2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

Last updated

2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota's at-large district
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  Rep. Julie Fedorchak official photo, 119th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Julie Fedorchak Trygve Hammer
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote249,101109,231
Percentage69.24%30.36%
2024 North Dakota United States House of Representatives election results map by county.svg
ND House 2024.svg
Fedorchak:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hammer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Kelly Armstrong
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Julie Fedorchak
Republican

The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota were held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of North Dakota from its at-large congressional district . The election coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections. The primary elections were held on June 11, 2024.

Contents

Incumbent Republican representative Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022 against an independent candidate. He did not seek re-election in 2024, instead choosing to run for governor. Incumbent Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak won the Republican primary and defeated the Democratic challenger, Trygve Hammer, in the general election with 69 percent of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Alex Balazs

Organizations

Rick Becker

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Julie Fedorchak

U.S. Presidents

Executive branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

  • 20 state senators [17]
  • 34 state representatives [17]

Organizations

Debates

WFZG news hosted a primary debate between Balazs, Becker, and Fedorchak on April 12, 2024. [30]

On May 11, BEK TV hosted a debate between all the candidates. However, Fedorchak and Mohr were unable to attend, leaving just Becker, Balazs, and Mund. [31]

On May 24, a third debate was hosted by KFGO news between all candidates except Mohr. [32] Again on June 6, a fourth debate was hosted by WDAY News between all candidates except Mohr. [33]

2024 North Dakota Congressional election Republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Alex Balazs Rick Becker Julie Fedorchak Sharlet Mohr Cara Mund
1April 12, 2024WFZG NewsScott Hennen & Steve Hallstrom YouTube PPPNN
2May 11, 2024BEK TVDale Wetzel BEK PPAAP
3May 24, 2024KFGO NewsPaul Jurgens, Jim Shaw,
& Amy Dalrymple		 Omny PPPAP
4June 6, 2024WDAY NewsSteve Hallstrom, Scott Hennen YouTube PPPAP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Alex
Balazs		Rick
Becker		Julie
Fedorchak		Cara
Mund		OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence [34] [A] May 20–22, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%5%25%32%10%0% [b] 28%
DFM Research (D) [35] [B] May 6–8, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%5%29%26%14%0% [b] 26%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Alex Balazs (R)$133,039$81,625$51,413
Rick Becker (R)$982,290$633,916$348,374
Julie Fedorchak (R)$1,388,553$1,124,137$264,415
Cara Mund (R)$18,933$4,085$30,386
Source: Federal Election Commission [36]

Results

Primary results by county Fedorchak 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Becker 30-40% 40-50% Balazs 30-40% Tie 30-40% 2024 United States House of Representatives Republican primary in North Dakota results map by county.svg
Primary results by county
  Fedorchak
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Becker
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Balazs
  •   30–40%
  Tie
  •   30-40%
Republican Primary Results [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Julie Fedorchak 43,424 45.9
Republican Rick Becker 27,96529.6
Republican Cara Mund 18,46019.5
Republican Alex Balazs3,7884.0
Republican Sharlet Mohr8000.8
Write-in 1090.1
Total votes94,546 100.0

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Trygve Hammer, teacher [38]

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Trygve
Hammer		Roland
Riemers		Undecided
DFM Research (D) [35] [B] May 6–8, 2024104 (LV)± 9.6%54%4%42%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Trygve Hammer (D)$560,154$397,248$162,905
Source: Federal Election Commission [36]

Results

Primary results by county Hammer 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Riemers 50-60% 2024 United States House of Representatives Democratic primary in North Dakota results map by county.svg
Primary results by county
  Hammer
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Riemers
  •   50–60%
Democratic-NPL primary results [40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPL Trygve Hammer 14,088 73.4
Democratic–NPL Roland Riemers 5,04226.3
Write-in 750.4
Total votes19,205 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [41] Solid RDecember 12, 2023
Inside Elections [42] Solid RDecember 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [43] Safe RJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily [44] Safe RJune 8, 2023
CNalysis [45] Solid RNovember 16, 2023
Decision Desk HQ [46] Solid RJune 1, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Julie
Fedorchak (R)		Trygve
Hammer (D)		Undecided
WPA Intelligence [50] [C] September 28–30, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%53%28%19%
Public Opinion Strategies [51] [D] June 15–19, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%64%25%10%

Results

2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota [52]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Julie Fedorchak 249,101 69.24% +7.04%
Democratic–NPL Trygve Hammer109,23130.36%N/A
Write-in 1,4550.40%+0.17%
Total votes359,787 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 Sharlet Mohr with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by the North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. 1 2 Poll sponsored by North Dakota United, a union for teachers and public sector workers
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

