2024 United States gubernatorial elections

Last updated

2024 United States gubernatorial elections
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←  2023 November 5, 2024 2025  →
13 governorships
11 states; 2 territories
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before2723
Seats up83
2024 United States gubernatorial elections retirements map.svg
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent     Term-limited or retiring Republican
     New Progressive incumbent
     Nonpartisan     No election

United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.

Contents

The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.

This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democrats will be running for re-election.

Partisan composition

Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats. Republicans are defending two governorships in states that Joe Biden won in 2020 (New Hampshire and Vermont) while Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump won in 2020 (North Carolina). [1]

Election predictions

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

State PVI IncumbentLast
race		 Cook
October 23,
2023 [2] 		IE
November 13,
2023 [3] 		Sabato
November 9,
2023 [4] 		ED
July 12,
2023 [5]
Delaware D+7 John Carney
(term-limited)		59.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Eric Holcomb
(term-limited)		56.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Missouri R+10 Mike Parson
(term-limited)		57.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+11 Greg Gianforte 54.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
New Hampshire D+1 Chris Sununu
(retiring)		57.0% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
North Carolina R+3 Roy Cooper
(term-limited)		51.5% D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup
North Dakota R+20 Doug Burgum
(retiring)		65.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Utah R+13 Spencer Cox 63.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Phil Scott 69.2% R Solid R Solid R Likely R Likely R
Washington D+8 Jay Inslee
(retiring)		56.6% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D
West Virginia R+22 Jim Justice
(term-limited)		63.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R

Race summary

States

StateGovernorPartyFirst electedLast raceStatusCandidates
Delaware John Carney Democratic 2016 59.5% DTerm-limited
Indiana Eric Holcomb Republican 2016 56.5% RTerm-limited
Missouri Mike Parson Republican2018 [lower-alpha 1] 57.1% RTerm-limited
  • ▌ Jay Ashcroft (Republican) [9]
  • ▌ Bill Eigel (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Sheryl Gladney (Democratic) [9]
  • ▌Darren Grant (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Jeremy Gundel (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Mike Hamra (Democratic) [9]
  • ▌ Mike Kehoe (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Hollis Laster (Democratic) [9]
  • ▌Darrell McClanahan (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Eric Morrison (Democratic) [9]
  • ▌Robert Olson (Republican) [9]
  • ▌ Crystal Quade (Democratic) [9]
  • ▌Bill Slantz (Libertarian) [9]
  • ▌Amber Thomsen (Republican) [9]
  • ▌Chris Wright (Republican) [9]
Montana Greg Gianforte Republican 2020 54.4% RRunning
New Hampshire Chris Sununu Republican 2016 57.0% RRetiring [11]
North Carolina Roy Cooper Democratic 2016 51.5% DTerm-limited
North Dakota Doug Burgum Republican 2016 65.8% RRetiring [17]
Utah Spencer Cox Republican 2020 63.0% RRunning
Vermont Phil Scott Republican 2016 69.2% REligible
  • ▌Esther Charlestin (Democratic) [21]
Washington Jay Inslee Democratic 2012 56.6% DRetiring [22]
West Virginia Jim Justice Republican 2016 [lower-alpha 2] 63.5% RTerm-limited

Territories

StateGovernorPartyFirst electedLast raceStatusCandidates
American Samoa Lemanu Peleti Mauga Nonpartisan/Democratic [lower-alpha 3] 2020 60.3%Eligible
  • TBD
Puerto Rico Pedro Pierluisi New Progressive [lower-alpha 4] 2020 32.9% PNPRunning

Delaware

Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term.

New Castle County executive Matt Meyer became the first declared candidate on June 6, 2023. [40]

Indiana

Governor Eric Holcomb was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 56.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. United States senator Mike Braun, [41] Lieutenant Governor Suzanne Crouch, [42] former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden [43] and former attorney general Curtis Hill [44] are running for the Republican nomination.

Former Republican Indiana superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick is running for the Democratic nomination, having switched parties in 2021. [45]

Missouri

Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he will be term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. [46] [47] In the Democratic primary, Missouri House of Representatives minority leader Crystal Quade has declared her candidacy. [48]

Montana

Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is running for re-election. [49]

On June 13, 2023, Republican state representative Tanner Smith launched a primary challenge to Gianforte. [50]

New Hampshire

Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023 he announced he would not seek re-election. [51] Former acting governor Chuck Morse and former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte have announced their campaigns for the Republican nomination. [52] [12] Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns has expressed interest in running. [53] In the Democratic primary, former Manchester mayor Joyce Craig [54] and Executive Council of New Hampshire member Cinde Warmington [55] have declared their candidacies.

