2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election

Last updated

2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Flag of Tennessee.svg
←  2022
November 3, 2026
2030 →
  Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) official headshot - 116th Congress (cropped).jpg Jerri Green (cropped).3 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Marsha Blackburn Jerri GreenDavid Hatley
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote955,298902,615195,288
Percentage45.49%42.98%9.30%

2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Blackburn:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Green:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Bill Lee
Republican

Elected Governor

Marsha Blackburn
Republican

The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2026 to elect the governor of Tennessee for a four-year term starting on January 16, 2027. Incumbent Republican governor Bill Lee was term-limited and ineligible to seek a third consecutive term. Republican U.S. senator Marsha Blackburn narrowly defeated Democratic Memphis City Council member Jerri Green. [1] Blackburn received 45.5% of the vote to Green's 43.0%, winning by approximately 54,000 votes.

Contents

The primary elections took place on August 6, 2026, with Blackburn and Green securing the Republican and Democratic nominations, respectively. [2]

Blackburn significantly underperformed compared to previous Republican gubernatorial candidates. In 2022, Bill Lee won re-election by 32 percentage points, while Blackburn won by just 2.5 points. All 95 counties shifted toward Democrats, with Knox, Hamilton, Haywood, Madison, Montgomery, and Rutherford counties flipping Democratic. [3] [4] Independent candidate David Hatley also attracted support from conservative voters dissatisfied with Blackburn, receiving 9.3% of the statewide vote, or nearly 196,000 votes, and finishing third. [5] [6] This was the closest Tennessee gubernatorial election since 2002.

Blackburn became the first woman elected governor of Tennessee and will take office in January 2027. Her victory extended Republican control of the governorship, which the party has held since 2011. [7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
John Rose
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Executive branch officials
Statewide officials

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Marsha
Blackburn
John
Rose
Monty
Fritts
Other/
Undecided [c]
Margin
Race to the WH [42] through August 1, 2026August 5, 202639.1%28.3%22.1%10.5%Blackburn +10.8%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Marsha
Blackburn
John
Rose
Monty
Fritts
OtherUndecided
Wick [43] [e] [A] July 29 – August 1, 2026600 (LV)± 4.0%51%32%17%––
45%28%17%–9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [44] [B] July 26–28, 2026800 (LV)± 3.5%42%25%22%–11%
OnMessage Inc. [45] July 23–25, 2026800 (LV)± 3.5%35%31%26%–9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [46] [B] June 28–30, 2026– (LV)–51%20%12%–17%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [47] [C] June 28–30, 2026600 (LV)–44%29%13%–14%
Targoz Market Research [48] [D] April 20–27, 2026529 (LV)± 4.2%63%10%5%–22%
VictoryPhones [49] [E] March 18–24, 2026300 (LV)± 5.7%56%14%11%–20%
Cygnal (R) [50] March 16–17, 2026500 (LV)± 4.4%58%7%–5%30%
VictoryPhones [51] [E] February 5–8, 2026– (LV)–61%8%5%–26%
Targoz Market Research [52] [D] January 11–18, 2026559 (LV)–56%9%7%1% [f] 27%
Targoz Market Research [53] [D] October 26–29, 2025545 (RV)–58%9%5%–29%
Quantus Insights (R) [54] August 5–7, 2025––35%6%–22% [g] 37%
Targoz Market Research [55] [D] July 27 – August 1, 2025623 (RV)± 2.8%66%14%––19%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [56] [57] [B] January 13–16, 2025800 (LV)± 3.5%71%13%––16%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Blackburn
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Rose
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Fritts
40-50%
50-60% 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial Republican primary results by county.svg
Results by county:
  Blackburn
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rose
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Fritts
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
Results by precinct:
Blackburn
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Rose
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Fritts
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Tie
30-40%
40-50%
50%
No Votes 2026 TN Rep Gov.svg
Results by precinct:
  Blackburn
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Rose
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Fritts
  •   30–40%
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  Tie
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
  No Votes
Republican primary results [58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Marsha Blackburn 311,392 43.55%
Republican John Rose 235,56132.95%
Republican Monty Fritts 168,00423.50%
Write-in 10.00%
Total votes714,958 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Carnita Atwater, museum president, candidate for governor in 2022, and candidate for mayor of Memphis in 2023 [60]
  • Tim Cyr, home repair business owner [60]
  • Adam "Ditch" Kurtz, Nashville pedal steel musician [61]
  • Kevin Lee McCants, pastor [62]

