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Elections in Tennessee |
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The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term. His second term expires on January 16, 2027.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn | John Rose | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quantus Insights [16] | August 5-7, 2025 | (RV) | – | 35% | 6% | 59% [b] |
Targoz Market Research [17] [A] | July 27 – August 1, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 66% | 14% | 19% |
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R) [18] [19] [B] | January 13–16, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 71% | 13% | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [23] | Solid R | January 23, 2025 |
Inside Elections [24] | Solid R | February 6, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] | Safe R | May 1, 2025 |
Race to the WH [26] | Safe R | June 30, 2025 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Jerri Green (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quantus Insights [27] | August 5-7, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 28% | 7% [c] | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | John Rose (R) | Jerri Green (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quantus Insights [28] | August 5-7, 2025 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 27% | 8% [d] | 23% |
Rep. Mark Green (R-Tenn.) will not run for governor in 2026, according to a source familiar with his thinking.
Jacobs spent months laying the groundwork for a run for governor in 2026, but endorsed Blackburn the night of Jan. 14