2024 United States presidential election in Florida

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2024 United States presidential election in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
Turnout78.9% (of active registered voters) [1] Increase2.svg 1.73 pp
66.7% (of estimated voting-eligible population) [2]
  TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote300
Popular vote6,110,1254,683,038
Percentage56.09%42.99%
Florida Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
Florida 2024 US Presidential Election By Congressional District.svg
Florida 2024 Pres.svg
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. [3] This gave Florida the third-most electoral votes in the country, which marked the first time it carried more weight than New York (28 electoral votes) in a presidential election.

Contents

A heavily populated South Atlantic state, Florida had previously been considered a crucial swing state and a bellwether in past elections, but has shifted significantly to the political right since the 2022 gubernatorial election where incumbent Governor Ron DeSantis won re-election with a 19.4% margin of victory. Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidified Florida further as a safe red state. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas: North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South, and South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence with large Catholic Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan, and Venezuelan populations in the Miami metropolitan area.

Trump defeated Harris in Florida by 13.1 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for a candidate in the state since 1988. Trump won all three of the state’s majority-Hispanic counties. Per exit polls, Trump won 63% of White voters, 58% of Hispanic voters, and 15% of Black voters in the state. [4]

Trump received the most votes for a political candidate ever in the state, breaking his previous record from 2020, and marking the first time since 1984 that a Republican won the state with a margin of over one million votes. Trump's overall total of 6.1 million votes was the second-highest total number of votes he received in any state in the country in 2024, only behind his 6.4 million in Texas.

In 2016, Trump was elected as a candidate from New York; in 2019, he formally changed his primary residence to Mar-a-Lago, becoming the first Floridian to serve as president. However, it was not until 2024 that Trump would become the first presidential candidate from Florida to be elected. Though, Kamala Harris did not flip a county Biden had lost in 2020. Kamala Harris was able to flip Palm Beach County, which had voted for Governor Ron DeSantis in 2022, returning it to the Democratic column.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Florida Republican primary, March 19, 2024 [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 911,42481.19%1250125
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)155,56013.86%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)41,2693.68%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)8,9530.80%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)2,8500.25%000
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)1,3850.12%000
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)1,1900.11%000
Total:1,122,631100.00%1250125

Democratic primary

On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which meant that the primary would be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns. [6] [7] Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move. [8] On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips's, Williamson's, and Uygur's names to the ballot. [9] The voter lost in district court. [10]

Winner (assumptive)

Endorsements

Joe Biden

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Hypothetical polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden		Hillary
Clinton		Kamala
Harris		Gavin
Newsom		Undecided
Suffolk University [15] September 15–18, 2022163 (LV)–50%––33%17%
Suffolk University [16] January 26–29, 2022164 (LV)–43%46%––11% [c]
Victory Insights [17] September 16–18, 2021200 (LV)–60%–17%–23% [d]

General election

Trump assassination attempt

On September 15, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while golfing at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. 58-year-old Ryan Wesley Routh was spotted hiding in nearby shrubbery while aiming a rifle at a member of Trump's security detail. [18] A Secret Service agent fired upon Routh, who fled the scene and was later captured in Martin County. [19] The incident occurred two months after Trump survived a previous assassination attempt while speaking at a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.

Candidates

The following presidential candidates received ballot access in Florida: [20]

In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. withdrew his name from the ballot after he suspended his campaign. [21]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Likely RAugust 27, 2024
Inside Elections [23] Lean RAugust 29, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Likely RAugust 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [25] Likely ROctober 21, 2024
CNalysis [26] Likely RNovember 4, 2024
CNN [27] Lean RSeptember 1, 2024
The Economist [28] Likely RJune 12, 2024
538 [29] Likely ROctober 8, 2024
NBC News [30] Likely ROctober 6, 2024
YouGov [31] Lean ROctober 16, 2024
Split Ticket [32] Likely RNovember 1, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Undecided
[e] 		Margin
270ToWin [33] October 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202444.6%51.1%4.3%Trump +6.5%
538 [34] through November 4, 2024November 4, 202444.6%51.2%4.2%Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletin [35] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.8%51.3%3.9%Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ [36] through November 3, 2024November 3, 202444.9%51.6%3.2%Trump +6.7%
Average44.7%51.3%4.0%Trump +6.6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Research Co. [37] November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%51%44%5%
Victory Insights [38] November 1–2, 2024400 (LV)–51%47%2% [f]
Stetson University [39] [40] October 25 – November 1, 2024452 (LV)± 5.0%53%46%1% [g]
Morning Consult [41] October 23 − November 1, 20242,022 (LV)± 2.0%51%46%3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [42] October 19–27, 2024913 (RV)± 3.2%53%44%3% [h]
897 (LV)53%44%3% [h]
ActiVote [43] October 11–27, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%56%44%–
St. Pete Polls [44] [A] October 23–25, 20241,227 (LV)± 2.8%50%45%5% [i]
CES/YouGov [45] October 1–25, 20245,952 (A)–51%47%2%
5,916 (LV)52%46%2%
Hunt Research [46] [B] October 16–22, 20241,234 (LV)± 2.8%50%45%5%
Emerson College [47] October 18–20, 2024860 (LV)± 3.3%52%44%4% [g]
54% [j] 46%–
Cherry Communications (R) [48] [C] October 10–20, 2024614 (LV)± 4.0%51%45%4%
ActiVote [49] October 7–20, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%55%45%–
University of North Florida [50] October 7–18, 2024977 (LV)± 3.5%53%43%4% [k]
RMG Research [51] [D] October 14–17, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%52%45%3% [l]
52% [j] 47%1%
Rose Institute/YouGov [52] October 7–17, 20241,094 (RV)± 3.5%50%45%7% [m]
1,094 (RV)51% [j] 46%3%
1,076 (LV)51%46%3%
The Terrance Group (R) [53] [E] October 5–8, 2024818 (RV)± 3.5%51%44%5%
Marist College [54] October 3–7, 20241,410 (RV)± 3.3%51%47%2% [n]
1,257 (LV)± 3.6%51%47%2% [n]
New York Times/Siena College [55] September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0%55%41%4%
ActiVote [56] September 17 – October 6, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%–
Mason-Dixon [57] [F] October 1–4, 2024625 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%8% [o]
RMG Research [58] [D] September 25–27, 2024774 (LV)± 3.5%50%47%3% [l]
50% [j] 48%2%
Public Policy Polling (D) [59] [G] September 25–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%50%46%4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [60] [H] September 23–25, 20241,200 (LV)± 2.8%51%46%3%
Victory Insights [61] September 22–25, 2024600 (LV)± 4.4%47%45%8%
The Bullfinch Group [62] [I] September 20–23, 2024600 (RV)± 4.0%48%47%5%
Morning Consult [41] September 9−18, 20242,948 (LV)± 2.0%50%47%3%
Morning Consult [41] August 30 – September 8, 20243,182 (LV)± 2.0%49%47%4%
Emerson College [63] September 3–5, 2024815 (LV)± 3.4%50%45%5%
51% [j] 48%1% [g]
ActiVote [64] August 16–31, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%47%–
Cherry Communications (R) [65] [C] August 15–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%52%45%3%
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [G] August 21–22, 2024837 (RV)± 3.4%51%47%2%
ActiVote [67] August 5–15, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%54%46%–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [68] August 10–11, 20241,055 (RV)± 3.0%49%46%5% [p]
1,040 (LV)50%47%3% [h]
University of North Florida [69] July 24–27, 2024774 (LV)± 4.6%49%42%9% [q]
July 21, 2024Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R) [70] [J] July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12% [r]
Suffolk University/USA Today [15] September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–46%44%10%
Victory Insights [17] September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
Focaldata [71] October 3 – November 1, 20241,250 (LV)–52%45%–0%0%3%
1,099 (RV)± 2.8%50%46%–1%0%3%
1,250 (A)–49%47%–1%0%3%
Cygnal (R) [72] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%43%–1%1%7% [s]
Hunt Research [46] [B] October 16–22, 20241,234 (LV)± 2.8%50%44%–0%0%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [73] October 16–18, 20241,275 (LV)–49%45%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [74] October 12–14, 20241,009 (LV)–50%44%–1%0%5%
New York Times/Siena College [55] September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0%53%40%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [75] September 27 – October 2, 20242,946 (LV)–49%45%–1%1%4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [59] [G] September 25–26, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%49%45%0%1%–5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [76] September 16–19, 20241,602 (LV)–50%45%–0%1%4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [77] September 6–9, 20241,465 (LV)–50%44%–0%0%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [78] August 25–28, 2024980 (LV)± 3.1%48%43%–0%1%8% [t]
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian		Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College [55] September 29 – October 6, 2024622 (LV)± 5.0%53%40%0%0%0%1%6%
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D) [66] [G] August 21–22, 2024837 (RV)± 3.4%48%45%2%1%1%–3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [79] August 12–15, 20241,296 (LV)–48%43%3%–0%1%5%
Suffolk University/USA Today [80] [K] August 7–11, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%42%5%0%0%1%5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [81] July 31 – August 3, 2024976 (LV)–47%41%5%–0%1%6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [82] July 22–24, 2024572 (LV)–47%39%5%–0%1%8%
Targoz Market Research [83] [L] July 19–24, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%46%39%5%1%1%0%8%
988 (LV)47%42%4%0%0%1%6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [68] August 10–11, 20241,055 (RV)± 3.0%47%44%5%4% [h]
1,040 (LV)47%45%5%3% [h]
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [84] [H] August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–52%44%3%1%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
InsiderAdvantage (R) [70] [J] July 15–16, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6% [u]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [85] June 8–9, 2024883 (RV)± 3.3%46%42%13%
771 (LV)49%43%8%
The Tyson Group (R) [86] June 6–9, 20241,050 (LV)± 3.0%46%36%18%
Fox News [87] June 1–4, 20241,075 (RV)± 3.0%50%46%4%
CBS News/YouGov [88] May 10–16, 20241,209 (RV)± 3.9%54%45%1%
Prime Group [89] [M] May 9–16, 2024486 (RV)–53%47%–
Cherry Communications (R) [90] [C] April 28 – May 7, 2024609 (RV)± 4.0%51%42%7%
John Zogby Strategies [91] [N] April 13–21, 2024749 (LV)–51%42%7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [92] April 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%50%42%8%
815 (LV)51%43%6%
Emerson College [93] April 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%
56% [j] 44%–
St. Pete Polls [94] March 11–13, 20241,963 (LV)± 2.2%48%42%10%
Cygnal (R) [95] November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%48%43%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [96] October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [97] October 7–9, 20231,100 (RV)–44%39%17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [98] June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%39%2%
Metropolitan Research Services [99] March 15–19, 20231,001 (RV)–47%43%10%
Emerson College [100] March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%44%44%12%
University of North Florida [101] February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%50%43%7%
Victory Insights [102] November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%49%51%–
Rasmussen Reports (R) [103] [O] November 8–9, 20221,224 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%
Florida Atlantic University [104] October 12–16, 2022719 (LV)± 3.7%45%41%14%
Suffolk University [15] September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–47%44%9%
Echelon Insights [105] August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%49%41%10%
Suffolk University [16] January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%47%44%9%
Victory Insights [17] September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
St. Pete Polls [106] [A] August 16–17, 20212,068 (RV)± 2.2%47%48%5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [107] [P] August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%42%50%8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Cornel
West
Independent		Jill
Stein
Green		Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research [83] [L] July 19–24, 20241,200 (RV)± 2.8%47%35%6%0%1%11% [v]
988 (LV)46%39%5%0%1%9% [w]
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Fox News [87] June 1–4, 20241,075 (RV)± 3.0%47%40%7%2%1%3%
Prime Group [89] [M] May 9–16, 2024486 (RV)–48%39%9%3%1%–
Emerson College [93] April 9–10, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%35%6%1%1%8%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024Joe Biden withdraws from the race.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [85] June 8–9, 2024883 (A)± 3.3%43%37%10%10%
771 (LV)45%40%8%6%
Cherry Communications (R) [90] [C] April 28 – May 7, 2024609 (RV)± 4.0%46%37%10%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [108] May 2–4, 2024586 (LV)± 3.7%47%38%6%9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [92] April 15–17, 2024865 (RV)± 3.3%48%38%7%7%
815 (LV)49%40%6%5%
USA Today/Ipsos [109] April 5–7, 20241,014 (A)± 4.1%39%31%7%23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [110] March 14–17, 2024815 (LV)–46%39%7%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [111] December 28–30, 20231,147 (LV)–45%34%9%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [112] November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–44%34%9%13%
Cygnal (R) [95] November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%44%37%11%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [97] October 7–9, 20231100 (LV)–44%37%8%11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [91] [N] April 13–21, 2024749 (LV)–48%37%15%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [91] [N] April 13–21, 2024749 (LV)–47%40%13%

