2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
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Nominee Tom Coburn Jim Rogers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote718,482265,814
Percentage70.64%26.13%
2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results map by county.svg
County results
Coburn:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Tom Coburn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Coburn
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Coburn (incumbent) 223,997 90.4%
Republican Evelyn Rogers15,0936.1%
Republican Lewis Kelly Spring8,8123.5%
Total votes247,902 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jim Rogers 157,955 65.4%
Democratic Mark Myles83,71534.6%
Total votes241,670 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats. [5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate [6] who did little campaigning. [7]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [8] Solid ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg [9] Safe ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics [10] Safe ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [11] Safe ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics [12] Safe ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Coburn (R)		Jim
Rogers (D)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [13] June 30, 2010500± 4.5%65%26%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports [14] July 28, 2010500± 4.5%65%31%1%4%
Rasmussen Reports [15] August 26, 2010500± 4.5%67%24%3%5%
Rasmussen Reports [16] September 23, 2010500± 4.5%68%26%2%4%
SoonerPoll [17] October 3–7, 2010755± ?62%22%2%14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Coburn (R)		Dan
Boren (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%53%36%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Coburn (R)		Brad
Henry (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%52%40%—8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Coburn (R)		Mark
Myles (D)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [13] June 30, 2010500± 4.5%62%27%4%6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Cole (R)		Dan
Boren (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%42%40%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Tom
Cole (R)		Brad
Henry (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%44%43%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		J. C.
Watts (R)		Dan
Boren (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%46%41%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		J. C.
Watts (R)		Brad
Henry (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [18] May 13–17, 2009715± 3.7%45%44%—11%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Tom Coburn (R)$1,935,820$2,103,749$671,135$0
Jim Rogers (D)$0$0$0$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [19]

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010 [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Tom Coburn (incumbent) 718,482 70.64% +17.87%
Democratic Jim Rogers265,81426.13%−15.11%
Independent Stephen Wallace25,0482.46%N/A
Independent Ronald F. Dwyer7,8070.77%N/A
Majority 452,66844.50%
Total votes1,017,151 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

General

  1. ↑ "Candidate - Evelyn Rogers". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ↑ http://www.springforussenate.com/Spring.cfm%5B%5D
  3. 1 2 "Oklahoma Primary Results". Politico. July 27, 2010. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
  4. ↑ "Wallace". Wallace4senate.com. Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_OK_519.pdf [ dead link ]
  6. ↑ GOP may dominate elections statewide | Tulsa World
  7. ↑ "Tom Coburn cruises to a second and final term in the U.S. Senate | News OK". Archived from the original on August 9, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2010.
  8. ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  10. ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  11. ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  12. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  13. 1 2 Rasmussen Reports
  14. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  15. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  16. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  17. ↑ SoonerPoll
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Public Policy Polling
  19. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oklahoma". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  20. ↑ "SUMMARY RESULTS: General Election - November 2, 2010". Archived from the original on August 5, 2012. Retrieved November 26, 2010.

Specific

"Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 16, 2010.

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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