2016 Utah gubernatorial election

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2016 Utah gubernatorial election
Flag of Utah (2011-2024).svg
  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  
  Gary Herbert 2019.jpg Mikeheadshot(square) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Gary Herbert Mike Weinholtz
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Spencer Cox Kim Bowman
Popular vote750,850323,349
Percentage66.74%28.74%

2016 Utah gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
UT Governor 2016.svg
Herbert:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Weinholtz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Gary Herbert
Republican

Elected Governor

Gary Herbert
Republican

The 2016 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, [1] to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert ran for re-election to a second full term in office. [2] Republican challenger Jonathan E. Johnson defeated Herbert in the state convention to secure a spot on the primary ballot, [3] but Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary and secured the nomination. [4] The Democratic party nominated former CHG Healthcare Services CEO Mike Weinholtz at the Utah Democratic convention in April. [5]

Herbert won the general election, defeating Weinholtz by a large margin. [6] [7]

Background

Republican Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned in August 2009 to become United States Ambassador to China and Lieutenant Governor Herbert succeeded him. He was elected to serve out the remainder of Huntsman's term in a 2010 special election and was re-elected to a full four-year term in 2012.

Republican nomination

Former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives Rebecca D. Lockhart was widely believed to be a potential Republican candidate, but she died of a rare neurodegenerative brain disease in January 2015. [2] [8]

Incumbent governor Gary Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary, defeating Overstock.com Chairman Jonathan Johnson. [4]

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Herbert
Jonathan
Johnson
Undecided
SurveyUSA [10] June 6–8, 2016517± 4.1%69%24%6%

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Gary Herbert (incumbent) 176,866 71.75%
Republican Jonathan Johnson69,66328.25%
Total votes246,529 100.00%

Democratic nomination

Weinholtz defeated Cook at the Democratic convention to become the nominee.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Vaughn R Cook, founder and CEO of ZYTO Technologies [12]

Declined

General election

Debate

2016 Utah gubernatorial election debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Gary Herbert Doug Owens
1Sep. 26, 2016Utah Debate CommissionKerry Bringhurst [17] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Safe RAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos [19] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [20] Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics [22] Safe RNovember 1, 2016
Governing [23] Safe ROctober 27, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Herbert (R)
Mike
Weinholtz (D)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [24] November 1–7, 20161,479± 4.6%58%38%4%
SurveyMonkey [25] Oct 31–Nov 6, 20161,428± 4.6%59%38%3%
Y2 Analytics [26] November 1–3, 2016500± 4.4%64%26%5%5%
SurveyMonkey [27] Oct 28–Nov 3, 20161,327± 4.6%60%37%3%
Monmouth University [28] Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016402± 4.9%63%30%5%2%
SurveyMonkey [29] Oct 27–Nov 2, 20161,247± 4.6%60%36%4%
SurveyMonkey [30] Oct 26–Nov 1, 20161,057± 4.6%61%34%5%
SurveyMonkey [31] October 25–31, 20161,078± 4.6%61%35%4%
UtahPolicy/Dan Jones [32] October 12–18, 2016818± 3.4%64%25%6%5%
Monmouth University [33] October 10–12, 2016403± 4.9%63%30%2%5%
UtahPolicy/Dan Jones [34] September 1–9, 2016605± 4.0%62%24%6%7%
Public Policy Polling [35] August 19–21, 20161,018± 3.1%57%21%7%14%
SurveyUSA [10] June 6–8, 20161,238± 2.8%55%34%4%6%
Gravis Marketing [36] May 31–June 1, 20161,519± 2.5%56%29%15%
Hypothetical polling

with Jonathan Johnson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jonathan
Johnson (R)
Mike
Weinholtz (D)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [10] June 6–8, 20161,238± 2.8%38%35%9%17%
Gravis Marketing [36] May 31–June 1, 20161,519± 2.5%40%29%31%

with Jim Matheson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gary
Herbert (R)
Jim
Matheson (D)
OtherUndecided
UtahPolicy/Dan Jones [37] March 30–April 7, 2015601± 4.0%57%33%11%

Results

2016 Utah gubernatorial election [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Gary Herbert (incumbent) 750,850 66.74% −1.67%
Democratic Mike Weinholtz323,34928.74%+1.16%
Libertarian Brian Kamerath34,8273.10%+0.85%
Independent American Superdell Schanze15,9121.41%N/A
Independent L.S. Brown (write-in)970.01%N/A
Total votes1,125,035 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Herbert won all 4 congressional districts. [39]

DistrictHerbertWeinholtzRepresentative
1st 71%24% Rob Bishop
2nd 62%33% Chris Stewart
3rd 72%24% Jason Chaffetz
4th 61%34% Mia Love

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References

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Official campaign websites