2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
Flag of Louisiana.svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 2026  
  Bill Cassidy official Senate photo.jpg Adrian Perkins ROTC visit (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Candidate Bill Cassidy Adrian Perkins Derrick Edwards
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote1,228,908394,049229,814
Percentage59.32%19.02%11.09%

2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
2020 LA Senate.svg
Cassidy:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Perkins:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Edwards:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Pierce:     30–40%
Tie:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Bill Cassidy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Cassidy
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5. [1]

Contents

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Democratic Party

Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination. [5]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

U.S. senators

  • Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present) [16]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee [20]
Antoine Pierce (D)

Individuals

  • Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate [21]

Organizations

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon [6]

Independents

Declared

  • Beryl Billiot, businessman [23]
  • John Paul Bourgeois [23]
  • Reno Jean Daret III [23]
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman and law student [23]
  • Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney [24]

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [26] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [28] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [29] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [30] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [31] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [32] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [33] Likely RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Dustin
Murphy (R)
Adrian
Perkins (D)
Antoine
Pierce (D)
OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D) [34] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%42%6%17%11%3% [lower-alpha 2] 21%

Head to head matchups

Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Adrian
Perkins (D)
Undecided
ALG Research (D) [35] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%52%33%16%
Hypothetical polling

Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Bill
Cassidy (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [36] [upper-alpha 2] September 2–5, 2020600 (LV)± 4%38%37%24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [36] [upper-alpha 2] March 16, 2020– (V) [lower-alpha 3] 48%25%27%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D) [37] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%43%33%2% [lower-alpha 4] 23% [lower-alpha 5]

Results

United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020 [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Cassidy (incumbent) 1,228,908 59.32%
Democratic Adrian Perkins 394,04919.02%
Democratic Derrick Edwards229,81411.09%
Democratic Antoine Pierce55,7102.69%
Republican Dustin Murphy38,3831.85%
Democratic Drew Knight36,9621.78%
Independent Beryl Billiot17,3620.84%
Independent John Paul Bourgeois16,5180.8%
Democratic Peter Wenstrup14,4540.7%
Libertarian Aaron Sigler11,3210.55%
Independent M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza7,8110.38%
Independent Melinda Mary Price7,6800.37%
Independent Jamar Montgomery5,8040.28%
Independent Reno Jean Daret III3,9540.19%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John2,8130.14%
Total votes2,071,543 100%
Republican hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
  3. Not yet released
  4. "Neither" with 2%
  5. "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
  2. 1 2 The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

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References

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  14. Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 via Twitter.
  15. Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
  16. 1 2 Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
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  35. ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  36. 1 2 Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
  37. ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  38. "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

Official campaign websites