2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota

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2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota
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Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote30
Popular vote188,163124,827
Percentage58.32%38.69%
North Dakota Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
County Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic-NPL

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic-NPL

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Contents

Mitt Romney handily won the state with 58.32% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.69%, a 19.63% margin of victory. He flipped seven counties that Obama carried in 2008, including Cass County, home to Fargo, the state's largest city. Obama was the first Democrat since 1912 to win without Mountrail County. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time a Democrat won Benson, Ransom, Sargent, and Steele counties.

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Republican caucuses

The 2012 North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 6, 2012. [1] North Dakota has 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention; [2] despite Rick Santorum's nominal win in the preference poll conducted during the caucuses, the majority of the delegates elected by the state party convention later in March said they supported Romney. [3]

2012 North Dakota Republican presidential caucuses [4]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates [1]
Rick Santorum 4,51039.7%6
Ron Paul 3,18628.1%2
Mitt Romney 2,69123.7%20
Newt Gingrich 9628.5%0
Unprojected delegates0
Totals11,349100.0%28

Convention controversy

The North Dakota Republican Party held its state convention from Friday, March 30 to Sunday, April 1, where twenty-five unbound National Convention delegates were elected. Rick Santorum had won the straw poll at the Legislative Districts caucuses on Super Tuesday with a large margin to Ron Paul in second place and Mitt Romney in third place. The party leadership's recommended slate of delegates was to reflect this straw poll result. However, the slate gave Romney a large majority of the delegates. Former NDGOP Chairman Gary Emineth called the vote undemocratic and a railroad job. [5]

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Barack
Obama (D)		Mitt
Romney (R)		OtherUndecided
Mason-Dixon [6] October 26–28625± 4.0%40%54%3%3%
Forum/Essman [7] October 12–15500± 4.3%32%57%-11%
Rasmussen Reports [8] October 17–18600± 4.0%40%54%2%4%
Mason-Dixon [9] October 3–5625± 4.0%40%54%1%5%
Rasmussen Reports [8] July 10–11, 2012400± - 5%36%51%6%7%
Mason-Dixon [10] June 4–12625± 4.0%39%52%––

‡Likely primary voters

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post [11] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN [12] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times [13] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post [14] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics [15] Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight [17] Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota [18]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 188,16358.32%3
Democratic-NPL Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)124,82738.69%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 5,2381.62%0
Other1,8600.58%0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 1,3620.42%0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer1,1860.37%0
Totals322,932100.00%3

