This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
November 3, 2026 | |||||||||||||||||
| Reporting | as of 8:24 AM CST [1] | ||||||||||||||||
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County results Hinojosa: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Abbott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Texas |
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The 2026 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Texas. Republican incumbent Greg Abbott was seeking a record fourth term, [2] but was unexpectedly defeated by Democratic state representative Gina Hinojosa, who will become the first Latina governor of the state and the first woman or Democrat to be elected since Ann Richards in 1990. [3] [4] Additionally, Abbott is the first incumbent governor of Texas to lose reelection since Richards' reelection bid in 1994.[ citation needed ]
Primary elections were held on March 3, 2026. Facing minimal opposition, Abbott won the Republican nomination with 82% of the vote. Hinojosa won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote over a field of candidates that included former congressman Chris Bell.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Greg Abbott | Evelyn Brooks | Pete Chambers | Arturo Espinosa | Mark V. Goloby | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov [27] | February 26 – March 2, 2026 | 1,668 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 72% | 2% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 2% [b] | 13% |
| University of Texas/ Texas Politics Project [28] | February 2–16, 2026 | 360 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 91% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% [c] | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | 1,764,924 | 81.8 | |
| Republican | Pete "Doc" Chambers | 240,640 | 11.2 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Brooks | 44,142 | 2.0 | |
| Republican | Arturo Espinosa | 23,444 | 1.1 | |
| Republican | Charles Andrew Crouch | 15,405 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Kenneth Hyde | 14,941 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Nathaniel Welch | 12,057 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Mark V. Goloby | 10,991 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Stephen Samuelson | 10,864 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Ronnie Tullos | 10,352 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | R.F. "Bob" Achgill | 9,119 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 2,156,879 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Chris Bell | Bobby Cole | Gina Hinojosa | Angela Villescaz | Andrew White | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov [27] | February 26 – March 2, 2026 | 2,342 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 4% | 5% | 55% | 2% | – | 9% [e] | 25% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) [56] | February 23–24, 2026 | 472 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 4% | 3% | 61% | 2% | 1% | 9% [f] | 20% |
| UT Tyler [57] | February 13–22, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 25% | – | 60% | – | – | 14% [g] | 1% |
| – (RV) | 25% | – | 58% | – | – | 15% [h] | 2% | |||
| University of Texas/ Texas Politics Project [28] | February 2–16, 2026 | 369 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 4% | 9% | 76% | 3% | – | 8% [i] | – |
| University of Houston/YouGov [58] | January 20–31, 2026 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 7% | 6% | 37% | 4% | – | 14% [j] | 32% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D) [59] [A] | January 14–21, 2026 | 1,290 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 4% | 3% | 29% | – | – | 6% [k] | 58% |
| White withdraws from the race | ||||||||||
| Texas Southern University [60] | December 9–11, 2025 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 5% | 3% | 41% | 1% | 6% | 2% [l] | 42% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Hinojosa | 1,289,576 | 58.5 | |
| Democratic | Chris Bell | 216,787 | 9.8 | |
| Democratic | Angela "Tia Angie" Villescaz | 150,752 | 6.8 | |
| Democratic | Patricia Abrego | 128,632 | 5.8 | |
| Democratic | Andrew White (withdrawn) | 117,392 | 5.3 | |
| Democratic | Bobby Cole | 112,675 | 5.1 | |
| Democratic | Jose Navarro Balbuena | 65,826 | 3.0 | |
| Democratic | Carlton W. Hart | 63,278 | 2.9 | |
| Democratic | Zach Vance | 58,753 | 2.7 | |
| Total votes | 2,203,671 | 100.0 | ||
Hinojosa made public education a major issue in her campaign. She promised that if elected she would fire the Commissioner of the Texas Education Agency Mike Morath, whom Abbott appointed, over a recent surge in state takeover of school districts across the state. [68] She also voiced opposition the STAAR tests given to students and to the voucher program that Abbott has signed into law in 2025. [69] [70] Abbott's campaign did not center education, but did advocate for limiting the use of electronic devices in classrooms, increasing punishments for teacher misconduct, and cutting administrative costs and "unnecessary" mandates. [69] [70] Abbott also proposed banning public schools from sponsoring individuals with H-1B visas. [71]
Affordability was also a major issue of the campaign. Abbott pushed a plan to eliminate the use of local property taxes in public school funding and place limits on appraisal increases. [72] [73] [74] Hinojosa proposed issuing a one-time $1,500 rebate to each Texas household funded by the state's Exonomic Stablization Fund. [75] [74]
Abbott attacked Hinojosa's voting record from her tenure in the Texas House of Representatives where she was consistently named one of the most progressive members of the body. [76] He accused her of supporting the creation of a state income tax, and highlighted her past statements on culture war issues like supporting transgender athletes in women's sports where he called her "Gender Bending Gina." [77] Hinojosa rejected the characterization that stated that she was not interested in culture war issues and would instead govern with a "populist" and "postpartisan" agenda that "99 percent of us can agree on." [77] [78] [79]
The election marked the first gubernatorial election since 2010 that did not feature a debate between the two major party candidates. [80] Hinojosa called for a debate, but Abbott declined four separate invitations from Texas-based news outlets who offered to host. [81] [82] On October 15, Hinojosa hosted an event where she challenged Abbott to a debate in front of the Texas Governor's Mansion with an empty podium. [83]