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Donald
Trump
Republican		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University [16] January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%42%9%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [112] November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–27%32%16%24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent		Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [112] November 27–29, 2023897 (LV)–38%34%12%16%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [95] November 13–15, 2023800 (LV)± 3.4%46%43%11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [96] October 27 – November 11, 2023946 (RV)± 3.2%47%39%15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [98] June 27 – July 1, 2023933 (RV)± 3.2%49%36%15%
Emerson College [100] March 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%46%43%11%
University of North Florida [101] February 25 – March 7, 20231,452 (RV)± 2.6%51%42%8%
Cherry Communications [113] [C] February 10–19, 2023608 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%13%
Victory Insights [102] November 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%53%47%–
Suffolk University [15] September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%44%4%
Echelon Insights [105] August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%51%42%7%
Suffolk University [16] January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%44%4%
Victory Insights [17] September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%49%51%–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) [114] September 11–12, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [107] August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%47%49%4%

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University [15] September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)–52%40%8%
Victory Insights [17] September 16–18, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%51%49%–

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [b] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Hillary
Clinton
Democratic		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University [16] January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%53%40%7%

Results

State Senate district results 2024 United States presidential election in Florida by State Senate District.svg
State Senate district results
2024 United States presidential election in Florida [115] [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
6,110,125 56.09% +4.87%
Democratic
4,683,03842.99%−4.87%
Green
43,1550.40%+0.27%
Libertarian
31,9720.29%−0.35%
Socialism and Liberation
11,9690.11%+0.06%
American Solidarity
7,4540.07%N/A
Constitution
5,8340.05%+0.01%
Write-in 2050.00%N/A
Total valid votes10,893,75299.00%−0.31%
Invalid or blank votes110,4571.00%
Turnout 11,004,20978.89%+1.72%
Registered electors 13,949,168100.00%−3.41%

By county

County [116] Donald Trump
Republican		Kamala Harris
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Alachua 52,93938.56%81,57859.42%2,7652.02%-28,639-20.86%137,282
Baker 12,92686.11%1,98213.20%1030.69%10,94472.91%15,011
Bay 71,49772.84%25,20125.67%1,4591.49%46,29647.17%98,157
Bradford 10,92078.27%2,94621.12%860.61%7,97457.15%13,952
Brevard 216,53359.65%141,23338.91%5,2491.44%75,30020.74%363,015
Broward 358,95240.92%507,32857.83%10,9821.25%-148,376-16.91%877,262
Calhoun 5,36783.29%1,02115.84%560.87%4,34667.45%6,444
Charlotte 82,48066.45%40,45032.59%1,1880.96%42,03033.86%124,118
Citrus 71,35672.41%26,27626.67%9080.92%45,08045.74%98,540
Clay 87,71168.90%37,92629.79%1,6651.31%49,78539.11%127,302
Collier 143,26765.89%71,72032.98%2,4471.13%71,54732.91%217,434
Columbia 25,10874.53%8,25024.49%3320.98%16,85850.04%33,690
DeSoto 8,88870.96%3,52528.14%1120.90%5,36342.82%12,525
Dixie 6,92084.77%1,18314.49%600.74%5,73770.28%8,163
Duval 236,28549.92%229,36548.46%7,6831.62%6,9201.46%473,333
Escambia 96,40758.96%64,60139.51%2,4961.53%31,80619.45%163,504
Flagler 51,01463.59%28,43135.44%7720.97%22,58328.15%80,217
Franklin 4,83171.20%1,87027.56%841.24%2,96143.64%6,785
Gadsden 7,49534.17%14,20364.76%2341.07%-6,708-30.59%21,932
Gilchrist 8,93183.27%1,66215.50%1321.23%7,26967.77%10,725
Glades 4,03476.11%1,22223.06%440.83%2,81253.05%5,300
Gulf 6,68476.62%1,97022.58%700.80%4,71454.04%8,724
Hamilton 3,96468.92%1,72730.02%611.06%2,23738.90%5,752
Hardee 6,33677.65%1,75121.46%730.89%4,58556.19%8,160
Hendry 9,25368.61%4,09630.37%1381.02%5,15738.24%13,487
Hernando 75,44667.94%34,43131.00%1,1751.06%41,01536.94%111,052
Highlands 36,38269.92%15,22729.27%4220.81%21,15540.65%52,031
Hillsborough 342,01750.68%321,45547.63%11,4351.69%20,5623.05%674,907
Holmes 8,19389.72%8829.66%570.62%7,31180.06%9,132
Indian River 62,73763.06%35,65435.84%1,1021.10%27,08327.22%99,493
Jackson 16,07472.56%5,89226.60%1860.84%10,18245.96%22,152
Jefferson 5,01158.73%3,42940.19%921.08%1,58218.54%8,532
Lafayette 3,29687.50%44111.71%300.79%2,85575.79%3,767
Lake 140,50061.75%84,54637.16%2,4681.09%55,95424.59%227,514
Lee 250,66163.60%139,24035.33%4,2041.07%111,42128.27%394,105
Leon 60,39738.29%94,52059.93%2,8101.78%-34,123-21.64%157,727
Levy 18,24574.62%5,99424.51%2120.87%12,25150.11%24,451
Liberty 2,89882.89%56616.19%320.92%2,33266.70%3,496
Madison 5,87464.01%3,23135.21%710.78%2,64328.80%9,176
Manatee 140,48661.13%86,67437.72%2,6521.15%53,81223.41%229,812
Marion 140,17365.27%72,43633.73%2,1341.00%67,73731.54%214,743
Martin 64,12164.90%33,53933.95%1,1361.15%30,58230.95%98,796
Miami-Dade 605,59055.19%480,35543.78%11,2641.03%125,23511.41%1,097,209
Monroe 26,06458.57%17,93340.30%5051.13%8,13118.27%44,502
Nassau 47,94572.72%17,14326.00%8461.28%30,80246.72%65,934
Okaloosa 80,30970.31%32,07428.08%1,8421.61%48,23542.23%114,225
Okeechobee 12,31576.51%3,67122.81%1100.68%8,64453.70%16,096
Orange 258,27942.37%340,80755.91%10,5211.72%-82,528-13.54%609,607
Osceola 86,71350.04%84,20548.59%2,3711.37%2,5081.45%173,289
Palm Beach 366,83649.20%372,51250.00%4,7750.80%-5,676-0.76%748,489
Pasco 197,77961.87%117,45036.74%4,4351.39%80,32925.13%319,664
Pinellas 269,47251.89%242,45246.68%7,4161.43%27,0205.21%519,340
Polk 209,04459.71%136,87939.10%4,1911.19%72,16520.61%350,114
Putnam 26,70073.41%9,35425.72%3160.87%17,34647.69%36,370
St. Johns 128,75964.87%66,86233.68%2,8751.45%61,89731.19%198,496
St. Lucie 100,29354.00%83,51744.97%1,9221.03%16,7769.03%185,732
Santa Rosa 84,31474.67%27,03523.94%1,5611.39%57,27950.73%112,910
Sarasota 163,21958.48%112,66840.37%3,2141.15%50,55118.11%279,101
Seminole 129,73550.90%120,71747.37%4,4081.73%9,0183.53%254,860
Sumter 72,13468.30%32,55130.82%9230.88%39,58337.48%105,608
Suwannee 17,56179.98%4,21719.21%1790.81%13,34460.77%21,957
Taylor 7,95479.37%1,99119.87%770.76%5,96359.50%10,022
Union 5,22483.64%97115.55%510.81%4,25368.09%6,246
Volusia 187,69160.23%120,13238.55%3,8211.22%67,55921.68%311,644
Wakulla 14,24671.51%5,44127.31%2361.18%8,80544.20%19,923
Walton 38,97078.25%10,28720.66%5451.09%28,68357.59%49,802
Washington 10,37082.14%2,14016.95%1150.91%8,23065.19%12,625
Totals6,110,12555.87%4,683,03842.82%142,3021.31%1,427,08713.05%10,935,465

