2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

←  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  →
Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party Third party   Party Republican Democratic Independent Last election 1 0 0 Seats won 2 0 0 Seat change 1 Popular vote 245,081 158,745 47,195 Percentage 52.86% 34.24% 10.18% Swing 3.53% 9.37% New
Election results by district Election results by county Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Democratic   50–60%   60–70%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the 2nd district that it lost in 1993. As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a 2nd representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election. ^{[1] [2]}

Overview

District

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	120,285	49.73%	112,271	46.42%	9,305	3.85%	241,861	100.00%	Republican gain
District 2	120,899	56.57%	42,905	20.08%	49,892	23.35%	213,696	100.00%	Republican hold
Total	241,184	52.94%	155,176	34.06%	59,197	12.99%	455,557	100.00%

Popular vote Republican   52.94% Democratic   34.06% Independent   10.30% Libertarian   2.70%

House seats Republican   100.00%

District 1

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election

2024  →

Nominee Ryan Zinke Monica Tranel Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 123,102 115,265 Percentage 49.6% 46.5%

County results Precinct results Zinke:     50−60%     60−70%     70−80%     80−90% Tranel:     40−50%     50−60%     60−70%     70−80%     80−90%     >90% No votes:

U.S. Representative before election None (New district) Elected U.S. Representative Ryan Zinke Republican

See also: Montana's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte. ^[3] Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by at-large district representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ryan Zinke, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district ^{[4] [5] [6]}

Eliminated in primary

• Mitch Heuer ^[7]
• Matthew Jette, teacher and perennial candidate ^[7]
• Albert Olszewski, former state senator, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Governor of Montana in 2020 ^{[8] [9]}
• Mary Todd, pastor ^[10]

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[11]

U.S. Senators

• Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present) ^[12]
• Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2013–2015) ^[13]

State officials

• Greg Gianforte, Governor of Montana (2021–present) and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2017–2021) ^[13]

Organizations

• Congressional Leadership Fund ^[14]

Declined to endorse

U.S. Representative

• Matt Rosendale, U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2021–present) ^[15]

Results

Primary results by county:

  Zinke

•   40–50%
•   50–60%

  Olszewski

•   40–50%

Republican primary results ^{[7] [16]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke	35,601	41.7
	Republican	Albert Olszewski	33,927	39.7
	Republican	Mary Todd	8,915	10.4
	Republican	Matthew Jette	4,973	5.8
	Republican	Mitch Heuer	1,953	2.3
Total votes			85,369	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Monica Tranel, former Olympian and nominee for District 4 of the Montana Public Service Commission in 2020 ^[17]

Eliminated in primary

• Cora Neumann, public health expert, founder of the Global First Ladies Alliance and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^[18]
• Tom Winter, former state representative and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2020 ^[19]

Withdrew

• Laurie Bishop, state representative ^[20]

Declined

• Kimberly Dudik, former state representative and candidate for Montana Attorney General in 2020 ^[8]
• Shane Morigeau, state senator and nominee for Montana State Auditor in 2020 ^[21] (running for re-election)
• Whitney Williams, businesswoman, daughter of former U.S. Representative Pat Williams, and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020 ^[22]

Endorsements

Monica Tranel

Statewide officials

• Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013) ^[23]

State legislators

• Mike Jopek, former state representative (2004–2010) ^[24]
• Dan Weinberg, former state senator (2004–2008) ^[24]

Organizations

• League of Conservation Voters ^[25]

Labor unions

• Montana Federation of Public Employees ^[26]

Tom Winter

U.S. Representative

• Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present) ^[27]

Organization

• Brand New Congress ^[28]
• Progressive Change Campaign Committee ^[29]

Results

Democratic primary results ^{[7] [16]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel	37,138	64.9
	Democratic	Cora Neumann	15,396	26.9
	Democratic	Tom Winter	4,723	8.2
Total votes			57,257	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Lamb, farmer and business owner ^[30]

General election

Debate

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Ryan Zinke	Monica Tranel	John Lamb
1	Oct. 1, 2022	KTVQ	Donna Kelly	YouTube	P	P	N

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [31]	Lean R	October 19, 2022
Inside Elections [32]	Lean R	October 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [33]	Lean R	October 19, 2022
Politico [34]	Likely R	April 5, 2022
RCP [35]	Likely R	June 9, 2022
Fox News [36]	Lean R	October 18, 2022
DDHQ [37]	Likely R	September 29, 2022
538 [38]	Likely R	November 8, 2022
The Economist [39]	Likely R	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Ryan Zinke (R)	Monica Tranel (D)	John Lamb (L)	Undecided
MSU Billings	October 3–14, 2022	<343 (V) [lower-alpha 2]	± 5.9%	34%	25%	17%	20%
Victoria Research (D) [upper-alpha 1]	September 14–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 3.4%	41%	40%	8%	11%
Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2]	September 14–19, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	43%	3%	9%

