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Turnout | 37.9% 3.9 pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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Beshear: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90% Cameron: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kentucky |
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Government |
The 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2023, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democratic governor Andy Beshear won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican state Attorney General Daniel Cameron. If Cameron had won, he would have become Kentucky's first African-American governor.
This race was one of two Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2023 in a state Donald Trump won in 2020. The other was held in Louisiana, which Jeff Landry flipped for the Republicans. This was the first gubernatorial election in the state's history in which both major party candidates had previously held the position of attorney general; Beshear held the position from 2016 to 2019, after which he was succeeded by Cameron. This is the first election since 1999 where the party that won the gubernatorial election lost the following presidential election.
Beshear's victory has been attributed to his broad popularity among Democrats and independents, as well as approximately half of Republicans in the state. [1] Compared to 2019, Beshear most improved his performance in suburban precincts; he increased his margins by nearly 6 percentage points in suburban areas, compared to 4.5 percentage points in urban and rural precincts. [2]
A socially conservative southern state, Kentucky is considered safely Republican in federal elections, with Republicans holding both of its U.S. Senate seats and all but one of its U.S. House seats. In the 2020 presidential election, Republican Donald Trump carried Kentucky by 26 percentage points. However, the state was much more competitive as recently as the 1990s, when it voted for Bill Clinton twice, and Democrats remain competitive in many local and some state-level elections.
Beshear was first elected in 2019, narrowly defeating incumbent Republican Matt Bevin, who had become widely unpopular for signing a pension reform bill for teachers and opposing a subsequent teachers' strike. In that same year, Cameron was elected attorney general, becoming the first African-American to be elected to that position.
Cameron gained national recognition as attorney general, especially due to his involvement in the Breonna Taylor case in 2020. He spoke at the 2020 Republican National Convention on August 25, 2020. [3] In September 2020, Cameron appeared on a shortlist of potential nominees to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court by President Trump. [4]
On May 16, 2023, Cameron won the Republican nomination with 47.7% of the vote, a 26% margin over the second-place candidate, and Beshear won the Democratic nomination with 91.3% of the vote over two perennial candidates. [5] [6]
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Beshear is the only candidate who has filed a financial disclosure.
Campaign finance reports as of January 3, 2023 [15] | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Cash on hand |
Andy Beshear | $647,000 | $7,400,000 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andy Beshear (incumbent) | 176,589 | 91.3 | |
Democratic | Geoff Young | 9,865 | 5.1 | |
Democratic | Peppy Martin | 6,913 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 193,367 | 100.0 |
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Financial disclosures for major candidates are below:
Campaign finance reports as of April 18, 2023 [45] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Daniel Cameron | $1,370,904 | $777,446 | $593,458 |
Kelly Craft | $8,563,233 [c] | $8,156,315 | $406,918 |
Eric Deters | $669,064 [d] | $659,746 | $9,319 |
Mike Harmon | $84,547 [e] | $70,693 | $13,854 |
Alan Keck | $311,717 [f] | $257,577 | $54,139 |
Ryan Quarles | $1,202,650 | $299,419 | $903,231 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||
Daniel Cameron | Kelly Craft | Eric Deters | Mike Harmon | Alan Keck | Ryan Quarles | |||||
1 | March 7, 2023 | Jefferson County Republican Party Spectrum News 1 Kentucky | Mario Anderson | Spectrum News 1 | P | A | N | P | P | P |
2 | April 26, 2023 | Kenton County Republican Party WCPO LINK nky | Evan Millward Shane Noem Mark Payne | YouTube | A | A | P | P | P | P |
3 | May 1, 2023 | Kentucky Educational Television | Renee Shaw | YouTube | P | P | P | N | P | P |
4 | May 8, 2023 | WKYT Transylvania University | Bill Bryant | WSAZ | A | A | P | P | N | P |
5 | May 9, 2023 | WDKY | Marvin Bartlett Gilbert Corsey Ashley Kirklen | WDKY | P | A | P | N | N | P |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [g] | Margin of error | Daniel Cameron | David Cooper | Kelly Craft | Eric Deters | Bob DeVore | Mike Harmon | Alan Keck | Savannah Maddox | Ryan Quarles | Robbie Smith | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [46] | May 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 33% | 2% | 18% | 10% | <1% | 4% | 3% | – | 13% | <1% | <1% [h] | 13% |
Emerson College [47] | April 10–11, 2023 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 30% | <1% | 24% | 6% | <1% | 2% | <1% | – | 15% | <1% | <1% [i] | 21% |
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 18–23, 2023 | 404 (LV) | ± 5% | 39% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | – | 8% | 1% | – | 28% |
Meeting Street [49] [A] | January 9–11, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | – | 8% | 2% | – | 2% | 1% | – | 8% | – | 2% | 38% |
Maddox withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
co/efficient (R) [50] [A] | June 13–14, 2022 | 974 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | – | 3% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 9% | – | 3% | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Cameron | 144,576 | 47.7 | |
Republican | Ryan Quarles | 65,718 | 21.7 | |
Republican | Kelly Craft | 52,170 | 17.2 | |
Republican | Eric Deters | 17,464 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Mike Harmon | 7,797 | 2.6 | |
Republican | Alan Keck | 7,317 | 2.4 | |
Republican | David Cooper | 2,282 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Jacob Clark | 1,900 | 0.6 | |
Republican | Robbie Smith | 1,388 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Bob DeVore | 931 | 0.3 | |
Republican | Johnny Rice | 726 | 0.2 | |
Republican | Dennis Ormerod | 696 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 302,965 | 100.0 |
A viral ad featuring Hadley Duvall, who had been raped and impregnated by her stepfather at age 12, was widely credited by Republican leadership for contributing to Beshear's victory, as Kentucky was one of 12 states that had anti-abortion laws that allowed no exceptions for rape or incest, which was initially supported by Cameron. [51]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [52] | Lean D | July 21, 2023 |
Inside Elections [53] | Tilt D | September 1, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [54] | Lean D | October 16, 2023 |
Elections Daily [55] | Lean D | November 7, 2023 |
No. | Date | Host | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invitee | |||||
Andy Beshear | Daniel Cameron | ||||
1 | October 16, 2023 | Northern Kentucky University | YouTube | P | P |
