2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana
Flag of Louisiana.svg
  2022 November 5, 20242026 

All 6 Louisiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats51

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Background

During the 2020 redistricting cycle, Louisiana's congressional map faced legal challenges for alleged violations of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. Roughly one-third of Louisiana's population is African American, but only one of Louisiana's six districts was drawn with a Black majority. Legislators overrode Governor John Bel Edwards' veto to enact the districts. The NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund sued the state on behalf of Black Louisianan voters. In Robinson v. Ardoin, a U.S. District Judge found that the maps were illegally racially gerrymandered, first ordering the legislature to reconvene to redraw compliant maps, then suggesting that she would enforce court-ordered maps following legislators' "disingenuous" and "insincere" attempts to do so on their own. [1] [2]

The State appealed the case to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals to attempt to keep the discriminatory map in place. The Fifth Circuit first placed a stay on the court-ordered redrawing process pending review, then reversed its decision. [3] [4] The State then appealed to the Supreme Court of the United States, which granted the state's application, stayed the district court's injunction, and allowed the 2022 elections to take place with the discriminatory district map in effect. The Court indicated that it would first review a similar case concerning racial gerrymandering in Alabama, Allen v. Milligan , before dealing with Robinson v. Ardoin.

The Court was widely expected to side with both Alabama and Louisiana, weakening the anti-discrimination protections of the Voting Rights Act. However, the Court upheld a lower court decision in Allen v. Milligan that Alabama's maps were in fact racially gerrymandered, suggesting that it may also decide against Louisiana. On June 26, 2023, the Court decided not to intervene in Robinson v. Ardoin, rescinding its stay and allowing the case to continue in the Fifth Circuit. On November 10, 2023, a decision made by the 5th circuit panel gave the Louisiana state legislature until January 15, 2024 to redraw its congressional maps, with a second majority Black district, in advance of the 2024 election cycle. [5] [6] [7] Because newly-elected Governor Jeff Landry will not be sworn in until January 8, and a special session of the assembly cannot be convened until at least seven days after the governor calls for one, the Court extended the deadline for the legislature to approve new maps to January 30. [8]

District 1

The 1st district is based in the suburbs of New Orleans, spanning from the northern shore of Lake Pontchartrain south to the Mississippi River delta. The incumbent is Republican Steve Scalise, who was re-elected with 72.8% of the vote in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Mel Manuel (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Steve Scalise (R)$8,977,401$8,270,636$5,358,964
Mel Manuel (D)$9,381$4,555$4,804
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Solid RJanuary 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RJanuary 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024

District 2

The 2nd district stretches from New Orleans to inner Baton Rouge. The incumbent is Democrat Troy Carter, who was re-elected with 77.1% of the vote in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Potential

  • Troy Carter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Troy Carter (D)$697,163$613,857$449,492
Source: Federal Election Commission [22]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid DJanuary 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Solid DJanuary 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe DJanuary 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe DJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid DJanuary 23, 2024

District 3

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Louisiana, taking in Lake Charles and Lafayette. The incumbent is Republican Clay Higgins, who was re-elected with 64.3% of the vote in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Clay Higgins (R)
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Clay Higgins (R)$339,352$221,804$145,064
Source: Federal Election Commission [24]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Solid RJanuary 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RJanuary 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024

District 4

The 4th district encompasses northwestern Louisiana, taking in the Shreveport–Bossier City metropolitan area. The incumbent is Republican and current Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, who ran unopposed in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mike Johnson (R)$4,741,120$3,299,264$2,326,434
Source: Federal Election Commission [26]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Solid RJanuary 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RJanuary 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024

District 5

The 5th district encompasses rural northeastern Louisiana, central Louisiana, as well as the northern part of Louisiana's Florida parishes in southeast Louisiana, taking in Monroe, Alexandria, Opelousas, Amite and Bogalusa, Louisiana. The incumbent is Republican Julia Letlow, who was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Julia Letlow (R)
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Julia Letlow (R)$1,093,327$467,325$1,412,701
Source: Federal Election Commission [31]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Solid RJanuary 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe RJanuary 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid RJanuary 23, 2024

District 6

The 6th district has been reformed after the decision of Allen v. Milligan into the second majority Black district, giving it a stronger lean to the Democratic Party. It encompasses much of Baton Rouge, Shreveport, and Lafayette. [32] The incumbent is Republican Garret Graves, who was re-elected with 80.4% of the vote in 2022. [9]

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Garret Graves (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Garret Graves (R)$2,087,465$779,337$3,828,606
Source: Federal Election Commission [37]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid D (flip)January 23, 2024
Inside Elections [18] Likely D (flip)January 22, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Safe D (flip)January 22, 2024
Elections Daily [20] Safe D (flip)January 23, 2024
CNalysis [21] Solid D (flip)January 23, 2024

Notes

  1. Also 1988–1993 and 1997–2008

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References

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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates