2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon
Flag of Oregon.svg
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All 5 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election41
Seats won41
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote733,639657,007
Percentage50.86%45.54%
SwingDecrease2.svg 10.72%Increase2.svg 19.63%
Oregon Congressional Election Results 2010.svg
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon by county.svg
Oregon's United States congressional districts OR-districts-108.JPG
Oregon's United States congressional districts
Voters' pamphlet for the 2010 general election Oregon Voters' Pamphlet 2010.jpg
Voters' pamphlet for the 2010 general election

The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Oregon in the United States House of Representatives. Oregon has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. All five incumbents, four Democrats and one Republican, were re-elected to another term. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013; however, re-elected Congressman David Wu resigned partway through his term on August 3, 2011, and a special election was held to fill the rest of his unexpired term.

Contents

A primary election for Democrats and Republicans was held on May 18. [1] Other parties have other procedures for nominating candidates.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2010 [2] [3]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic 733,63950.86%4—
Republican 657,00745.54%1—
Pacific Green 21,9241.52%—
Libertarian 10,8720.75%—
Constitution 3,8550.27%—
write-ins1,4480.10%—
Totals1,442,588100.00%5—

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon by district: [4]

District Democratic Republican OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 160,35754.75%122,85841.94%9,6943.31%292,909100.0%Democratic hold
District 2 72,17325.87%206,24573.91%6190.22%279,037100.0%Republican hold
District 3 193,10470.02%67,71424.55%14,9845.43%275,802100.0%Democratic hold
District 4 162,41654.49%129,87743.58%5,7591.93%298,052100.0%Democratic hold
District 5 145,31951.25%130,31345.96%7,9242.79%283,556100.0%Democratic hold
Total733,36951.31%657,00745.96%38,9802.73%1,429,356100.0%

District 1

Incumbent Democrat David Wu has represented Oregon's 1st congressional district since 1998 and was re-elected to a seventh term in 2010, defeating sports marketing consultant Rob Cornilles, who won the Republican primary. [5]

In 2008, Wu won with 71% of the vote. He faced no Republican opponent because the winner of the Republican primary, Joel Haugen, changed his affiliation to the Independent Party of Oregon after his endorsement of Democrat Barack Obama for president drew objections from Republican party leaders. [6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • David Robinson, businessman and U.S. Naval Academy teacher [7]
  • David Wu, incumbent U.S. Representative [7]

Results

Democratic Primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Wu 61,439 80.92
Democratic David Robinson14,10218.57
write-ins3830.50
Total votes75,924 100

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Stephan Andrew Brodhead, real estate portfolio manager [7]
  • Rob Cornilles, sports marketing consultant [7]
  • Douglas Fitzgerald Keller, retired Naval aviator [7]
  • John Kuzmanich, businessman [7]

Results

Republican Primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rob Cornilles 21,441 41.07
Republican Douglas Fitzgerald Keller14,78528.32
Republican John Kuzmanich14,46427.71
Republican Stephan Andrew Brodhead1,2132.32
write-ins2990.57
Total votes52,202 100

General election

Candidates

Polling

Poll SourceDate AdministeredRob Cornilles (R)Don LaMunyon (C)David Wu (D)Other/Undecided
Elway Research [10] October 18–21, 201038%-51%11%
Survey USA [11] October 16–18, 201042%2%51%5%
Moore Research [12] May 26–27, 201040%-46%-

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Oregon's 1st congressional district election, 2010 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Wu 160,357 54.75
Republican Rob Cornilles122,85841.94
Constitution Don LaMunyon3,8551.32
Pacific Green Chris Henry2,9551.01
Libertarian H. Joe Tabor2,4920.85
write-ins3920.13
Total votes292,517 100
Democratic hold

District 2

Incumbent Republican Greg Walden has represented Oregon's 2nd congressional district since 1998, and was re-elected to a seventh term in 2010, defeating Democrat Joyce Segers, a writer from Ashland. Both candidates were unopposed in their respective primaries. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Joyce B. Segers, writer (unopposed) [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

Oregon's 2nd congressional district election, 2010 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Walden 206,245 73.91
Democratic Joyce B. Segers72,17325.87
write-ins6190.22
Total votes279,037 100
Republican hold

District 3

Incumbent Democrat Earl Blumenauer has represented Oregon's 3rd congressional district since 1996 and was re-elected to an eighth term in 2010. [19] In 2008, he took 75% of the vote. He faced a rematch with his 2008 Republican opponent, Delia Lopez, a real estate investor from Oakland, Oregon. [5] [20]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic Primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Earl Blumenauer 73,962 91.23
Democratic John Sweeney6,7748.36
write-ins3370.42
Total votes81,073 100

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Delia Lopez, homemaker and real estate investor (unopposed) [7]

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Oregon's 3rd congressional district election, 2010 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Earl Blumenauer 193,104 70.02
Republican Delia Lopez67,71424.55
Libertarian Jeff Lawrence8,3803.04
Pacific Green Michael Meo6,1972.25
write-ins4070.15
Total votes275,802 100
Democratic hold

Campaign Finance

As of September 30, 2010. Source: Federal Election Commission [21]

