2020 United States presidential election in Texas

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout66.73% (of registered voters) [1] Increase2.svg
52.39% (of voting age population) [2]
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote380
Popular vote5,890,3475,259,126
Percentage52.06%46.48%

Texas Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
TX-20-pres-districts.svg
TX 2020 Old Senate.png
2020 Election in Texas by Precinct(New VTD).svg

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. [3] Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris. The state of Texas had 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [4]

Contents

Although it was considered a vulnerable state for Trump by some pollsters and experts and a potential upset victory for Biden due to its recent demographic trends, Texas was again won by Trump with 52.1% of the vote, roughly the same percentage he carried it with in 2016. Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 vote share by 3.24 points, giving him the largest percentage in the state by a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter carried the state in 1976. Trump's 5.58% margin of victory was the narrowest for a Republican since 1996. Texas was the third-narrowest of Trump's state victories, behind only Florida and North Carolina, and the ninth-closest state overall. The election was also the first time Texas placed among the ten closest states since 1968, and the first time since 1976 that Texas voted to the left of Ohio. [5] [6]

Voter turnout in the state increased to its highest level since 1992, when two Texans, George H. W. Bush and Ross Perot, were on the ballot, and the last time Texas was considered to be a battleground state. [7]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were the only declared Republican candidates, as former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh had dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz. [8] [9] The primary was won overwhelmingly by Trump with over 94% of the vote.

2020 Texas Republican Party presidential primary [10]
CandidatePopular voteDelegates
CountPercentage
Donald Trump (incumbent)1,898,66494.13%117
Uncommitted71,8033.56%0
Bill Weld 15,7390.78%0
Joe Walsh 15,8240.78%0
Rocky De La Fuente 7,5630.38%0
Bob Ely 3,5820.37%0
Matthew Matern3,5250.18%0
Zoltan Istvan 1,4470.07%0
Total:2,017,167100%155

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates. [11] [12] [13] The primary was won by Biden, with Sanders coming second.

Popular vote share by county
Biden--<30%
Biden--30-40%
Biden--40-50%
Biden--50-60%
Biden--60-70%
Bloomberg--<30%
Bloomberg--30-40%
Bloomberg--50-60%
Sanders--<30%
Sanders--30-40%
Sanders--40-50%
Sanders--50-60%
Sanders--50-60%
Warren--<30%
Tie
Tie Texas Democratic presidential primary election results by county (vote share), 2020.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—<30%
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Bloomberg—<30%
  Bloomberg—30–40%
  Bloomberg—50–60%
  Sanders—<30%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
  Sanders—50–60%
  Sanders—50–60%
  Warren—<30%
  Tie
  Tie
2020 Texas Democratic presidential primary [14]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [15]
Joe Biden 725,56234.64113
Bernie Sanders 626,33929.9199
Michael Bloomberg 300,60814.3511
Elizabeth Warren 239,23711.425
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [a] 82,6713.95
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [a] 43,2912.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn)16,6880.80
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [a] 13,9290.67
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)10,3240.49
Tulsi Gabbard 8,6880.41
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)6,6740.32
Cory Booker (withdrawn)4,9410.24
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)3,9180.19
John Delaney (withdrawn)3,2800.16
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)1,3040.06
Other candidates6,9740.33
Total2,094,428100%228

General election

Final predictions

SourceRanking
The Cook Political Report [16] Tossup
Inside Elections [17] Tossup
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18] Lean R
Politico [19] Lean R
RCP [20] Tossup
Niskanen [21] Tossup
CNN [22] Lean R
The Economist [23] Lean R
CBS News [24] Lean R
270towin [25] Lean R
ABC News [26] Tossup
NPR [27] Tossup
NBC News [28] Tossup
538 [29] Lean R

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
270 to Win [30] Oct 29, 2020 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202047.5%48.8%3.7%
Real Clear Politics [31] October 20–31, 2020November 3, 202046.5%47.8%5.7%
FiveThirtyEight [32] until November 2, 2020November 3, 202047.4%48.6%4.0%
Average47.1%48.4%4.5%Trump +1.2

