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Turnout | 36.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Landry: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wilson: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Waguespack: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% >90% Schroder: 30–40% 60–70% >90% Lundy: 30–40% 40–50% Cole: 30–40% 60–70% >90% Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Louisiana |
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Government |
The 2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held on October 14, 2023 to elect the governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Governor John Bel Edwards was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office. [1] This race was one of two Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2023 in a state that voted for Donald Trump in 2020.
Under Louisiana's two-round system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate regardless of that person's party affiliation. If no candidate had received an absolute majority of the vote during the primary election on October 14, 2023, a runoff election would have been held on November 18, 2023, between the top two candidates in the primary. [2]
State Attorney General Jeff Landry won with over 51% of the vote in the primary. This was the first time a candidate won a Louisiana gubernatorial election without a runoff since fellow Republican Bobby Jindal was re-elected in 2011. Landry easily prevailed over several Republican opponents, including former state chamber of commerce CEO Stephen Waguespack and State Treasurer John Schroder. Former state Transportation Secretary Shawn Wilson was the leading Democratic candidate. [3] All the Republican candidates collectively won 65.52% of the vote, including a candidate who got 0.34% of the vote as he dropped out of the race but remained on the ballot. All the Democrats collectively won 28.53% of the vote, and all the Independents collectively won 5.95% of the vote. This was the only governorship to flip parties in the 2023 elections.
Louisiana, like much of the Deep South, is a socially conservative "Bible Belt" state. Democrats were the favored party at all levels of government as recently as the 1990s; however, the Republican Party has since rapidly gained ground, first at the federal level and gradually at the state and local level as well. Today, the state is strongly Republican-leaning and, at the time of the election, Republicans held both of the state's U.S. Senate seats, all but one of its U.S. House seats, majorities in both of its state legislative chambers, and every statewide executive office except the governorship.
John Bel Edwards, a moderate Democrat, was able to win two terms as governor and overcome the state's partisan lean by diverging from the national party on certain policy matters, such as abortion, while also appealing to Louisiana's contemporary Democratic voting base. [4] [5] However, as Edwards was term-limited going into the election, most analysts expected the governorship to flip back to the Republican Party in 2023, primarily due to the lack of Democratic candidates with Edwards' crossover appeal. [6]
The Louisiana Republican Party endorsed Attorney General Jeff Landry's campaign on November 7, 2022, a year before the election. The party had had a full-body meeting scheduled for October 29, but it was canceled, and instead the endorsement was voted on in an exclusive meeting held over Zoom. [43] Landry and Eddie Rispone, a member of the Republican State Central Committee who supported him, had pushed the party to make an early endorsement, arguing that the Republicans' best chance of flipping the governorship was to unite around one candidate well in advance of the election. This move was heavily criticized by other Republicans who had expressed interest in running for governor. Lieutenant Governor Billy Nungesser said the party's endorsement process "looks more like communist China than the Louisiana we know and love," State Treasurer John Schroder claimed it was driven by "money and inside party politics," and Louisiana Senate Majority Leader Sharon Hewitt proclaimed "the citizens of Louisiana do not need backroom deals and political insiders telling them who should be our next governor." Michael DiResto, a member of the Republican State Central Committee, believed "the idea that a small cabal would preempt the democratic process literally under the cover of darkness and in a smoke-filled Zoom goes against the foundational values of our party." [44] [45] In response, Louisiana Republican Party chair Louis Gurvich said "others who are crying over this endorsement are just upset because they didn't have the support within our party to win the endorsement for themselves." [46]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [64] | Lean R (flip) | July 21, 2023 |
Inside Elections [65] | Likely R (flip) | September 1, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] | Likely R (flip) | July 13, 2023 |
Elections Daily [67] | Safe R (flip) | July 12, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Hewitt (R) | Istre (I) | Landry (R) | Lundy (I) | Nelson (R) | Schroder (R) | Waguespack (R) | Wilson (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 0% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 24% | 2% [b] | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [B] | September 11–15, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 4.1% | – | 37.7% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 22.6% | – | 14.9% |
Faucheux Strategies [C] | August 14–19, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 3% | – | 36% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 26% | 2% | 14% |
Emerson College | August 13–14, 2023 | 982 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 5% | – | 40% | – | – | – | 5% | 22% | 10 [c] | 18% |
BDPC [D] | July 6–10, 2023 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 4% | – | 30% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 28% | – | 23% |
Kaplan Strategies | June 30 – July 2, 2023 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 5% | – | 30% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 22% | – | 24% |
Remington Research (R) [E] | June 22–25, 2023 | 896 (LV) | ? | 3% | – | 25% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 16% | 27% | – | 18% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [F] | June 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 27% | 2% | 18% |
The Kitchens Group (D) [G] | June 12–15, 2023 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | ≥6% | – | 31% | 4% | – | ≥6% | ≥6% | 21% | 7% [d] | 25% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [F] | April 30 – May 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 2% | 1% | 32% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 32% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [F] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | – | 36% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 18% | 1% [e] | 29% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [H] | Before April 18, 2023 | ? | ? | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 17% [f] | 23% |
JMC Analytics [I] | March 6–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | – | 28% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 29% | – | 22% |