Results

2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election ^[40]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke	123,102	49.6
	Democratic	Monica Tranel	115,265	46.5
	Libertarian	John Lamb	9,593	3.8
Total votes			247,960	100.0
	Republican win (new seat)

County results

Source ^[40]

	Ryan Zinke Republican		Monica Tranel Democratic		John Lamb Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Beaverhead	3,004	66.36%	1,330	29.38%	193	4.26%	1,674	36.98%	4,527
Deer Lodge	1,510	37.96%	2,256	56.71%	212	5.33%	–746	–18.75%	3,978
Flathead	29,290	61.37%	16,571	34.72%	1,864	3.91%	12,719	26.65%	47,725
Gallatin	22,288	42.18%	28,747	54.40%	1,810	3.43%	–6,459	–12.22%	52,845
Glacier	1,213	39.49%	1,748	56.90%	111	3.61%	–535	–17.42%	3,072
Granite	1,149	64.48%	533	29.91%	100	5.61%	616	34.57%	1,782
Lake	7,389	55.48%	5,388	40.46%	541	4.06%	2,001	15.02%	13,318
Lincoln	6,687	71.65%	2,200	23.57%	446	4.78%	4,487	48.08%	9,333
Madison	3,290	65.39%	1,483	29.48%	258	5.13%	1,807	35.92%	5,031
Mineral	1,458	66.76%	580	26.56%	146	6.68%	878	40.20%	2,184
Missoula	18,846	33.33%	35,991	63.66%	1,703	3.01%	–17,145	–30.32%	56,540
Pondera	461	64.57%	227	31.79%	26	3.64%	234	32.77%	714
Powell	1,762	68.48%	639	24.83%	172	6.68%	1,123	43.65%	2,573
Ravalli	15,158	64.32%	7,523	31.92%	886	3.76%	7,635	32.40%	23,567
Sanders	4,549	68.67%	1,615	24.38%	460	6.94%	2,934	44.29%	6,624
Silver Bow	5,048	35.68%	8,434	59.62%	665	4.70%	–3,386	–23.93%	14,147

District 2

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election

←  2020 (at-large) 2024  →

Nominee Matt Rosendale Gary Buchanan Penny Ronning Party Republican Independent Democratic Popular vote 121,979 46,915 43,480 Percentage 56.6% 21.9% 20.2%

County results Rosendale:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Precinct results Rosendale:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Buchanan:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70% Ronning:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Matt Rosendale Republican Elected U.S. Representative Matt Rosendale Republican

See also: Montana's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. ^[3] Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the at-large district with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district. ^[41]

This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district ^[42]

Eliminated in primary

• Kyle Austin, healthcare company owner ^[43]
• James Boyette, sales manager ^[7]
• Charles Walking Child, activist ^[44]

Declined

• Russell Fagg, former Yellowstone County district judge, former state representative, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 ^[8]
• Tim Fox, former Montana Attorney General and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020 ^[8]
• Brad Johnson, chair of the Montana Public Service Commission and former Montana Secretary of State ^[8]

Endorsements

Matt Rosendale

U.S. Executive Branch official

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[45]

Organizations

• Tea Party Express ^[46]

Results

Republican primary results ^{[7] [47]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Rosendale (incumbent)	73,453	75.7
	Republican	Kyle Austin	11,930	12.3
	Republican	Charles Walking Child	5,909	6.1
	Republican	James Boyette	5,712	5.9
Total votes			97,004	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Penny Ronning, former Billings city councilor ^[48]

Eliminated in primary

• Skylar Williams, student ^[44]

Deceased

• Mark Sweeney, state senator ^[7] (died May 6, 2022; remained on ballot) ^[49]

Withdrawn

• Jack Ballard, outdoor writer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^{[50] [51]}

Declined

• Steve Bullock, former governor of Montana, candidate for President of the United States in 2020, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^[8]
• Mike Cooney, former lieutenant governor of Montana and nominee for Governor of Montana in 2020 ^[8]

Endorsements

Penny Ronning

Organizations

• Vote Common Good ^[52]

Results

Democratic primary results ^{[7] [16]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Penny Ronning	21,983	58.5
	Democratic	Mark Sweeney †	8,586	22.8
	Democratic	Skylar Williams	7,029	18.7
Total votes			37,598	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sam Rankin, lawyer, real estate broker, and perennial candidate ^[53]

Eliminated in primary

• Roger Roots, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014 ^[7]
• Samuel Thomas ^[7]

Results

Libertarian primary results ^{[7] [16]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Sam Rankin	958	47.0
	Libertarian	Samuel Thomas	554	27.2
	Libertarian	Roger Roots	526	25.8
Total votes			2,038	100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Gary Buchanan, financial advisor and former director of the Montana Department of Commerce ^[54]

