2012 United States Senate election in Ohio

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2012 United States Senate election in Ohio
Flag of Ohio.svg
  2006 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2018  
Turnout64.6% Increase2.svg [1]
  Sherrod Brown official photo 2009 2 (cropped).jpg Josh Mandel.jpg
Nominee Sherrod Brown Josh Mandel
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote2,762,7662,435,744
Percentage50.70%44.70%

2012 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by county.svg
2012 Ohio senate election results map by congressional district.svg
Brown:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Mandel:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote. [2] [3]

Contents

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 522,827 100.00%
Total votes522,827 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed

Withdrew

Endorsements

Josh Mandel was endorsed by Rob Portman, U.S. Senator (R-OH); [11] Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator (R-SC); [12] Jim Jordan, U.S. Congressman (R-OH); [13] Club for Growth; [14] National Rifle Association of America; [15] Tea Party Express; [16] John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ); [17] Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (R-FL); [18] Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey; [19] Afghanistan & Iraq Veterans for Congress (AIVC); [20] Buckeye Firearms Association [21] National Right to Life Committee; [22] Ohio Right to Life; [23] and National Federation of Independent Business [24]

Results

Results by county:
Mandel
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Mandel--80-90%
Mandel--70-80%
Mandel--60-70%
Mandel--50-60%
Mandel--40-50%
Mandel--<40% Ohio U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2012.svg
Results by county:
Mandel
  •   Mandel—80–90%
  •   Mandel—70–80%
  •   Mandel—60–70%
  •   Mandel—50–60%
  •   Mandel—40–50%
  •   Mandel—<40%
Republican primary results [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Josh Mandel 580,525 63.00%
Republican Michael Pryce130,37014.15%
Republican Donna Glisman114,18312.39%
Republican David Dodt47,2785.13%
Republican Eric Gregory47,1235.11%
Republican Russell Bliss1,9270.21%
Total votes921,406 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Debates

Campaign

In 2006, U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown defeated two-term incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mike DeWine 56%-44% 2006 election. Over the next six years, he established a very liberal, progressive, and populist record. The National Journal named Brown the most liberal U.S. Senator in the past two years. [27] The Washington Post called him a "modern-day Paul Wellstone." One article said "Brown is way to the left of Ohio in general, but probably the only person who could outwork Brown is Portman." [28] Brown is the only candidate the 60 Plus Association targeted in the 2012 election cycle. [29]

Mandel, 34, was elected state treasurer in 2010. Before that, he was a Lyndhurst City Councilman and Ohio State Representative. He was criticized as Ohio Treasurer for not fulfilling his pledge to serve a four-year term and for not attending any of the Board of Deposit monthly meetings. [30] However, Mandel raised a lot of money. He was called a rising star in the Republican Party and was called "the rock star of the party." He was also compared to Marco Rubio. [31]

Mandel's campaign was singled out by the independent fact-checking group Politifact for its "casual relationship with the truth" and its tendency to "double down" after inaccuracies were pointed out. The fact-checking group wrote: "For all the gifts Mandel has, from his compelling personal narrative as an Iraq war veteran to a well-oiled fundraising machine, whoppers are fast becoming a calling card of his candidacy." [32]

Mandel raised $7.2 million through the first quarter of 2012. He had $5.3 million cash on hand, trailing Brown's $6.3 million. [33] However, Mandel benefited from massive support from conservative out-of-state superPACs, which raise unlimited amounts of money from anonymous donors. These outside groups, including Crossroads GPS, aired over $60 million in TV advertising supporting Mandel and attacking Brown, [34] outspending Democratically aligned outside groups by more than five-to-one. [35] Mandel's campaign was aided by over $1 million spent primarily on attack ads by a 501(c)(4) organization called the Government Integrity Fund. The group was funded by anonymous donors and run by lobbyist Tom Norris of Columbus, Ohio-based Cap Square Solutions. [36]

Endorsements

Brown was endorsed by the Cleveland Plain Dealer , [37] the Columbus Dispatch , [38] the Toledo Blade , [39] the Youngstown Vindicator , [40] The Cincinnati Enquirer , [41] and the Akron Beacon-Journal . [42]

Mandel was endorsed by the Warren Tribune-Chronicle [43] and the Marietta Times. [44]

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Sherrod Brown (D)$8,132,882$3,379,775$6,273,316$0
Josh Mandel (R)$7,286,390$1,999,397$5,286,993$0
Scott Rupert (I)$3,153$2,594$389$0
Source: Federal Election Commission [45] [46] [47]

Top contributors

[48]

Sherrod BrownContributionJosh MandelContribution
JStreetPAC $71,175 Club for Growth $172,904
Ohio State University $69,470 Senate Conservatives Fund $114,400
Kohrman, Jackson & Krantz$59,500Suarez Corp$90,000
Cleveland Clinic $57,971Kasowitz Benson Torres & Friedman$41,600
Forest City Enterprises $51,600 American Financial Group $32,750
American Electric Power $42,350 Cintas Corp $30,000
Squire Sanders $39,400 Sullivan & Cromwell $25,475
Baker & Hostetler $38,906 Susquehanna International Group $22,500
Case Western Reserve University $35,450 Timken Company $22,500
Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease $34,167Crawford Group$22,000