2 | October 21, 2023 | League of Women Voters | YouTube | P | P |
3 | October 23, 2023 | Kentucky Educational Television | YouTube | P | P |
4 | October 24, 2023 | WKYT | WKYT | P | P |
Campaign finance reports as of November 7, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Beshear (D) | $18,968,345 | $18,963,018 | $5,327 |
Daniel Cameron (R) | $4,349,178 | $4,316,097 | $33,081 |
Source: Kentucky Registry of Election Finance [57] |
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Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [g] | Margin of error | Andy Beshear (D) | Daniel Cameron (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Concord Public Opinion Partners [94] [B] | November 1–2, 2023 | 470 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 40% | – | 12% |
Data for Progress (D) [95] | November 1–2, 2023 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
Emerson College [96] | October 30 – November 2, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 2% [j] | 4% |
co/efficient (R) [97] [C] | October 18–19, 2023 | 1,845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | − | 8% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [98] [D] | October 14–16, 2023 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 44% | − | 4% |
Emerson College [99] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 33% | 5% [k] | 13% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [100] [E] | September 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [100] [E] | September 5–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 40% | – | 12% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [101] [D] | August 30 – September 1, 2023 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [102] [D] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [103] [F] | July 19–20, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [101] [D] | Late July 2023 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [104] [G] | June 22–29, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Cygnal (R) [105] | May 22–23, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
co/efficient (R) [106] [A] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 18–23, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
Andy Beshear vs. Kelly Craft
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [g] | Margin of error | Andy Beshear (D) | Kelly Craft (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 18–23, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 32% | 11% |
Andy Beshear vs. Mike Harmon
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [g] | Margin of error | Andy Beshear (D) | Mike Harmon (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 18–23, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Andy Beshear vs. Ryan Quarles
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [g] | Margin of error | Andy Beshear (D) | Ryan Quarles (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [48] | January 18–23, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Beshear won re-election by a 5% margin. [107] Key to his victory was his performance in the state's two most populous counties, Jefferson and Fayette (home to the cities of Louisville and Lexington, respectively), each of which he carried with more than 70% of the vote. Beshear also over-performed in several Republican-leaning suburban counties in Northern Kentucky and the Bluegrass region, and in several historically Democratic rural counties in the Eastern Coalfield which have swung sharply towards the Republican Party in the 21st century. [108] Beshear's gains in the Eastern Coalfield were attributed to his response to flooding in the region in 2022. [109] [110]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