On the first day of early voting, Hinojosa announced that she was suing Abbott for allegedly violating the Texas Public Information Act by withholding certain email communications between Abbott and Elon Musk. [84] [85] [86] Abbott had invoked a privacy exception to redact the information describing the contents as "intimate and embarrassing". A State District Judge ruled in Hinojosa's favor on October 26, granting her access to the documents. Abbott appealed the ruling, accusing Hinojosa "abusing her official capacity as an outgoing lawmaker for political purposes." [87] Musk has a history of donating heavily to multiple Republican campaigns, including $5 million towards Abbott's reelection. [88] Musk's relationship with state officials has prompted accusations of favoritism with the allocation of state grants to a variety of Musk's business operations in the state. [86] [89] [90] [91] [92]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report [93] | Lean R | October 29, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ [94] | Lean R | November 2, 2026 |
| Fox News [95] | Lean R | November 1, 2026 |
| Inside Elections [96] | Tilt R | October 29, 2026 |
| NBC News [97] | Lean R | November 2, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics [98] | Tossup | November 1, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [99] | Lean R | November 2, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin [100] | Lean R | November 2, 2026 |
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations
| Campaign finance reports as of October 24, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Greg Abbott (R) | $122,319,463 | $317,723,514 | $9,361,680 |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | $39,246,953 | $36,911,627 | $989,980 |
| Pat Dixon (L) | $22,249 | $14,568 | $1,064 |
| Source: Texas Ethics Commission [117] [118] | |||
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Greg Abbott (R) | Gina Hinojosa (D) | Other/ Undecided [m] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin [119] | October 13 – November 1, 2026 | November 2, 2026 | 49.3% | 47.1% | 3.5% | Abbott +2.2% |
| Decision Desk HQ [120] | through November 1, 2026 | November 2, 2026 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 3.4% | Abbott +1.6% |
| FiftyPlusOne [121] | through November 1, 2026 | November 2, 2026 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 3.7% | Abbott +1.5% |
| RealClearPolitics [122] | October 15 – November 1, 2026 | November 1, 2026 | 49.8% | 47.3% | 2.9% | Abbott +2.5% |
| Silver Bulletin [100] | through November 1, 2026 | November 2, 2026 | 49.4% | 47.7% | 2.9% | Abbott +1.7% |
| Average | 49.3% | 47.4% | 3.3% | Abbott +1.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Gina Hinojosa (D) | Pat Dixon (L) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. [123] | October 31 – November 2, 2026 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 44% | 2% | — | 8% |
| Emerson College [124] [B] | October 31 – November 1, 2026 | 500 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | 1% | – | |
| AtlasIntel [125] | October 28 – November 1, 2026 | 1,678 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 49% | — | 2% [n] | 1% |
| New York Times/Siena University [126] | October 27 – November 1, 2026 | 1,215 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | — | 0% [o] | 6% |
| Kreate Strategies [127] | October 27–30, 2026 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1% [p] | 3% |
| YouGov [128] | October 26–29, 2026 | 2,141 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 49% | — | 2% [q] | 0% |
| Quantus Insights (R) [129] | October 26–28, 2026 | 1,221 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 46% | 1% | — | 2% |
| SSRS [130] [C] | October 20–27, 2026 | 923 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 46% | — | 6% [r] | 0% |
| Data for Progress (D) [131] | October 23–26, 2026 | 712 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | — | 4% |
| YouGov Blue (D) [132] [D] | October 21–26, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | — | — | — |
| Texas Southern University [133] | October 21–25, 2026 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 47% | 2% | — | 1% |
| ActiVote [134] | October 17–21, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 48% | — | — | — |
| Univision/YouGov [135] | October 13–21, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 46% | — | 1% | 5% |
| Verasight/VoteHub [136] | October 1–20, 2026 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% [s] | 46% | 1% | — | 5% |
| 46% | 44% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| 517 (RV) | 48% [s] | 45% | 1% | — | — | |||
| 46% | 42% | 5% | — | — | ||||
| Emerson College [137] | October 17–19, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | 1% | — | 4% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) [138] [E] | October 15–19, 2026 | 2,011 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 49% | — | — | 1% |
| 1,398 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 47% | — | — | 1% | ||
| Texas Public Opinion Research [139] | October 15–18, 2026 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 48% | 1% | — | — |
| Pollfinity Research [140] | October 15–18, 2026 | 278 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 2% [t] | 5% |
| CBS News/YouGov [141] | October 8–16, 2026 | 1,492 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 48% | — | — | — |
| University of Houston [142] | October 10–14, 2026 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 46% | 2% | — | 3% |
| ActiVote [143] | September 30 – October 14, 2026 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | — | — | — |
| GS Strategy Group (R)/New River Strategies (D) [144] [F] | October 9–13, 2026 | 934 (LV) | — | 48% | 46% | 3% | — | 3% |
| Marist University [145] | October 8–11, 2026 | — (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | — | 2% [u] | 3% |
| 1,196 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 47% | — | 2% [u] | 3% | ||
| GBAO (D) [146] [G] | October 5–8, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 47% | 4% | — | 4% |
| ReconMR/Siena University [147] | October 5–8, 2026 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | — | 2% | 3% |
| YouGov [148] | September 28 – October 5, 2026 | 3,625 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | — | 1% | 5% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [149] | September 25 – October 5, 2026 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% [t] | — |
