This article may be too long to read and navigate comfortably.(November 2024) |
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All 52 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic gain Democratic hold Republican hold
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Six incumbent representatives, Barbara Lee of the 12th district, Adam Schiff of the 30th district, Katie Porter of the 47th district, Anna Eshoo of the 16th district, Tony Cárdenas of the 29th district, and Grace Napolitano of the 31st district, announced they would not seek re-election in 2024; Lee, Schiff, and Porter instead ran for U.S. Senate. [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, announced that it would target four California Republicans in 2024: Mike Garcia of the 27th district, Young Kim of the 40th district, Ken Calvert of the 41st district, and Michelle Steel of the 45th district. Garcia, Kim, and Steel all represent districts that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, while Calvert's district narrowly voted for Donald Trump. [7] There were two other California Republicans who represent Biden-won districts, John Duarte of the 13th district and David Valadao of the 22nd district. The 13th, 22nd and 40th districts flipped to Trump in the 2024 presidential election, with Duarte losing to Adam Gray in a split ticket vote. [8] [ user-generated source ] Several California Republicans received assistance from Protect the House 2024, a joint fundraising committee launched by former U.S. Speaker of the House and California Republican Kevin McCarthy to support vulnerable House Republicans. Among the representatives included in the committee were Duarte, Valadao, Garcia, Calvert, and Steel, as well as Kevin Kiley of the 3rd district. [9]
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024 primary election — March 5, 2024 | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
Democratic | 4,341,055 | 59.60 | 125 | 54 | 51 | |
Republican | 2,836,256 | 38.94 | 88 | 49 | 48 | |
No party preference | 71,144 | 0.98 | 21 | 1 | 1 | |
Green | 15,741 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Peace and Freedom | 14,042 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
Libertarian | 4,995 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 7,283,233 | 100.00 | 241 | 104 | — |
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The incumbent was Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Doug LaMalfa (R) | $549,612 | $305,500 | $610,802 |
Rose Penelope Yee (D) | $19,281 | $18,465 | $815 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [26] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe R | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 122,858 | 66.7 | |
Democratic | Rose Penelope Yee | 41,669 | 22.6 | |
Democratic | Mike Doran | 19,734 | 10.7 | |
Total votes | 184,261 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 208,592 | 65.3 | |
Democratic | Rose Penelope Yee | 110,636 | 34.7 | |
Total votes | 319,228 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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County results Huffman: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Coulombe: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 74.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jared Huffman (D) | $485,944 | $377,881 | $1,036,873 |
Chris Coulombe (R) | $64,851 [a] | $52,815 | $12,422 |
Tief Gibbs (R) | $25,938 | $22,080 | $3,858 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [60] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 170,271 | 73.4 | |
Republican | Chris Coulombe | 38,039 | 16.4 | |
Republican | Tief Gibbs | 18,834 | 8.1 | |
No party preference | Jolian Kangas | 3,276 | 1.4 | |
No party preference | Jason Brisendine | 1,411 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 231,831 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 272,883 | 71.9 | |
Republican | Chris Coulombe | 106,734 | 28.1 | |
Total votes | 379,617 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Kiley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Morse: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Kevin Kiley, who was elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kevin Kiley (R) | $2,450,576 | $484,923 | $2,004,626 |
Jessica Morse (D) | $805,745 | $349,729 | $660,378 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [79] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Likely R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Likely R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Likely R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Likely R | March 22, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Lean R | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Kevin Kiley (incumbent) | 137,397 | 55.9 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 103,443 | 42.1 | |
No party preference | Robert Smith | 5,007 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 245,847 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Kevin Kiley (incumbent) | 234,246 | 55.5 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 188,067 | 44.5 | |
Total votes | 422,313 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The incumbent was Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andrew Engdahl (D) | $1,587 | $4,028 | $666 |
Mike Thompson (D) | $1,215,934 | $1,608,631 | $1,235,136 |
John Munn (R) | $59,561 [d] | $52,560 | $7,000 |
Niket Patwardhan (NPP) | $9,019 [e] | $7,347 | $1,671 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [89] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 120,736 | 62.5 | |
Republican | John Munn | 58,787 | 30.4 | |
Democratic | Andrew Engdahl | 11,492 | 6.0 | |
No party preference | Niket Patwardhan | 2,116 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 193,131 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 227,730 | 66.5 | |
Republican | John Munn | 114,950 | 33.5 | |
Total votes | 342,680 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results McClintock: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the district since 2009 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Tom McClintock (R) | $633,193 | $638,946 | $131,787 |
Mike Barkley (D) | $31,203 [f] | $27,281 | $4,000 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [92] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe R | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 118,958 | 58.5 | |
Democratic | Mike Barkley | 66,680 | 32.8 | |
No party preference | Steve Wozniak | 17,636 | 8.7 | |
Total votes | 203,274 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 227,643 | 61.8 | |
Democratic | Mike Barkley | 140,919 | 38.2 | |
Total votes | 368,562 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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Precinct results Bera: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Bish: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie No votes | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Ami Bera (D) | $661,944 | $611,725 | $1,785,351 |
Christine Bish (R) | $83,838 [h] | $81,862 | $2,004 |
Craig DeLuz (R) | $30,580 [i] | $29,008 | $1,572 |
Ray Riehle (R) | $47,775 [j] | $41,338 | $6,436 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [100] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 76,605 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Christine Bish | 29,628 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Ray Riehle | 15,779 | 10.7 | |