| 694,482 | 52.53% | +3.34% | |
Republican | 627,457 | 47.46% | −1.37% | ||
Write-in | 83 | 0.01% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 1,322,022 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold |
County | Andy Beshear | Daniel Cameron | Write-in | Margin | Total votes | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Adair | 31.94% | 1,688 | 68.06% | 3,597 | 0.00% | 0 | -36.12% | -1,909 | 5,285 |
Allen | 29.60% | 1,513 | 70.40% | 3,599 | 0.00% | 0 | -40.81% | -2,086 | 5,112 |
Anderson | 45.34% | 4,212 | 54.66% | 5,078 | 0.00% | 0 | -9.32% | -866 | 9,290 |
Ballard | 36.28% | 963 | 63.72% | 1,691 | 0.00% | 0 | -27.43% | -728 | 2,654 |
Barren | 41.78% | 4,965 | 58.21% | 6,918 | 0.01% | 1 | -16.43% | -1,953 | 11,884 |
Bath | 55.81% | 1,913 | 44.19% | 1,515 | 0.00% | 0 | 11.61% | 398 | 3,428 |
Bell | 40.24% | 2,281 | 59.74% | 3,386 | 0.02% | 1 | -19.50% | -1,105 | 5,668 |
Boone | 43.96% | 17,575 | 56.03% | 22,399 | 0.01% | 4 | -12.07% | -4,824 | 39,978 |
Bourbon | 53.96% | 3,265 | 46.04% | 2,786 | 0.00% | 0 | 7.92% | 479 | 6,051 |
Boyd | 51.52% | 6,068 | 48.48% | 5,710 | 0.00% | 0 | 3.04% | 358 | 11,778 |
Boyle | 52.89% | 5,040 | 47.11% | 4,489 | 0.00% | 0 | 5.78% | 551 | 9,529 |
Bracken | 39.86% | 939 | 60.14% | 1,417 | 0.00% | 0 | -20.29% | -478 | 2,356 |
Breathitt | 61.17% | 1,763 | 38.83% | 1,119 | 0.00% | 0 | 22.35% | 644 | 2,882 |
Breckinridge | 41.96% | 2,608 | 58.04% | 3,607 | 0.00% | 0 | -16.07% | -999 | 6,215 |
Bullitt | 42.96% | 10,723 | 57.04% | 14,235 | 0.00% | 0 | -14.07% | -3,512 | 24,958 |
Butler | 32.15% | 1,173 | 67.85% | 2,475 | 0.00% | 0 | -35.69% | -1,302 | 3,648 |
Caldwell | 39.99% | 1,519 | 60.01% | 2,279 | 0.00% | 0 | -20.01% | -760 | 3,798 |
Calloway | 46.26% | 5,211 | 53.74% | 6,054 | 0.00% | 0 | -7.48% | -843 | 11,265 |
Campbell | 54.19% | 16,885 | 45.80% | 14,271 | 0.01% | 4 | 8.39% | 2,614 | 31,160 |
Carlisle | 30.33% | 545 | 69.67% | 1,252 | 0.00% | 0 | -39.34% | -707 | 1,797 |
Carroll | 47.95% | 1,112 | 52.05% | 1,207 | 0.00% | 0 | -4.10% | -95 | 2,319 |
Carter | 47.27% | 2,978 | 52.71% | 3,321 | 0.02% | 1 | -5.44% | -343 | 6,300 |
Casey | 26.08% | 1,129 | 73.92% | 3,200 | 0.00% | 0 | -47.84% | -2,071 | 4,329 |
Christian | 42.68% | 5,135 | 57.30% | 6,893 | 0.02% | 2 | -14.61% | -1,758 | 12,030 |
Clark | 51.63% | 5,938 | 48.35% | 5,561 | 0.03% | 3 | 3.28% | 377 | 11,502 |
Clay | 35.63% | 1,441 | 64.37% | 2,603 | 0.00% | 0 | -28.73% | -1,162 | 4,044 |
Clinton | 24.33% | 607 | 75.67% | 1,888 | 0.00% | 0 | -51.34% | -1,281 | 2,495 |
Crittenden | 34.07% | 858 | 65.93% | 1,660 | 0.00% | 0 | -31.85% | -802 | 2,518 |
Cumberland | 26.43% | 503 | 73.57% | 1,400 | 0.00% | 0 | -47.14% | -897 | 1,903 |
Daviess | 51.11% | 15,572 | 48.89% | 14,895 | 0.01% | 2 | 2.22% | 677 | 30,469 |
Edmonson | 37.38% | 1,358 | 62.54% | 2,272 | 0.08% | 3 | -25.16% | -914 | 3,633 |
Elliott | 53.48% | 875 | 46.52% | 761 | 0.00% | 0 | 6.97% | 114 | 1,636 |
Estill | 42.17% | 1,509 | 57.83% | 2,069 | 0.00% | 0 | -15.65% | -560 | 3,578 |
Fayette | 71.75% | 74,298 | 28.24% | 29,239 | 0.01% | 8 | 43.52% | 45,059 | 103,545 |
Fleming | 42.13% | 1,865 | 57.87% | 2,562 | 0.00% | 0 | -15.74% | -697 | 4,427 |
Floyd | 57.14% | 5,136 | 42.85% | 3,852 | 0.01% | 1 | 14.28% | 1,284 | 8,989 |
Franklin | 68.52% | 13,500 | 31.48% | 6,201 | 0.00% | 0 | 37.05% | 7,299 | 19,701 |
Fulton | 44.89% | 615 | 55.11% | 755 | 0.00% | 0 | -10.22% | -140 | 1,370 |
Gallatin | 40.71% | 865 | 59.29% | 1,260 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.59% | -395 | 2,125 |
Garrard | 37.69% | 2,141 | 62.31% | 3,539 | 0.00% | 0 | -24.61% | -1,398 | 5,680 |
Grant | 35.16% | 2,220 | 64.82% | 4,093 | 0.02% | 1 | -29.66% | -1,873 | 6,314 |
Graves | 36.49% | 3,885 | 63.51% | 6,763 | 0.00% | 0 | -27.03% | -2,878 | 10,648 |