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Florida County Swings in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg
Florida County Flips 2024.svg

By congressional district

Trump won 20 of 28 congressional districts. [118]

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
1st 67.7%30.8% Matt Gaetz
2nd 58.4%40.3% Neal Dunn
3rd 59.8%38.9% Kat Cammack
4th 55.2%43.4% Aaron Bean
5th 59.9%38.5% John Rutherford
6th 64.5%34.5% Michael Waltz
7th 55.4%43.0% Cory Mills
8th 60.4%38.2% Bill Posey (118th Congress)
Mike Haridopolos (119th Congress)
9th 47.5%51.0% Darren Soto
10th 37.8%60.4% Maxwell Frost
11th 57.4%41.8% Daniel Webster
12th 66.7%32.2% Gus Bilirakis
13th 55.2%43.4% Anna Paulina Luna
14th 45.4%53.0% Kathy Castor
15th 54.6%43.5% Laurel Lee
16th 57.1%41.7% Vern Buchanan
17th 61.4%37.5% Greg Steube
18th 64.1%34.8% Scott Franklin
19th 64.0%34.9% Byron Donalds
20th 29.7%69.2% Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
21st 57.7%41.2% Brian Mast
22nd 46.6%52.2% Lois Frankel
23rd 48.4%50.3% Jared Moskowitz
24th 34.5%64.3% Frederica Wilson
25th 46.7%52.0% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
26th 67.2%31.9% Mario Díaz-Balart
27th 56.9%42.0% María Elvira Salazar
28th 62.2%36.8% Carlos A. Giménez

Analysis

In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019 [119] ) carried the state again by 3.4 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms. [120] [121]

A heavily populated South Atlantic state, Florida had formerly been considered a crucial swing state and a bellwether in previous election cycles, but has shifted significantly to the political right and is now considered a safe red state with Trump's double-digit margin of victory solidifying it as such. Florida has two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban, Haitian, Central and South American populations in the Miami metropolitan area.

Although Democrats did not seriously contest the state, this still was their worst presidential performance in the state since 1988. Florida and Iowa had voted twice for Democrat Barack Obama, and voted for Trump by 13% in 2024.

Florida voted over 10% to the right of the nation and its neighboring state of Georgia. Florida had previously voted to the left of Georgia from 1996 to 2016, and in 2016 Florida voted for Trump by just 1.2%.