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Earl Blumenauer (D)$920,464$899,220$394,775$0
Delia Lopez (R)$84,231$8,310$75,920$56,031
Jeffrey Lawrence (L)$24,834$9,576$15,258$10,000
Michael Meo (G)Unreported

District 4

Incumbent Democrat Peter DeFazio, the senior member of Oregon's House delegation, was re-elected to a 13th term in 2010, defeating chemist Arthur B. Robinson, winner of the Republican primary. [5] DeFazio had briefly considered a run for Governor of Oregon. [22] He has represented Oregon's 4th congressional district since 1986. In 2008, with no Republican opposition, he won 82% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Republican primary

Springfield mayor Sid Leiken announced his candidacy as a Republican, but dropped it in March 2010 to run for a seat on the Lane County Board of Commissioners. [23] Leiken had faced controversy over money paid to his campaign that he said was reimbursement for a poll conducted by his mother's company. No documentation existed for the payment, which is a possible violation of Oregon election laws. [24]

Candidates

Results

Republican Primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Arthur B. Robinson 49,401 79.16
Republican Jaynee Germond12,49520.02
write-ins5120.82
Total votes62,408 100

General election

Candidates

Polling

Poll SourceDate AdministeredArt Robinson (R)Peter DeFazio (D)Other/Undecided
Grove Insights (D) [25] October 11–12, 201039%53%8%
Global Perspective Innovative Research (R) [26] October 4–5, 201042%48%10%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Global Perspective Innovative Research (R) [26] October 4–5, 201044%45%11%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

Oregon's 4th congressional district election, 2010 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Peter DeFazio 162,416 54.49
Republican Arthur B. Robinson 129,87743.58
Pacific Green Michael Beilstein5,2151.75
write-ins5440.18
Total votes298,052 100
Democratic hold

District 5

Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader defeated Republican nominee Oregon State Representative Scott Bruun and Pacific Green and Progressive candidate Chris Lugo to win a second term in Oregon's 5th congressional district . Schrader was first elected in 2008, winning against Republican nominee Mike Erickson after six-term Democratic incumbent Darlene Hooley announced her retirement. The district is usually the most competitive in Oregon, though it has become more Democratic in recent years. [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican Primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Bruun 37,778 62.28
Republican Fred Thompson22,61637.28
write-ins2350.39
Total votes60,659 100

General election

Candidates

Polling

Poll SourceDate AdministeredScott Bruun (R)Chris Lugo (PG)Kurt Schrader (D)Other/Undecided
Elway Research [10] October 18–21, 201038%2%50%11%
Survey USA [27] October 17–19, 201051%2%41%6%
American Action Forum [28] August 23–29, 201036%-44%21%
Moore Research [29] August 18–19, 201041%-38%22%
Lake Research Partners [30] July 21–25, 201035%-46%-

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [13] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg [14] TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP [16] TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics [17] TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times [18] TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight [18] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010

Results

Oregon's 5th congressional district election, 2010 [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kurt Schrader 145,319 51.25
Republican Scott Bruun 130,31345.96
Pacific Green Chris Lugo7,5572.67
write-ins3670.13
Total votes283,556 100
Democratic hold

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Voting and Voter Registration". Oregon Blue Book. Retrieved October 10, 2009.
  2. ↑ Karen L. Haas (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010" (PDF). Clerk of the United States House of Representatives . Retrieved November 21, 2016.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Official Results - November 2, 2010 General Election". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved November 20, 2016.
  4. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Oregon 2010 Primary Results: U. S. House". The Oregonian . May 18, 2010. Archived from the original on May 22, 2010. Retrieved May 19, 2010.
  6. ↑ Cole, Michelle (August 30, 2008). "Joel Haugen withdraws acceptance of Republican nomination". The Oregonian . Archived from the original on September 19, 2008. Retrieved September 8, 2008.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 "Candidate Filings, Representative in Congress". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved April 29, 2010.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 "Official Results - May 18, 2010 Primary Election". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved November 21, 2016.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Candidate Filings, Representative in Congress". Oregon Secretary of State . Retrieved October 12, 2010.
  10. 1 2 Elway Research
  11. ↑ Survey USA
  12. ↑ Moore Research
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 Crystal Ball, as of November 1,2010
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1,2010
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
  19. ↑ "The Decade of Decision" (Press release). EarlBlumenauer.com. February 16, 2010. Retrieved February 16, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  20. ↑ Mapes, Jeff (January 18, 2010). "Blumenauer again draws long-distance opponent". The Oregonian . Retrieved January 18, 2010.
  21. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon (District 3)". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved July 19, 2010.[ permanent dead link ]
  22. ↑ Mapes, Jeff (March 5, 2010). "DeFazio files for reelection, ends gubernatorial musings". The Oregonian . Retrieved March 5, 2010.
  23. ↑ Cooper, Matt (March 4, 2010). "Leiken changes to commission race". The Register-Guard . Retrieved March 4, 2010.
  24. ↑ Steves, David (October 6, 2009). "No phone records to verify survey, Leiken's mother says". The Register-Guard . Retrieved October 11, 2009.
  25. ↑ Grove Insights (D)
  26. 1 2 Global Perspective Innovative Research (R)
  27. ↑ Survey USA
  28. ↑ American Action Forum
  29. ↑ Moore Research
  30. ↑ Lake Research Partners
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