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20209,226 (LV)± 1.5%51% [d] 47%
Swayable [34] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 20201,151 (LV)± 3.9%51%47%1%0%
Data For Progress [35] Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020926 (LV)± 3.2%48%49%1%1%0% [e]
AtlasIntel [36] Oct 30–31, 2020686 (LV)± 4%50%47%3%
Emerson College [37] Oct 29–31, 2020763 (LV)± 3.5%49% [f] 48%--2% [g]
Morning Consult [38] Oct 22–31, 20203,267 (LV)± 2%48%48%
Public Policy Polling [39] Oct 28–29, 2020775 (V)48%50%2%
Gravis Marketing [40] Oct 27–28, 2020670 (LV)± 3.8%50%45%5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [41] Oct 27–28, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%50% [h] 46%2% [g] 2%
48% [i] 48%2% [g] 2%
52% [j] 44%2% [g] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Oct 1–28, 202015,145 (LV)51%47%
Swayable [42] Oct 23–26, 2020552 (LV)± 5.7%49%48%3%1%
YouGov/UMass Amherst [43] Oct 20–26, 2020873 (LV)± 4.2%48%47%2%1%0% [k] 1%
Data for Progress (D) [44] Oct 22–25, 20201,018 (LV)± 3.1%48%49%1%0%2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot [45] Oct 20–25, 2020802 (LV)± 3.8%47%43%3%0%2% [l] 5% [m]
Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions
/North Star Opinion Research [46]
Oct 17–25, 2020758 (RV)± 3.56%49%46%3% [n] 2%
Citizen Data [47] Oct 17–20, 20201,000 (LV)± 3%45%49%1%0%1%4%
YouGov/University of Houston [48] Oct 13–20, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%50%45%2%0%3%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News [49] Oct 13–20, 2020925 (LV)± 3.2%47% [f] 49%3%1%1%
Morning Consult [38] Oct 11–20, 20203,347 (LV)± 1.7%47%48%
Quinnipiac University [50] Oct 16–19, 20201,145 (LV)± 2.9%47%47%1% [o] 5%
Data for Progress (D) [51] Oct 15–18, 2020933 (LV)± 3.2%46% [f] 47%2%1%5%
Morning Consult [52] Oct 2–11, 20203,455 (LV)± 1.7%49%47%3%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [53] [A] Oct 7–8, 2020721 (LV)± 3.6%48%48%1%
YouGov/CCES [54] Sep 29 – Oct 7, 20202,947 (LV)49%47%
Morning Consult [55] Sep 28 – Oct 7, 2020~2,700 (LV)± 2%49%46%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR [56] Oct 5–6, 20201,000 (LV)± 3%51%44%
Civiqs/Daily Kos [57] Oct 3–6, 2020895 (LV)± 3.4%48%48%2% [g] 1%
Data For Progress (D) [58] Sep 30 – Oct 5, 20201,949 (LV)± 2.2%45%47%2%1%5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [59] Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020908 (LV)± 3.25%50%45%2%2%1% [o]
EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC [60] [B] Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020848 (LV)49%49%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Sep 1–30, 202013,395 (LV)52%46%2%
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign [61] [C] Sep 24–27, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%49%47%
Morning Consult [55] Sep 18–27, 2020~2,700 (LV)± 2%48%47%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [62] Archived October 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [D] Sep 25–26, 2020612 (LV)± 3.6%48%48%4%
YouGov/UMass Lowell [63] Sep 18–25, 2020882 (LV)± 4.3%49% [p] 46%2%1%1% [q] 1%
50% [r] 46%2% [s] 2%
Data For Progress [64] [E] Sep 18–22, 2020726 (LV)± 3.6%47%45%9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot [65] Sep 16–22, 2020653 (LV)± 4.3%46%43%1%1%0% [t] 9% [m]
Quinnipiac University [66] Sep 17–21, 20201,078 (LV)± 3%50%45%No voters4%
YouGov/CBS [67] Sep 15–18, 20201,129 (LV)± 3.5%48%46%2% [u] 4%
Morning Consult [55] Sep 8–17, 2020~2,700 (LV)± 2%47%47%
Morning Consult [68] Aug 29 – Sep 7, 20202,829 (LV)± 2%46% [v] 46%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords [69] [F] Sep 1–2, 2020743 (V)48%47%5%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News [70] Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020901 (LV)± 3.26%49% [f] 47%1%1%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Aug 1–31, 202012,607 (LV)52%46%2%
Morning Consult [71] Aug 21–30, 20202,632 (LV)± 2%48% [v] 47%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [72] [G] Aug 20–25, 2020906 (LV)± 3%44%48%0%0% [w] 5%
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance [73] Aug 20–25, 20202,295 (LV)± 2.0%45%48%8%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [74] [H] Aug 21–22, 2020764 (RV)± 3.6%47%48%5%
Morning Consult [55] Aug 13–22, 2020~2,700 (LV)± 2%48%47%
Morning Consult [71] Aug 7–16, 20202,559 (LV)± 2%47% [x] 46%
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas [75] [I] Aug 11–13, 2020700 (LV)± 3.7%45%47%
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute [76] Aug 4–13, 2020846 (RV)48%41%1%1%10.2%
– (LV) [J] 50%44%1%0%5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [77] Aug 1–5, 20201,015 (LV)± 3.0%49%43%2%2% [y] 3%
Morning Consult [55] Aug 3–12, 2020~2,700 (LV)± 2.0%47%46%
Morning Consult [78] Jul 24 – Aug 2, 20202,576 (LV)± 2.0%46% [v] 47%2% [g] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Jul 1–31, 202013,721 (LV)52%46%2%
Morning Consult [79] Jul 17–26, 20202,685 (LV)± 1.9%45% [x] 47%
Morning Consult [79] Jul 16–25, 2020≈2,700 (LV) [z] ± 2.0%45%47%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project [80] [K] Jul 16–20, 2020750 (LV)± 3.5%49%45%6%
Quinnipiac University [81] Jul 16–20, 2020880 (RV)± 3.3%44%45%7% [aa] 4%
Morning Consult [79] Jul 6–15, 2020– (LV) [z] 46%46%
YouGov/CBS [82] Jul 7–10, 20201,185 (LV)± 3.6%46%45%4% [ab] 6%
Gravis Marketing/OANN [83] Jul 7, 2020591 (LV)± 4.3%46%44%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [84] Jun 29 – Jul 7, 20201,677 (LV)± 2.4%43%48%4%5%
Morning Consult [79] Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020– (LV) [z] 46%45%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [33] Jun 8–30, 20206,669 (LV)51%46%2%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project [85] Jun 19–29, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.89%48%44%8%
Public Policy Polling [86] Jun 24–25, 2020729 (RV)± 3.6%46%48%5%
Morning Consult [79] Jun 16–25, 2020– (LV) [z] 47%44%
Fox News [87] Jun 20–23, 20201,001 (RV)± 3%44%45%5% [ac] 5%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas [88] [L] Jun 18–19, 2020907 (V)± 3%48%46%6%
Morning Consult [79] Jun 6–15, 2020– (LV) [z] 48%45%
Morning Consult [79] May 27 – Jun 5, 2020– (LV) [z] 48%43%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats [89] [M] Jun 2–3, 2020683 (V)48%48%4%
Quinnipiac [90] May 28 – Jun 1, 20201,166 (RV)± 2.9%44%43%6% [ad] 7%
Morning Consult [79] May 17–26, 20202,551 (LV)50% [v] 43%
Morning Consult [79] May 16–25, 2020– (LV) [z] 50%42%
Morning Consult [79] May 6–15, 2020– (LV) [z] 49%43%
Emerson College [91] May 8–10, 2020800 (RV)± 3.4%52% [ae] 48%
Public Policy Polling [92] Apr 27–28, 20201,032 (V)46%47%7%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [93] Apr 18–27, 20201,183 (RV)± 2.85%43%43%5%9%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [94] Apr 10–19, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.8%49%44%7%
AtlasIntel [95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%47%43%11%
NBC News/Marist College [96] Feb 23–27, 20202,409 (RV)± 2.5%49%45%1%5%
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%47%48%3% [af] 2%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%43%46%11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%45%44%11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%47%44%10%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [101] Jan 21–30, 2020910 (LV)± 3.24%46%44%10% [ag]
Data For Progress [102] [N] Jan 16–21, 20201,486 (LV)54%40%3% [ah] 3%
Texas Lyceum [103] Jan 10–19, 2020520 (LV)± 4.3%51%46%3%
CNN/SSRS [104] Dec 4–9, 20191,003 (RV)48%47%2% [ai] 3%
Beacon Research (R) [105] Nov 9–21, 20191,601 (RV)± 3.0%45%44%
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%45%39%16%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [107] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%39%9% [aj] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%38%40%13%9%
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)43%47%10%
Climate Nexus [110] Aug 20–25, 20191,660 (RV)± 2.4%43%43%9%
University of Texas at Tyler [111] Aug 1–4, 20191,261 (RV)± 2.8%37%41%14%8%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%
University of Texas at Tyler [113] Jul 24–27, 20191,414 (RV)± 2.6%37%37%12%14%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%44%48%1%4%
WPA Intelligence [115] Apr 27–30, 2019200 (LV)± 6.9%49%42%7%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%50% [ae] 51%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%1%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [118] [O] Feb 13–14, 2019743 (RV)± 3.6%49%46%5%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel [95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%49%43%9%
NBC News/Marist College [96] Feb 23–27, 20202,409 (RV)± 2.5%49%45%1%5%
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%48%46%3% [ak] 3%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%45%45%10%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%45%44%11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%47%45%7%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [119] Jan 21–30, 2020910 (LV)± 3.24%47%42%12% [al]
Data for Progress [120] [N] Jan 16–21, 20201,486 (LV)55%40%3% [ah] 2%
Texas Lyceum [103] Jan 10–19, 2020520 (LV)± 4.3%50%47%3%
CNN/SSRS [104] Dec 4–9, 20191,003 (RV)50%43%4% [am] 3%
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%44%40%16%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [121] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.8%45%40%9% [aj] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%40%38%14%8%
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)42%48%10%
Climate Nexus [110] Aug 20–25, 20191,660 (RV)± 2.4%45%41%7%
University of Texas at Tyler [111] Aug 1–4, 20191,261 (RV)± 2.8%38%42%13%7%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%
University of Texas at Tyler [113] Jul 24–27, 20191,414 (RV)± 2.6%37%39%11%12%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%47%44%1%4%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%51% [ae] 49%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%47%45%2%4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel [95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%49%40%12%
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%47%47%2% [ai] 4%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%48%41%11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%47%37%16%-
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%47%44%9%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [122] Jan 21–30, 2020907 (LV)± 3.24%48%41%12% [al]
Data for Progress [120] [N] Jan 16–21, 20201,486 (LV)56%38%3% [ah] 3%
Texas Lyceum [103] Jan 10–19, 2020520 (LV)± 4.3%50%43%7%
CNN/SSRS [104] Dec 4–9, 20191,003 (RV)51%44%3% [af] 2%
Beacon Research (R) [105] Nov 9–21, 20191,601 (RV)± 3.0%46%41%
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%46%35%20%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [121] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%39%10% [an] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%40%37%15%9%
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)42%44%14%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%52%48%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%46%45%1%5%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%53%47%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%48%41%2%6%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel [95] Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%48%36%17%
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%3% [ak] 4%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%43%44%13%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%45%44%10%-
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%46%41%13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [123] Jan 21–30, 2020906 (LV)± 3.24%47%44%9% [ao]

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
OtherUndecided
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%48%45%2% [ai] 5%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%46%39%15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%45%38%17%-
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%46%41%13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [124] Jan 21–30, 2020909 (LV)± 3.24%46%38%16% [ap]

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
OtherUndecided
CNN/SSRS [97] Feb 22–26, 20201,003 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%2% [ai] 4%
Univision [98] Feb 21–26, 20201,004 (RV)± 3.1%46%40%15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler [99] Feb 17–26, 20201,221 (RV)± 2.8%45%41%15%-
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [125] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%47%42%11%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [126] Jan 21–30, 2020905 (LV)± 3.24%47%37%15% [aq]
Data for Progress [120] [N] Jan 16–21, 20201,486 (LV)56%36%4% [ar] 4%
Texas Lyceum [103] Jan 10–19, 2020520 (LV)± 4.3%51%43%6%
CNN/SSRS [104] Dec 4–9, 20191,003 (RV)50%43%2% [ai] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%45%33%-22%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%39%30%21%10%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%52%48%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%46%44%1%6%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%54%46%

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
OtherUndecided
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News [127] Jan 21–30, 2020909 (LV)± 3.24%47%36%17% [as]