  1. ↑ Fulton, Jacob (February 15, 2024). "North Dakota Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak to run for US House". The Bismarck Tribune . Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  2. ↑ Achterling, Michael (March 12, 2024). "Cando man enters as 4th GOP candidate for North Dakota House race". North Dakota Monitor. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  3. ↑ Jurgens, Paul (January 22, 2024). "Rick Becker announces run for US House of Representatives". KFGO. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  4. 1 2 3 Fulton, Jacob (April 8, 2024). "Cara Mund running for US House in Republican primary". Bismarck Tribune . Retrieved April 8, 2024.
  5. ↑ McFeely, Mike (December 5, 2023). "McFeely: As Armstrong seeks House again, a strong signal Burgum will run for third term as governor". The Dickinson Press . Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Armstrong announces run for ND Governor". KFYR-TV . January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
  7. ↑ Leier, Joe (March 26, 2024). "Campbell drops out of race for US House of Representatives". KFGO . Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  8. 1 2 3 Port, Rob (January 22, 2024). "Which North Dakota Republicans are running for governor and U.S. House?". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved January 23, 2024.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Port, Rob (January 28, 2024). "More names emerge for North Dakota's U.S. House race; status of governor's race unchanged". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  10. ↑ Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Kroshus decides against U.S. House race". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  11. ↑ Springer, Patrick (January 22, 2024). "Doug Burgum will not seek 3rd term; Lt. Gov. Miller expresses interest as AG Wrigley declines". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 "Sen. John Hoeven endorses Julie Fedorchak for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". April 3, 2024.
  13. ↑ Jurgens, Paul (March 4, 2024). "State district judge decides against US House run". KFGO . Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Alex Balazs awarded ND GOP endorsement for House after Fedorchak withdraws, following pair of failed votes". April 7, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald. March 25, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Rod, Marc (May 27, 2024). "North Dakota primary pits a traditional Republican against a rival skeptical of foreign engagement". Jewish Insider. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  17. 1 2 3 4 Port, Rob (March 13, 2024). "House candidate Julie Fedorchak wins the battle of legislative endorsements". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead .
  18. ↑ Schilke, Rachel (April 26, 2024). "Battle for North Dakota's sole House seat gets personal with plastic surgeon's attack website". Washington Examiner . Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  19. ↑ "Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz endorses Rick Becker for North Dakota's House seat". April 18, 2024.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 Port, Rob (February 7, 2024). "Rick Becker's House campaign is connected to a spider web of political organizations". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead . Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  21. ↑ Elkind, Elizabeth (April 1, 2024). "Trump-aligned candidate for North Dakota's lone House seat gets boost from Vivek Ramaswamy". Fox News . Retrieved April 1, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Big Win and Nine New Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. May 8, 2024. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Rick Becker for Congress". Republicans for National Renewal. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  24. ↑ Gick, Justin (May 30, 2024). "Trump endorses Fedorchak for U.S. House". KFYRTV. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
  25. ↑ "Fedorchak Kicks-Off U.S. House Campaign During Bismarck Rally". KVRR . February 15, 2024. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  26. ↑ Port, Rob (May 14, 2024). "Julie Fedorchak endorsed by House Republican caucus leader Rep. Elise Stefanik" . INFORUM.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 "10 North Dakota elected officials endorse Julie Fedorchak for U.S. House seat". Grand Forks Herald . March 28, 2024.
  28. ↑ Johnson, Jim (March 22, 2024). "Burgum endorses Fedorchak for Congress". KNOX-FM . Retrieved March 22, 2024.
  29. 1 2 "RJC Endorses Julie Fedorchak in North Dakota". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  30. ↑ "ND U.S. House Republican Primary Debate".
  31. ↑ "Second NDGOP House candidate debate features more issues than attacks; Fedorchak absent".
  32. ↑ "Full Congressional Republican Primary Debate - News & Views with Joel Heitkamp".
  33. ↑ Downs, Michael (June 6, 2024). "North Dakota U.S. House Republican Primary Debate". WDAY News. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  34. ↑ WPA Intelligence
  35. 1 2 DFM Research (D)
  36. 1 2 "2024 Election United States House - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  37. ↑ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  38. ↑ Hjelmstad, Gretchen (January 10, 2024). "Democrat Trygve Hammer announces run for North Dakota U.S. House seat". KVLY-TV . Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  39. ↑ "Trygve Hammer gets U.S. House endorsement from Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  40. ↑ "Official Results 2024 General Election". North Dakota Voting Information & Central Election Systems. North Dakota Secretary of State. June 11, 2024. Archived from the original on June 12, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  41. ↑ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  42. ↑ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  44. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  45. ↑ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  46. ↑ "2024 House Forecast". May 28, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  47. ↑ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved April 13, 2024.
  48. ↑ "Julie Fedorchak Earns North Dakota Small Business Community Endorsement for Election to Congress". July 30, 2024.
  49. ↑ "Julie Fedorchak".
  50. ↑ WPA Intelligence
  51. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
  52. ↑ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.

Official campaign websites

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