Republican | Craig DeLuz | 14,361 | 9.7 | |
Democratic | Adam Barajas | 8,711 | 5.9 | |
Green | Chris Richardson | 2,661 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 147,745 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 165,408 | 57.6 | |
Republican | Christine Bish | 121,664 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 287,072 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Matsui: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Mandel (D) | $72,240 | $49,283 | $13,517 |
Doris Matsui (D) | $638,291 | $637,713 | $181,918 |
Tom Silva (R) | $4,500 [k] | $1,662 | $2,837 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [104] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 89,485 | 56.5 | |
Republican | Tom Silva | 48,943 | 30.9 | |
Democratic | David Mandel | 20,057 | 12.7 | |
Total votes | 158,485 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 197,429 | 66.8 | |
Republican | Tom Silva | 98,341 | 33.2 | |
Total votes | 295,770 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Garamendi: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
John Garamendi (D) | $542,502 | $488,936 | $1,175,013 |
Rudy Recile (R) | $10,852 [l] | $10,496 | $850 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [110] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 100,193 | 77.0 | |
Republican | Rudy Recile | 29,944 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 130,137 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 201,962 | 74.0 | |
Republican | Rudy Recile | 71,068 | 26.0 | |
Total votes | 273,030 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Harder: 50–60% Lincoln: 50–60% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Josh Harder, who had represented the district since 2019 and was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Josh Harder (D) | $2,402,615 | $767,804 | $2,784,412 |
Kevin Lincoln (R) | $648,712 | $424,366 | $224,346 |
John McBride (R) | $11,315 | $10,965 | $349 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [121] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [122] | Likely D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Likely D | June 20, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Likely D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean D | March 22, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Josh Harder (D) | Kevin Lincoln (R) | Undecided |
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NMB Research (R) [123] [n] [A] | February 18–20, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Josh Harder (incumbent) | 60,978 | 49.7 | |
Republican | Kevin Lincoln | 36,744 | 30.0 | |
Republican | John McBride | 15,707 | 12.8 | |
Republican | Khalid Jafri | 9,150 | 7.5 | |
Total votes | 122,579 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Josh Harder (incumbent) | 130,183 | 51.8 | |
Republican | Kevin Lincoln | 121,174 | 48.2 | |
Total votes | 251,357 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results DeSaulnier: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mark DeSaulnier (D) | $321,343 | $271,401 | $625,306 |
Nolan Chen (R) | $5,760 [p] | $3,274 | $2,485 |
Katherine Piccinini (R) | $11,426 [q] | $9,708 | $1,717 |
Joe Sweeney (I) | $14,285 | $1,827 | $12,457 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [128] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 121,334 | 65.5 | |
Republican | Katherine Piccinini | 34,900 | 18.9 | |
Republican | Nolan Chen | 19,465 | 10.5 | |
No party preference | Joe Sweeney | 7,609 | 4.1 | |
No party preference | Mohamed Elsherbini | 1,825 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 185,133 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 242,325 | 66.5 | |
Republican | Katherine Piccinini | 122,219 | 33.5 | |
Total votes | 364,544 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The incumbent was Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 84.0% of the vote in 2022. [11] Later that year, Pelosi announced she would step down from House leadership. Pelosi announced that she would seek re-election in 2024. [129]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Marjorie Mikels (D) | $10,000 [r] | $1,200 | $8,000 |
Nancy Pelosi (D) | $5,027,157 | $5,005,162 | $3,615,723 |
Bruce Lou (R) | $51,519 [s] | $38,550 | $12,968 |
Jason Zeng (R) | $39,286 [t] | $5,863 | $33,422 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [138] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 138,285 | 73.3 | |
Republican | Bruce Lou | 16,285 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Marjorie Mikels | 9,363 | 5.0 | |
Democratic | Bianca Von Krieg | 7,634 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Jason Zeng | 6,607 | 3.5 | |
Democratic | Jason Boyce | 4,325 | 2.3 | |
Republican | Larry Nichelson | 3,482 | 1.8 | |
Republican | Eve Del Castello | 2,751 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 188,732 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 274,796 | 81.0 | |
Republican | Bruce Lou | 64,315 | 19.0 | |
Total votes | 339,111 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The incumbent was Democrat Barbara Lee, who was re-elected with 90.5% of the vote in 2022. [11] She did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate. [1]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Tony Daysog (D) [v] | $18,760 | $18,298 | $461 |
Abdur Sikder (D) | $21,938 | $18,366 | $3,571 |
Lateefah Simon (D) | $1,110,109 | $836,790 | $273,318 |
Jennifer Tran (D) | $148,095 | $97,686 | $50,408 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [178] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Lateefah Simon (D) | Jennifer Tran (D) | Other | Undecided |
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USC/CSU [179] | September 14–21, 2024 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 27% | 3% [w] | 32% |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Lateefah Simon | 86,031 | 55.9 | |
Democratic | Jennifer Tran | 22,999 | 14.9 | |
Democratic | Tony Daysog | 17,222 | 11.2 | |
Republican | Stephen Slauson | 9,710 | 6.3 | |
Democratic | Glenn Kaplan | 6,799 | 4.4 | |
Democratic | Eric Wilson | 4,252 | 2.8 | |
Democratic | Abdur Sikder | 2,857 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Ned Nuerge | 2,535 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | Andre Todd | 1,632 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 154,037 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Lateefah Simon | 185,176 | 65.4 | |
Democratic | Jennifer Tran | 97,849 | 34.6 | |
Total votes | 283,025 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Gray: 50–60% Duarte: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican John Duarte, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2022. [11] This was a rematch between the candidates from 2022 where Duarte previously defeated Gray by a slim margin. [180] This was the closest House race in 2024 and one of the last to be called due to the close margin, California's state law allowing ballots to arrive a week after the election, and a high quantity of absentee votes which must be cured. [181]
Ceres Courier erroneously declared Duarte the winner on November 13th claiming high confidence that the remaining vote total wouldn't allow Gray to overtake Duarte's lead of roughly 3,000 votes. [182] Most networks declared Gray the winner in early December. [183]
Republican Donald Trump carried the district by 5.4% in the concurrent presidential election.