BDPC [J] | December 7–13, 2022 | 630 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | – | 22% | 2% | – | 2% | – | 23% | 23% [g] | 24% |
Torchlight Strategies [K] | December 6–9, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 42% [h] | 20% |
Torchlight Strategies [K] | November 9–12, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <1% | – | 13% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 18% | 40% [i] | 26% |
JMC Analytics (R) | March 21–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | – | 11% | – | – | 1% | – | – | 46% [j] | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jeff Landry (R) | Sharon Hewitt (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 23% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jeff Landry (R) | Hunter Lundy (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 30% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jeff Landry (R) | John Schroder (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 23% | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jeff Landry (R) | Stephen Waguespack (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 27% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jeff Landry (R) | Shawn Wilson (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy [A] | September 12–15, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Faucheux Strategies [C] | August 14–19, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
BDPC [D] | July 6–10, 2023 | 600 (V) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | John Kennedy (R) | Jeff Landry (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Torchlight Strategies [K] | December 6–9, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 21% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | John Kennedy (R) | Shawn Wilson (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Torchlight Strategies [K] | December 6–9, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 58% | 27% | 14% |
Torchlight Strategies [K] | November 9–12, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 58% | 32% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JMC Analytics (R) | March 21–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Landry | 547,827 | 51.56% | ||
Democratic | Shawn Wilson | 275,525 | 25.93% | ||
Republican | Stephen Waguespack | 62,287 | 5.86% | ||
Republican | John Schroder | 56,654 | 5.33% | ||
Independent | Hunter Lundy | 52,165 | 4.91% | ||
Democratic | Danny Cole | 27,662 | 2.60% | ||
Republican | Sharon Hewitt | 18,468 | 1.74% | ||
Independent | Benjamin Barnes | 5,190 | 0.49% | ||
Republican | Dat Barthel | 4,426 | 0.42% | ||
Republican | Richard Nelson (withdrawn) | 3,605 | 0.34% | ||
Independent | Jeffery Istre | 3,400 | 0.32% | ||
Republican | Xavier Ellis | 1,734 | 0.16% | ||
Independent | Keitron Gagnon | 1,260 | 0.12% | ||
Republican | Xan John | 1,164 | 0.11% | ||
Independent | Frank Scurlock | 1,131 | 0.11% | ||
Total votes | 1,062,498 | 100.00% | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Landry won five of six congressional districts. [69]
District | Wilson | Landry | Waguespack | Schroder | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 16% | 49% | 8% | 16% | Steve Scalise |
2nd | 60% | 21% | 4% | 4% | Troy Carter |
3rd | 18% | 64% | 4% | 1% | Clay Higgins |
4th | 23% | 61% | 3% | 1% | Mike Johnson |
5th | 21% | 60% | 4% | 4% | Julia Letlow |
6th | 23% | 50% | 12% | 5% | Garret Graves |
In his victory speech, Governor-elect Landry stated that the "election says that our state is united", adding, "it's a wake up call and it's a message that everyone should hear loud and clear, that we the people in this state are going to expect more out of our government from here on out". [70]
Charles Elson "Buddy" Roemer III was an American politician, investor, and banker who served as the 52nd governor of Louisiana from 1988 to 1992, and as a member of the United States House of Representatives from 1981 to 1988. In March 1991, while serving as governor, Roemer switched affiliation from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party.
John Leigh "Jay" Dardenne, Jr. is an American lawyer and politician from Baton Rouge, Louisiana, who served as commissioner of administration for Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards. A Republican, Dardenne previously served as the 53rd lieutenant governor of his state from 2010 to 2016. Dardenne was Louisiana secretary of state. He was previously a member of the Louisiana State Senate for the Baton Rouge suburbs, a position he filled from 1992 until his election as secretary of state on September 30, 2006.
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Jeffrey Martin Landry is an American politician and attorney who has served since 2024 as the 57th governor of Louisiana. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 45th attorney general of Louisiana from 2016 to 2024 and as the U.S. representative for Louisiana's 3rd congressional district from 2011 to 2013.
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The 2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana.
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The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with those of other federal and state offices, including the United States Senate.
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The 2015 Louisiana lieutenant gubernatorial election took place on October 24, 2015, to elect the Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana, with a runoff election held on November 21, 2015. Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne did not run for re-election to a second full term in office. He instead ran for governor. Billy Nungesser won the election defeating Kip Holden, despite a Democratic victory in the gubernatorial election, in which John Bel Edwards defeated David Vitter by a similar margin.
The 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held to elect the governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Democratic governor John Bel Edwards won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican businessman Eddie Rispone. Edwards became the first Democratic governor of Louisiana to win re-election to a second consecutive term in 44 years since Edwin Edwards in 1975. It was the closest Louisiana gubernatorial election since 1979.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 7, 2023, in the states of Kentucky and Mississippi, with an election having occurred in Louisiana on October 14. These elections form part of the 2023 United States elections. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2019.
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A general election was held in the U.S. state of Louisiana on October 14, 2023, with second rounds held on November 18 where needed. Louisiana uses a two round system, where all candidates from all parties share the same ballot in the first round, and if no candidate wins an absolute majority, a runoff between the top two is held.
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Chambers said he has ruled out running if Shawn Wilson, the retiring state transportation secretary, enters the race
'I have no intention of ever running for public office again,' [Richmond] told me
Ward hinted earlier this year about a run for governor. He said those plans are off the table, at least for now.