2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  
Turnout68.11 [1]
  Portrait of President-elect Donald Trump (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Bill Weld
Electoral vote700
Popular vote949,136420,37583,481
Percentage65.32%28.93%5.75%

Oklahoma Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
2020 U.S. House elections in Oklahoma.svg
2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma results map by precinct.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color Oklahoma 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county United States presidential election in Oklahoma, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]

Contents

Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952, and a Republican stronghold since 1980. Trump subsequently carried the state with 65.3% of the vote, while Clinton received 28.9%. [3] Considered a safe Republican state, Oklahoma has voted Republican in fifteen of the last sixteen elections. It was also one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also marked the fourth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state. [4]

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, became the first third-party candidate to achieve ballot access in Oklahoma since 2000. He received 5.75% of the vote, the highest percentage for a third party in the state since Ross Perot's campaign in 1996. He was also the only third-party candidate to successfully file for ballot access in Oklahoma.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Results

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders 174,22851.88%21122
Hillary Clinton 139,44341.52%17118
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)7,6722.28%
Keith Judd 4,3861.31%
Michael Steinberg 4,1711.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn)3,4581.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,4850.74%
Uncommitted022
Total335,843100%38442
Source: [5] [6]

Republican primary

2016 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
Flag of Oklahoma.svg
  2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020  
  MN
TN  
  Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Texas New York
Delegate count1514
Popular vote158,078130,267
Percentage34.37%28.32%

  Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Maryland
Delegate count120
Popular vote119,63328,601
Percentage26.01%6.22%

2016 OK GOP presidential primary.svg
Results by county

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot: [7]

Oklahoma Republican primary, March 1, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Ted Cruz158,07834.37%15015
Donald Trump130,26728.32%14014
Marco Rubio119,63326.01%12012
Ben Carson28,6016.22%000
John Kasich16,5243.59%000
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)2,0910.45%000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)1,6660.36%000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)1,3080.28%000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)6100.13%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)5450.12%000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)3750.08%000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)2240.05%000
Unprojected delegates:202
Total:459,922100.00%43043
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Oklahoma as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2016
CNN [9] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [10] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
NBC [12] Likely RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [13] Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Fox News [14] Safe RNovember 7, 2016
ABC [15] Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

Chart of popular vote
  1. Trump (65.3%)
  2. Clinton (28.9%)
  3. Johnson (5.75%)

Analysis

The Republican Party candidate, Donald Trump, carried Oklahoma with a victory margin of 36.39%. While Trump improved over Mitt Romney's 2012 vote total and victory margin, his vote percentage of 65.3% was down from Romney's 66.8%, making 2016 the first time since 1992 the Republican's vote percentage decreased from the previous election. Hillary Clinton's vote percentage of 28.9% is the worst for a Democratic candidate in Oklahoma since George McGovern's 24% in the 1972 election. In terms of margin of victory, this is the largest loss by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Walter Mondale in 1984. Clinton however, did make gains in heavily populated Oklahoma County, its surrounding suburban counties, and Tulsa County. In Oklahoma County, Clinton reduced a 16.66% advantage for Romney into a 10.5% advantage for Trump, while Trump was held below the 60% mark in Tulsa. [18] Gary Johnson's total was more than twice what was needed to preserve recognized status for the Libertarian Party in the state, meaning that in 2018 the LP will be the first alternative party on the ballot for a gubernatorial election since the Reform Party in 1998. [19]

With 65.32% of the popular vote, Oklahoma would prove to be Trump's third strongest state in the 2016 election after Wyoming and West Virginia. [20] His win in the 2nd Congressional District was the second best of the five congressional districts in Oklahoma that he won, and he also carried the critical Native American vote in the state[ citation needed ] (this included all the counties of the proposed Native American state of Sequoyah). The state would also prove to be Gary Johnson's fourth strongest state with 5.75% of the popular vote after New Mexico, North Dakota and Alaska.

Slates of electors

Republican: David Oldham, Teresa Lyn Turner, Mark Thomas, Bobby Cleveland, Lauree Elizabeth Marshall, Charles W. Potts, George W. Wiland Jr

Libertarian: Erin Adams, Mikel Dillon, Joel Britt Dixon, Rex L. Lawhorn, Ephriam Zachary Knight, Craig A. Dawkins, Mark C. DeShazo

Democrat: Marq Lewis, Bill John Baker, Mark Hammons, Betty McElderry, W. A. Drew Edmondson, Jeannie McDaniel, Rhonda Walters [21]

See also

References

  1. "2016 General Election Turnout in Oklahoma". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved January 11, 2025.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  3. "Oklahoma Election Results 2016". The New York Times . 2016. Archived from the original on July 17, 2017. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
  4. "History of Oklahoma voting in presidential elections since 1932". KJRH. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on September 9, 2017. Retrieved July 23, 2017.
  5. The Green Papers
  6. Oklahoma State Election Board
  7. "Nineteen candidates file for Oklahoma Presidential Primary". Fox23.com. Archived from the original on January 28, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  8. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  9. "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  10. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News . Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  13. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  14. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  15. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  16. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on November 12, 2016. Retrieved November 11, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  17. https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::bae848ae-a6fd-4647-a2fc-3af07978eb28
  18. "2016 Presidential Election Results". The New York Times . ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  19. "Libertarian Party makes historic strides in Oklahoma, U.S. elections". reddirtreport.com. November 11, 2016. Archived from the original on August 11, 2017. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
  20. "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Archived from the original on July 13, 2018. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  21. "Sample ballots for Oklahoma 2016 election". The Oklahoman . November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 12, 2020.