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
John Duarte (R) | $2,205,578 | $743,978 | $1,487,118 |
Adam Gray (D) | $786,855 | $372,845 | $468,384 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [193] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | John Duarte (R) | Phil Arballo (D) | Adam Gray (D) | Other/Undecided |
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RMG Research [194] [B] | November 14–19, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 21% | 2% | 21% | 55% [y] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [27] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tilt D (flip) | October 18, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Tilt D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | John Duarte (R) | Adam Gray (D) | Undecided |
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USC/CSU [179] | September 14–21, 2024 | 311 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 45% | 46% | 9% [z] |
Primary election | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | John Duarte (incumbent) | 47,219 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Adam Gray | 38,754 | 45.1 | |
Total votes | 85,973 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Adam Gray | 105,554 | 50.04 | |
Republican | John Duarte (incumbent) | 105,367 | 49.96 | |
Total votes | 210,921 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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The incumbent was Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Eric Swalwell (D) | $2,658,863 | $2,563,768 | $723,694 |
Vin Kruttiventi (R) | $668,973 [ab] | $399,455 | $269,518 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [197] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 84,075 | 66.7 | |
Republican | Vin Kruttiventi | 22,134 | 17.6 | |
Republican | Alison Hayden | 11,948 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Luis Reynoso | 7,812 | 6.2 | |
Total votes | 125,969 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 187,263 | 67.8 | |
Republican | Vin Kruttiventi | 89,125 | 32.2 | |
Total votes | 276,388 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Mullin: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Kevin Mullin, who had represented the district since 2023. He was elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kevin Mullin (D) | $454,937 [ac] | $440,677 | $36,794 |
Anna Kramer (R) | $39,080 [ad] | $12,651 | $26,429 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [203] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Kevin Mullin (incumbent) | 109,172 | 75.3 | |
Republican | Anna Cheng Kramer | 35,868 | 24.7 | |
Total votes | 145,040 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Kevin Mullin (incumbent) | 211,648 | 73.1 | |
Republican | Anna Cheng Kramer | 77,896 | 26.9 | |
Total votes | 289,544 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Liccardo: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. [11] She did not seek re-election. [6] Former San Jose mayor Sam Liccardo advanced to the general election a week after the primary. His challenger was state assemblyman Evan Low. [204]
By April 3, Low and Santa Clara County supervisor Joe Simitian were tied with 30,249 votes each, and were expected to advance to the general election under a stipulation by California elections code regarding a second-place tie in primary elections. [205] However, a recount was requested by two voters shortly thereafter. The recount request was controversial, with Low's campaign accusing Liccardo of being behind it. [206] At the conclusion of the recount on May 1, Low ultimately edged out Simitian by a margin of 5 votes, with Low gaining 12 votes and Simitian 7. [207]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Sam Liccardo | 38,489 | 21.1 | |
Democratic | Evan Low | 30,249 | 16.6 | |
Democratic | Joe Simitian | 30,249 | 16.6 | |
Republican | Peter Ohtaki | 23,275 | 12.8 | |
Democratic | Peter Dixon | 14,673 | 8.1 | |
Democratic | Rishi Kumar | 12,377 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Karl Ryan | 11,557 | 6.3 | |
Democratic | Julie Lythcott-Haims | 11,383 | 6.2 | |
Democratic | Ahmed Mostafa | 5,811 | 3.2 | |
Democratic | Greg Tanaka | 2,421 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Joby Bernstein | 1,651 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 182,135 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sam Liccardo | 38,492 | 21.1 | −0.005 | |
Democratic | Evan Low | 30,261 | 16.6 | +0.002 | |
Democratic | Joe Simitian | 30,256 | 16.6 | −0.001 | |
Republican | Peter Ohtaki | 23,283 | 12.8 | +0.001 | |
Democratic | Peter Dixon | 14,677 | 8.1 | −0.000 | |
Democratic | Rishi Kumar | 12,383 | 6.8 | +0.001 | |
Republican | Karl Ryan | 11,563 | 6.3 | +0.001 | |
Democratic | Julie Lythcott-Haims | 11,386 | 6.2 | −0.000 | |
Democratic | Ahmed Mostafa | 5,814 | 3.2 | +0.001 | |
Democratic | Greg Tanaka | 2,421 | 1.3 | −0.000 | |
Democratic | Joby Bernstein | 1,652 | 0.9 | +0.000 | |
Total votes | 182,188 | 100.0 | |||
General election | |||||
Democratic | Sam Liccardo | 179,583 | 58.2 | N/A | |
Democratic | Evan Low | 128,893 | 41.8 | N/A | |
Total votes | 308,476 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Khanna: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022. [11] Khanna had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate, but instead chose not to run and endorsed Barbara Lee. [218] [219]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Ro Khanna (D) | $6,592,854 | $2,367,495 | $9,513,880 |
Ritesh Tandon (D) | $20,147 | $8,224 | $12,233 |
Anita Chen (R) | $15,639 | $7,431 | $8,208 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [226] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 74,004 | 62.9 | |
Republican | Anita Chen | 31,568 | 26.8 | |
Democratic | Ritesh Tandon | 5,738 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | Mario Ramirez | 4,498 | 3.8 | |
Libertarian | Joe Dehn | 1,839 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 117,647 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 172,462 | 67.7 | |
Republican | Anita Chen | 82,415 | 32.3 | |
Total votes | 254,877 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Lofgren: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 65.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Zoe Lofgren (D) | $1,380,968 | $1,419,890 | $372,448 |
Charlene Nijmeh (D) | $187,518 [af] | $140,803 | $46,714 |
Peter Hernandez (R) | $93,247 | $88,484 | $7,062 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [233] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 49,370 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Peter Hernandez | 31,665 | 32.8 | |
Democratic | Charlene Nijmeh | 10,631 | 11.0 | |
Democratic | Lawrence Milan | 2,714 | 2.8 | |
Democratic | Luele Kifle | 2,034 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 96,414 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 147,674 | 64.6 | |
Republican | Peter Hernandez | 80,832 | 35.4 | |
Total votes | 228,506 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Panetta: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Anderson: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jimmy Panetta (D) | $1,776,745 | $752,004 | $3,205,151 |