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
OtherUndecided
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune [100] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%45%43%12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
OtherUndecided
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)41%43%16%

with Donald Trump and Julian Castro

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Julian
Castro (D)
OtherUndecided
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%45%34%21%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [128] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%33%14% [at] 7%
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)41%44%16%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%53%47%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%46%43%1%6%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%46%41%2%8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
OtherUndecided
University of Texas at Tyler [106] Nov 5–14, 20191,093 (RV)± 3.0%46%33%-21%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%39%32%19%10%
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)44%45%11%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%54%46%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%47%43%1%6%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%54%46%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%48%41%2%5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [118] [O] Feb 13–14, 2019743 (RV)± 3.6%49%40%11%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
OtherUndecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [107] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.8%47%41%7% [au] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler [108] Sep 13–15, 20191,199 (RV)± 2.8%40%42%11%8%
Emerson [112] Aug 1–3, 20191,033 (RV)± 3.0%52%48%
Quinnipiac University [114] May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159 (RV)± 3.4%48%45%1%3%
Emerson College [116] Apr 25–28, 2019799 (RV)± 3.4%50%50%
Quinnipiac University [117] Feb 20–25, 20191,222 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%1%4%
Atlantic Media & Research (R) [129] [P] Jan 5–11, 2019504 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mark
Cuban (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [130] Dec 2017– (V) [z] 44%47%

with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Univision [109] Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 (RV)42%47%11%

with Donald Trump and a generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [131] Apr 10–19, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.8%49%50% [av] 7%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [132] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 (RV)± 2.83%48%52% [av]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [133] Oct 18–27, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.83%48%52% [av]
Quinnipiac [134] Sep 4–9, 20191,410 (RV)± 3.1%35%48% [aw] 17% [ax]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [135] May 31–Jun 9, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.83%50%50% [av]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune [136] Feb 15–24, 20191,200 (RV)± 2.83%49%51% [av]

Voting access

Matters of election administration and ease of voting during an ongoing pandemic were heavily litigated in Texas in 2020. Harris County, the most populous one in Texas, spearheaded a number of innovative approaches and was the focal point of several legal challenges.

For the 2020 elections, Harris County Commissioners approved a budget of $33 million, higher than the $4 million budget for the 2016 United States presidential election. Chris Hollins, the interim Harris County Clerk and Texas Democratic Party finance vice chairperson, created a 23-point voting access expansion program, which included promotion of voting by mail, expansion of early voting accessibility, and drive-through voting, an innovation to facilitate voting while at the same time mitigating infection risks during the COVID-19 pandemic. [137] On October 29 several voting locations in Harris County were available for 24 hours to accommodate voters whose work shifts or other responsibilities overlapped with regular voting hours. [138]

Local Republican activists and officials challenged the voter-friendly measures in multiple legal actions, with mixed success. Several lawsuits complained about early voting and about Harris County providing multiple drop-off locations for absentee ballots. Responding to pressure from within his own party, Governor Abbott then restricted the number of drop-offs to a single one per county regardless of population and size, forcing Harris County to close eleven sites at county clerk branch offices called annexes. [139]

When a legal action challenging drive-through voting was dismissed, [137] the Republican Party in Texas sought relief in the Texas Supreme Court (SCOTX), which denied the petition because the case had not been brought promptly. [140] The first lawsuit was filed on October 15 even though Harris County had obtained prior clearance from the Office of the Texas Secretary of State (which is led by a Republican appointed by Republican Governor Abbott) and had tested drive-in voting in the primary runoff elections in July without complaint. [141] [142] SCOTX denied the petition and drive-thru voting continued. [143] On October 29 another action was filed seeking to invalidate drive-thru ballots based on the contention that this was a form of curbside voting that the Texas Election Code authorized only for voters with disabilities. [144] In an order issued on Sunday, November 1, the Texas Supreme Court denied the petition challenging the legality of drive-through voting, but did not resolve the legal argument one way or the other. [145] [146] The next day, U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen heard an almost identical case by the same group of plaintiff, which included Republican candidates, on an emergency basis. Slate described the judge as "one of the most notoriously partisan conservatives in the federal judiciary." [142] Hanen ruled against the plaintiffs, dismissing their action for lack of standing, with the result that drive-in voting remained in effect. The Plaintiffs, which included Steve Toth, [147] immediately sought emergency relief in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, but were unsuccessful. [148] Hollins nevertheless cancelled drive-thru voting in tent structures on the eve of Election Day. [149] He reversed himself out of concern that ballots cast there might be declared invalid, should the Fifth Circuit disagree with Judge Hanen on the standing issue and agree with Judge Hanen that tents were not permissible polling places on Election Day. [150]

Some counties also set up an online system that allowed voters to check for wait times at early voting centers and make their voting plans accordingly. [151]

On October 5, Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued a proclamation under the Texas Disaster Act limiting each county to a single drop-off location for mail ballots. [152] Federal judge Robert Pitman blocked Abbott's order on October 9. [153] The next day, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton appealed to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals for an emergency stay of Pitman's ruling, which a three-judge motion panel temporarily granted on an interim basis, pending consideration of the appeal on the merits. [154] A Texas state judge also blocked Abbott's order on October 15, and a state appeals court upheld that decision on October 23. Paxton then sought emergency relief from the Texas Supreme Court, which backed the Governor and lifted the temporary injunction in an October 27 decision with no dissent. [155] [156] [157]

Turnout

Voter registration in Texas ended on October 5, and the Secretary of State reported a registration total of 16,955,519 voters, an increase of 1,854,432 since the 2016 elections, and 1.2 million of which had occurred after the 2018 midterm elections.

Early voting began on October 13. Over one million ballots were received on that day, [158] and by October 15 fewer than two million ballots were counted. [159] The following day the count was 2.6 million, which meant 15.51% of the state's registered voters had already voted. [160]

For the whole early voting period, votes in the age 18-29 range were higher than the total of that age group of 2016, with 1.3 million votes. [161]

On October 13, Dallas County recorded 59,905 ballots and Tarrant County recorded 42,428 ballots, with the former setting a record for that county and the latter below the 2016 count on the first day of early voting. [162]

On October 13, Harris County had an unofficial tally of 128,186 ballots received, the highest ever first day early voting count and over 5% of the county's registered voters. [163] By the second day, the count was 287,931, 11% of the county's registered voters. [164] On the third day, over 100,000 ballots were counted, and in those three days 387,000 ballots were counted, with 44,000 of them issued through the mail. [165] On the fourth day, a similar number of ballots were cast, which meant the number of ballots cast total was about 500,000. [166] On October 23, there were 1 million ballots cast from Harris County. [167]

On October 13, Travis County received 35,873 ballots, [168] while it received 38,119 the following day, [169] and by 3 P.M. on Thursday over 26,000. [170] When voting closed on Thursday the percentage of Travis County voters who had already voted was 16.44%. On Friday 41,328 additional votes were counted. [160] Williamson County by the third day had a 64,891 votes out of 376,931 people registered to vote, which meant its turnout was already 17.25%. [171]

On October 13, Bexar County recorded 78,000 votes, with over 45,000 by mail and the remainder in person. [158]

On October 13, El Paso County recorded fewer than 34,000 votes. [158]

By October 19, Texas voters cast 50% of the votes cast in the 2016 presidential election in Texas. By October 22, 65.5% of 2016 votes were cast (or 34.65% of registered voters). By October 25, over 80% of 2016 votes were cast (or 43% of registered voters), [172] and by October 29, 50% of registered voters had cast ballots by early in-person and absentee ballot. By October 30, statewide voter turnout, as well as turnout in Harris County, had already surpassed the total of 2016. [173]