Disqualified

• Curt Zygmond, beer brewing intern ^{[55] [56]}

Endorsements

Gary Buchanan

State officials

• Marc Racicot, former governor of Montana (1993–2001) (Republican) ^[57]
• Bob Brown, former Montana Secretary of State (2001–2005) and Republican nominee for governor in 2004 ^[57]
• Monica Lindeen, former Montana State Auditor (2009–2017) (Democratic) ^[57]

State legislators

• Dorothy Bradley, former state representative (1971–1979, 1985–1993) and nominee for governor in 1992 (Democratic) ^[57]
• Dave Lewis, former state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2004 (Republican) ^[58]
• Jim Peterson, former majority leader of the Montana Senate and former president of the Montana Stockgrowers Association (Republican) ^[58]

Local politicians

• Susan Good Geise, former Lewis and Clark County commissioner and former chair of the Montana Republican Party (Libertarian) ^[59]

Labor unions

• AFL-CIO ^[26]
• Montana Federation of Public Employees ^[26]

General election

Debate

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian	Independent
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Matt Rosendale	Penny Ronning	Sam Rankin	Gary Buchanan
1	Oct. 1, 2022	KTVQ		YouTube	P	P	N	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [31]	Solid R	November 16, 2021
Inside Elections [32]	Solid R	November 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [33]	Safe R	November 17, 2021
Politico [34]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP [35]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News [36]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ [37]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538 [38]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist [39]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Matt Rosendale (R)	Penny Ronning (D)	Gary Buchanan (I)	Sam Rankin (L)	Undecided
MSU Billings	October 3–14, 2022	<343 (V) [lower-alpha 2]	± 5.9%	35%	17%	21%	5%	17%

Results

2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election ^[40]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Rosendale (incumbent)	121,979	56.6
	Independent	Gary Buchanan	47,195	21.9
	Democratic	Penny Ronning	43,480	20.2
	Libertarian	Sam Rankin	3,018	1.4
Total votes			215,672	100.0
	Republican hold

County results

Source ^[40]

	Matt Rosendale Republican		Gary Buchanan Independent		Penny Ronning Democratic		Sam Rankin Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Big Horn	1,476	45.47%	505	15.56%	1,214	37.40%	51	1.57%	262	8.07%	3,246
Blaine	1,040	56.06%	208	11.21%	587	31.64%	20	1.08%	453	24.42%	1,855
Broadwater	2,417	70.47%	559	16.30%	399	11.63%	55	1.60%	1,858	54.17%	3,430
Carbon	3,294	56.47%	1,420	24.34%	1,030	17.66%	89	1.53%	1,874	32.13%	5,833
Carter	663	87.35%	46	6.06%	37	4.87%	13	1.71%	617	81.29%	759
Cascade	15,634	53.76%	6,397	22.00%	6,638	22.83%	410	1.41%	8,996	30.94%	29,079
Chouteau	1,463	63.89%	390	17.03%	395	17.25%	42	1.83%	1,068	46.64%	2,290
Custer	2,959	64.88%	684	15.00%	848	18.59%	70	1.53%	2,111	46.28%	4,561
Daniels	601	78.98%	68	8.94%	80	10.51%	12	1.58%	521	68.46%	761
Dawson	2,583	72.68%	425	11.96%	524	14.74%	22	0.62%	2,059	57.93%	3,554
Fallon	1,053	84.85%	87	7.01%	94	7.57%	7	0.56%	959	77.28%	1,241
Fergus	3,808	70.19%	927	17.09%	619	11.41%	71	1.31%	2,881	53.11%	5,425
Garfield	586	89.06%	46	6.99%	18	2.74%	8	1.22%	540	82.07%	658
Golden Valley	348	78.03%	53	11.88%	37	8.30%	8	1.79%	295	66.14%	446
Hill	2,703	52.58%	871	16.94%	1,463	28.46%	104	2.02%	1,240	24.12%	5,141
Jefferson	3,752	57.91%	1,615	24.93%	1,031	15.91%	81	1.25%	2,137	32.98%	6,479
Judith Basin	784	71.66%	170	15.54%	127	11.61%	13	1.19%	614	56.12%	1,094
Lewis and Clark	14,237	42.72%	11,201	33.61%	7,422	22.27%	463	1.39%	3,036	9.11%	33,323
Liberty	660	71.97%	134	14.61%	117	12.76%	6	0.65%	526	57.36%	917
McCone	770	83.06%	59	6.36%	92	9.92%	6	0.65%	678	73.14%	927
Meagher	628	68.78%	176	19.28%	89	9.75%	20	2.19%	452	49.51%	913
Musselshell	1,793	79.37%	256	11.33%	183	8.10%	27	1.20%	1,537	68.04%	2,259
Park	4,236	46.98%	2,146	23.80%	2,487	27.58%	148	1.64%	1,749	19.40%	9,017
Petroleum	235	81.31%	39	13.49%	13	4.50%	2	0.69%	196	67.82%	289
Phillips	1,376	78.40%	159	9.06%	203	11.57%	17	0.97%	1,173	66.84%	1,755
Pondera	1,081	67.31%	282	17.56%	215	13.39%	28	1.74%	799	49.75	1,606
Powder River	724	80.53%	108	12.01%	62	6.90%	5	0.56%	616	68.52%	899
Prairie	467	76.68%	62	10.18%	72	11.82%	8	1.31%	395	64.86%	609
Richland	2,941	78.34%	234	6.23%	530	14.12%	49	1.31%	2,411	64.22%	3,754
Roosevelt	1,396	54.15%	166	6.44%	969	37.59%	47	1.82%	427	16.56%	2,578
Rosebud	1,747	64.56%	413	15.26%	516	19.07%	30	1.11%	1,231	45.49%	2,706
Sheridan	1,097	68.09%	130	8.07%	353	21.91%	31	1.92%	744	46.18%	1,611
Stillwater	3,214	70.98%	768	16.96%	488	10.78%	58	1.28%	2,446	54.02%	4,528
Sweet Grass	1,276	68.57%	362	19.45%	205	11.02%	18	0.97%	914	49.11%	1,861
Teton	1,917	65.88%	485	16.67%	479	16.46%	29	1.00%	1,432	49.21%	2,910
Toole	1,212	73.14%	222	13.40%	194	11.71%	29	1.75%	990	59.75%	1,657
Treasure	307	72.75%	91	21.56%	22	5.21%	2	0.47%	216	51.18%	422
Valley	2,217	68.85%	429	13.32%	512	15.90%	62	1.93%	1,705	52.95%	3,220
Wheatland	576	68.49%	168	19.98%	84	9.99%	13	1.55%	408	48.51%	841
Wibaux	357	81.32%	45	10.25%	33	7.52%	4	0.91%	312	71.07%	439
Yellowstone	32,351	53.23%	14,589	24.00%	12,999	21.39%	840	1.38%	17,762	29.22%	60,779