Jason Anderson (R) | $13,024 [ag] | $1,276 | $11,748 |
Sean Dougherty (G) | $6,506 [ah] | $3,716 | $2,789 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [239] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 132,711 | 65.0 | |
Republican | Jason Anderson | 58,285 | 28.6 | |
Green | Sean Dougherty | 13,080 | 6.4 | |
Total votes | 204,076 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 252,458 | 69.3 | |
Republican | Jason Anderson | 111,862 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 364,320 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Fong: 50–60% 70–80% Boudreaux: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Kevin McCarthy, who was re-elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022. [11] McCarthy resigned on December 31, 2023, after his removal as Speaker of the House. [240] A special election was held in May 2024 to fill McCarthy's vacant seat, which was won by Vince Fong, a state assemblyman who had formerly served as McCarthy's district director. [241]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mike Boudreaux (R) | $280,633 | $155,635 | $124,997 |
Vince Fong (R) | $768,246 | $613,008 | $155,237 |
Kyle Kirkland (R) | $289,791 [ak] | $274,809 | $14,981 |
Matt Stoll (R) | $20,100 [al] | $3,457 | $16,642 |
Andy Morales (D) | $142,062 | $140,139 | $1,923 |
Marisa Wood (D) | $71,955 | $36,844 | $39,608 |
Ben Dewell (NPP) [v] | $1,785 [am] | $1,742 | $605 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [272] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Mike Boudreaux (R) | Vince Fong (R) | Kyle Kirkland (R) | Andy Morales (D) | Marisa Wood (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [273] | January 26–29, 2024 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 11% | 27% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 5% [an] | 35% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe R | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Vince Fong (incumbent) | 66,160 | 41.9 | |
Republican | Mike Boudreaux | 37,883 | 24.0 | |
Democratic | Marisa Wood | 33,509 | 21.2 | |
Republican | Kyle Kirkland | 6,429 | 4.1 | |
Democratic | Andy Morales | 4,381 | 2.8 | |
Republican | Stan Ellis | 3,252 | 2.1 | |
Republican | David Giglio (withdrawn) | 2,224 | 1.4 | |
No party preference | Ben Dewell | 1,509 | 1.0 | |
Republican | Matt Stoll | 1,131 | 0.7 | |
Republican | Kelly Kulikoff | 724 | 0.5 | |
No party preference | TJ Esposito (withdrawn) | 541 | 0.3 | |
No party preference | James Cardoza (write-in) | 9 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 157,752 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Vince Fong (incumbent) | 187,862 | 65.1 | |
Republican | Mike Boudreaux (withdrawn) | 100,926 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 288,788 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Costa: 50–60% Maher: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the district since 2005 and was re-elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jim Costa (D) | $917,344 | $478,139 | $828,283 |
Michael Maher (R) | $307,141 [ap] | $208,992 | $100,372 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [279] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Likely D | March 22, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 42,697 | 53.0 | |
Republican | Michael Maher | 37,935 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 80,632 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 102,798 | 52.6 | |
Republican | Michael Maher | 92,733 | 47.4 | |
Total votes | 195,531 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Valadao: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Chris Mathys (R) | $337,867 [aq] | $337,142 | $1,225 |
David Valadao (R) | $3,431,218 | $1,479,413 | $2,000,244 |
Melissa Hurtado (D) | $84,532 | $84,162 | $369 |
Rudy Salas (D) | $3,123,937 | $1,396,838 | $1,741,507 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [295] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tossup | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Tilt D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | David Valadao (R) | Rudy Salas (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [296] [C] | October 22–26, 2024 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Emerson College [297] [D] | September 23–26, 2024 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
USC/CSU [179] | September 14–21, 2024 | 263 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 44% | 47% | 9% [ar] |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) [298] [E] | August 25–27, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Change Research (D) [299] [F] | August 10–17, 2024 | 479 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 38% | 18% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 20,479 | 32.7 | |
Democratic | Rudy Salas | 19,592 | 31.3 | |
Republican | Chris Mathys | 13,745 | 22.0 | |
Democratic | Melissa Hurtado | 8,733 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 62,549 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 89,484 | 53.4 | |
Democratic | Rudy Salas | 78,023 | 46.6 | |
Total votes | 167,507 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Obernolte: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Jay Obernolte, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jay Obernolte (R) | $791,628 | $283,636 | $878,145 |
Derek Marshall (D) | $336,761 | $266,088 | $84,924 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [312] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe R | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Jay Obernolte (incumbent) | 70,208 | 63.4 | |
Democratic | Derek Marshall | 40,477 | 36.6 | |
Total votes | 110,685 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Jay Obernolte (incumbent) | 159,286 | 60.1 | |
Democratic | Derek Marshall | 105,563 | 39.9 | |
Total votes | 264,849 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Carbajal: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Salud Carbajal (D) | $1,258,354 | $672,803 | $2,689,537 |
Thomas Cole (R) | $10,370 [as] | $8,920 | $14,500 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [318] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 102,516 | 53.7 | |
Republican | Thomas Cole | 71,089 | 37.2 | |
Democratic | Helena Pasquarella | 17,293 | 9.1 | |
Total votes | 190,898 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 214,724 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Thomas Cole | 127,755 | 37.3 | |
Total votes | 342,479 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Ruiz: 50–60% Weeks: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Raul Ruiz, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Oscar Ortiz (D) | $32,022 [at] | $22,101 | $10,140 |
Raul Ruiz (D) | $1,293,842 | $887,745 | $1,992,893 |
Miguel Chapa (R) | $9,370 [au] | $3,095 | $1,909 |
Ceci Truman (R) | $112,573 | $84,004 | $28,569 |
Ian Weeks (R) | $75,140 | $59,370 | $15,770 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [324] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 45,882 | 45.1 | |
Republican | Ian Weeks | 20,992 | 20.6 | |
Republican | Ceci Truman | 17,815 | 17.5 | |
Democratic | Oscar Ortiz | 10,171 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Miguel Chapa | 5,856 | 5.7 | |
