2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2026 United States gubernatorial elections.

2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election

←  2022 November 3, 2026 2030 →

Nominee Marsha Blackburn Jerri Green Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor Bill Lee Republican

The 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Tennessee. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2026. ^[1] Republican senator Marsha Blackburn and Democratic city councilor Jerri Green are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Bill Lee is term-limited and cannot seek a third consecutive term.

Democrats have not won a statewide election in Tennessee since Phil Bredesen was re-elected governor in 2006. Either major party nominee would be the first female governor of Tennessee. ^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator (2019–present) ^[3]

Eliminated in primary

• Monty Fritts, state representative from the 32nd district (2023–present) ^[4]
• John Rose, U.S. representative from Tennessee's 6th congressional district (2019–present) ^[5]

Declined

• Mark Green, former U.S. representative from Tennessee's 7th congressional district (2019–2025) ^[6]
• Bill Hagerty, U.S. senator (2021–present) (running for re-election; endorsed Blackburn) ^{[7] [8]}
• Tre Hargett, secretary of state of Tennessee (2009–present) ^[9]
• Diana Harshbarger, U.S. representative from Tennessee's 1st congressional district (2021–present) ^[10] (running for re-election)
• Pete Hegseth, United States Secretary of Defense (2025–present) ^[11]
• Glenn Jacobs, former mayor of Knox County (2018–2026) (endorsed, and later appointed as campaign treasurer to, Blackburn) ^{[12] [13]}
• Stuart McWhorter, Tennessee Commissioner of Economic & Community Development (2022–present) ^[14]
• Barry Wilmore, retired NASA astronaut and United States Navy test pilot ^[15]

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn

U.S. senators

• Bill Hagerty, Tennessee (2021–present) ^[8]

U.S. representatives

• Tim Burchett, TN-02 (2019–present) ^[16]
• Chuck Fleischmann, TN-03 (2011–present) ^[17]
• Matt Van Epps, TN-07 (2025–present) ^[18]
• Jimmy Duncan, former TN-02 (1988–2019) ^[19]

State legislators

• Jack Johnson, majority leader of the Tennessee Senate (2019–present) from SD-27 (2007–present) ^[20]
• William Lamberth, majority leader of the Tennessee House of Representatives (2019–present) from HD-44 (2013–present) ^[21]
• 3 other state senators ^[a]
• 3 other state representatives ^[b]

Local officials

• Glenn Jacobs, former mayor of Knox County (2018–2026) ^[12]

Individuals

• Riley Gaines, conservative activist and former college athlete ^[25]
• Dave Ramsey, radio personality ^[25]

Organizations

• Americans For Prosperity ^[26]
• Club for Growth ^[27]
• National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund ^[28]
• Tennessee Chamber of Commerce & Industry ^[29]
• Tennessee Fraternal Order of Police ^[25]
• Tennessee Professional Fire Fighters Association ^[30]
• Turning Point Action ^[31]

John Rose

U.S. representatives

• Diane Black, former TN-06 (2011–2019) ^[32]

State legislators

• Mae Beavers, SD-17 (2003–2017) ^[33]

Individuals

• Burwell B. Bell III, retired United States Army four-star general ^[34]

Declined to endorse

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present) ^[35]

Statewide officials

• Bill Lee, governor of Tennessee (2019–present) ^[36]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Marsha Blackburn	John Rose	Monty Fritts	Other/ Undecided [c]	Margin
Race to the WH [37]	through August 1, 2026	August 5, 2026	39.1%	28.3%	22.1%	10.5%	Blackburn +10.8%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [d]	Margin of error	Marsha Blackburn	John Rose	Monty Fritts	Other	Undecided
Wick [38] [e] [A]	July 29 – August 1, 2026	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	32%	17%	–	–
				45%	28%	17%	–	9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [39] [B]	July 26–28, 2026	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	25%	22%	–	11%
OnMessage Inc. [40]	July 23–25, 2026	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	35%	31%	26%	–	9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [41] [B]	June 28–30, 2026	– (LV)	–	51%	20%	12%	–	17%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [42] [C]	June 28–30, 2026	600 (LV)	–	44%	29%	13%	–	14%
Targoz Market Research [43] [D]	April 20–27, 2026	529 (LV)	± 4.2%	63%	10%	5%	–	22%
VictoryPhones [44] [E]	March 18–24, 2026	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	56%	14%	11%	–	20%
Cygnal (R) [45]	March 16–17, 2026	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	58%	7%	–	5%	30%
VictoryPhones [46] [E]	February 5–8, 2026	– (LV)	–	61%	8%	5%	–	26%
Targoz Market Research [47] [D]	January 11–18, 2026	559 (LV)	–	56%	9%	7%	1% [f]	27%
Targoz Market Research [48] [D]	October 26–29, 2025	545 (RV)	–	58%	9%	5%	–	29%
Quantus Insights (R) [49]	August 5–7, 2025	–	–	35%	6%	–	22% [g]	37%
Targoz Market Research [50] [D]	July 27 – August 1, 2025	623 (RV)	± 2.8%	66%	14%	–	–	19%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [51] [52] [B]	January 13–16, 2025	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	71%	13%	–	–	16%

Results

Results by county:

  Blackburn

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%

  Rose

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%

  Fritts

•   40-50%
•   50-60%

County results

Results by precinct:

  Blackburn

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   90–100%

  Rose

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%
•   90–100%

  Fritts

•   30–40%
•   40-50%
•   50-60%
•   60-70%

  Tie

•   30–40%
•   40–50%
•   50%

  No Votes

Precinct results

Republican primary results ^[53]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marsha Blackburn	311,392	43.6
	Republican	John Rose	235,561	32.9
	Republican	Monty Fritts	168,004	23.5
	Write-in		1	0.0
Total votes			714,958	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jerri Green, Memphis city councilor from the 2nd district (2024–present) ^[54]