Declined

Endorsements

Jerri Green
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Carnita
Atwater
Tim
Cyr
Jerri
Green
Adam
Kurtz
Kevin Lee
McCants
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [48] [D] April 20–27, 2026400 (LV)± 4.8%8%3%14%2%11%62%

Results

Results by county:
Green
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Atwater
40-50% 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial Democratic primary results by county.svg
Results by county:
  Green
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Atwater
  •   40–50%
Results by precinct:
Green
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Atwater
20-30%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Tie
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50%
No Votes 2026 TN Dem Gov.svg
Results by precinct:
  Green
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Atwater
  •   20–30%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Tie
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50%
  No Votes
Democratic primary results [58]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jerri Green 244,277 69.04%
Democratic Carnita Atwater63,28917.89%
Democratic Kevin Lee McCants18,9725.36%
Democratic Tim Cyr14,7994.18%
Democratic Adam Kurtz12,4653.52%
Total votes353,802 100.00%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [71] Solid ROctober 29, 2026
Decision Desk HQ [72] Likely RNovember 2, 2026
Fox News [73] Solid RNovember 1, 2026
Inside Elections [74] Likely ROctober 29, 2026
NBC News [75] Solid RNovember 2, 2026
RealClearPolitics [76] Solid RNovember 1, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball [77] Safe RNovember 2, 2026
Silver Bulletin [78] Solid RNovember 2, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

Marsha Blackburn (R)
Executive branch officials
Jerri Green (D)
David Hatley (I)
State legislators
Lauren Pinkston (I)
Statewide officials
Political parties

Forums

2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election forum
No.DateHostLink Republican Democratic IndependentIndependent
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Marsha Blackburn Jerri GreenDavid HatleyLauren Pinkston
1 [86] October 27, 2026Tennessee Press Association
Middle Tennessee State University
YouTube APPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
Marsha
Blackburn (R)
Jerri
Green (D)
David
Hatley (I)
OtherUndecided
Targoz Market Research [87] [D] October 24 – November 2, 2026718 (LV)± 3.58%54%35%7%2% [h] 2%
GOTV Polling [88] [F] October 25–26, 20261,196 (V)± 2.8%35%30%26%3% [i] 6%
Spry Strategies (R) [89] October 10–15, 2026635 (LV)± 3.9%44%32%12%2% [j] 10%
TargetSmart [90] [G] September 9–12, 2026600 (LV)± 4.0%45%36%10%2% [k] 7%
Targoz Market Research [92] [D] August 15–26, 20261,149 (RV)± 2.77%46%33%–8% [l] 14%
Targoz Market Research [92] [D] August 15–26, 2026601 (LV)± 2.77%55%34%–7%4%
Targoz Market Research [48] [D] April 20–27, 20261,200 (RV)± 2.8%51%27%–22%
Quantus Insights (R) [54] August 5–7, 2025600 (RV)± 3.5%49%28%–7% [m] 17%
Hypothetical polling
John Rose vs. Jerri Green
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [d]
Margin
of error
John
Rose (R)
Jerri
Green (D)
OtherUndecided
Quantus Insights (R) [54] August 5–7, 2025600 (RV)± 3.5%43%27%8% [n] 23%

Results

2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election [93]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Marsha Blackburn 955,298 45.49 −19.39
Democratic Jerri Green 902,61542.98+10.03
Independent David Hatley 195,2889.30N/A
Independent Lauren Pinkston26,1861.25N/A
Independent Dean Brewer4,0950.20N/A
Independent Ray Brown2,8690.14N/A
Independent Wendell Jackson2,3650.11N/A
Independent Eddie Lee Murphy2,2930.11N/A
Independent Robert C. Vick2,2400.11N/A
Independent Misam Abidi2,1100.10N/A
Independent Charles Van Morgan1,3170.06N/A
Independent L. Webb Taylor1,1180.05N/A
Independent Dave Seeman8700.04N/A
Independent Victor L. Scoggin8170.04N/A
Independent Karl Knox Smithson4940.02N/A
Total votes2,099,975 100.00
Republican hold

