2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Flag of Montana.svg
  2014 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2017 (special)  
  Ryan Zinke official congressional photo (crop).jpg Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction 5.3.2010.jpg
Nominee Ryan Zinke Denise Juneau
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote285,358205,919
Percentage56.2%40.6%

Montana's at-large congressional district election, 2016 results by county.svg
MT House 2016.svg
Zinke:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Juneau:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ryan Zinke
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Zinke
Republican

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Contents

At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016. [1] [2] He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who is the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election. [3] [4] The primaries were held on June 7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ryan Zinke (incumbent) 144,660 100.0
Total votes144,660 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Denise Juneau 112,821 100.0
Total votes112,821 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ryan
Zinke (R)
Denise
Juneau (D)
OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [6] October 10–12, 20161,003± 3.2%53%40%1% [7] 6%
Montana State University Billings [8] October 3–10, 2016590± 4.0%50%31%19%

Results

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2016 [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ryan Zinke (incumbent) 285,358 56.19% +0.78%
Democratic Denise Juneau205,91940.55%+0.14%
Libertarian Rick Breckenridge16,5543.26%−0.92%
Total votes507,831 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

  1. "Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises". Flathead Beacon. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  2. "Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values". Flathead Beacon. Associated Press. March 6, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  3. "Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat". Billings Gazette. Associated Press. November 4, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  4. Dennison, Mike. "Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle". KXLF. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  5. 1 2 "2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2016.
  6. Mason-Dixon
  7. Rick Breckenridge with 1%
  8. Montana State University Billings
  9. "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2016.