Just eight years prior in 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton had won Miami-Dade by 29%, Broward by 35%, and Palm Beach by 15%. In 2024, Harris lost Miami-Dade by 11%, won Broward by 17%, and won Palm Beach by just 1%. Clinton had won the Miami metropolitan area by 27%, while Harris won it by just 1%. [122]

Some of the largest rightward swings in the country were in South Florida, along with South Texas and the New York metropolitan area. Every single county in Florida swung rightward, with the three majority-Hispanic counties swinging the hardest.

County swings

2024 Miami Metropolitan Presidential Election Miami Metro Prectint by Prectint data of the 2024 election.svg
2024 Miami Metropolitan Presidential Election

Florida handed Republican Donald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 1,427,087 votes—his second-largest state win in terms of vote count, behind Texas. This was the first time since 1988 that the state was won with a double-digit margin, and that Miami-Dade County voted Republican. [123] It was also the first time since 1992 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections. Trump became the first Republican nominee to win Hillsborough County and Osceola County since 2004. [124] He also flipped back Duval County, Pinellas County, and Seminole County after carrying them in 2016. [125] Trump narrowly lost his home county of Palm Beach.

Following the 2022 midterms under Governor Ron DeSantis and Senator Marco Rubio, this election has cemented Florida's transition from a swing state to a reliable red state. Trump’s performance was similar to Rubio’s 2022 U.S. Senate performance, with both only narrowly losing Palm Beach County. Relatedly, Republican Rick Scott won by a nearly identical 12.8% margin in the concurrent 2024 U.S. Senate election in Florida with the same county map.

According to exit polls, Hispanic men voted to the right of White women in the state. Trump also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida. DeSantis and Rubio had also won a majority of Hispanic women in Florida in 2022. Miami-Dade County (70% Hispanic) voted for Trump by over 11%, shifting rightward by 19 percentage points and voting almost as strongly for Trump as his 13% statewide margin. The state’s most populous county, Miami-Dade had voted for Hillary Clinton by 29% and Biden by 7%, with the county shifting hard to the right like many South Texas counties over Trump’s three runs. Trump won a majority of Hispanics in Florida and Texas, based on exit polls and county results in majority-Hispanic counties.

The only counties where Harris held up well were majority-Black Gadsden County, 30% Black Leon County (home to the state capital of Tallahassee), and Alachua County (home to the University of Florida). Gadsden County gave Harris 65% of the vote, Leon County 60%, and Alachua County 59%.

Harris only narrowly won the Miami metropolitan area, as a whole winning the three counties of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade over Trump by just 1,360,195 to 1,331,378 (49.95% to 48.89%). In Broward County (home to Fort Lauderdale and 27% Black), Harris won just 58% of the vote, the lowest for a Democratic candidate there since 1992. Broward voted to the right of Gadsden, Leon, and Alachua counties despite being far more populous. Harris only won Palm Beach County by less than 1%, though it was Trump’s home county and Ron DeSantis had won the county in 2022.

Florida had the third-largest swing to the right in this election (after New York and New Jersey), with Trump improving his performance from 2020 by 9.7%. It was also the largest swing to the right in a state he won.

Exit poll data

2024 presidential election in Florida voter demographics [126]
Demographic subgroupTrumpHarris% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals128719
Moderates465344
Conservatives91938
Party
Democrats 29725
Republicans 93639
Independents534536
Gender
Men623846
Women514854
Race/ethnicity
White633759
Black158312
Latino584224
Asiann/an/a2
All other races71283
Cuban/Puerto Rican descent
Cuban descent70306
Puerto Rican descent45537
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men683127
White women584132
Black men23765
Black women11887
Latino men633712
Latina women524612
All other races70295
Age
18–29 years old445614
30–44 years old564323
45–64 years old594035
65 and older584128
First time voter
Yes514911
No574289
2020 presidential vote
Biden79238
Trump97348
Another candidaten/an/a2
Did not vote534711
Education
No college degree584164
College graduate534636
Education by race
White college graduates564324
White no college degree673235
Non-white college graduates465312
Non-white no college degree475328
Area type
Urban504946
Suburban613846
Rural64358
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove94550
Somewhat disapprove524614
Somewhat approve59518
Strongly approve29716
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Angry792027
Dissatisfied594051
Satisfied178315
Enthusiasticn/an/a5
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead732734
Can bring needed change752328
Has good judgment188018
Cares about people like me307018
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate613876
Against their opponent356321
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy178230
Economy802038
Abortion208011
Immigration861416
Foreign policyn/an/a3
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened564440
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened574333
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure495017
Democracy in the U.S. very securen/an/a8
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident485138
Somewhat confident594043
Not very confident633513
Not at all confidentn/an/a4
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor861340
Not so good613731
Good89122
Excellentn/an/a6
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago841555
About the same267225
Better than four years ago138619
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases247427
Legal in most cases465337
Illegal in most cases94627
Illegal in all casesn/an/a5