Eliminated in primary

• Carnita Atwater, museum president, candidate for governor in 2022, and candidate for mayor of Memphis in 2023 ^[55]
• Tim Cyr, home repair business owner ^[55]
• Adam "Ditch" Kurtz, Nashville pedal steel musician ^[56]
• Kevin Lee McCants, pastor ^[57]

Declined

• Steve Cohen, U.S. representative from Tennessee's 9th congressional district (2007–present) ^[58]

Endorsements

Jerri Green

State legislators

• Heidi Campbell, SD-20 (2020–present) ^[59]

Local officials

• Lee Harris, mayor of Shelby County (2018–present) ^[60]

Organizations

• Indivisible Tennessee ^[61]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[62]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [d]	Margin of error	Carnita Atwater	Tim Cyr	Jerri Green	Adam Kurtz	Kevin Lee McCants	Undecided
Targoz Market Research [43] [D]	April 20–27, 2026	400 (LV)	± 4.8%	8%	3%	14%	2%	11%	62%

Results

Results by county:

  Green

•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%
•   80–90%

  Atwater

•   40–50%

Democratic primary results ^[53]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jerri Green	244,277	69.0
	Democratic	Carnita Atwater	63,289	17.9
	Democratic	Kevin Lee McCants	18,972	5.4
	Democratic	Tim Cyr	14,799	4.2
	Democratic	Adam Kurtz	12,465	3.5
Total votes			353,802	100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• David Hatley, businessman ^[63]
• Lauren Pinkston, former Lipscomb University professor ^[64]
• Robert Vick, educator ^[65]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [66]	Solid R	October 23, 2026
Decision Desk HQ [67]	Likely R	October 23, 2026
Fox News [68]	Solid R	October 20, 2026
Inside Elections [69]	Solid R	October 15, 2026
NBC News [70]	Solid R	October 23, 2026
RealClearPolitics [71]	Solid R	October 12, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball [72]	Safe R	October 22, 2026
Silver Bulletin [73]	Solid R	October 23, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

Marsha Blackburn (R)

Executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, U.S. president (2017–2021, 2025–present) ^[74]

Jerri Green (D)

Organizations

• Everytown for Gun Safety ^[75]

David Hatley (I)

State legislators

• Janice Bowling, state senator from the 16th district (2013–present) (Republican) ^[76]

Lauren Pinkston (I)

Statewide officials

• Kerry Healey, former lieutenant governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007) (Forward; elected as a Republican) ^[77]
• Christine Todd Whitman, former governor of New Jersey (1994–2001) (Forward; elected as a Republican) ^[77]

Political parties

• Forward Party ^[78]
• Reform Party ^[79]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [d]	Margin of error	Marsha Blackburn (R)	Jerri Green (D)	David Hatley (I)	Other	Undecided
Spry Strategies (R) [80]	October 10–15, 2026	635 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	32%	12%	2% [h]	10%
TargetSmart [81] [F]	September 9–12, 2026	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	36%	10%	2% [i]	7%
Targoz Market Research [83] [D]	August 15–26, 2026	1,149 (RV)	± 2.77%	46%	33%	–	8% [j]	14%
Targoz Market Research [83] [D]	August 15–26, 2026	601 (LV)	± 2.77%	55%	34%	–	7%	4%
Targoz Market Research [43] [D]	April 20–27, 2026	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	51%	27%	–	22%
Quantus Insights (R) [49]	August 5–7, 2025	600 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	28%	–	7% [k]	17%

Hypothetical polling

John Rose vs. Jerri Green

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [d]	Margin of error	John Rose (R)	Jerri Green (D)	Other	Undecided
Quantus Insights (R) [49]	August 5–7, 2025	600 (RV)	± 3.5%	43%	27%	8% [l]	23%

See also

• Elections in Tennessee
• Government of Tennessee
• Political party strength in Tennessee
• Tennessee Democratic Party
• Tennessee Republican Party
• 2026 Tennessee elections
• 2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee
• 2026 United States gubernatorial elections

Notes

1. • Tom Hatcher, SD-02 (2025–present) ^[22]
   • Ken Yager, SD-12 (2009–present) ^[20]
   • Page Walley, SD-24 (2021–present) ^[23]
2. • Aron Maberry, HD-68 (2025–present) ^[20]
   • Jake McCalmon, HD-63 (2023–present) ^[24]
   • Lee Reeves, HD-65 (2025–present) ^[20]
3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
4. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
5. Password to access poll is "govols"
6. "Would not vote" with 1%
7. "Someone else" with 14%; Tim Burchett with 5%; Cameron Sexton with 3%
8. Lauren Pinkston (I) and "Someone else" with 1%
9. Lauren Pinkston (I) with 2%
10. "An independent candidate" with 8%
11. "Wouldn't Vote for Either" with 7%
12. "Wouldn't Vote for Either" with 8%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity
2. Poll sponsored by Blackburn's campaign
3. Poll sponsored by Rose's campaign
4. Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
5. Poll sponsored by Tennesseans for Student Success
6. Poll sponsored by The Progress Fund, which supports Green ^[82]

References

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34. "John Rose receives endorsements to be next governor". Main Street Media TN. July 15, 2026. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
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External links

Official campaign websites

• Misam Abidi (I)
• Marsha Blackburn (R)
• Jerri Green (D)
• David Hatley (I)
• Wendell Jackson (I)
• Lauren Pinkston (I)
• Robert Vick (I)