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Texas [174]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
5,890,347 52.06% −0.17%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
5,259,12646.48%+3.24%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
126,2431.12%−2.04%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
33,3960.30%−0.50%
Write-in 5,9440.04%-0.53%
Total votes11,315,056 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Anderson 15,11078.59%3,95520.57%1620.84%11,15558.02%19,227
Andrews 4,94384.31%85014.50%701.19%4,09369.81%5,863
Angelina 25,07672.40%9,14326.40%4161.20%15,93346.00%34,635
Aransas 9,23975.17%2,91623.73%1351.10%6,32351.44%12,290
Archer 4,30089.66%4469.30%501.04%3,85480.36%4,796
Armstrong 1,03593.08%756.74%20.18%96086.34%1,112
Atascosa 12,03966.37%5,87632.40%2231.23%6,16333.97%18,138
Austin 11,44778.48%2,95120.23%1881.29%8,49658.25%14,586
Bailey 1,43477.10%40921.99%170.91%1,02555.11%1,860
Bandera 10,05779.03%2,50519.68%1641.29%7,55259.35%12,726
Bastrop 20,51655.81%15,47442.09%7722.10%5,04213.72%36,762
Baylor 1,49487.78%18310.75%251.47%1,31177.03%1,702
Bee 6,00663.72%3,28834.88%1321.40%2,71828.84%9,426
Bell 67,89353.17%57,01444.65%2,7832.18%10,8798.52%127,690
Bexar 308,61840.05%448,45258.20%13,5011.75%-139,834-18.15%770,571
Blanco 5,44372.97%1,91125.62%1051.41%3,53247.35%7,459
Borden 39795.43%163.85%30.72%38191.58%416
Bosque 7,46981.84%1,56117.10%961.06%5,90864.74%9,126
Bowie 27,11670.87%10,74728.09%3981.04%16,36942.78%38,261
Brazoria 90,43358.35%62,22840.15%2,3231.50%28,20518.20%154,984
Brazos 47,53055.71%35,34941.43%2,4342.86%12,18114.28%85,313
Brewster 2,46151.04%2,25846.83%1032.13%2034.21%4,822
Briscoe 63988.14%7810.76%81.10%56177.38%725
Brooks 99840.18%1,47059.18%160.64%-472-19.00%2,484
Brown 13,69885.78%2,10713.19%1641.03%11,59172.59%15,969
Burleson 6,74378.33%1,78820.77%780.90%4,95557.56%8,609
Burnet 18,76775.93%5,63922.81%3111.26%13,12853.12%24,717
Caldwell 8,03153.64%6,67244.56%2701.80%1,3599.08%14,973
Calhoun 5,64171.80%2,14827.34%670.86%3,49344.46%7,856
Callahan 6,01287.92%73410.73%921.35%5,27877.19%6,838
Cameron 49,03242.89%64,06356.04%1,2311.07%-15,031-13.15%114,326
Camp 3,62671.66%1,39427.55%400.79%2,23244.11%5,060
Carson 2,77989.01%2979.51%461.48%2,48279.50%3,122
Cass 11,03379.22%2,79520.07%990.71%8,23859.15%13,927
Castro 1,60276.91%46622.37%150.72%1,13654.54%2,083
Chambers 17,35380.15%3,99718.46%3021.39%13,35661.69%21,652
Cherokee 15,10177.41%4,21021.58%1971.01%10,89155.83%19,508
Childress 1,94385.26%31013.60%261.14%1,63371.66%2,279
Clay 5,06988.25%61410.69%611.06%4,45577.56%5,744
Cochran 80980.90%17717.70%141.40%63263.20%1,000
Coke 1,58689.15%17810.01%150.84%1,40879.14%1,779
Coleman 3,64188.18%45110.92%370.90%3,19077.26%4,129
Collin 252,31851.26%230,94546.92%8,9531.82%21,3734.34%492,216
Collingsworth 1,04886.04%15512.73%151.23%89373.31%1,218
Colorado 7,47274.91%2,42024.26%830.83%5,05250.65%9,975
Comal 62,74070.58%24,82627.93%1,3261.49%37,91442.65%88,892
Comanche 5,17785.06%85314.02%560.92%4,32471.04%6,086
Concho 1,05883.44%19715.54%131.02%86167.90%1,268
Cooke 15,59681.98%3,21016.87%2191.15%12,38665.11%19,025
Coryell 15,43865.71%7,56532.20%4902.09%7,87333.51%23,493
Cottle 54081.57%11317.07%91.36%42764.50%662
Crane 1,24782.97%24116.03%151.00%1,00666.94%1,503
Crockett 1,22077.51%34421.86%100.63%87655.65%1,574
Crosby 1,39671.48%52726.98%301.54%86944.50%1,953
Culberson 41548.03%43850.69%111.28%-23-2.66%864
Dallam 1,38986.33%19712.24%231.43%1,19274.09%1,609
Dallas 307,07633.29%598,57664.89%16,8611.82%-291,500-31.60%922,513
Dawson 2,95177.88%80821.32%300.80%2,14356.56%3,789
Deaf Smith 3,29471.45%1,26427.42%521.13%2,03064.03%4,610
Delta 2,16283.41%40315.55%271.04%1,75967.86%2,592
Denton 222,48053.23%188,69545.15%6,7891.62%33,7858.08%417,964
DeWitt 6,56780.89%1,49418.40%570.71%5,07362.49%8,118
Dickens 85386.34%13013.16%50.50%72373.18%988
Dimmit 1,38437.75%2,26461.76%180.49%-880-24.01%3,666
Donley 1,43887.26%19812.01%120.73%1,24075.25%1,648
Duval 2,44348.35%2,57550.96%350.69%-132-2.61%5,053
Eastland 7,23787.27%98311.85%730.88%6,25475.42%8,293
Ector 32,69773.33%11,36725.49%5271.18%21,33047.84%44,591
Edwards 89383.77%16815.76%50.47%72568.01%1,066
El Paso 84,33131.56%178,12666.66%4,7581.78%-93,795-35.10%267,215
Ellis 56,71766.19%27,56532.17%1,4061.64%29,15234.02%85,688
Erath 13,68481.08%2,91617.28%2771.64%10,76863.80%16,877
Falls 4,17768.11%1,89930.96%570.93%2,27837.15%6,133
Fannin 12,17181.10%2,65517.69%1811.21%9,51663.41%15,007
Fayette 10,17178.60%2,66120.56%1090.84%7,51058.04%12,941
Fisher 1,44879.30%35219.28%261.42%1,09660.02%1,826
Floyd 1,58477.69%43821.48%170.83%1,14656.21%2,039
Foard 44580.76%9917.97%71.27%34662.79%551
Fort Bend 157,71844.01%195,55254.57%5,0631.42%-37,834-10.56%358,333
Franklin 4,16183.07%80416.05%440.88%3,35767.02%5,009
Freestone 6,99180.25%1,63518.77%850.98%5,35661.48%8,711
Frio 2,82353.48%2,42245.88%340.64%4017.60%5,279
Gaines 5,35589.31%5769.61%651.08%4,77979.70%5,996
Galveston 93,91160.56%58,84237.95%2,3071.49%35,06922.61%155,060
Garza 1,41385.48%23113.97%90.55%1,18271.51%1,653
Gillespie 12,51478.95%3,17620.04%1601.01%9,33858.91%15,850
Glasscock 61193.57%395.97%30.46%57287.60%653
Goliad 3,08577.22%87721.95%330.83%2,20855.27%3,995
Gonzales 5,62773.57%1,94825.47%730.96%3,67948.10%7,648
Gray 6,84087.90%82910.65%1131.45%6,01177.25%7,782
Grayson 44,16374.26%14,50624.39%8051.35%29,65749.87%59,474
Gregg 32,49367.72%14,79630.84%6931.44%17,69736.88%47,982
Grimes 9,43275.98%2,83322.82%1491.20%6,59953.16%12,414
Guadalupe 47,55361.16%28,80537.04%1,4001.80%18,74824.12%77,758
Hale 7,17774.87%2,27923.77%1301.36%4,89851.10%9,586
Hall 99585.12%16814.37%60.51%82770.75%1,169
Hamilton 3,61683.11%64114.73%942.16%2,97568.38%4,351
Hansford 1,84990.33%1668.11%321.56%1,68382.22%2,047
Hardeman 1,33084.18%24115.25%90.57%1,08968.93%1,580
Hardin 23,85886.33%3,47412.57%3031.10%20,38473.76%27,635
Harris 700,63042.69%918,19355.94%22,4341.37%-217,563-13.25%1,641,257
Harrison 21,46672.23%7,90826.61%3431.16%13,55845.62%29,717
Hartley 1,86889.89%1959.38%150.73%1,67380.51%2,078
Haskell 1,84083.11%35315.94%210.95%1,48767.17%2,214
Hays 47,68043.59%59,52454.41%2,1912.00%-11,844-10.82%109,395
Hemphill 1,48686.40%20611.98%281.62%1,28074.42%1,720
Henderson 28,91179.61%7,06019.44%3460.95%21,85160.17%36,317
Hidalgo 90,52740.98%128,19958.04%2,1580.98%-37,672-17.06%220,884
Hill 11,92679.87%2,86019.15%1450.98%9,06660.82%14,931
Hockley 6,53680.69%1,48218.30%821.01%5,05462.39%8,100
Hood 26,49681.42%5,64817.36%3971.22%20,84864.06%32,541
Hopkins 12,71979.79%3,04619.11%1761.10%9,67360.68%15,941
Houston 7,06074.80%2,31424.52%640.68%4,74650.28%9,438
Howard 8,05478.64%2,06920.20%1181.16%5,98558.44%10,241
Hudspeth 77966.87%37131.85%151.28%40835.02%1,165
Hunt 29,16375.56%8,90623.07%5281.37%20,25752.49%38,597
Hutchinson 7,68187.55%96511.00%1271.45%6,71676.55%8,773
Irion 75985.38%12013.50%101.12%63971.88%889
Jack 3,41890.38%3318.75%330.87%3,08781.63%3,782
Jackson 5,23182.34%1,03316.26%891.40%4,19866.08%6,353
Jasper 12,54280.34%2,95418.92%1150.74%9,58861.42%15,611
Jeff Davis 78460.08%50138.39%201.53%28321.69%1,305
Jefferson 47,57050.20%46,07348.62%1,1161.18%1,4971.58%94,759
Jim Hogg 83340.91%1,19758.79%60.30%-364-17.88%2,036
Jim Wells 7,45354.52%6,11944.77%970.71%1,3349.75%13,669
Johnson 54,62875.85%16,46422.86%9281.29%38,16452.99%72,020
Jones 5,66083.96%99914.82%821.22%4,66169.14%6,741
Karnes 3,96875.55%1,23423.50%500.95%2,73452.05%5,252
Kaufman 37,62466.34%18,40532.45%6891.21%19,21933.89%56,718
Kendall 20,08375.92%6,02022.76%3491.32%14,06353.16%26,452
Kenedy 12765.46%6533.51%21.03%6231.95%194
Kent 41188.96%4710.17%40.87%36478.79%462
Kerr 20,87975.25%6,52423.51%3421.24%14,35551.74%27,745
Kimble 1,98786.69%28412.39%210.92%1,70374.30%2,292
King 15194.97%85.03%00.00%14389.94%159
Kinney 1,14471.37%44627.82%130.81%69843.55%1,603
Kleberg 5,50450.29%5,31448.56%1261.15%1901.73%10,944
Knox 1,18081.04%26518.20%110.76%91562.84%1,456
Lamar 16,76078.16%4,45820.79%2241.05%12,30257.37%21,442
Lamb 3,52179.84%84019.05%491.11%2,68160.79%4,410
Lampasas 8,08677.76%2,14420.62%1691.62%5,94257.14%10,399
La Salle 1,33555.49%1,05243.72%190.79%28311.77%2,406
Lavaca 8,80486.34%1,33313.07%600.59%7,47173.27%10,197
Lee 6,25577.22%1,75021.60%951.18%4,50555.62%8,100
Leon 7,52386.62%1,07212.34%901.04%6,45174.28%8,685
Liberty 23,30279.44%5,78519.72%2470.84%17,51759.72%29,334
Limestone 6,78974.65%2,21324.33%931.02%4,57650.32%9,095
Lipscomb 1,20589.06%1319.68%171.26%1,07479.38%1,353
Live Oak 4,19983.08%81916.20%360.72%3,38066.88%5,054
Llano 10,07979.61%2,46519.47%1160.92%7,61460.14%12,660
Loving 6090.91%46.06%23.03%5684.85%66
Lubbock 78,86165.27%40,01733.12%1,9391.61%38,84432.15%120,817
Lynn 1,85380.81%42818.67%120.52%1,42564.14%2,293
Madison 4,16978.69%1,08820.54%410.77%3,08158.15%5,298
Marion 3,47071.34%1,33927.53%551.13%2,13143.81%4,864
Martin 1,85785.97%28813.33%150.70%1,56972.64%2,160
Mason 1,99180.48%45718.47%261.05%1,53462.01%2,474
Matagorda 9,84571.72%3,73327.19%1491.09%6,11244.53%13,727
Maverick 6,88144.84%8,33254.29%1330.87%-1,451-9.45%15,346
McCulloch 2,90484.52%49014.26%421.22%2,41470.26%3,436
McLennan 59,54360.84%36,68837.49%1,6411.67%22,85523.35%97,872
McMullen 46089.15%5310.27%30.58%40778.88%516
Medina 15,64269.04%6,77329.89%2421.07%8,86939.15%22,657
Menard 82380.06%19719.16%80.78%62660.90%1,028
Midland 45,62477.34%12,32920.90%1,0351.76%33,29556.44%58,988
Milam 7,98475.48%2,49623.60%980.92%5,48851.88%10,578
Mills 2,21788.50%27110.82%170.68%1,94677.68%2,505
Mitchell 2,17084.14%39715.39%120.47%1,77368.75%2,579
Montague 8,61587.74%1,09711.17%1071.09%7,51876.57%9,819
Montgomery 193,38271.22%74,37727.39%3,7841.39%119,00543.83%271,543
Moore 4,35979.14%1,06219.28%871.58%3,29759.86%5,508
Morris 3,87269.30%1,66929.87%460.83%2,20339.43%5,587
Motley 60492.64%467.06%20.30%55885.58%652
Nacogdoches 17,37864.88%9,00033.60%4071.52%8,37831.28%26,785
Navarro 13,80072.16%5,10126.67%2221.17%8,69945.49%19,123
Newton 4,88280.11%1,17319.25%390.64%3,70960.86%6,094
Nolan 4,13177.11%1,16221.69%641.20%2,96955.42%5,357
Nueces 64,61750.75%60,92547.85%1,7801.40%3,6922.90%127,322
Ochiltree 2,81289.10%3029.57%421.33%2,51079.53%3,156
Oldham 91790.88%818.03%111.09%83682.85%1,009
Orange 29,18681.09%6,35717.66%4511.25%22,82963.43%35,994
Palo Pinto 10,17981.50%2,17817.44%1321.06%8,00164.06%12,489
Panola 9,32681.44%2,05717.96%680.60%7,26963.48%11,451
Parker 62,04581.50%13,01717.10%1,0661.40%49,02864.40%76,128
Parmer 2,13580.57%48818.42%271.01%1,62762.15%2,650
Pecos 3,21568.87%1,38229.61%711.52%1,83339.26%4,668
Polk 18,57376.79%5,38722.27%2260.94%13,18654.52%24,186
Potter 22,82068.45%9,92129.76%5961.79%12,89938.69%33,337
Presidio 72132.52%1,46365.99%331.49%-742-33.47%2,217
Rains 5,15585.16%84213.91%560.93%4,31371.25%6,053
Randall 50,79678.54%12,80219.79%1,0761.67%37,99458.75%64,674
Reagan 94283.81%17215.30%100.89%77068.51%1,124
Real 1,64382.90%32016.15%190.95%1,32366.75%1,982
Red River 4,51777.80%1,24621.46%430.74%3,27156.34%5,806
Reeves 2,25461.10%1,39537.82%401.08%85923.28%3,689
Refugio 2,21065.66%1,10832.92%481.42%1,10232.74%3,366
Roberts 52996.18%173.09%40.73%51293.09%550
Robertson 5,64669.71%2,37429.31%790.98%3,27240.40%8,099
Rockwall 36,72668.15%16,41230.45%7531.40%20,31437.70%53,891
Runnels 3,80786.35%55212.52%501.13%3,25573.83%4,409
Rusk 16,53477.34%4,62921.65%2141.01%11,90555.69%21,377
Sabine 4,78487.12%66912.18%380.70%4,11574.94%5,491
San Augustine 3,00775.14%98024.49%150.37%2,02750.65%4,002
San Jacinto 10,16180.39%2,33718.49%1421.12%7,82461.90%12,640
San Patricio 16,51663.79%8,98834.71%3871.50%7,52829.08%25,891
San Saba 2,30888.70%28711.03%70.27%2,02177.67%2,602
Schleicher 94081.10%21118.21%80.69%72962.89%1,159
Scurry 4,98384.89%81813.94%691.17%4,16570.95%5,870
Shackelford 1,48491.15%1307.99%140.86%1,35483.16%1,628
Shelby 7,97579.06%2,06820.50%440.44%5,90758.56%10,087
Sherman 88689.31%919.17%151.52%79580.14%992
Smith 69,08068.85%29,61529.52%1,6391.63%39,46539.33%100,334
Somervell 4,10582.98%76815.52%741.50%3,33767.46%4,947
Starr 8,24747.06%9,12352.06%1550.88%-876-5.00%17,525
Stephens 3,38588.96%39710.43%230.61%2,98878.53%3,805
Sterling 58491.39%517.98%40.63%53383.41%639
Stonewall 61583.56%11615.76%50.68%49967.80%736
Sutton 1,22278.48%32220.68%130.84%90057.80%1,557
Swisher 1,84578.34%47820.30%321.36%1,36758.04%2,355
Tarrant 409,74149.09%411,56749.31%13,3891.60%-1,826-0.22%834,697
Taylor 39,54771.73%14,58826.46%1,0001.81%24,95945.27%55,135
Terrell 33472.93%11925.98%51.09%21546.95%458
Terry 2,81277.85%75720.96%431.19%2,05556.89%3,612
Throckmorton 80690.16%829.17%60.67%72480.99%894
Titus 7,57071.81%2,85627.09%1151.10%4,71444.72%10,541
Tom Green 32,31371.47%12,23927.07%6581.46%20,07444.40%45,210
Travis 161,33726.43%435,86071.41%13,1522.16%-274,523-44.98%610,349
Trinity 5,57980.41%1,32319.07%360.52%4,25661.34%6,938
Tyler 8,19484.82%1,40314.52%630.66%6,79170.30%9,660
Upshur 15,80983.56%2,87715.21%2331.23%12,93268.35%18,919
Upton 1,17886.11%17012.43%201.46%1,00873.68%1,368
Uvalde 6,17459.69%4,07339.38%970.93%2,10120.31%10,344
Val Verde 8,28454.21%6,77144.31%2251.48%1,5139.90%15,280
Van Zandt 22,27085.56%3,51613.51%2430.93%18,75472.05%26,029
Victoria 23,35868.25%10,38030.33%4881.42%12,97837.92%34,226
Walker 15,37565.12%7,88433.39%3531.49%7,49131.73%23,612
Waller 14,26062.73%8,19136.03%2831.24%6,06926.70%22,734
Ward 3,24179.83%76418.82%551.35%2,47761.01%4,060
Washington 12,95974.27%4,26124.42%2291.31%8,69849.85%17,449
Webb 25,89837.80%41,82061.05%7881.15%-15,922-23.25%68,506
Wharton 11,92671.15%4,69428.01%1410.84%7,23243.14%16,761
Wheeler 2,15992.38%1687.19%100.43%1,99185.19%2,337
Wichita 32,06969.65%13,16128.59%8101.76%18,90841.06%46,040
Wilbarger 3,52477.90%95621.13%440.97%2,56856.77%4,524
Willacy 2,44143.99%3,10856.01%00.00%-667-12.02%5,549
Williamson 139,72948.15%143,79549.56%6,6442.29%-4,066-1.41%290,168
Wilson 18,46373.76%6,35025.37%2190.87%12,11348.39%25,032
Winkler 1,75382.46%35816.84%150.70%1,39565.62%2,126
Wise 27,03283.52%4,97315.37%3601.11%22,05967.15%32,365
Wood 19,04983.63%3,50915.40%2210.97%15,54068.23%22,779
Yoakum 2,17482.63%42015.96%371.41%1,75466.67%2,631
Young 7,11086.30%1,03412.55%951.15%6,07673.75%8,239
Zapata 2,03352.48%1,82647.13%150.39%2075.35%3,874
Zavala 1,49034.03%2,86465.40%250.57%-1,374-31.37%4,379
Totals5,890,34752.01%5,259,12646.44%175,8131.55%631,2215.57%11,325,286
Texas County Swing 2020.svg
Texas County Trend 2020.svg
Texas County Flips 2020.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won 22 out of the 36 congressional districts in Texas, while Biden won 14, including one held by a Republican.