No party preference | Ryan Dean Burkett | 1,129 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 101,845 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 137,837 | 56.3 | |
Republican | Ian Weeks | 107,194 | 43.7 | |
Total votes | 245,031 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Brownley: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Chris Anstead (D) | $41,697 [av] | $17,704 | $23,993 |
Julia Brownley (D) | $879,078 | $465,567 | $762,703 |
Michael Koslow (R) | $39,066 [aw] | $34,563 | $4,503 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [330] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 84,997 | 51.4 | |
Republican | Michael Koslow | 55,908 | 33.8 | |
Republican | Bruce Boyer | 17,707 | 10.7 | |
Democratic | Chris Anstead | 6,841 | 4.1 | |
Total votes | 165,453 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 187,393 | 56.1 | |
Republican | Michael Koslow | 146,913 | 43.9 | |
Total votes | 334,306 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Mike Garcia, who was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mike Garcia (R) | $3,180,332 | $1,736,253 | $1,560,751 |
George Whitesides (D) | $3,578,060 [ax] | $1,069,537 | $2,508,523 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [349] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [350] | Tossup | April 18, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tossup | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Tilt D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Mike Garcia (R) | George Whitesides (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USC/CSU [179] | September 14–21, 2024 | 522 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% [ay] |
Impact Research (D) [351] [G] | April 12–18, 2024 | 650 (V) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | 74,245 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | George Whitesides | 44,391 | 32.8 | |
Democratic | Steve Hill | 16,525 | 12.2 | |
Total votes | 135,161 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | George Whitesides | 154,040 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | 146,050 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 300,090 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Chu: 60–70% Verlato: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Judy Chu, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Judy Chu (D) | $954,243 | $769,610 | $3,531,026 |
April Verlato (R) | $198,176 [az] | $37,739 | $160,437 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [356] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 99,261 | 62.7 | |
Republican | April Verlato | 52,369 | 33.1 | |
Peace and Freedom | William Patterson | 3,503 | 2.2 | |
Libertarian | Jose Castaneda | 3,156 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 158,289 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 204,489 | 64.9 | |
Republican | April Verlato | 110,455 | 35.1 | |
Total votes | 314,944 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. [11] On November 20, 2023, he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2024. [357]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Angelica Dueñas (D) | $83,650 | $76,853 | $12,631 |
Luz Rivas (D) | $344,596 | $191,449 | $136,748 |
Benito Bernal (R) | $27,326 [ba] | $10,352 | $1,542 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [371] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Luz Rivas | 40,096 | 49.3 | |
Republican | Benito Bernal | 21,446 | 26.4 | |
Democratic | Angelica Dueñas | 19,844 | 24.4 | |
Total votes | 81,386 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Luz Rivas | 146,312 | 69.8 | |
Republican | Benito Bernal | 63,374 | 30.2 | |
Total votes | 209,686 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. [11] He did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate. [2]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Laura Friedman | 46,329 | 30.1 | |
Republican | Alex Balekian | 26,826 | 17.4 | |
Democratic | Anthony Portantino | 20,459 | 13.3 | |
Democratic | Mike Feuer | 18,878 | 12.3 | |
Democratic | Maebe A. Girl | 15,791 | 10.3 | |
Republican | Emilio Martinez | 6,775 | 4.4 | |
Democratic | Ben Savage | 6,147 | 4.0 | |
Democratic | Nick Melvoin | 4,134 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | Jirair Ratevosian | 2,889 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Sepi Shyne | 2,126 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Courtney Simone Najera | 1,167 | 0.8 | |
No party preference | Joshua Bocanegra | 780 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Steve Dunwoody | 727 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Francisco Arreaga | 532 | 0.3 | |
Democratic | Sal Genovese | 442 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 154,002 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Laura Friedman | 213,100 | 68.4 | |
Republican | Alex Balekian | 98,559 | 31.6 | |
Total votes | 311,659 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Grace Napolitano, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2022. [11] Napolitano decided to retire rather than seek re-election. [4]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Bob Archuleta (D) | $513,580 [bc] | $494,266 | $19,314 |
Gil Cisneros (D) | $4,641,856 [bd] | $4,534,715 | $107,140 |
Greg Hafif (D) | $826,060 [be] | $555,576 | $270,483 |
Mary Ann Lutz (D) | $625,215 [bf] | $373,697 | $251,517 |
Susan Rubio (D) | $554,685 | $396,341 | $158,343 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [401] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Bob Archuleta (D) | Pedro Casas (R) | Gil Cisneros (D) | Greg Hafif (D) | Mary Ann Lutz (D) | Daniel Martinez (R) | Susan Rubio (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulchin Research (D) [402] [H] | December 14–19, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 4% | 4% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 12% | 9% [bg] | 28% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Gil Cisneros | 23,888 | 23.6 | |
Republican | Daniel Martinez | 19,464 | 19.2 | |
Republican | Pedro Casas | 17,077 | 16.9 | |
Democratic | Susan Rubio | 16,006 | 15.8 | |
Democratic | Bob Archuleta | 10,151 | 10.0 | |
Democratic | Mary Ann Lutz | 6,629 | 6.5 | |
Democratic | Greg Hafif | 4,914 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | Kurt Jose | 1,415 | 1.4 | |
No party preference | Erskine Levi [bb] | 1,166 | 1.2 | |
No party preference | Marie Manvel | 534 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 101,244 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Gil Cisneros | 148,095 | 59.7 | |
Republican | Daniel Martinez | 99,856 | 40.3 | |
Total votes | 247,951 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Sherman: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Brad Sherman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dave Abbitt (D) [v] | $2,240 | $0 | $2,240 |
Brad Sherman (D) | $984,660 | $533,849 | $3,419,583 |
James Shuster (R) | $5,421 [bh] | $6,911 | $0 |
Larry Thompson (R) | $71,981 | $59,149 | $12,831 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [406] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 91,952 | 58.6 | |
Republican | Larry Thompson | 29,939 | 19.1 | |
Republican | James Shuster | 16,601 | 10.6 | |
Democratic | Christopher Ahuja | 12,637 | 8.1 | |
Democratic | Douglas Smith | 2,504 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | David Abbitt | 1,665 | 1.1 | |
Democratic | Trevor Witt (withdrawn) | 1,635 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 156,933 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 212,934 | 66.2 | |
Republican | Larry Thompson | 108,711 | 33.8 | |
Total votes | 321,645 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Pete Aguilar, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Pete Aguilar (D) | $3,427,439 | $1,993,237 | $3,013,958 |
Tom Herman (R) | $4,692 | $2,710 | $1,982 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [409] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 45,065 | 57.1 | |
Republican | Tom Herman | 33,815 | 42.8 | |
Republican | John Mark Porter (write-in) | 104 | 0.1 | |
Republican | Ernest Richter (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 78,987 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 137,197 | 58.8 | |
Republican | Tom Herman | 96,078 | 41.2 | |
Total votes | 233,275 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Ferrell (D) | $9,072 | $5,930 | $3,141 |
Jimmy Gomez (D) | $1,088,878 | $733,445 | $910,936 |
David Kim (D) | $100,011 | $95,640 | $4,371 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [414] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 41,611 | 51.2 | |
Democratic | David Kim | 22,703 | 27.9 | |
Republican | Calvin Lee | 11,495 | 14.1 | |
Peace and Freedom | Aaron Reveles | 3,223 | 4.0 | |
Democratic | David Ferrell | 2,312 | 2.8 | |
Total votes | 81,344 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 105,394 | 55.6 | |
Democratic | David Kim | 84,020 | 44.4 | |
Total votes | 189,414 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Torres: 50–60% 60–70% Cargile: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Norma Torres (D) | $453,582 | $529,935 | $271,829 |
Mike Cargile (R) | $51,310 | $47,539 | $5,143 |
Melissa May (D) | $13,394 [bi] | $12,041 | $1,352 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [417] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 39,051 | 48.2 | |
Republican | Mike Cargile | 32,082 | 39.6 | |
Democratic | Melissa May | 6,432 | 7.9 | |
Republican | Vijal Suthar | 3,491 | 4.3 | |
Total votes | 81,056 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 136,413 | 58.4 | |
Republican | Mike Cargile | 97,142 | 41.6 | |
Total votes | 233,555 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Ted Lieu (D) | $1,284,495 | $1,459,830 | $619,055 |
Ariana Hakami (R) | $2,840 [bj] | $2,802 | $243 |
Melissa Toomim (R) | $13,331 [bk] | $12,458 | $1,020 |
Claire Anderson (NPP) | $25,521 [bl] | $23,762 | $1,759 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [419] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 125,858 | 68.5 | |
Republican | Melissa Toomim | 27,440 | 14.9 | |
Republican | Ariana Hakami | 25,823 | 14.1 | |
No party preference | Claire Anderson | 4,509 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 183,630 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 246,002 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Melissa Toomim | 111,985 | 31.3 | |
Total votes | 357,987 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who had represented the district since 2023. She was elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) | $643,384 | $569,532 | $175,730 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [424] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Sydney Kamlager-Dove (incumbent) | 62,413 | 71.8 | |
No party preference | Juan Rey | 8,917 | 10.3 | |
Democratic | Adam Carmichael | 7,520 | 8.7 | |
Peace and Freedom | John Parker | 7,316 | 8.4 | |
Republican | Baltazar Fedalizo (write-in) | 752 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 86,918 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Sydney Kamlager-Dove (incumbent) | 160,364 | 78.3 | |
No party preference | Juan Rey | 44,450 | 21.7 | |
Total votes | 204,814 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Linda Sánchez (D) | $911,863 | $757,636 | $597,371 |
Eric Ching (R) | $16,307 | $4,687 | $16,483 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [427] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 62,325 | 56.2 | |
Republican | Eric Ching | 26,744 | 24.1 | |
Republican | John Sarega | 13,841 | 12.5 | |
Republican | Robert Ochoa | 8,034 | 7.2 | |
Total votes | 110,944 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 165,110 | 59.8 | |
Republican | Eric Ching | 110,818 | 40.2 | |
Total votes | 275,928 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mark Takano (D) | $907,118 | $1,113,661 | $284,662 |
David Serpa (R) | $26,133 | $18,307 | $7,826 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [432] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 48,351 | 55.5 | |
Republican | David Serpa | 38,750 | 44.5 | |
Total votes | 87,101 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 130,191 | 56.7 | |
Republican | David Serpa | 99,469 | 43.3 | |
Total votes | 229,660 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Kim: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Young Kim (R) | $4,097,491 | $1,987,963 | $2,509,006 |
Allyson Muñiz Damikolas (D) | $549,563 [bn] | $494,776 | $54,786 |
Joe Kerr (D) | $1,082,947 [bo] | $1,002,971 | $79,976 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [454] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Likely R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Likely R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Likely R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Likely R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Young Kim (incumbent) | 109,963 | 56.4 | |
Democratic | Joe Kerr | 49,965 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Allyson Muñiz Damikolas | 35,153 | 18.0 | |
Total votes | 195,081 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Young Kim (incumbent) | 211,998 | 55.3 | |
Democratic | Joe Kerr | 171,637 | 44.7 | |
Total votes | 383,635 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Ken Calvert (R) | $4,395,180 | $1,825,606 | $2,639,377 |
Anna Nevenic (D) | $11,180 | $5,780 | $5,400 |
Will Rollins (D) | $4,775,382 | $1,658,288 | $3,162,026 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [474] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Ken Calvert (R) | Will Rollins (D) | Other/Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D) [475] [E] | October 3–6, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
USC/CSU [179] | September 14–21, 2024 | 539 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
RMG Research [476] [I] | September 5–12, 2024 | 461 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 35% | 41% | 24% |
David Binder Research (D) [477] [J] | May 1–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [122] | Tossup | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tilt R | May 9, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Tilt R | November 4, 2024 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 85,959 | 53.0 | |
Democratic | Will Rollins | 62,245 | 38.4 | |