Grayson | 36.07% | 2,514 | 63.91% | 4,454 | 0.01% | 1 | -27.84% | -1,940 | 6,969 |
Green | 29.63% | 1,082 | 70.35% | 2,569 | 0.03% | 1 | -40.72% | -1,487 | 3,652 |
Greenup | 45.74% | 4,498 | 54.26% | 5,336 | 0.00% | 0 | -8.52% | -838 | 9,834 |
Hancock | 49.41% | 1,464 | 50.59% | 1,499 | 0.00% | 0 | -1.18% | -35 | 2,963 |
Hardin | 49.70% | 14,336 | 50.30% | 14,511 | 0.00% | 0 | -0.61% | -175 | 28,847 |
Harlan | 33.96% | 1,904 | 66.04% | 3,702 | 0.00% | 0 | -32.07% | -1,798 | 5,606 |
Harrison | 49.09% | 2,775 | 50.91% | 2,878 | 0.00% | 0 | -1.82% | -103 | 5,653 |
Hart | 38.62% | 1,920 | 61.38% | 3,051 | 0.00% | 0 | -22.75% | -1,131 | 4,971 |
Henderson | 55.77% | 7,048 | 44.22% | 5,589 | 0.01% | 1 | 11.54% | 1,459 | 12,638 |
Henry | 44.97% | 2,325 | 55.01% | 2,844 | 0.02% | 1 | -10.04% | -519 | 5,170 |
Hickman | 33.03% | 470 | 66.97% | 953 | 0.00% | 0 | -33.94% | -483 | 1,423 |
Hopkins | 45.50% | 5,762 | 54.50% | 6,901 | 0.00% | 0 | -8.99% | -1,139 | 12,663 |
Jackson | 22.91% | 743 | 77.06% | 2,499 | 0.03% | 1 | -54.15% | -1,756 | 3,243 |
Jefferson | 70.04% | 179,854 | 29.95% | 76,908 | 0.00% | 11 | 40.09% | 102,946 | 256,773 |
Jessamine | 46.79% | 8,007 | 53.20% | 9,104 | 0.01% | 1 | -6.41% | -1,097 | 17,112 |
Johnson | 37.08% | 1,898 | 62.92% | 3,220 | 0.00% | 0 | -25.83% | -1,322 | 5,118 |
Kenton | 52.80% | 26,066 | 47.20% | 23,301 | 0.01% | 4 | 5.60% | 2,765 | 49,371 |
Knott | 54.45% | 1,847 | 45.55% | 1,545 | 0.00% | 0 | 8.90% | 302 | 3,392 |
Knox | 34.54% | 2,286 | 65.46% | 4,333 | 0.00% | 0 | -30.93% | -2,047 | 6,619 |
Larue | 38.57% | 1,756 | 61.41% | 2,796 | 0.02% | 1 | -22.84% | -1,040 | 4,553 |
Laurel | 31.41% | 4,974 | 68.59% | 10,862 | 0.01% | 1 | -37.18% | -5,888 | 15,837 |
Lawrence | 37.31% | 1,361 | 62.69% | 2,287 | 0.00% | 0 | -25.38% | -926 | 3,648 |
Lee | 46.32% | 705 | 53.68% | 817 | 0.00% | 0 | -7.36% | -112 | 1,522 |
Leslie | 30.36% | 667 | 69.64% | 1,530 | 0.00% | 0 | -39.28% | -863 | 2,197 |
Letcher | 52.33% | 2,205 | 47.67% | 2,009 | 0.00% | 0 | 4.65% | 196 | 4,214 |
Lewis | 31.64% | 911 | 68.36% | 1,968 | 0.00% | 0 | -36.71% | -1,057 | 2,879 |
Lincoln | 37.82% | 2,586 | 62.18% | 4,252 | 0.00% | 0 | -24.36% | -1,666 | 6,838 |
Livingston | 36.62% | 1,061 | 63.38% | 1,836 | 0.00% | 0 | -26.75% | -775 | 2,897 |
Logan | 37.35% | 2,449 | 62.60% | 4,105 | 0.05% | 3 | -25.26% | -1,656 | 6,557 |
Lyon | 42.99% | 1,221 | 57.01% | 1,619 | 0.00% | 0 | -14.01% | -398 | 2,840 |
Madison | 51.72% | 14,012 | 48.28% | 13,080 | 0.00% | 1 | 3.44% | 932 | 27,093 |
Magoffin | 50.38% | 1,577 | 49.62% | 1,553 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.77% | 24 | 3,130 |
Marion | 52.14% | 2,891 | 47.84% | 2,653 | 0.02% | 1 | 4.29% | 238 | 5,545 |
Marshall | 39.94% | 4,610 | 60.05% | 6,932 | 0.01% | 1 | -20.12% | -2,322 | 11,543 |
Martin | 29.81% | 513 | 70.19% | 1,208 | 0.00% | 0 | -40.38% | -695 | 1,721 |
Mason | 46.68% | 2,247 | 53.30% | 2,566 | 0.02% | 1 | -6.63% | -319 | 4,814 |
McCracken | 47.06% | 9,867 | 52.94% | 11,099 | 0.00% | 0 | -5.88% | -1,232 | 20,966 |
McCreary | 28.21% | 853 | 71.76% | 2,170 | 0.03% | 1 | -43.55% | -1,317 | 3,024 |
McLean | 41.59% | 1,238 | 58.41% | 1,739 | 0.00% | 0 | -16.83% | -501 | 2,977 |
Meade | 43.13% | 3,599 | 56.83% | 4,742 | 0.04% | 3 | -13.70% | -1,143 | 8,344 |
Menifee | 45.88% | 862 | 54.07% | 1,016 | 0.05% | 1 | -8.20% | -154 | 1,879 |
Mercer | 44.26% | 3,399 | 55.72% | 4,279 | 0.01% | 1 | -11.46% | -880 | 7,679 |
Metcalfe | 40.99% | 1,242 | 59.01% | 1,788 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.02% | -546 | 3,030 |
Monroe | 25.27% | 1,023 | 74.73% | 3,025 | 0.00% | 0 | -49.46% | -2,002 | 4,048 |
Montgomery | 49.31% | 3,962 | 50.69% | 4,073 | 0.00% | 0 | -1.38% | -111 | 8,035 |