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st 71.6%27.2% Louie Gohmert
2nd 50.9%48.6% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 50.2%48.7% Van Taylor
4th 74.4%24.4%Vacant
Pat Fallon
5th 60.9%37.9% Lance Gooden
6th 50.8%47.8% Ron Wright
7th 45.1%53.6% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 70.6%28.1% Kevin Brady
9th 23.3%75.7% Al Green
10th 50%48.4% Michael McCaul
11th 79.2%19.7% Mike Conaway
August Pfluger
12th 60.5%37.9% Kay Granger
13th 79.8%18.9% Mac Thornberry
Ronny Jackson
14th 59%39.6% Randy Weber
15th 48.5%50.4% Vicente Gonzalez
16th 32%66.4% Veronica Escobar
17th 54.6%43.6% Bill Flores
Pete Sessions
18th 23%75.7% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 72.2%26.3% Jodey Arrington
20th 34.7%63.7% Joaquín Castro
21st 50.6%47.9% Chip Roy
22nd 50.8%48.9% Pete Olson
Troy Nehls
23rd 50.3%48.5% Will Hurd
Tony Gonzales
24th 46.5%51.9% Kenny Marchant
Beth Van Duyne
25th 54%44.4% Roger Williams
26th 56.3%42.1% Michael Burgess
27th 61.2%37.5% Michael Cloud
28th 47.2%51.6% Henry Cuellar
29th 32.9%65.9% Sylvia Garcia
30th 19.4%79.1% Eddie Bernice Johnson
31st 50.4%47.6% John Carter
32nd 44%54.4% Colin Allred
33rd 25.6%73% Marc Veasey
34th 47.5%51.5% Filemon Vela Jr.
35th 30.5%67.7% Lloyd Doggett
36th 71.9%26.9% Brian Babin

Analysis

While Biden still won Latino voters in Texas with 58% [175] and Latinos of Mexican heritage with 63%, [176] Trump significantly improved his numbers among Hispanic voters in the state, particularly in the Rio Grande Valley. [177] Trump flipped Jim Wells County and La Salle County which had not voted Republican since 1972. He also flipped Frio County, Kleberg County, Reeves County, Val Verde County, and Kenedy County; the first 4 having last voted Republican in 2004 and the last having last voted Republican in 2012. He also became the first Republican to win Zapata County since Warren G. Harding in 1920, flipping it by five points after losing it by 33 points in 2016. Trump's total of eight counties flipped in South Texas was the most flipped by any candidate in any state in 2020, and he flipped more counties in South Texas than he did in the rest of the nation combined. While Biden's lead in the Rio Grande Valley shrunk significantly compared to Hillary Clinton's in 2016, he overwhelmingly won the Latino vote in the state's urban areas. [178]

Biden significantly outperformed Clinton in Greater Austin, which was a significant contributor to Trump's relatively weak performance statewide. He flipped Hays County and Williamson County, both of them suburban counties located outside of the state capital that a Democrat had not won since 1992 and 1976, respectively. This is also the first election since 1956 when the latter voted for the statewide loser. [179] Biden also became the first Democratic candidate to garner at least 50,000 votes in Bell County, a county just outside of Greater Austin and had the center of Texas population within it in the 2010 census. At 44.76%, he outperformed Obama's record for the highest percentage of votes a Democratic presidential nominee received in Bell County since 1976, the last time the county voted for a Democrat.

Also, Biden became the first Democrat to ever win the White House without Jefferson County. [180] Biden also became the first Democrat to win without Frio County since it was formed in 1871, the first to win without La Salle County since it was formed in 1880, the first to win without Reeves County since it was formed in 1883, the first to win without Val Verde County since it was formed in 1885, the first to win without Jim Wells County since it was founded in 1911, the first to win without Kleberg County since it was founded in 1913, and the first Democrat to win the White House without winning Zapata County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916. [181] Because of Trump's substantial gains in heavily Hispanic areas, Biden's best performance in Texas came not from the southern border region, but Travis County, encompassing the college-educated, cosmopolitan, liberal bastion of Austin, home to the University of Texas at Austin, where he won the highest percentage for a Democrat since Harry S. Truman in 1948.