Democratic | Anna Nevenic | 13,862 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 162,066 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 183,216 | 51.7 | |
Democratic | Will Rollins | 171,229 | 48.3 | |
Total votes | 354,445 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Robert Garcia, who had represented the district since 2023, and was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Joaquin Beltran (D) | $17,195 [bp] | $14,722 | $2,472 |
Robert Garcia (D) | $721,147 | $553,777 | $497,931 |
Nicole López (D) | $3,339 | $2,544 | $1,095 |
John Briscoe (R) | $250,000 [bq] | $4,308 | $245,691 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [478] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Robert Garcia (incumbent) | 49,891 | 52.1 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 30,599 | 31.9 | |
Democratic | Nicole López | 8,758 | 9.1 | |
Democratic | Joaquin Beltran | 6,532 | 6.8 | |
Total votes | 95,780 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Robert Garcia (incumbent) | 159,153 | 68.1 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 74,410 | 31.9 | |
Total votes | 233,563 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the district since 1991 and was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Maxine Waters (D) | $429,143 | $508,279 | $156,496 |
Chris Wiggins (D) [v] | $650 | $0 | $1,225 |
David Knight (R) | $4,475 [br] | $3,728 | $747 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [479] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 54,673 | 69.8 | |
Republican | Steve Williams | 10,896 | 13.9 | |
Republican | David Knight | 5,647 | 7.2 | |
Democratic | Chris Wiggins | 4,999 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Gregory Cheadle | 2,075 | 2.7 | |
Total votes | 78,290 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 160,080 | 75.1 | |
Republican | Steve Williams | 53,152 | 24.9 | |
Total votes | 213,232 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Nanette Barragán (D) | $645,140 | $730,488 | $1,418,423 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [480] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 63,622 | 70.8 | |
Republican | Roger Groh | 26,188 | 29.2 | |
Total votes | 89,810 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 164,765 | 71.4 | |
Republican | Roger Groh | 66,087 | 28.6 | |
Total votes | 230,852 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Tran: 50–60% Steel: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Tossup | September 6, 2024 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tossup | October 18, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Tilt D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Michelle Steel (incumbent) | 78,022 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Derek Tran | 22,546 | 15.9 | |
Democratic | Kim Bernice Nguyen-Penaloza | 22,179 | 15.6 | |
Democratic | Cheyenne Hunt | 11,973 | 8.4 | |
Democratic | Aditya Pai | 7,399 | 5.2 | |
Total votes | 142,119 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Derek Tran | 158,264 | 50.1 | |
Republican | Michelle Steel (incumbent) | 157,611 | 49.9 | |
Total votes | 315,875 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Lou Correa (D) | $670,662 | $438,796 | $1,754,509 |
David Pan (R) | $48,303 [bs] | $26,416 | $21,886 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [491] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 46,184 | 60.6 | |
Republican | David Pan | 30,032 | 39.4 | |
Total votes | 76,216 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 134,013 | 63.4 | |
Republican | David Pan | 77,279 | 36.6 | |
Total votes | 211,292 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. [11] She opted against seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate, ultimately losing her bid. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [497] | Lean D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Tossup | October 18, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean R (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Scott Baugh | 57,517 | 32.1 | |
Democratic | Dave Min | 46,393 | 25.9 | |
Democratic | Joanna Weiss | 34,802 | 19.4 | |
Republican | Max Ukropina | 26,585 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Long Pham | 4,862 | 2.7 | |
No party preference | Terry Crandall | 2,878 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | Boyd Roberts | 2,570 | 1.4 | |
No party preference | Tom McGrath | 1,611 | 0.9 | |
No party preference | Bill Smith | 1,062 | 0.6 | |
Democratic | Shariq Zaidi | 788 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 179,068 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Dave Min | 181,721 | 51.4 | |
Republican | Scott Baugh | 171,554 | 48.6 | |
Total votes | 353,275 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Issa: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Executive branch officials
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Darrell Issa (R) | $919,404 | $440,906 | $1,096,087 |
Stephen Houlahan (D) | $17,046 | $20,314 | $7,966 |
Whitney Shanahan (D) | $16,056 | $14,561 | $1,495 |
Mike Simon (D) | $123,417 [bu] | $113,117 | $10,300 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [502] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe R | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Darrell Issa (R) | Stephen Houlahan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [503] [K] | June 14–20, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 111,510 | 62.4 | |
Democratic | Stephen Houlahan | 26,601 | 14.9 | |
Democratic | Whitney Shanahan | 21,819 | 12.2 | |
Democratic | Mike Simon | 12,950 | 7.2 | |
Democratic | Matthew Rascon | 3,988 | 2.2 | |
No party preference | Lucinda Jahn | 1,959 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 178,827 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 213,625 | 59.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Houlahan | 146,665 | 40.7 | |
Total votes | 360,290 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
County results Levin: 50–60% Gunderson: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mike Levin (D) | $2,429,689 | $1,342,976 | $1,222,164 |
Sheryl Adams (R) | $241,435 [bv] | $133,602 | $107,832 |
Matt Gunderson (R) | $1,201,102 [bw] | $1,000,024 | $201,078 |
Kate Monroe (R) | $376,573 [bx] | $204,994 | $171,578 |
Margarita Wilkinson (R) | $1,799,386 [by] | $1,313,920 | $487,466 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [518] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [519] | Lean D | October 15, 2024 |
Inside Elections [520] | Lean D | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [521] | Likely D | September 30, 2024 |
Elections Daily [30] | Lean D | October 10, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | October 16, 2024 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Mike Levin (D) | Matt Gunderson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [522] [K] | October 25–31, 2024 | 574 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 38% | 3% [bz] | 8% |
1892 Polling (R) [523] [A] | October 5–8, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA [524] [K] | October 2–6, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 53% | 41% | 1% [ca] | 5% |
