2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

Last updated

2016 United States Senate election in Oregon
Flag of Oregon.svg
←  2010 November 8, 2016 2022  →
  Ron Wyden official portrait crop.jpg Mark Callahan.jpg
Nominee Ron Wyden Mark Callahan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,105,119651,106
Percentage56.60%33.35%
2016 United States Senate election in Oregon results map by county.svg
OR Senate 2016.svg
2016 United States Senate election in Oregon results by congressional district.svg
Wyden:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Callahan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in which Coos County has not supported him. This election also marks the most recent time any candidate from either major party swept all of Oregon's existing congressional districts in any statewide election. [1]

Democratic Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Wyden 70-80% 80-90% Oregon 2016 Democratic Senate Primary.svg
Results by county:
  Wyden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 501,903 83.20%
Democratic Kevin Stine78,28712.98%
Democratic Paul Weaver20,3463.37%
write-ins 2,7400.45%
Total votes603,276 100.00%

Results by county

CountyRon Wyden
Democratic		Paul Weaver
Democratic		Kevin Stine
Democratic		Other votesTotal
votes
 %# %# %# %#
Baker 78.42%1,2056.04%7914.15%1851.38%181,307
Benton 82.47%15,0952.74%50214.57%2,6660.21%3918,302
Clackamas 83.92%48,3553.27%1,88412.25%7,0600.56%32557,624
Clatsop 84.51%5,1733.84%23511.29%6910.36%226,121
Columbia 80.70%5,9715.95%44012.75%9430.61%457,399
Coos 77.80%6,2846.90%55714.60%1,1790.71%578,077
Crook 80.97%1,6137.28%14510.79%2150.95%191,992
Curry 80.17%2,4175.41%16313.47%4060.96%293,015
Deschutes 85.24%19,4892.92%66811.42%2,6110.42%9622,864
Douglas 77.40%8,1597.48%78914.27%1,5040.85%9010,542
Gilliam 84.31%1886.73%156.73%152.24%5223
Grant 77.46%5196.12%4113.43%902.99%20670
Harney 80.18%5427.25%4910.65%721.92%13676
Hood River 84.57%3,3763.18%12712.05%4810.20%83,992
Jackson 77.86%22,1523.34%94918.35%5,2210.46%13028,452
Jefferson 81.59%1,4186.33%11011.34%1970.75%131,738
Josephine 77.92%7,0654.73%42916.37%1,4840.98%899,067
Klamath 78.52%4,1795.73%30514.60%7771.15%615,322
Lake 76.74%4097.88%4214.45%770.94%5533
Lane 83.64%58,0573.31%2,30012.70%8,8190.35%24169,417
Lincoln 82.28%7,1444.60%39912.73%1,1050.40%358,683
Linn 78.20%9,4356.31%76114.76%1,7810.74%8912,066
Malheur 75.48%9488.20%10314.81%1861.51%191,256
Marion 81.20%27,4094.63%1,56213.54%4,5690.64%21533,755
Morrow 80.03%5418.28%5610.80%730.89%6676
Multnomah 85.30%148,9802.04%3,55612.32%21,5100.35%603174,649
Polk 81.64%8,1304.88%48612.96%1,2910.52%529,959
Sherman 74.41%125 10.12%1711.91%203.57%6168
Tillamook 83.24%3,4224.31%17712.16%5000.29%124,111
Umatilla 82.40%3,6565.12%22711.97%5310.52%234,437
Union 81.05%1,9725.67%13812.50%3040.78%192,433
Wallowa 86.25%7342.12%1811.05%940.59%5851
Wasco 81.63%2,5015.48%16812.40%3800.49%153,064
Washington 84.21%65,5653.06%2,38512.43%9,6770.30%23277,859
Wheeler 76.36%1264.85%812.73%216.06%10165
Yamhill 82.37%9,7293.86%45613.14%1,5520.63%7411,811

Republican Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Callahan 30-40% 40-50% Carpenter 30-40% 40-50% Stewart 40-50% Oregon Senate Republican primary results by county, 2016.svg
  Callahan
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Carpenter
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Stewart
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Callahan 123,473 38.24%
Republican Sam Carpenter104,49432.36%
Republican Faye Stewart57,39917.78%
Republican Dan Laschober34,15710.58%
write-ins 3,3571.04%
Total votes322,880 100.00%

Independent Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Independent primary results [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent Party Steven Reynolds 10,497 40.80%
Independent Party Marvin Sandnes4,73318.40%
write-ins 10,49640.80%
Total votes25,726 100.00%

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usually cross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. [13] [14] [15]

Candidates

Declared

Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party

The Pacific Green Party and the Oregon Progressive Party cross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of the Ashland, Oregon City Council. [17] [18] [19]

