Percentage65.73%31.09%

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas results map by county.svg
2022 US Senate Election in Arkansas by Congressional District.svg
Boozman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
James:     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

John Boozman
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Boozman
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas. Incumbent senator John Boozman was first elected in 2010, defeating Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln. Boozman was re-elected for a second term in the 2016 with 59.8% of the vote and ran in 2022 for a third term. [1] Boozman won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and subsequently defeated Democrat Natalie James in the general election by 34.64 percentage points. [2] This was the best performance for a Republican senator in the state's history, and the third consecutive Republican win of this seat.

Contents

Republican primary

Former football player Jake Bequette finished second in the primary Jake Bequette University of Arkansas (cropped).jpg
Former football player Jake Bequette finished second in the primary

Incumbent senator John Boozman ran with the endorsement of former President Donald Trump. However, he attracted multiple opponents from the right who questioned his loyalty to Trump, attacking him for refusing to object to the results of the 2020 United States Presidential election. [3] Despite it being his first time running for office, former NFL football player Jake Bequette and his supporting groups raised over $2.6 million dollars. [4] Boozman ultimately won with 58% of the vote, easily avoiding a runoff.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Michael Deel, corporate analyst [8]

Endorsements

Jake Bequette
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
  • Stuart Scheller, former Lt. Colonel [16]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jake
Bequette
John
Boozman
Heath
Loftis
Jan
Morgan
Undecided
Hendrix College May 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%19%45%2%17%18%

Results

Results by county:
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Boozman
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Arkansas results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Boozman
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
Republican primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Boozman (incumbent) 201,677 58.03%
Republican Jake Bequette 71,80920.66%
Republican Jan Morgan65,95818.98%
Republican Heath Loftis8,1122.33%
Total votes347,556 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Natalie James, small business owner and community advocate [18]

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jack
Foster
Natalie
James
Dan
Whitfield
Undecided
Hendrix College May 2, 2022597 (LV)± 5.0%5%17%15%63%

Results

Results by county:
James
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
James/Whitfield tie
40-50%
Whitfield
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Foster
30-40%
50-60% Arkansas Senate Democratic primary, 2022.svg
Results by county:
  James
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  James/Whitfield tie
  •   40–50%
  Whitfield
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Foster
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Natalie James 49,722 54.09%
Democratic Dan Whitfield28,31930.80%
Democratic Jack Foster13,89115.11%
Total votes91,932 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated at convention

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [24] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [25] Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Safe RMarch 1, 2022
Politico [27] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [28] Safe RFebruary 24, 2022
Fox News [29] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [30] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [31] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [32] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

John Boozman (R)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
John
Boozman (R)
Natalie
James (D)
OtherUndecided
Hendrix College September 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%44%31%5% [lower-alpha 2] 21%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%56%32%12%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Boozman (incumbent) 592,437 65.73% +5.96%
Democratic Natalie James280,18731.09%-5.08%
Libertarian Kenneth Cates28,6823.18%-0.78%
Total votes901,306 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Boozman won all 4 congressional districts. [38]

DistrictBoozmanJamesRepresentative
1st 72%25% Rick Crawford
2nd 59%38% French Hill
3rd 63%33% Steve Womack
4th 70%27% Bruce Westerman

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Cates with 5%

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References

  1. 1 2 "Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  2. "AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas". ky3. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. "Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.
  4. "Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".
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  6. "Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
  7. "Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  8. Staff Reports. "Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate". Southwest Times Record. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
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  10. 1 2 3 4 Frank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021). "Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run". Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.
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  16. https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020 [ user-generated source ]
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Official campaign websites