| New York Times/Siena University [150] | September 22 – October 1, 2026 | 615 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 46% | 49% | — | — | 5% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) [151] [E] | September 24–28, 2026 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 47% | — | — | 1% |
| 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 49% | — | — | 1% | ||
| Guidant Polling & Strategy [152] [H] | September 20–28, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 4% | — | 5% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov [153] | September 18–28, 2026 | 850 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 44% | 1% | 1% [v] | 6% |
| Big Data Poll [154] | September 24–26, 2026 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% [s] | 44% | 6% | — | — |
| 47% | 44% | 4% | — | 5% | ||||
| 793 (RV) | 48% [s] | 44% | 8% | — | — | |||
| 46% | 43% | 4% | — | 7% | ||||
| Stratus Intelligence (R) [155] | September 22–24, 2026 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | — | — | 5% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research [156] | September 19–22, 2026 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 46% | 2% | 1% [w] | 2% |
| Marist University [157] | September 17–20, 2026 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | — | 1% | 3% |
| Texas Southern University [158] | September 15–19, 2026 | 1,800 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 45% | 2% | — | 4% |
| Emerson College [159] | September 12–14, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | — | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R) [160] | September 12–13, 2026 | 649 (LV) | — | 52% | 44% | — | — | 3% |
| ReconMR/Siena University [161] | September 8–11, 2026 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | — | 2% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon [162] | September 8–10, 2026 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 1% | 2% [x] | 8% |
| Univision/YouGov [163] | August 27 – September 4, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | — | 1% | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) [164] [I] | August 30 – September 1, 2026 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
| Overton Insights (R) [165] [J] | August 24–26, 2026 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% [s] | 49% | — | — | — |
| 47% | 46% | — | — | 7% | ||||
| Texas Public Opinion Research [166] | August 21–24, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% [y] | 42% | 1% | 2% [z] | 6% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [167] | August 5–13, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.83% | 45% | 40% | 3% | 2% [aa] | 10% |
| Emerson College [168] [K] | August 9–10, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | — | 3% [ab] | 4% |
| GBAO (D) [169] | August 4–9, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 48% | — | — | 3% |
| Cygnal (R) [170] | July 29–31, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | — | — | 5% |
| Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University [171] | July 27–30, 2026 | 619 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 45% | — | 4% | 5% |
| Texas Southern University [172] | July 27–30, 2026 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 43% | 3% | — | 5% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) [173] [E] | July 23–27, 2026 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | — | — | 1% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research [174] | July 15–17, 2026 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | — | — | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena University [175] | June 19–27, 2026 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 44% | — | — | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies(R) [176] [L] | June 21, 2026 | 800 (LV) | — | 54% | 42% | — | — | 4% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [177] | June 5–12, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 2% [ac] | 10% |
| Quantus Insights (R) [178] | June 3–4, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | — | 3% | 7% |
| Texas A&M University/ReconMR [179] | June 1–4, 2026 | 807 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 43% | — | 3% [ad] | 5% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research [180] | May 27–28, 2026 | 1,670 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 2% [ae] | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) [181] [M] | May 22–23, 2026 | 643 (RV) | — | 48% | 44% | — | — | 8% |
| Texas Southern University/YouGov [183] | April 22 – May 5, 2026 | 1,223 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 43% | 3% | — | 5% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D) [184] [A] | April 17–20, 2026 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 43% | — | 2% [af] | 7% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [185] | April 10–20, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 38% | — | 5% [ag] | 13% |
| UT Tyler [57] | February 13–22, 2026 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 41% | — | — | 10% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [185] | February 2–16, 2026 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 35% | — | 6% [ah] | 14% |
| GBAO (D) [186] [G] | January 26 – February 3, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 43% | 6% | — | 5% |
| University of Houston/YouGov [58] | January 20–31, 2026 | 1,502 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 42% | 3% | — | 6% |
| Emerson College [187] [K] | January 10–12, 2026 | 1,165 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 42% | — | — | 8% |
Greg Abbott vs. Chris Bell
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Chris Bell (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler [57] | February 13–22, 2026 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Public Opinion Research [188] | August 27–29, 2025 | 843 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 43% | 8% [ai] | – |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Hinojosa | ||||
| Republican | Greg Abbott (incumbent) | ||||
| Libertarian | Pat Dixon | ||||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 100.0% | ||||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Partisan clients
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)Flores also announced his endorsement of State Representative Gina Hinojosa for governor.
When a young kid asked O'Rourke at the rally in Garland 'if he was going to face Texas Gov. Greg Abbott again,"' his answer, in short, was 'we'll see on the decision to run down the road.'
Hinojosa has won the endorsements of the Service Employees International Union-Texas...