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 23%
  5. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ↑ "Other" with 2%
  7. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 1%
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 "Another candidate" with 1%
  9. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  11. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  12. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. ↑ "Other" with 5%
  14. 1 2 "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  15. ↑ "One of the other party tickets" with 2%
  16. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  17. ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%
  18. ↑ "Another candidate" with 7%
  19. ↑ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Peter Sonski (ASP) with 1% each; Randall Terry (C) with 0%
  20. ↑ "Other (another third party/write-in)" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Another candidate" with 3%
  22. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  23. ↑ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for Florida Politics
  2. 1 2 Poll conducted for Florida State University
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  4. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Florida
  6. ↑ Poll conducted for WTVJ & WSCV
  7. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  8. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Associated Industries of Florida
  9. ↑ Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  10. 1 2 Poll conducted for WTVT
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by WSVN-TV
  12. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
  13. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third-party candidates
  14. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by BUSR

References

  1. 1 2 "November 5, 2024 General Election: Voter Registration and Turnout". Florida Department of State. November 5, 2024.
  2. ↑ McDonald, Michael. "Turnout Rates in the 2024 General Election (v0.1)". University of Florida Election Lab.
  3. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  4. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (December 28, 2024). "Democrats have a Florida problem". Politico. National Democrats are grappling with an identity crisis. It's even worse in Florida. For those who'd been in denial, the 2024 election proclaimed Florida as a red state. The party got romped up and down the ticket, and many of the same factors that affected the rest of the U.S. were magnified here: Voters were deeply concerned about immigration, inflation, and the economy, and Republicans received strong support from Hispanics.
  5. ↑ "Florida Presidential Primary". The AP. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  6. ↑ Otterbein, Holly; Fineout, Gary (November 30, 2023). "Florida Democrats plan to cancel presidential primary, enraging Dean Phillips' campaign". Politico . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  7. ↑ John, Arit (November 30, 2023). "Dean Phillips criticizes Florida Democrats for his absence from primary ballot". CNN . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  8. ↑ Timotija, Filip (December 1, 2023). "Long-shot candidates blast Florida Democrats for absence on primary ballot". The Hill . Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  9. ↑ Fineout, Gary (December 11, 2023). "Federal judge asked to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  10. ↑ Fineout, Gary (January 12, 2024). "Federal judge rejects attempt to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
  11. 1 2 3 Cappabianca, Corina (April 25, 2023). "Florida members of Congress react to Biden's reelection announcement". NY1.
  12. ↑ McCammond, Alexi; Treene, Alayna; Solender, Andrew (August 5, 2022). "Dems dodge on Biden '24". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023.
  13. ↑ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
  14. ↑ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 "9-21-2022 Florida Midterms with USA TODAY Network marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University. September 18, 2022.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 "Florida Midterms with USA TODAY Network - Marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University. February 1, 2022.
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 "FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL POLL: BIDEN, TRUMP, DESANTIS, HARRIS EACH HAVE A SHOT" (PDF). Victory Insights. September 18, 2021.
  18. ↑ Lapointe, Markenzy (September 23, 2024). "Written Factual Proffer in Support of Pretrial Detention" (PDF). Fox News . FOX Television Stations. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  19. ↑ Devine, Curt; Chapman, Isabelle; et al. (September 16, 2024). "Man detained in apparent assassination attempt on Trump criticized former president on social media". CNN. Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  20. ↑ "The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State". The Green Papers. Retrieved September 1, 2024.
  21. 1 2 Bridges, C. A. (August 28, 2024). "Will Robert F. Kennedy be on the Florida ballot after dropping out, endorsing Trump?". Tallahassee Democrat (Digital). Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  22. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  24. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  25. ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
  26. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved November 4, 2024.
  27. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  28. ↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  29. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 25, 2024. Retrieved October 8, 2024.
  30. ↑ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  31. ↑ "2024 Presidential Election Polls". YouGov.
  32. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Split Ticket. June 2, 2023.