SurveyUSA [525] [K] | June 5–10, 2024 | 559 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
1892 Polling (R) [526] [L] | April 9–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
SurveyUSA [527] [K] | January 9–15, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | – | 20% |
43% | 12% | 17% [cb] | 28% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Mike Levin (incumbent) | 97,275 | 51.0 | |
Republican | Matt Gunderson | 49,001 | 25.7 | |
Republican | Margarita Wilkinson | 20,900 | 11.0 | |
Republican | Kate Monroe | 19,026 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Sheryl Adams | 4,617 | 2.4 | |
Total votes | 190,819 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Mike Levin (incumbent) | 197,397 | 52.2 | |
Republican | Matt Gunderson | 180,950 | 47.8 | |
Total votes | 378,347 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Scott Peters, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Timothy Bilash (D) | $27,181 [cc] | $26,506 | $961 |
Scott Peters (D) | $1,288,282 | $896,445 | $2,125,794 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [529] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Scott Peters (D) | Peter Bono (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [530] [K] | June 24–30, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 33% | 17% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 97,601 | 57.0 | |
Republican | Peter Bono | 40,284 | 23.5 | |
Republican | Solomon Moss | 20,252 | 11.8 | |
Democratic | Timothy Bilash | 13,106 | 7.7 | |
Total votes | 171,243 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 231,836 | 64.3 | |
Republican | Peter Bono | 128,859 | 35.7 | |
Total votes | 360,695 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Sara Jacobs, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sara Jacobs (D) | $985,133 [cd] | $864,795 | $210,365 |
Bill Wells (R) | $563,914 | $392,408 | $178,685 |
Stan Caplan (NPP) | $41,726 [ce] | $34,162 | $7,564 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [534] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Stan Caplan (NPP) | Sara Jacobs (D) | Hilaire Shioura (NPP) | Bill Wells (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [535] [K] | January 26–31, 2024 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 48% | 3% | 29% | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Sara Jacobs (D) | Bill Wells (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [536] [K] | October 23–27, 2024 | 521 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 61% | 25% | 13% [cf] |
SurveyUSA [537] [K] | June 10–14, 2024 | 537 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
SurveyUSA [535] [K] | January 26–31, 2024 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Sara Jacobs (incumbent) | 90,901 | 57.4 | |
Republican | Bill Wells | 61,923 | 39.1 | |
No party preference | Stan Caplan | 3,164 | 2.0 | |
No party preference | Hilaire Fuji Shioura | 2,496 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 158,484 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Sara Jacobs (incumbent) | 198,835 | 60.7 | |
Republican | Bill Wells | 128,749 | 39.3 | |
Total votes | 327,584 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
| ||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Juan Vargas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2022. [11]
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Juan Vargas (D) | $458,547 | $495,704 | $182,387 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [538] |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [27] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [28] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [30] | Safe D | February 5, 2024 |
CNalysis [31] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Juan Vargas (D) | Justin Lee (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [539] [K] | June 20–25, 2024 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 57% | 25% | 19% |
Primary election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 62,511 | 65.0 | |
Republican | Justin Lee | 33,611 | 35.0 | |
Total votes | 96,122 | 100.0 | ||
General election | ||||
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 172,217 | 66.3 | |
Republican | Justin Lee | 87,501 | 33.7 | |
Total votes | 259,718 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
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EMILYs List issued endorsements in three California House races on Wednesday, giving its support to former state environmental official Jessica Morse in the 3rd District, Palo Alto City Councilmember Julie Lythcott-Haims in the 16th, and Assemblywoman Luz Rivas in the 29th.
CA-12: Businessman Tim Sanchez, a Democrat who had the support of VoteVets, announced in early December that he was ending his campaign to replace Senate candidate Barbara Lee
Kalb said he will not run for the East Bay House seat...Fortunato Bas told The Chronicle that she won't, either.
Assembly Member Mia Bonta, D-Alameda, who was considering a run, told The Chronicle she is endorsing Simon...Assembly Member Buffy Wicks, D-Oakland, and state Sen. Nancy Skinner, D-Berkeley, have also endorsed Simon.
CA-12: Assemblywoman Mia Bonta has not ruled out a potential bid to succeed newly minted Senate candidate Barbara Lee in this dark blue seat, but colleague and fellow Democrat Buffy Wicks took her own name out of contention on Wednesday. Former Oakland Mayor Libby Schaaf...said regarding the House that she is 'not at this time planning to run for Congress'
The California chapter [of the Working Families Party] has also endorsed Lateefah Simon in California's 12th district
Politico does report, however, that Assemblyman Marc Berman won't run for Congress, though we hadn't previously heard his name mentioned.
[Tandon] told The Bee he is challenging Khanna in 2024 as a moderate Democrat.
No, Sam Liccardo won't be aiming to unseat Rep. Zoe Lofgren in 2024.
CA-27: Los Angeles County Probation Oversight Commissioner Franky Carrillo announced Tuesday that he was dropping out of the top-two primary and endorsing his fellow Democrat, former Virgin Galactic CEO George Whitesides.
CA-29: Sen. Alex Padilla on Wednesday joined retiring Rep. Tony Cardenas in backing Assemblywoman Luz Rivas for this safely Democratic seat.
CA-31: Attorney Greg Hafif generated little attention in mid-August when he filed to join the top-two primary to succeed retiring Democratic Rep. Grace Napolitano
CA-34: Former prosecutor David Kim, who twice came unexpectedly close to beating Rep. Jimmy Gomez in all-Democratic general elections for this dark blue downtown Los Angeles seat, announced Wednesday that he'd wage a third effort this cycle.
... former U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer has also endorsed Rollins.
Lance Trover, Steel's campaign manager, said, 'Southern California voters know her record of fighting for lower taxes, standing up to the Chinese Communist Party and ensuring everyone has a shot at the American dream,' maintaining she will be reelected in 2024.
CA-49: Margarita Wilkinson, who works as an executive at the TV broadcaster Entravision, on Thursday became the latest Republican to join the top-two primary to go up against Democratic Rep. Mike Levin.