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. The poll had 343 total respondents across both congressional districts

1. This poll was sponsored by the Big Sky Voters PAC, which supports Tranel
2. This poll was sponsored by Tranel's campaign

References

1. Lutey, Tom (April 26, 2021). "Montana gains second U.S. House seat". The Billings Gazette.
2. "Rapid population growth gives Montana 2nd US House seat". AP News. April 26, 2021.
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4. Wilson, Reid (April 29, 2021). "Trump Interior secretary Zinke files to run for Congress, again". The Hill. Retrieved April 29, 2021.
5. Dennison, Mike (June 3, 2021). "Zinke's 2022 campaign for MT congressional seat is official". KTVH-DT. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
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7. "2022 Candidate Filing List: Non-Legislative". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
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9. "Olszewski second Republican in race for MT's new U.S. House seat". KTVH. July 1, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
10. Wilson, Sam (October 22, 2021). "Kalispell pastor running as Republican in Montana's new House district". Helena Independent Record.
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12. "Endorsements". February 14, 2022. Retrieved July 14, 2022.
13. Dennison, Mike (November 28, 2021). "Montana's Congressional District 1: Zinke the person to beat in 2022?". www.ktvh.com. KTVH-DT . Retrieved November 28, 2021.
14. Axelrod, Tal (January 5, 2022). "GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund unveils first midterm endorsements". www.thehill.com. The Hill . Retrieved January 5, 2022.
15. Dennison, Mike (January 14, 2022). "Rep. Rosendale's first year in Congress: Plenty of 'no' votes". KTVH-DT . Retrieved January 15, 2022.
16. "Montana House Primary Election Results". 2022 Primary Election. Montana Secretary of State. June 7, 2022. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
17. "Democrat Monica Tranel running for state's new U.S. House seat". Independent-Record. July 7, 2021. Retrieved July 7, 2021.
18. Michels, Holly (July 13, 2021). "Democrat Cora Neumann running for Montana's new U.S. House seat". www.helenair.com. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
19. "Democrat Tom Winter running for U.S. House". www.helenair.com. November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
20. "Bishop Leaves Race for Montana's Western U.S. House Seat". www.usnews.com. U.S. News & World Report . Retrieved November 18, 2021.
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External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Monica Tranel (D) for Congress
• Ryan Zinke (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Gary Buchanan (I) for Congress
• Penny Ronning (D) for Congress
• Matt Rosendale (R) for Congress