By county

CountyMarsha Blackburn
Republican
Jerri Green
Democratic
Other votesTotal

votes

%#%#%#
Anderson
Bedford
Benton
Bledsoe
Blount
Bradley
Campbell
Cannon
Carroll
Carter
Cheatham
Chester
Claiborne
Clay
Cocke
Coffee
Crockett
Cumberland
Davidson
Decatur
DeKalb
Dickson
Dyer
Fayette
Fentress
Franklin
Gibson
Giles
Grainger
Greene
Grundy
Hamblen
Hamilton
Hancock
Hardeman
Hardin
Hawkins
Haywood
Henderson
Henry
Hickman
Houston
Humphreys
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnson
Knox
Lake
Lauderdale
Lawrence
Lewis
Lincoln
Loudon
Macon
Madison
Marion
Marshall
Maury
McMinn
McNairy
Meigs
Monroe
Montgomery
Moore
Morgan
Obion
Overton
Perry
Pickett
Polk
Putnam
Rhea
Roane
Robertson
Rutherford
Scott
Sequatchie
Sevier
Shelby
Smith
Stewart
Sullivan
Sumner
Tipton
Trousdale
Unicoi
Union
Van Buren
Warren
Washington
Wayne
Weakley
White
Williamson
Wilson

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. ↑
  2. ↑
  3. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ↑ Password to access poll is "govols"
  6. ↑ "Would not vote" with 1%
  7. ↑ "Someone else" with 14%; Tim Burchett with 5%; Cameron Sexton with 3%
  8. ↑ Lauren Pinkston (I) & "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ↑ Lauren Pinkston (I) with 3%
  10. ↑ Lauren Pinkston (I) and "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ↑ Lauren Pinkston (I) with 2%
  12. ↑ "An independent candidate" with 8%
  13. ↑ "Wouldn't Vote for Either" with 7%
  14. ↑ "Wouldn't Vote for Either" with 8%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Blackburn's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Rose's campaign
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  5. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Tennesseans for Student Success
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Hatley's campaign
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by The Progress Fund, which supports Green [91]