Morgan | 47.18% | 1,630 | 52.79% | 1,824 | 0.03% | 1 | -5.62% | -194 | 3,455 |
Muhlenberg | 46.45% | 3,833 | 53.55% | 4,419 | 0.00% | 0 | -7.10% | -586 | 8,252 |
Nelson | 50.63% | 7,562 | 49.37% | 7,375 | 0.00% | 0 | 1.25% | 187 | 14,937 |
Nicholas | 56.01% | 1,142 | 43.99% | 897 | 0.00% | 0 | 12.02% | 245 | 2,039 |
Ohio | 39.24% | 2,479 | 60.76% | 3,839 | 0.00% | 0 | -21.53% | -1,360 | 6,318 |
Oldham | 49.57% | 12,952 | 50.43% | 13,177 | 0.00% | 1 | -0.86% | -225 | 26,130 |
Owen | 40.55% | 1,494 | 59.45% | 2,190 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.89% | -696 | 3,684 |
Owsley | 40.84% | 381 | 59.16% | 552 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.33% | -171 | 933 |
Pendleton | 38.20% | 1,511 | 61.80% | 2,444 | 0.00% | 0 | -23.59% | -933 | 3,955 |
Perry | 55.79% | 3,121 | 44.21% | 2,473 | 0.00% | 0 | 11.58% | 648 | 5,594 |
Pike | 45.46% | 5,797 | 54.54% | 6,954 | 0.00% | 0 | -9.07% | -1,157 | 12,751 |
Powell | 50.02% | 1,518 | 49.98% | 1,517 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.03% | 1 | 3,035 |
Pulaski | 32.15% | 6,139 | 67.85% | 12,957 | 0.01% | 1 | -35.70% | -6,818 | 19,097 |
Robertson | 44.17% | 307 | 55.83% | 388 | 0.00% | 0 | -11.65% | -81 | 695 |
Rockcastle | 29.11% | 1,244 | 70.89% | 3,029 | 0.00% | 0 | -41.77% | -1,785 | 4,273 |
Rowan | 60.75% | 3,907 | 39.25% | 2,524 | 0.00% | 0 | 21.51% | 1,383 | 6,431 |
Russell | 30.03% | 1,604 | 69.97% | 3,737 | 0.00% | 0 | -39.94% | -2,133 | 5,341 |
Scott | 54.58% | 10,575 | 45.42% | 8,801 | 0.01% | 1 | 9.16% | 1,774 | 19,377 |
Shelby | 47.58% | 7,946 | 52.40% | 8,751 | 0.02% | 4 | -4.82% | -805 | 16,701 |
Simpson | 41.21% | 1,905 | 58.79% | 2,718 | 0.00% | 0 | -17.59% | -813 | 4,623 |
Spencer | 37.04% | 2,752 | 62.96% | 4,677 | 0.00% | 0 | -25.91% | -1,925 | 7,429 |
Taylor | 40.80% | 3,198 | 59.20% | 4,641 | 0.00% | 0 | -18.41% | -1,443 | 7,839 |
Todd | 34.07% | 907 | 65.85% | 1,753 | 0.08% | 2 | -31.78% | -846 | 2,662 |
Trigg | 37.16% | 1,532 | 62.84% | 2,591 | 0.00% | 0 | -25.69% | -1,059 | 4,123 |
Trimble | 44.09% | 1,108 | 55.91% | 1,405 | 0.00% | 0 | -11.82% | -297 | 2,513 |
Union | 44.97% | 1,722 | 55.03% | 2,107 | 0.00% | 0 | -10.05% | -385 | 3,829 |
Warren | 52.12% | 18,165 | 47.87% | 16,685 | 0.01% | 5 | 4.25% | 1,480 | 34,855 |
Washington | 43.02% | 1,772 | 56.96% | 2,346 | 0.02% | 1 | -13.94% | -574 | 4,119 |
Wayne | 37.81% | 1,754 | 62.19% | 2,885 | 0.00% | 0 | -24.38% | -1,131 | 4,639 |
Webster | 41.32% | 1,425 | 58.68% | 2,024 | 0.00% | 0 | -17.37% | -599 | 3,449 |
Whitley | 32.74% | 2,697 | 67.26% | 5,540 | 0.00% | 0 | -34.51% | -2,843 | 8,237 |
Wolfe | 57.26% | 1,010 | 42.74% | 754 | 0.00% | 0 | 14.51% | 256 | 1,764 |
Woodford | 59.25% | 6,414 | 40.75% | 4,411 | 0.00% | 0 | 18.50% | 2,003 | 10,825 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Despite winning the election, Beshear won only two of the state's six congressional districts, including one represented by a Republican. [112]
District | Beshear | Cameron | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44% | 56% | James Comer |
2nd | 46% | 54% | Brett Guthrie |
3rd | 72% | 28% | Morgan McGarvey |
4th | 48% | 52% | Thomas Massie |
5th | 42% | 58% | Hal Rogers |
6th | 60% | 40% | Andy Barr |
Partisan clients
The 2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2007. In this election, incumbent Republican governor Ernie Fletcher ran for reelection to a second term, but was soundly defeated by Democratic challenger Steve Beshear. A primary election to determine the Republican and Democratic nominees for governor was held on May 22, 2007, in which Fletcher and Beshear won their respective primaries. Steve Beshear's son Andy was elected Kentucky's State Attorney General in 2015 and Kentucky's Governor in 2019 and 2023.