Top industries

[49]

Sherrod BrownContributionJosh MandelContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,587,113Retired$480,900
Retired$942,717 Financial Institutions $397,140
Health Professionals $536,954 Real Estate $371,057
Real Estate$435,066 Lawyers/Law Firms $362,515
Lobbyists $393,651 Leadership PACs $320,050
Education $369,722 Republican/Conservative$278,924
Leadership PACs$318,975 Manufacturing & Distributing$276,600
Hospitals/Nursing Homes $286,072Misc Finance$205,350
Insurance $223,983 Retail Industry $166,650
Financial Institutions$204,350 Pro-Israel $163,000

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [50] Lean DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [51] Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [52] Lean DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [53] Lean DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Josh
Mandel (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%48%32%21%
Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ]May 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%45%31%2%21%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011565±4.1%48%31%21%
Quinnipiac July 12–18, 20111,659±4.1%49%34%1%16%
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011792±3.5%48%33%19%
Quinnipiac September 20–25, 20111,301±2.7%49%36%13%
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011581±4.1%48%40%12%
Quinnipiac October 17–23, 20111,668±2.4%49%34%1%14%
Public Policy Polling November 4–6, 20111,421±2.6%48%35%14%
Quinnipiac Archived February 3, 2012, at the Wayback Machine January 9–16, 20121,610±2.4%47%32%1%18%
Public Policy Polling January 28–29, 2012820±3.4%47%36%17%
Rasmussen Reports February 8, 2012500±4.5%44%40%4%12%
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine February 7–12, 2012500±4.5%48%35%4%17%
NBC News/Marist February 29 – March 2, 20123,079±1.8%47%37%16%
Quinnipiac Archived March 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine March 20–26, 20121,246±2.8%46%36%3%14%
Rasmussen Reports March 26, 2012500±4.5%43%43%3%11%
Rasmussen Reports April 18, 2012500±4.5%44%41%3%12%
Public Policy Polling May 3–6, 2012875±3.3%45%37%19%
Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine May 2–7, 20121,069±3.0%46%40%1%13%
NBC News/Marist May 17–20, 20121,103±3.0%51%37%12%
Rasmussen Reports May 29, 2012500±4.5%47%42%3%7%
Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012673±3.8%46%39%15%
Quinnipiac Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine June 19–25, 20121,237±2.8%50%34%1%14%
Rasmussen Reports July 18, 2012500±4.5%46%42%4%8%
Magellan Strategies July 23–24, 2012597±4.0%45%38%12%5%
Quinnipiac Archived August 1, 2012, at the Wayback Machine July 24–30, 20121,193±2.8%51%39%1%9%
Rasmussen Reports August 13, 2012500±4.5%44%44%3%9%
Quinnipiac Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine August 15–21, 20121,253±2.8%48%45%1%10%
Ohio Poll August 16–21, 2012847±3.4%48%47%5%
Columbus Dispatch August 15–25, 20121,758±2.1%44%44%12%
Gravis Marketing September 7–8, 20121,548±2.7%47%42%11%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 20121,072±3.0%48%40%11%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll September 9–11, 2012979±3.1%49%42%9%
Rasmussen Reports September 12, 2012500±4.5%49%41%3%7%
Ohio Newspaper Organization September 13–18, 2012861±3.3%52%45%1%2%
Fox News Poll September 16–18, 20121,009±3.0%47%40%1%9%
Gravis Marketing September 21–22, 2012594±4.3%44%43%13%
Washington Post September 19–23, 2012934±4.0%53%41%6%
CBS/New York Times/Quinnipiac September 18–24, 20121,162±4.0%50%40%10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 30 – October 1, 2012931±3.2%50%41%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2012500±4.5%46%46%2%6%
SurveyUSA October 5–8, 2012808±3.5%42%38%4%16%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll October 7–9, 2012994±3.1%52%41%1%6%
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2012500±4.5%47%46%2%4%
Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2012880±3.3%49%42%9%
Survey USA October 12–15, 2012613±4.0%43%38%4%14%
Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2012750±4.0%49%44%1%5%
CBS News/Quinnipiac October 17–20, 20121,548±3.0%51%42%7%
Public Policy Polling October 18–20, 2012532±4.3%49%44%7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 18–20, 2012550±4.2%52%45%3%
Suffolk October 18–21, 2012600unknown46%39%6%10%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012810±3.4%52%41%7%
SurveyUSA October 20–22, 2012725±4.2%43%42%3%12%
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2012750±4.0%48%44%2%5%
Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News October 18–23, 20121,015±3.1%51%47%1%2%
Gravis Marketing Archived October 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine October 27, 2012730±3.6%48%47%5%
CBS/Quinnipiac University October 23–28, 20121,110±3.0%51%42%7%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2012718±3.7%53%42%6%
Pharos Research October 26–28, 2012765±3.5%53%43%7%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2012750±4.0%50%48%1%1%
SurveyUSA October 26–29, 2012603±4.1%46%41%3%10%
University of Cincinnati/Ohio Poll October 25–30, 20121,182±2.9%49%44%4%3%
Reuters/Ipsos October 29–31, 2012885±3.8%49%41%4%6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 31 – November 1, 2012971±3.1%50%45%1%4%
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012750±4.0%48%48%2%2%
Columbus Dispatch October 24 – November 3, 20121,501±2.2%51%45%4%
Ohio Poll/Univ. of Cincinnati October 31 – November 4, 2012901±3.3%51%47%3%
SurveyUSA November 1–4, 2012803±3.5%44%41%4%9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 2–4, 2012572±4.1%52%46%2%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 20121,000±3.1%54%44%3%
Rasmussen Reports November 4, 2012750±4%50%48%1%1%
Hypothetical polling
Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown
Other/
Undecided
American Public Polling January 23, 20121,600±3%77%23%
American Public Polling February 6, 20121,600±3%84%16%
American Public Polling February 13, 20121,600±3%81%19%
American Public Polling February 20–27, 20121,600±3%91%9%
Republican primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Coughlin
Josh
Mandel
Other/
Undecided
Quinnipiac July 12–18, 2011563±4.1%12%35%46%
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011400±4.9%12%31%57%
Quinnipiac September 20–25, 2011423±4.8%12%33%53%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ken
Blackwell
Kevin
Coughlin
Josh
Mandel
Other/
Undecided
Quinnipiac Archived April 15, 2012, at the Wayback Machine May 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%33%5%17%46%
General election
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Ken
Blackwell (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ]May 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%44%35%2%18%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011565±4.1%51%33%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Drew
Carey (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%49%34%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Kevin
Coughlin (R)
OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ]May 10–16, 20111,379±2.6%44%28%3%23%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011565±4.1%51%30%19%
Quinnipiac July 12–18, 20111,659±4.1%50%32%1%18%
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011792±3.5%47%33%20%
Quinnipiac September 20–25, 20111,301±2.7%53%32%13%
Public Policy Polling October 13–16, 2011581±4.1%48%37%15%
Quinnipiac October 17–23, 20111,668±2.4%51%30%1%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Mike
DeWine (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010510±4.3%43%43%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jon
Husted (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010510±4.3%43%38%18%
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%49%34%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Jordan (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010510±4.3%43%35%22%
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%49%30%21%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011565±4.1%49%31%21%
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011792±3.5%47%35%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Steve
LaTourette (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%48%30%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Mary
Taylor (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2010510±4.3%40%38%22%
Public Policy Polling March 10–13, 2011559±4.1%49%30%21%
Public Policy Polling May 19–22, 2011565±4.1%50%31%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Tressel (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling August 11–14, 2011792±3.5%46%34%20%