References

  1. ↑ Browning, Kellen; Zhang, Christine; Wagner, Bayliss; Reynolds, Evan; Medina, Jennifer; Hubler, Shawn; Schleifer, Theodore; Reynolds, Evan; Spoto, Maia (November 3, 2026). "Tennessee Governor 2026: Live Election Results, Green vs. Blackburn". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 4, 2026.
  2. ↑ "2026 State Primary Election Dates". NCSL. May 9, 2025. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  3. ↑ Maynard, Chasity; Brown, Kassidy (November 9, 2026). "Democrats flipped 5 Tennessee counties in the 2026 midterms. See how your county voted". wsmv.com. Retrieved November 9, 2026.
  4. ↑ "2026 Tennessee Governor Live Election Results". Decision Desk HQ Votes. November 3, 2026. Retrieved November 7, 2026.
  5. ↑ Smith, Chris (November 5, 2026). "Trump voters stayed home, Montgomery County swings blue: 4 takeaways on election | ANALYSIS - ClarksvilleNow.com" . Retrieved November 7, 2026.
  6. ↑ Motycka, Eli (November 2, 2026). "Disaffected conservatives flock to independent David Hatley". Nashville Post. Retrieved November 7, 2026.
  7. ↑ Jarrett, Kim (August 6, 2026). "Tennessee poised to have its first female governor". The Mountaineer. Retrieved August 13, 2026.
  8. ↑ Taylor, Sarah Grace (August 6, 2025). "Marsha Blackburn announces run for Governor of Tennessee". Nashville Banner . Retrieved August 6, 2025.
  9. ↑ Grace Taylor, Sarah (September 8, 2025). "State Rep. Monty Fritts announces 2026 governor run". Nashville Banner. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  10. ↑ Jones, Vivian (March 20, 2025). "US Rep. John Rose launches 2026 bid for Tennessee governor". The Tennessean . Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  11. ↑ Solender, Andrew (December 12, 2024). "GOP Rep. Ciscomani passes on run for Arizona governor". Axios . Retrieved December 12, 2024. Rep. Mark Green (R-Tenn.) will not run for governor in 2026, according to a source familiar with his thinking.
  12. ↑ Feinberg, Allie (February 11, 2025). "U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty will seek reelection, quashing talk of a run for Tennessee governor". Knoxville News Sentinel . Gannett . Retrieved August 23, 2025.
  13. 1 2 Teague, Slater (July 23, 2026). "Sen. Bill Hagerty endorses Marsha Blackburn for Tennessee governor". WJHL11. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  14. ↑ Sher, Andy (August 28, 2025). "Hargett opts out of joining Tennessee governor's race". State Affairs. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  15. ↑ Smith, Ben (July 16, 2025). "Race for the next Tenn. governor begins to take form". Johnson City Press. Six Rivers Media. Retrieved August 23, 2025.
  16. ↑ Lubold, Gordon; Kube, Courtney; Bowman, Bridget; Tsirkin, Julie (July 29, 2025). "Pete Hegseth has discussed running for political office in Tennessee, sources say". NBC News . Retrieved July 29, 2025.
  17. 1 2 Feinberg, Allie (January 14, 2025). "Knox County Mayor Glenn Jacobs endorses Sen. Marsha Blackburn for governor". Knoxville News Sentinel . Retrieved January 14, 2025. Jacobs spent months laying the groundwork for a run for governor in 2026, but endorsed Blackburn the night of Jan. 14
  18. ↑ "Knox County Mayor Glenn Jacobs to be campaign treasurer in Blackburn's run for governor". Wate.com. August 7, 2025. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  19. ↑ Schelzig, Erik (December 6, 2024). "Gubernatorial rumblings: McWhorter decides against '26 bid, Jacobs launches fundraising arm". State Affairs. Retrieved December 9, 2024.
  20. ↑ Sauter, Danica (March 8, 2026). "Barry 'Butch' Wilmore opts out of TN governor bid, says candidacy was never official". WVLT-TV . Retrieved March 10, 2026.
  21. ↑ Morgan-Rumsey, Camruinn (August 18, 2025). "Rep. Tim Burchett endorses Blackburn for Tennessee governor". WVLT-TV . Retrieved August 18, 2025.
  22. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (September 16, 2025). "Former TN Congressman Jimmy Duncan Endorses Marsha Blackburn for Governor". The Tennessee Star . Retrieved September 24, 2025.
  23. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (March 6, 2025). "Tennessee U.S. Rep. Chuck Fleischmann Endorses Marsha Blackburn for Governor". The Tennessee Star . Retrieved March 9, 2025.
  24. ↑ "Congressman Matt Van Epps endorses Marsha Blackburn for Governor". WBBJTV. June 3, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  25. 1 2 3 4 Schmidt, Zachery (August 6, 2025). "Tennessee Republicans Back Marsha Blackburn for Tennessee Governor". The Tennessee Star . Retrieved August 6, 2025.
  26. ↑ Rau, Nate (August 7, 2025). "Blackburn reshapes 2026 race for Tennessee governor". Axios . Retrieved August 7, 2025.