Biden also improved throughout the three most significant metropolitan areas in Texas. While not significantly outperforming Clinton in Harris and Bexar counties, he did make considerable inroads into their surrounding suburbs, thus eking out narrow wins in Greater Houston and Greater San Antonio, [182] [183] the first time a Democratic presidential nominee had accomplished such a feat in the 21st century. However, in the former, gains were incredibly mixed. Trump saw substantial growth in Houston's north and east, home to large concentrations of Latinos. He also improved in diverse Alief, along Harris County's southwest border, which is heavily Hispanic, Filipino, and Vietnamese. On the other hand, Biden continued Clinton's gains in the wealthy college-educated "Houston Arrow" suburbs in the city's west, though his improvements were significantly more minor. [184]

Perhaps the biggest reason for Biden narrowing the Lone Star State's margin of victory was the surge of Democratic support in the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, the largest metropolitan area in the state, which he also narrowly won. He scored nearly 65% of the vote in Dallas County, the highest percentage won by a Democrat since 1940. Additionally, Biden narrowly flipped Tarrant County, winning by fewer than 2,000 votes. Tarrant County is home to the fifth-largest city in Texas, Fort Worth, and had not been won by a Democrat since 1964, when favorite son Lyndon B. Johnson carried it. His growth in the heavily Republican Fort Worth suburbs, which historically kept Democratic candidates from capturing Tarrant, was a critical factor in winning the county and the Metroplex as a whole. Biden improved substantially in the large DFW suburbs of Collin County and Denton County, which have rapidly grown and diversified in the past decade, narrowing Trump's victory margins from 16.57% and 20% in 2016, down to 4.37% and 8.08%, respectively. Both of their county seats (the two suburban cities of McKinney and Denton, respectively) have trended leftward since 2016 due to the influx of younger professionals and families in the past decade, which shifted to the Democrats in this election. Biden also won the city of Plano, the largest city in Collin County, and narrowly won the city of Allen. [185] [186]

In 2021, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton stated on Steve Bannon's podcast War Room that without blocking Harris County from sending out applications for mail-in ballots to registered voters, Trump would have lost the state. [187]

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Texas by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [188] [189]
Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of

total vote

Total vote46.4852.06100
Ideology
Liberals 881117
Moderates 663238
Conservatives 138645
Party
Democrats 96430
Republicans 59441
Independents 514529
Gender
Men405745
Women514855
Race/ethnicity
White 336660
Black 90912
Latino 584123
Asian 63303
Other42562
Age
18–24 years old58388
25–29 years old55426
30–39 years old504714
40–49 years old475115
50–64 years old435630
65 and older415826
Sexual orientation
LGBT 72275
Not LGBT435695
Education
High school or less405917
Some college education425728
Associate degree 514716
Bachelor's degree 485024
Postgraduate degree544415
Income
Under $30,000524712
$30,000–49,999633516
$50,000–99,999445535
$100,000–199,999435626
Over $200,000544210
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 93518
Coronavirus 881014
Economy 158440
Crime and safety168310
Health care 782111
Region
East267214
Dallas/Ft. Worth 544524
Houston area 534621
South Central514815
West 227611
Southwest574216
Area type
Urban564242
Suburban415751
Rural25747
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago227646
Worse than four years ago891118
About the same702935

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  2. The Blue Texas PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  4. Poll sponsored by the Texas arm of the party which nominated Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  5. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  6. Giffords' founder, Gabby Giffords, endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  7. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  8. The Texas Democratic Party exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  9. Poll sponsored by Chrysta Castañeda's campaign
  10. Size of "extremely likely to vote" sample not yet released
  11. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  12. Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organisation promoting progressive policies
  13. Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
  14. 1 2 3 4 By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
  15. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  16. Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

Samples

  1. 1 2 3 Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after early voting had already started.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  6. 1 2 3 4 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Someone else" with 2%
  8. Standard VI response
  9. Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  10. Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  11. "Another candidate" with no voters
  12. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  13. 1 2 Includes "Refused"
  14. "Someone else" with 3%
  15. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  16. Standard IV response
  17. "Another candidate" with 1%
  18. With only Biden, Trump and "another candidate" as options
  19. "Another candidate" with 2%
  20. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  21. "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  22. 1 2 3 4 Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  23. "Refused" with 0%
  24. 1 2 Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
  25. "Another party candidate" with 2%
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Not yet released
  27. "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  28. "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  29. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  30. "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  31. 1 2 3 Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  32. 1 2 Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  33. "Neither-other" with 10%
  34. 1 2 3 Would not vote with 3%
  35. 1 2 3 4 5 Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  36. 1 2 "Someone else" with 9%
  37. 1 2 Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  38. 1 2 "Neither-other" with 12%
  39. Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  40. "Someone else" with 10%
  41. "Neither-other" with 9%
  42. "Neither-other" with 16%
  43. "Neither-other" with 15%
  44. Would not vote with 4%
  45. "Neither-other" with 17%
  46. "Someone else" with 14%
  47. "Someone else" with 7%
  48. 1 2 3 4 5 Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  49. "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 48%
  50. "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in California</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate Kamala Harris, the junior senator from California. In the 2020 election, California had 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state. Biden won by a wide margin, as was expected; however, California was one of six states where Trump received a larger percentage of the two-party vote than he did in 2016. This election also marked the first time since 2004 that the Republican candidate won more than one million votes in Los Angeles County due to increased turnout.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris of California. Michigan had 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state was narrowly won by the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. North Carolina had 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Colorado</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Georgia</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Georgia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia was considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Illinois</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Illinois has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College this election, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Michigan</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, and as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Michigan voters chose electors for Donald Trump and JD Vance to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Montana</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Montana took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Montana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Montana has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in New York</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York had 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Ohio had 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Oregon</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Texas</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