The 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011, to elect the governor of Kentucky and the lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear won re-election, defeating Republican challenger David L. Williams, then the president of the state senate, and Gatewood Galbraith, an independent candidate. Statewide turnout in this election was 28%.
Ryan Francis Quarles is an academic administrator and American politician who was the Agriculture Commissioner of Kentucky from 2016 to 2024 and a member of the Kentucky House of Representatives from 2011 to 2016. He has served as president of the Kentucky Community and Technical College System since 2024.
The 2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Beshear was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. Primary elections were held on May 19, 2015.
Mike Harmon is an American politician who served as the Kentucky auditor of public accounts from 2016 to 2024. He was previously a Republican member of the Kentucky House of Representatives for the 54th district. He was a 2011 candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky, but lost in the primary.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kentucky on November 3, 2015. All of Kentucky's executive officers were up for election. Primary elections were held on May 19, 2015.
Andrew Graham Beshear is an American attorney and politician serving since 2019 as the 63rd governor of Kentucky. A member of the Democratic Party, he served as the 50th attorney general of Kentucky from 2016 to 2019. He is the son of former Kentucky governor Steve Beshear.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron.
The 2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Kentucky. The Democratic nominee, Andy Beshear, defeated Republican Incumbent governor Matt Bevin. It was the closest gubernatorial election by votes since 1899. It was the closest race of the 2019 gubernatorial election cycle.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kentucky on November 5, 2019, with all executive offices in the state up for election. Primary elections were held on May 21, 2019.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Kentucky. Incumbent Republican Rand Paul won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Charles Booker with 61.8% of the vote.
The 2019 Kentucky Attorney General election was conducted on November 5. Primary elections occurred on May 21, 2019. The general election was held on November 5, 2019. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Andy Beshear declined to seek reelection to a second term to instead successfully run for Governor. Republican nominee Daniel Cameron won with 57.8% of the vote. He became the first Republican elected attorney general of Kentucky since Eldon S. Dummit in 1943, and the state's first black attorney general.
Daniel Jay Cameron is an American attorney and politician who served as the 51st attorney general of Kentucky from 2020 to 2024. A member of the Republican Party, Cameron was the first African American and the first Republican since 1943 to be elected to the office. He was also the Republican nominee in the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election, losing to Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2023 Kentucky Attorney General election took place on November 7, 2023, to elect the Attorney General of Kentucky. Republican incumbent Daniel Cameron retired to run unsuccessfully for governor against Andy Beshear. Republican nominee Russell Coleman defeated Democratic nominee Pamela Stevenson.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kentucky on November 7, 2023.
Geoffrey M. Young is an American perennial candidate who has run for numerous offices in Kentucky. He ran for the U.S. House of Representatives in Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020 and 2022, as well as for Governor of Kentucky in 2015, 2019 and 2023. Young has sought office as a member of the Green, Democratic, and Republican parties, and has been a member of the Democratic Party since 2022.
The 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election will be held on November 2, 2027. Incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear will be ineligible to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Kentucky prohibits the state's governors from serving three consecutive terms.
The 2024 Kentucky House of Representatives election was held on November 5, 2024. The Republican and Democratic primary elections were held on May 21. Following the 2022 election, Republicans and Democrats held 80 and 20 seats, respectively. The deadline for candidates to file was January 5, 2024. Republicans maintained their majority in the chamber without gaining or losing any seats.
The 2024 Kentucky Senate election was held on November 5, 2024. The Republican and Democratic primary elections were held on May 21. Half of the senate was up for election. Following the 2022 election, Republicans and Democrats held 31 and seven seats, respectively. The deadline for candidates to file was January 5, 2024. Republicans maintained their majority in the chamber without gaining or losing any seats.
All five of Kentucky's Republican members of the House of Representatives have stumped with Cameron.
Official campaign websites