  27. ↑ Harbison, Glenn (August 19, 2025). "Blackburn brings campaign to Polk County". The News Observer. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  28. ↑ Walley, Page (July 11, 2026). "Blackburn is best equipped to lead Tennessee to brighter future | Opinion". Jackson Sun. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  29. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (August 6, 2025). "U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn Launches Bid for Tennessee Governor". Tennessee Star. Retrieved November 14, 2025.
  30. 1 2 3 Masters, Matt (August 5, 2026). "Endorsements Roll in Ahead of Election Day". Nashville Scene. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  31. ↑ "AFP Endorses Marsha Blackburn for Governor". Tristardaily. February 26, 2026. Retrieved May 19, 2026.
  32. ↑ Mitola, Will (September 4, 2025). "ICYMI: CfG PAC Endorses Sen. Blackburn in TN-GOV Race". Club for Growth PAC. Retrieved September 5, 2025.
  33. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (July 14, 2026). "NRA Backing Blackburn for Tennessee Governor". Tennessee Star. Retrieved July 15, 2026.
  34. ↑ Wigginton, Tim (May 29, 2026). "Tennessee Chamber of Commerce & Industry Endorses Senator Marsha Blackburn For Governor". The Blue Ridge Times. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  35. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (May 25, 2026). "Tennessee Professional Fire Fighters Backing Blackburn for Governor". The Tennessee Star. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  36. ↑ Housler, Kaitlin (December 8, 2025). "Turning Point Action Backs Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee 2026 Governor's Race". Tennessee Star. Retrieved December 9, 2025.
  37. ↑ Stockard, Sam (July 28, 2026). "Candidates bank on endorsements as primary draws near". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  38. ↑ "Former State Senator Mae Beavers Endorses John Rose for Tennessee Governor". TriStar Daily. May 26, 2026. Retrieved July 15, 2026.
  39. ↑ "John Rose receives endorsements to be next governor". Main Street Media TN. July 15, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  40. ↑ Taylor, Sarah Grace (June 8, 2026). "Trump says he won't endorse in Tennessee's governor's race despite relationships with Blackburn, Rose". News Channel 5 Nashville (WTVF). Retrieved June 14, 2026.
  41. ↑ Sauter, Danica (August 13, 2025). "Gov. Lee says he won't endorse anyone following Sen. Marsha Blackburn's gubernatorial announcement". WEMU . Retrieved August 13, 2025.
  42. ↑ "Latest Polling for Governor Races – 2025-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved July 30, 2026.
  43. ↑ "TN Elections Poll — August 2026". Wick. August 5, 2026. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  44. ↑ Taylor, Sarah Grace (August 1, 2026). "Blackburn Shares Unreleased Poll to Combat Claims of Rose's Momentum in Tennessee Governor's Race" . Nashville Banner . Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  45. ↑ Taylor, Sarah Grace (July 30, 2026). "Dueling Polls Show Rose Closing in on Blackburn in Tennessee Governor's Race; Fritts Gaining Traction" . Nashville Banner . Retrieved July 30, 2026.
  46. ↑ Schelzig, Erik (July 13, 2026). "Blackburn poll indicates her lead is double the margin of Rose survey" . State Affairs. Retrieved July 13, 2026.
  47. ↑ Schelzig, Erik (July 7, 2026). "Internal Rose poll suggests late-campaign gain on Blackburn" . State Affairs. Retrieved July 7, 2026.
  48. 1 2 3 "May 2026". TennSight. Retrieved May 10, 2026.
  49. ↑ "Tennessee Statewide Republican Primary Voter Survey". VictoryPhones. March 26, 2026. Retrieved March 26, 2026.
  50. ↑ Buchanan, Brent (March 23, 2026). "Coronation in Progress: Blackburn Dominates...and Other Issues" (PDF). Cygnal. Retrieved March 23, 2026.
  51. ↑ "Tennessee Statewide General Election Survey" (PDF). Tennesseans for Student Success. February 17, 2026. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
  52. ↑ "January 2026 Beacon Poll". TennSight. February 2, 2026. Retrieved February 3, 2026.
  53. ↑ "November 2025 Beacon Poll Results". Beacon Center of Tennessee. November 5, 2025. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  54. 1 2 3 "Quantus Insights – Tennessee August 2025". Quantus Insights. August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 13, 2025.
  55. ↑ "First Statewide Poll Shows Marsha Blackburn as Clear Frontrunner Over John Rose in GOP Primary for Governor". Beacon Center of Tennessee. August 7, 2025. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
  56. ↑ Caputo, Marc (January 23, 2025). "Sen. Blackburn would be 'clear frontrunner' for Tenn. governor, Trump pollster finds". Axios . Retrieved June 22, 2025.
  57. ↑ Caputo, Marc [@MarcACaputo] (January 23, 2025). "Poll memo" (Tweet) – via X (formerly Twitter).
  58. 1 2 "Tennessee Governor Primary Election Results". The New York Times. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 8, 2026.
  59. ↑ Finton, Lucas (July 14, 2025). "Memphis City Councilwoman Jerri Green officially throws hat into Tennessee governor's race". The Commercial Appeal . Retrieved July 17, 2025.
