2026 United States Senate election in Oregon

Last updated

2026 United States Senate election in Oregon
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Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election inOregon will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Oregon. Primary elections will be held on May 19, 2026. Incumbent senator Jeff Merkley, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2020, is running for a fourth term. [1]

Contents

Background

Oregon is generally considered to be a strongly blue state at the federal and state levels, having not elected a Republican to the U.S. senate since 2002 (or any Republican statewide since 2016). Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, all but one seat in Oregon's U.S. House congressional delegation, and, since January 2025, hold supermajorities in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly. [2] Merkley was first elected in 2008 defeating then-incumbent Gordon Smith, and was re-elected twice, in 2014 and 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Jake Ryan, general contractor [3]

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jeff Merkley (D)$4,045,046$3,185,575$4,665,032
Source: Federal Election Commission [5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [7] Solid DAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [8] Solid DAugust 18, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] Safe DAugust 12, 2025
Race To The WH [10] Safe DSeptember 4, 2025

References

  1. 1 2 VanderHart, Dirk (July 11, 2025). "Oregon's Jeff Merkley will seek a 4th term in US Senate, ending speculation". Oregon Public Broadcasting . Retrieved July 11, 2025.
  2. ↑ Shumway, Julia (2024-11-27). "Democrats win supermajority in Oregon House, Senate, with narrow win in Woodburn • Oregon Capital Chronicle". Oregon Capital Chronicle . Retrieved 2025-01-27.
  3. ↑ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1894465". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved 2025-08-12.
  4. ↑ Fuentes, Carlos; Edge, Sami (May 30, 2025). "Jeff Merkley hasn't said he'll step down from the U.S. Senate. But some top Oregon Democrats have registered websites just in case". The Oregonian . Retrieved May 30, 2025.
  5. ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate - Oregon". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  6. ↑ "SKELTON, TIMOTHY WILLIAM - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. 1 January 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  7. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  8. ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  9. ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  10. ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved 2025-03-19.

Official campaign websites

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