References

  1. "Official Canvass Report - 2020 November 3rd General Election" (PDF). Texas Secretary of State. November 2020.
  2. "Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)".
  3. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  5. Leip, Dave. "Ohio Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  6. Leip, Dave. "Texas Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  7. Ramsey, Ross (November 6, 2020). "Analysis: Texas voters elect to stay the course". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  8. "Governor Greg Abbott for President in 2020?". News/Talk 95.1 & 790 KFYO. November 8, 2016.
  9. Garrett, Robert T. (March 8, 2018). "Texas Gov. Greg Abbott rules out running for president – in 2020, at least". Dallas News.
  10. "Races". results.texas-election.com. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
  11. Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  12. Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  13. Arlette Saenz (April 25, 2019). "Joe Biden announces he is running for president in 2020". CNN. Retrieved May 18, 2019.
  14. "2020 MARCH 3RD DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2020.
  15. "Delegate Tracker". Associated Press . June 7, 2020. Retrieved June 7, 2020.
  16. "2020 Electoral College Ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  17. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
  18. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  20. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  21. Niskanen Center Electoral Map, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  22. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  23. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  24. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  25. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  26. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  27. "Final NPR Electoral Map: Biden Has The Edge, But Trump Retains Narrow Path". NPR.org. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  28. "Road to 270: Choose potential paths to a White House victory". NBC News. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  29. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  30. 270 to Win
  31. Real Clear Politics
  32. FiveThirtyEight
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 SurveyMonkey/Axios
  34. Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  35. Data For Progress
  36. AtlasIntel
  37. Emerson College
  38. 1 2 Morning Consult
  39. Public Policy Polling
  40. Gravis Marketing
  41. RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  42. Swayable
  43. YouGov/UMass Amherst
  44. Data for Progress (D)
  45. Siena College/NYT Upshot
  46. Univision/University of Houston/Latino
    Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
  47. Citizen Data
  48. YouGov/University of Houston
  49. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
  50. Quinnipiac University
  51. Data for Progress (D)
  52. Morning Consult
  53. Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  54. YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  55. 1 2 3 4 5 Morning Consult
  56. Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/Crosswind PR
  57. Civiqs/Daily Kos
  58. Data For Progress (D)
  59. YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  60. EMC Research/Blue Texas PAC
  61. Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign
  62. Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
  63. YouGov/UMass Lowell
  64. Data For Progress
  65. Siena College/NYT Upshot
  66. Quinnipiac University
  67. YouGov/CBS
  68. Morning Consult
  69. Public Policy Polling/Giffords
  70. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News
  71. 1 2 Morning Consult
  72. Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
  73. Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance
  74. Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats
  75. Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas
  76. YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute
  77. Trafalgar Group (R)
  78. Morning Consult
  79. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Morning Consult
  80. Spry Strategies/American Principles Project
  81. Quinnipiac University
  82. YouGov/CBS
  83. Gravis Marketing/OANN
  84. Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
  85. YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project
  86. Public Policy Polling
  87. Fox News
  88. Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas
  89. Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  90. Quinnipiac
  91. Emerson College
  92. Public Policy Polling
  93. Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
  94. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  95. 1 2 3 4 AtlasIntel
  96. 1 2 NBC News/Marist College
  97. 1 2 3 4 5 6 CNN/SSRS
  98. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Univision
  99. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler
  100. 1 2 3 4 5 6 YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  101. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  102. Data For Progress
  103. 1 2 3 4 Texas Lyceum
  104. 1 2 3 4 CNN/SSRS
  105. 1 2 Beacon Research (R)
  106. 1 2 3 4 5 6 University of Texas at Tyler
  107. 1 2 University of Texas/ Texas Tribune
  108. 1 2 3 4 5 6 University of Texas at Tyler
  109. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Univision
  110. 1 2 Climate Nexus
  111. 1 2 University of Texas at Tyler
  112. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Emerson
  113. 1 2 University of Texas at Tyler
  114. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Quinnipiac University
  115. WPA Intelligence
  116. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Emerson College Archived July 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  117. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Quinnipiac University
  118. 1 2 Public Policy Polling (D)
  119. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  120. 1 2 3 Data for Progress
  121. 1 2 University of Texas/ Texas Tribune
  122. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  123. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  124. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  125. YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  126. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  127. University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Archived February 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  128. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  129. Atlantic Media & Research (R)
  130. Public Policy Polling
  131. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  132. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  133. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  134. Quinnipiac
  135. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  136. University of Texas/Texas Tribune
  137. 1 2 Harper, Karen Brooks (October 15, 2020). "Harris County tried to make voting easier during the pandemic. Texas Republicans fought every step of the way". Texas Tribune . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  138. Rosenthal, Abigail (September 11, 2020). "Harris County implementing 24-hour polling locations for one day of early voting". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  139. Platoff, Emma (October 1, 2020). "Gov. Greg Abbott limits counties to one absentee ballot drop-off location, bolstering GOP efforts to restrict voting". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  140. McGuinness, Dylan (October 15, 2020). "Harris County, Texas GOP take drive-thru voting challenge to state Supreme Court". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  141. "Harris County Clerk's Drive-Thru Voting Pilot Is Highly Successful" (PDF). Harris County Clerk. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 30, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  142. 1 2 Stern, Mark Joseph (October 31, 2020). "Texas Republicans Ask Federal Judge to Throw Out 117,000 Legally Cast Ballots". Slate . Retrieved October 31, 2002.
  143. Despart, Zach (October 22, 2020). "Texas Supreme Court allows Harris County drive-thru voting to continue". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  144. Medley, Alison (October 29, 2020). "Last-minute challenge threatens to reject thousands of drive-thru votes in Harris County". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  145. Scherer, Jasper (November 1, 2020). "Texas Supreme Court rejects GOP attempt to toss drive-thru votes; federal case remains pending". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved November 1, 2020.
  146. Montgomery, David; Corasaniti, Nick (November 1, 2020). "Texas' top court denies a G.O.P. push to throw out over 120,000 votes; a federal case is pending". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 1, 2020.
  147. Medley, Alison (November 2, 2020). "Federal judge rejects GOP-led challenge to toss out over 127,000 drive-thru ballots in Harris County". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  148. Hiller, Jennifer (November 2, 2020). "Texas Drive-Through Voting Upheld". Reuters. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  149. Ferman, Mitchell (November 3, 2020). "Harris County voters will only have one drive-thru polling site on Election Day". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  150. "Federal judge rejects GOP push to toss 127,000 ballots in Texas". POLITICO. November 2, 2020. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  151. Plasencia, Ariel (October 13, 2020). "Tarrant County launches new website that allows voters to check wait times at county polling locations". WFAA . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  152. Ashley Killough, Ed Lavandera and Paul LeBlanc (October 2020). "Texas governor limits election drop boxes to one per county in sprawling state". CNN.
  153. Ross Levitt and Chandelis Duster (October 10, 2020). "Federal judge blocks Texas governor's directive limiting ballot drop boxes to one per county". CNN.
  154. Goldenstein, Taylor (October 10, 2020). "Fifth Circuit stays lower court ruling allowing multiple ballot dropoff sites". HoustonChronicle.com.
  155. Abbot v. Anti-Defamation League Austin, Sw., & Texoma Regions, No. 20-0846, 2020 WL 6295076 (Tex. Oct. 27, 2020)(per curiam).
  156. Lindell, Chuck. "Appeals court upholds order against Abbott's limit on ballot drop sites". Austin American-Statesman.
  157. McCullough, Jolie (October 27, 2020). "Texas counties will only be allowed one drop-off location for mail-in ballots, state Supreme Court rules". The Texas Tribune.
  158. 1 2 3 Wallace, Jeremy (October 14, 2020). "Texas surpassed 1 million votes on first day of early voting". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  159. Harris, Cayla (October 15, 2020). "Texas nears 2 million ballots cast as early voting surge continues". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  160. 1 2 Lozano-Moreno, Luz (October 16, 2020). "Travis County early voting: 41,328 cast ballots Friday, clerk says". Austin American-Statesman . Retrieved October 17, 2020.
  161. Ahmed, Amal (November 2, 2020). "Millennials and Gen Zers are Breaking Voter Turnout Records in Texas". Texas Observer . Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  162. Joy, William (October 13, 2020). "Dallas County sees record turnout for first day of early voting, Tarrant County falls just short of 2016". WFAA . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  163. Debenedetto, Paul (October 13, 2020). "Harris County Shatters Single-Day Early Voting Record". Houston Public Media . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  164. Despart, Zach; Morris, Mike (October 14, 2020). "Harris County continues to set records with second day of 100,000-plus early voters". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  165. McGuinness, Dylan (October 15, 2020). "Harris County on pace for another 100,000 ballots cast today". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  166. "Another day, another 100,000 Harris County ballots cast Friday". Houston Chronicle . October 16, 2020. Retrieved October 16, 2020.
  167. Rosenthal, Abigail (October 23, 2020). "Harris County reaches 1 million ballots cast during early voting, breaking record". Houston Chronicle . Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  168. "Travis County early voting: 35,873 people cast ballots on first day". Austin American-Statesman . October 13, 2020. Archived from the original on October 15, 2020. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  169. Cobler, Nicole; Bradshaw, Kelsey (October 14, 2020). "Travis County breaks another record on 2nd day of early voting" . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  170. "Travis County early voting: More than 26,000 ballots cast by 3 p.m Thursday". Austin American Statesman . October 15, 2020. Retrieved October 15, 2020.[ permanent dead link ]
  171. Osborn, Claire (October 15, 2020). "Williamson County voter turnout reaches 17% in third day of early voting". Austin American Statesman . Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  172. Villarreal, Alexandra (October 26, 2020). "How Texas went from low voter turnout to nation's top early voting state". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved October 27, 2020.
  173. Cohen, Ethan; Stracqualursi, Veronica (October 30, 2020). "Texas' 2020 early voting surpasses total turnout in 2016 election". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  174. "Official Canvass Report - 2020 November 3rd General Election" (PDF). Texas Secretary of State. November 2020.
  175. "Texas 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
  176. "Texas Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 12, 2020.
  177. Hernández, Arelis R.; Martin, Brittney. "Why Texas's overwhelmingly Latino Rio Grande Valley turned toward Trump". The Washington Post . ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved November 12, 2020.
  178. Solis, Dianne; Corchado, Alfredo; Morris, Allie; Cobler, Paul (November 6, 2020). "With the Latino vote up for grabs, how did Trump make inroads in South Texas?". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  179. Jacobson, Louis (November 10, 2020). "Biden Gained Votes Nationwide on the Way to Victory". U.S. News & World Report . Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  180. Bain, Kaitlin (November 15, 2020). "Jefferson County: From 'blue' to one of few". Beaumont Enterprise. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
  181. Dobbins, James; Fernandez, Manny (November 7, 2020). "In Texas, an Emerging Problem for Democrats on the Border". The New York Times . Retrieved November 10, 2020.
  182. "2020 Presidential Election Texas Results by Metropolitan Area". Daves Redistricting. Archived from the original on April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  183. "2016 Presidential Election in Texas Results by Metro Area". Daves Redistricting. Archived from the original on April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  184. Samuels, Alex (October 19, 2021). "Why Democratic Gains In Texas's Big Metro Areas Could Outweigh Republican Success In South Texas". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
  185. "Election Results". www.collincountytx.gov. Archived from the original on May 24, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2021.
  186. "Denton County, TX Elections". www.votedenton.gov. Retrieved May 30, 2021.
  187. Lemon, Jason (June 5, 2021). "Paxton: Trump Would've Lost Texas If It Hadn't Blocked Mail-in Ballot Forms". Newsweek. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  188. "Texas 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  189. "Texas Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

Further reading