  60. 1 2 Cornell, Josh (September 16, 2025). "The Civic Scoop: Cornell on the ongoing Tennessee governor's race". The Highland Echo. Retrieved September 16, 2025. There are also four democrats running for this position: Jerri Green, Carnita Atwater, Adam Kurtz, and Tim Cyr...
  61. ↑ Weiner, Natalie (July 8, 2025). "Issue #106: Meet the Pedal Steel Player Running for Governor of Tennessee". Don't Rock The Inbox. Retrieved August 13, 2025.
  62. ↑ "Meet Kevin Lee" . Retrieved June 12, 2026.
  63. ↑ Solender, Andrew [@andrewsolender] (November 27, 2024). "Here's what he told me: 'I'm flattered that I'm considered a gubernatorial candidate. But in Tennessee, the Democrat nominee has a better chance of winning than I have of being Super Bowl MVP, but not much better.'" (Tweet). Retrieved November 28, 2024– via X (formerly Twitter).
  64. ↑ Campbell, Heidi (July 17, 2026). "Why Jerri Green is the Common Sense Voice We Need". Main Street Media.
  65. ↑ Jones, Vivian (November 24, 2025). "An early look at how Tennessee's 2026 governor's race is shaping up". The Tennessean . Retrieved November 25, 2025.
  66. ↑ "Indivisible Tennessee Endorsements". Blue Voter Guide. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  67. ↑ "2026 Election Information". Planned Parenthood Action. April 15, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  68. ↑ Rafferty, Colin (March 10, 2026). "Elizabethton-born entrepreneur announces candidacy for governor". WJHL . Retrieved March 11, 2026.
  69. ↑ Rayner, Ruby (November 21, 2025). "Lauren Pinkston, an independent running for Tennessee governor, wants to give people a third option". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved November 24, 2025.
  70. ↑ "40-Year East Tennessee Educator Dr. Vick Announces Independent Run for Governor". Claiborne Progress . January 27, 2026. Retrieved March 2, 2026.
  71. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  72. ↑ "2026 Governor Forecast". Decision Desk HQ . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  73. ↑ Numa, Rémy (November 1, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: Kansas moves to Toss-up, Nebraska moves to Lean R". Fox News . Retrieved November 1, 2026.
  74. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  75. ↑ "The race for Congress: 2026 midterms". NBC News . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  76. ↑ "2026 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  77. ↑ "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  78. ↑ Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (November 2, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast" . Silver Bulletin . Retrieved November 2, 2026– via Substack.
  79. ↑ Fiscus, Kirsten (August 7, 2026). "Trump backs Blackburn despite no endorsement before primaries". The Tennessean . Retrieved October 6, 2026.
  80. ↑ "Tennessee". UAW Power. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  81. ↑ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces New Round of Statewide Endorsements, Backing 40 Statewide Candidates in 15 States". Moms Demand Action. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
  82. ↑ "Bowling breaks Republican ranks by backing independent Hatley for governor". The Tennessee Journal. Retrieved October 5, 2026.
  83. 1 2 "Former GOP governors endorse independent for TN governor". The Tennessean. Retrieved June 24, 2026.
  84. ↑ "CANDIDATES". Forward Party. Retrieved April 25, 2026.
  85. ↑ Evans, Jordan Willow (August 26, 2026). "Reform Party Makes Candidate Endorsements in Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Montana". Independent Political Report . Retrieved August 26, 2026.
  86. ↑ "Watch live as candidates for Tennessee governor debate". The Tennesseean . October 27, 2026. Retrieved October 27, 2026.
  87. ↑ Ellison, Randy (November 2, 2026). "Tennessee Poll: Blackburn Leads Green by 19 Points, Hagerty Leads Bradshaw by 20 Points". Targoz Market Research. Retrieved November 3, 2026.
  88. ↑ "GOTV Polling: Blackburn continues to drop, while Independent Candidate David Hatley surges at 26.47% in Tennessee Governor's Race, Within Single Digits of the Lead". GOTV Polling. October 27, 2026. Retrieved October 28, 2026.
  89. ↑ "Tennessee Statewide Survey — October 2026". October 19, 2026. Retrieved October 20, 2026.
  90. ↑ "Tennessee Statewide Baseline Frequencies" (PDF). TargetSmart. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  91. ↑ "The Progress Fund - PAC Profile, 2026". Who Funds Tennessee. Retrieved September 18, 2026.
  92. 1 2 "Beacon Poll of Tennessee Registered Voters Aug. 15 to 26, 2026 MOE +/- 2.77%" (PDF). TennSight. August 28, 2026. Retrieved September 3, 2026.
  93. ↑ "Election Night Reporting Dashboard". elections.tn.gov. Archived from the original on August 31, 2026. Retrieved November 9, 2026.
Official campaign websites