  33. ↑ "Florida 2024 Presidential Election Polls". 270ToWin. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  34. ↑ "Who's ahead in Florida?". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on December 26, 2024. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  35. ↑ Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli. "FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  36. ↑ "Harris vs. Trump polls, Florida". The Hill. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
  37. ↑ Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
  38. ↑ "TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 4.3% IN FINAL FLORIDA POLL OF 2024" (PDF). Victory Insights. November 4, 2024.
  39. ↑ Smallpage, Steven (November 1, 2024). "Trump Holds 7-point Lead Over Harris in Florida, New CPOR Poll Finds". Stetson University . Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  40. ↑ "November Poll Crosstabs" (PDF). Stetson University . Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  41. 1 2 3 Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State". Morning Consult.
  42. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. October 29, 2024.
  43. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Florida". ActiVote.
  44. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (October 28, 2024). "Poll shows abortion rights measure falling just short of passage in Florida; will need undecided voters to break its way". Florida Politics.
  45. ↑ "2024 presidential vote preferences by state". Cooperative Election Study. October 29, 2024.
  46. 1 2 "IGC Statewide Survey of Florida" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight . October 25, 2024.
  47. ↑ "October 2024 Florida Poll: Trump 52%, Harris 44%". Emerson College Polling. October 23, 2024.
  48. ↑ "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Donald Trump & Rick Scott Closing the 2024 General Election Campaign in Florida Leading Their Democratic Opponents, While Governor Ron DeSantis Remains Popular with Floridians". Florida Chamber of Commerce. October 25, 2024.
  49. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 21, 2024). "Trump extends lead in Florida". ActiVote.
  50. ↑ "UNF Poll shows Trump ahead by double digits in Florida" (PDF). University of North Florida. October 21, 2024.
  51. ↑ "FLORIDA Trump 52% Harris 47%". Napolitan Institute. October 18, 2024. Retrieved October 18, 2024.
  52. ↑ Sinclair, J. Andrew; Miller, Kenneth P. (October 30, 2024). "Trump, Scott on track to win in Florida" (PDF). Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government.
  53. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (October 15, 2024). "Trump's headed to Florida for Hispanic town hall". Politico .
  54. ↑ "U.S. Presidential Contest: Florida, October 2024 - Marist Florida Poll". Marist Poll. October 10, 2024.
  55. 1 2 3 Cohn, Nate (October 8, 2024). "A Florida Poll That Should Change the Way You Look at the Election". The New York Times.
  56. ↑ Allis, Victor (October 7, 2024). "Trump has steady lead in Florida". ActiVote. Retrieved October 7, 2024.
  57. ↑ Vela, Hatzel (October 13, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: Trump leads Harris in Florida, new poll shows". NBC Miami.
  58. ↑ "FLORIDA: Trump 50% Harris 48%". Napolitan Institute. October 3, 2024.
  59. 1 2 "Latest Polls Show Competitive Senate Races in TX and FL" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. September 29, 2024.
  60. ↑ Bascom, Sarah; Grissom, Kristen (October 2, 2024). "PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP AND SENATOR RICK SCOTT LEADING IN LATEST AIF STATEWIDE POLL". Associated Industries of Florida.
  61. ↑ "FLORIDA POLL: TRUMP & SCOTT NARROWLY LEAD; AMENDMENTS 3 & 4 HEAVILY FAVORED" (PDF). Victory Insights. September 30, 2024.
  62. ↑ "Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines" (PDF). The Independent Center. September 24, 2024.
  63. ↑ "September State Polling: California, Florida, Ohio, Texas". Emerson College Polling. September 6, 2024.
  64. ↑ Allis, Victor (August 31, 2024). "Trump has a solid lead in Florida". ActiVote. Retrieved August 31, 2024.
  65. ↑ "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Donald Trump & Rick Scott Begin 2024 General Election Campaigns in Florida Leading Their Democratic Opponents, While Governor Ron DeSantis Remains Popular with Floridians". Florida Chamber of Commerce. August 29, 2024.
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  113. ↑ "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Local Businesses and Free Enterprise Supported by Voters". Florida Chamber of Commerce. February 23, 2023.
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  115. ↑ "2024 General Election November 5, 2024 Official Election Results". Florida Department of State. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 30, 2024.
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  118. ↑ The Downballot: Florida 2024 pres-by-CD
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  120. ↑ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
  121. ↑ Carrasquillo, Adrian (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis Wins the Florida Latino Vote, Setting Stage for 2024 Clash". Newsweek. Retrieved November 12, 2022. [DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
  122. ↑ Mahtesian, Charlie (November 8, 2024). "The Stunning Geography of Trump's Victory". Politico.
  123. ↑ Gans, Jared (November 6, 2024). "Trump set to win Miami-Dade, a past Democratic base". The Hill. Retrieved November 6, 2024.
  124. ↑ "November 2, 2004 General Election". results.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved November 11, 2024.
  125. ↑ "Florida Department of State – Election Results". results.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved November 11, 2024.
  126. ↑ "Exit poll results 2024". CNN . Retrieved November 21, 2024.
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