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican		Barack Obama
Democratic-NPL		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 91871.38%32825.51%403.11%59045.87%1,286
Barnes 2,96453.68%2,39443.35%1642.97%57010.33%5,522
Benson 86840.24%1,23557.26%542.50%-367-17.02%2,157
Billings 47281.66%8915.40%892.94%38366.26%578
Bottineau 2,28064.14%1,18333.28%922.58%1,09730.86%3,555
Bowman 1,28073.69%41423.83%432.48%86649.86%1,737
Burke 76975.17%23022.48%242.35%53952.69%1,023
Burleigh 27,95164.42%14,12232.55%1,3143.03%13,82931.87%43,387
Cass 36,85549.90%34,71247.00%2,2883.10%2,1432.90%73,855
Cavalier 1,19557.76%81839.54%562.70%37718.22%2,069
Dickey 1,61063.51%85333.65%722.84%75729.86%2,535
Divide 73363.08%38533.13%443.79%34829.95%1,162
Dunn 1,50674.04%50824.98%200.98%99849.06%2,034
Eddy 63454.80%48642.01%373.19%14812.79%1,157
Emmons 1,43576.17%38320.33%663.50%1,05255.84%1,884
Foster 1,03061.24%60736.09%452.67%42325.15%1,682
Golden Valley 74279.96%16217.46%242.58%58062.50%928
Grand Forks 15,06050.15%14,03246.73%9373.12%1,0283.42%30,029
Grant 1,02572.54%33423.64%543.82%69148.90%1,413
Griggs 77157.41%53639.91%362.68%23517.50%1,343
Hettinger 1,00073.42%31322.98%493.60%68750.44%1,362
Kidder 87065.51%39329.59%654.90%47735.92%1,328
LaMoure 1,37762.76%74033.73%773.51%63729.03%2,194
Logan 81075.49%23221.62%312.89%57853.87%1,073
McHenry 1,67861.87%94334.77%913.36%73527.10%2,712
McIntosh 1,03567.65%45930.00%362.35%57637.65%1,530
McKenzie 2,45871.23%92726.86%661.91%1,53144.37%3,451
McLean 3,14163.61%1,67033.82%1272.57%1,47129.79%4,938
Mercer 3,15270.75%1,16626.17%1373.08%1,98644.58%4,455
Morton 8,68063.76%4,46932.83%4643.41%4,21130.93%13,613
Mountrail 1,96256.75%1,40340.58%922.67%55916.17%3,457
Nelson 86551.55%76745.71%462.74%985.84%1,678
Oliver 69368.41%28127.74%393.85%41240.67%1,013
Pembina 1,89958.34%1,25338.49%1033.17%64619.85%3,255
Pierce 1,46567.26%66030.30%532.44%80536.96%2,178
Ramsey 2,66553.31%2,16443.29%1703.40%50110.02%4,999
Ransom 1,00941.61%1,34355.38%733.01%-334-13.77%2,425
Renville 85166.59%39831.14%292.27%45335.45%1,278
Richland 4,22955.55%3,19842.01%1862.44%1,03113.54%7,613
Rolette 1,09223.99%3,35373.66%1072.35%-2,261-49.67%4,552
Sargent 87943.80%1,07553.56%532.64%-196-9.76%2,007
Sheridan 64278.10%16319.83%172.07%47958.27%822
Sioux 22519.67%90078.67%191.66%-675-59.00%1,144
Slope 34178.03%8318.99%132.98%25859.04%437
Stark 8,52173.25%2,81224.17%3002.58%5,70949.08%11,633
Steele 49847.79%51849.71%262.50%-20-1.92%1,042
Stutsman 5,68559.48%3,58537.51%2883.01%2,10021.97%9,558
Towner 62352.71%51643.65%433.64%1079.06%1,182
Traill 1,99650.91%1,81146.19%1142.90%1854.72%3,921
Walsh 2,65655.44%1,98541.43%1503.13%67114.01%4,791
Ward 16,23063.74%8,44133.15%7923.11%7,78930.59%25,463
Wells 1,65469.53%67328.29%522.18%98141.24%2,379
Williams 7,18473.25%2,32223.67%3023.08%4,86249.58%9,808
Totals188,16358.32%124,82738.69%9,6372.99%63,33619.63%322,627
County Flips: Democratic Hold Republican Hold Gain from Democratic North Dakota County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is an at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
At-large 58.32%38.7% Kevin Cramer

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2012". The Green Papers . Retrieved April 8, 2012.
  2. ↑ Silver, Nate (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  3. ↑ Wetzel, Dale (April 7, 2012). "Santorum delegate plan hits wall in North Dakota". WTOP-FM . Associated Press. Archived from the original on July 15, 2012. Retrieved April 8, 2012.
  4. ↑ "NDGOP Presidential Caucus Information". North Dakota Republican Party. Archived from the original on May 27, 2012. Retrieved May 7, 2012.
  5. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - Politics - Mar 31, 2012 - Unrest over ND GOP national convention delegates". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  6. ↑ "Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll #3 - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks". www.valleynewslive.com. Archived from the original on November 3, 2012.
  7. ↑ "Poll Watch: Forum Communications North Dakota 2012 Presidential Surve…". archive.ph. February 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved September 9, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  8. 1 2 "Election 2012: North Dakota President". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  9. ↑ "Poll - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks". www.valleynewslive.com. Archived from the original on October 11, 2012.
  10. ↑ "Primary Election Poll: House and President on KFYR-TV North Dakota's NBC News Leader". www.kfyrtv.com. Archived from the original on July 22, 2012.
  11. ↑ "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost . Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
  12. ↑ "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN . Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
  13. ↑ "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times . Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
  14. ↑ "2012 Presidential Election Results" . The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  15. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
  16. ↑ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  17. ↑ "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  18. ↑ "North Dakota Secretary of State" . Retrieved November 11, 2012.
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