North Carolina

North Carolina gubernatorial election
Flag of North Carolina.svg
←  2020
2028 →
  Josh Stein (crop).jpg 3I3A3929 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Josh Stein Mark Robinson
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Roy Cooper
Democratic



Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney general Josh Stein defeated former North Carolina Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson defeated State Treasurer Dale Folwell for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. [56] [57] [58] [59]

North Dakota

Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023. [60] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remained eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum initially ran for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election, [61] but dropped out before the primaries. On January 22, 2024, he announced he would not seek re-election. [17]

Utah

Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term. Although Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits, he pledged to only serve two terms. [62]

Vermont

Governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024. Scott has said that he expects to make a decision by "early spring". [63]

Washington

Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term but he has decided not to seek re-election. [64] Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson and state senator Mark Mullet have declared their candidacies, [65] [66] while in the Republican primary, former representative Dave Reichert has declared his candidacy. [67]

West Virginia

Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and is ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term.

Candidates in the Republican primary include former state delegate Moore Capito, [68] businessman Chris Miller, [69] state attorney general Patrick Morrisey, [70] and secretary of state Mac Warner [71] Huntington mayor Steve Williams has declared he will run in the Democratic primary. [72] [73]

Territories

American Samoa

Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected Governor in the 2020 general election with 60.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election. While the Governor has not revealed his intention, Paramount Chief Mauga Tasi Asuega has been working to ensure the Governor's reelection. [74] Pula T. I. Nikolao Pula, former Director of the Office of Insular Affairs, announced his candidacy on March 4, 2024. [75] Pula announced High Chief Pulu Ae Ae, Jr., a former faipule for Maʻopūtasi County as his running mate. [74]

Puerto Rico

Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and stated that he would on March 20, 2022 during the New Progressive Party's general assembly. [33]

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. ↑ Governor Jim Justice was originally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020. [29]
  3. ↑ The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
  4. ↑ Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level.

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  53. ↑ @BurnsForNH (January 12, 2023). "With Governor Sununu moving onto the Presidential race, I'm very flattered with all the calls I received urging me to run for Governor" (Tweet) – via Twitter.[ better source needed ]
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  55. ↑ Sexton, Adam (2023-06-01). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
  56. ↑ Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico .
  57. ↑ Schoenbaum, Hannah (September 12, 2023). "Former North Carolina justice enters Democratic primary for governor in 2024". Associated Press .
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  62. ↑ McKellar, Katie (April 21, 2022). "Are Utah Republicans mad at Gov. Cox for transgender veto? Let political chips fall, he says". Deseret News . Retrieved April 25, 2022. Cox has said he does intend to run for reelection in 2024. On Thursday, he told reporters he stands by his pledge to only serve two terms.
  63. ↑ Kinzel, Bob (2023-10-19). "If Gov. Phil Scott runs for reelection, he will remain a Republican". Vermont Public. Retrieved 2023-11-13.
  64. ↑ Furtado, David (2023-05-01). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved 2023-05-01.
  65. ↑ Withycombe, Claire (2023-06-01). "What to know about state Sen. Mark Mullet as he joins race for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  66. ↑ Gutman, David; Brunner, Jim (2023-05-02). "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  67. ↑ "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". king5.com. July 7, 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  68. ↑ McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  69. ↑ Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". The Intelligencer. Wheeling-News Register . Retrieved December 24, 2021.
  70. ↑ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. 2023-04-04. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  71. ↑ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS. 2023-01-10. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  72. ↑ Nolting, Mike (April 5, 2023). "Huntington mayor eyes run for governor as 'a climb worth taking'". West Virginia MetroNews .
  73. ↑ "Steve Williams becomes 1st Democrat to enter West Virginia governor's race". Associated Press . September 4, 2023. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
  74. 1 2 Fa’asau, Asi Andrew (March 25, 2024). "Pulu Ae Ae, Jr confirms his run for Lt. Governor with Pula Nikolao Pula". Samoa News . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  75. ↑ Annesley, Rhonda (March 5, 2024). "2024 HOPE: Pula T.I. Nikolau Pula becomes the first to announce his candidacy for Governor". Samoa News . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
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