Candidates

Declared

  • Eric Navickas, former Ashland City Councilman [20] [21]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Safe DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [24] Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [25] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [26] Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
Wyden (D)		Mark
Callahan (R)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [27] November 1–7, 20161,595± 4.6%63%32%—5%
SurveyMonkey [28] October 31–November 6, 20161,483± 4.6%64%32%—4%
SurveyMonkey [29] October 28–November 3, 20161,150± 4.6%64%32%—4%
SurveyMonkey [30] October 27–November 2, 2016934± 4.6%64%33%—3%
SurveyMonkey [31] October 26–November 1, 2016809± 4.6%61%34%—5%
SurveyMonkey [32] October 25–31, 2016743± 4.6%62%34%—4%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA [33] October 10–12, 2016654± 3.9%54%32%6%9%
Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart) [34] October 4, 20161,248± 2.8%52%33%—15%

Results

United States Senate election in Oregon, 2016 [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ronald Wyden (incumbent) 1,105,119 56.60% −0.62%
Republican Mark Callahan651,10633.35%−5.90%
Working Families Shanti Lewallen61,9153.17%+1.86%
Independent Party Steven Reynolds59,5163.05%N/A
Pacific Green Eric Navickas48,8232.50%N/A
Libertarian Jim Lindsay23,9411.23%+0.12
n/a Write-ins2,0580.10%0.00%
Total votes1,952,478 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Wyden won all 5 congressional districts at the time, including one that elected a Republican. [36]

DistrictWydenCallahanRepresentative
1st 60%31% Suzanne Bonamici
2nd 48%43% Greg Walden
3rd 70%19% Earl Blumenauer
4th 52%37% Peter DeFazio
5th 53%38% Kurt Schrader

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References

  1. 1 2 Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. ↑ Mann, Damian (September 21, 2015). "Medford Councilor Stine to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden". Mail Tribune . Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
  3. ↑ Kullgren, Ian K. (November 17, 2015). "Who's running for president, Oregon governor, other seats? The latest on 2016 candidates". The Oregonian . Retrieved March 7, 2016.
  4. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 10, 2015). "Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real". Roll Call . Archived from the original on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 30, 2015.
  5. 1 2 3 "May 17, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved July 21, 2016.
  6. 1 2 Mapes, Jeff (September 10, 2015). "Republican Mark Callahan of 'blah, blah, blah' fame runs again for U.S. Senate". The Oregonian . Retrieved September 11, 2015.
  7. ↑ Hubbard, Saul (April 27, 2016). "Four GOP candidates in primary vie for spot to face off against U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden". The Eugene Register-Guard. Retrieved May 10, 2016.[ permanent dead link ]
  8. ↑ Jaquiss, Nigel (May 18, 2016). "Surprise Winners, Lousy Polls and Cheap Shots—Last Night's Primary Had It All". Willamette Week. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
  9. ↑ Hammers, Scott (February 5, 2016). "Bend businessman Carpenter to run for Senate". The Bend Bulletin. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  10. ↑ Dubois, Steven (November 12, 2015). "Oregon county commissioner Faye Stewart to run for US Senate". KATU. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
  11. 1 2 Kullgren, Ian (March 9, 2016). "Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here". The Oregonian. Retrieved April 7, 2016.
  12. ↑ Bailey, Everton (May 17, 2016). "Ron Wyden to face Mark Callahan, Steven Reynolds for U.S. Senate seat in November (election results)". The Oregonian. Retrieved May 18, 2016.
  13. ↑ "Oregon Working Families Party challenges free-trader Ron Wyden". NWLaborPress.org. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  14. ↑ "Oregon Working Families Party challenges "fast-track" backer Ron Wyden". People's World. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  15. ↑ Winger, Richard (August 24, 2016). "Oregon Working Families Party Runs its Own Member for U.S. Senate". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  16. ↑ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Shanti Lewallen". Oregon Secretary of State. July 28, 2016. Retrieved August 28, 2016.
  17. ↑ Driscoll, Trisha (August 4, 2016). "2016 PACIFIC GREEN PARTY CANDIDATES". Pacific Green Party. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  18. ↑ Navickas, Eric (August 31, 2016). "I am proud to announce that in addition to receiving the Pacific Green Party nomination, our campaign has also won the nomination to run for U.S. Senate from the Progressive Party of Oregon". Eric Navickas for US Senate- Official Facebook. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  19. ↑ "The League responds with an event gathering signatures to get Jill Stein and Eric Navickas in the voters pamphlet. This will be at the Salem Wednesday Farmers market". Salem Weekly News. August 3, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  20. ↑ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Pacific Green Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. June 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  21. ↑ "Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Oregon Progressive Nomination)". Oregon Secretary of State. August 30, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  22. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  23. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  24. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  25. ↑ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  26. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  27. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  28. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  29. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  30. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  31. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  32. ↑ SurveyMonkey
  33. ↑ KATU-TV/SurveyUSA
  34. ↑ Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)
  35. ↑ "November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  36. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.

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