Results

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2012 [54]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 2,762,766 50.70% -5.46%
Republican Josh Mandel 2,435,74444.70%+0.88%
Independent Scott Rupert250,6184.60%N/A
Total votes5,449,128 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Brown won 6 of 16 congressional districts, including the 10th and 14th districts, which elected Republicans to the House. [55]

DistrictBrownMandelRepresentative
1st 47.20%49.13% Steve Chabot
2nd 44.52%51.01% Jean Schmidt (112th Congress)
Brad Wenstrup (113th Congress)
3rd 68.41%27.73% Mike Turner (112th Congress)
Joyce Beatty (113th Congress)
4th 40.48%54.19% Jim Jordan
5th 43.26%51.76% Bob Latta
6th 44.46%49.92% Bill Johnson
7th 44.18%49.81% Steve Austria (112th Congress)
Bob Gibbs (113th Congress)
8th 36.53%58.92% John Boehner
9th 66.47%28.93% Marcy Kaptur
10th 48.52%47.74% Dennis Kucinich (112th Congress)
Mike Turner (113th Congress)
11th 81.90%15.71% Marcia Fudge
12th 44.27%51.09% Pat Tiberi
13th 63.80%30.99% Betty Sutton (112th Congress)
Tim Ryan (113th Congress)
14th 48.07%47.14% Steve LaTourette (112th Congress)
Dave Joyce (113th Congress)
15th 46.15%48.89% Steve Stivers
16th 46.46%48.47% Jim Renacci

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist J. D. Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2021 Ohio's 11th congressional district special election</span>

On March 10, 2021, Marcia Fudge resigned her seat in the United States House of Representatives after being confirmed by the United States Senate to serve as the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in the Biden administration. Governor Mike DeWine set the primary date for August 3, concurrent with the special election in Ohio's 15th congressional district. The general election was on November 2. Shontel Brown won both the competitive Democratic primary and the general election, and was sworn in on November 4.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 Ohio Attorney General election</span>

The 2010 Ohio Attorney General election was held on November 2, 2010, concurrently with other statewide offices including a Class 1 Senate election as well as the Governor election. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Richard Cordray who was elected in a 2008 special election ran for a full 4-year term but was defeated by Republican challenger and former 2-term United States senator Mike DeWine. Being decided by 1.2%, this was the closest statewide election in Ohio. Cordray and DeWine faced off again in Ohio's 2018 Governor election; DeWine won that election by 3.7 percentage points.

References

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Official campaign websites