2012 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Last updated

2012 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote60
Popular vote710,746562,949
Percentage55.29%43.79%

Mississippi Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
2014 U.S. House elections in Mississippi.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose six electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Contents

Romney and Ryan won Mississippi with 55.29% of the popular vote to Obama and Biden's 43.79%, thus winning the state's six electoral votes by an 11.50% margin. [1] Mississippi was one of just six states where Obama improved on his 2008 performance. According to exit polls, the black vote share in Mississippi increased from 33% in 2008 to 36% in 2012, likely explaining Obama's gains. [2] This was the strongest showing for a Democratic presidential candidate in Mississippi since native Southerner Bill Clinton's 44.08% in 1996. Obama carried Warren County, becoming the first Democrat to do so since John F. Kennedy in 1960. [3] He also managed to flip Benton County and improved his margins in Democratic counties throughout the state. As of the 2024 presidential election, this was the last time a Democratic presidential candidate has carried Benton, Chickasaw, and Panola counties. Obama's 562,949 votes is the highest total received by a Democratic presidential candidate in the state's history.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Obama ran unopposed in the Mississippi primary and therefore received 100% of the vote. [4]

Republican primary

Mississippi Republican primary, 2012
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2008 March 13, 2012 (2012-03-13) 2016  
  HI
AS  

37 Republican National Convention delegates
The number of delegates received is determined by the popular vote
  Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Candidate Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney
Home state Pennsylvania Georgia Massachusetts
Delegate count131212
Popular vote96,25891,61290,161
Percentage32.73%31.15%30.66%

2012 Mississippi Republican Primaries Counties.svg
County results

The Republican primary took place on March 13, 2012, the same day as the Alabama Republican primary and the Hawaii Republican caucuses. [5] [6] After the open election, 37 bound delegates and three unbound delegates will go to the Republican National Convention. [7]

Mississippi Republican primary, 2012 [8] [9]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
America Symbol.svg Rick Santorum 96,25832.73%13
Newt Gingrich 91,61231.15%12
Mitt Romney 90,16130.66%14
Ron Paul 12,9554.40%0
Rick Perry 1,3500.46%0
Michele Bachmann 9710.33%0
Jon Huntsman, Jr. 4130.14%0
Gary Johnson 3920.13%0
Unprojected delegates:3
Total:294,112100%40

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post [10] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN [11] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times [12] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post [13] Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics [14] Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight [16] Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Mississippi
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 710,74655.29%6
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent)562,94943.79%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 6,6760.52%0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer2,6090.20%0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 1,5880.12%0
ReformBarbara Dale WasherCathy L. Toole1,0160.08%0
Totals1,285,584100.00%6

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams 6,29340.74%9,06158.66%930.60%-2,768-17.92%15,447
Alcorn 11,11174.92%3,51123.67%2081.41%7,60051.25%14,830
Amite 4,41457.28%3,24242.07%500.65%1,17215.21%7,706
Attala 5,12656.38%3,92743.19%390.43%1,19913.19%9,092
Benton 2,04149.59%2,05149.83%240.58%-10-0.24%4,116
Bolivar 4,70130.47%10,58268.59%1450.94%-5,881-38.12%15,428
Calhoun 4,41262.42%2,58636.59%700.99%1,82625.83%7,068
Carroll 3,96066.09%2,00733.49%250.42%1,95332.60%5,992
Chickasaw 3,99446.97%4,37851.49%1311.54%-384-4.52%8,503
Choctaw 2,81265.81%1,42833.42%330.77%1,38432.39%4,273
Claiborne 62511.40%4,83888.22%210.38%-4,213-76.82%5,484
Clarke 5,04961.18%3,11137.70%931.12%1,93823.48%8,253
Clay 4,29138.76%6,71260.62%690.62%-2,421-21.86%11,072
Coahoma 2,71225.71%7,79273.86%450.43%-5,080-48.15%10,549
Copiah 6,28244.48%7,74954.87%920.65%-1,467-10.39%14,123
Covington 5,40557.82%3,87841.48%650.70%1,52716.34%9,348
DeSoto 43,55966.21%21,57532.79%6601.00%21,98433.42%65,794
Forrest 16,57454.82%13,27243.89%3901.29%3,30210.93%30,236
Franklin 2,73560.87%1,72638.42%320.71%1,00922.45%4,493
George 8,37684.98%1,35913.79%1211.23%7,01771.19%9,856
Greene 4,53176.51%1,32522.37%661.12%3,20654.14%5,922
Grenada 5,98652.81%5,28846.65%610.54%6986.16%11,335
Hancock 12,96475.52%3,91722.82%2861.66%9,04752.70%17,167
Harrison 39,47062.33%23,11936.51%7391.16%16,35125.82%63,328
Hinds 29,66427.86%76,11271.47%7150.67%-46,448-43.61%106,491
Holmes 1,43515.45%7,81284.11%410.44%-6,377-68.66%9,288
Humphreys 1,29324.81%3,90374.88%160.31%-2,610-50.07%5,212
Issaquena 30238.37%47960.86%60.77%-177-22.49%787
Itawamba 7,39379.34%1,70618.31%2192.35%5,68761.03%9,318
Jackson 35,74766.62%17,29932.24%6091.14%18,44834.38%53,655
Jasper 4,19344.89%5,09754.57%500.54%-904-9.68%9,340
Jefferson 46810.56%3,95189.13%140.31%-3,483-78.57%4,433
Jefferson Davis 2,50736.52%4,26762.16%901.32%-1,760-25.64%6,864
Jones 20,68768.59%9,21130.54%2610.87%11,47638.05%30,159
Kemper 1,78935.41%3,23964.11%240.48%-1,450-28.70%5,052
Lafayette 11,07556.78%8,09141.48%3391.74%2,98415.30%19,505
Lamar 19,10176.74%5,49422.07%2941.19%13,60754.67%24,889
Lauderdale 18,70057.05%13,81442.15%2630.80%4,88614.90%32,777
Lawrence 4,19262.59%2,46836.85%380.56%1,72425.74%6,698
Leake 4,86354.14%4,07945.41%410.45%7848.73%8,983
Lee 22,41563.49%12,56335.58%3280.93%9,85227.91%35,306
Leflore 3,58728.08%9,11971.39%670.53%-5,532-43.31%12,773
Lincoln 10,83966.04%5,47133.33%1040.63%5,36832.71%16,414
Lowndes 13,51849.78%13,38849.30%2520.92%1300.48%27,158
Madison 28,50757.51%20,72241.80%3420.69%7,78515.71%49,571
Marion 8,23764.71%4,39334.51%990.78%3,84430.20%12,729
Marshall 6,47339.86%9,65059.42%1170.72%-3,177-19.56%16,240
Monroe 9,72357.47%7,05641.71%1390.82%2,66715.76%16,918
Montgomery 2,94752.21%2,67547.39%230.40%2724.82%5,645
Neshoba 7,83771.15%3,08928.04%890.81%4,74843.11%11,015
Newton 6,39465.40%3,31933.95%640.65%3,07531.45%9,777
Noxubee 1,32521.15%4,92078.54%190.31%-3,595-57.39%6,264
Oktibbeha 8,76148.36%9,09550.20%2611.44%-334-1.84%18,117
Panola 7,62945.34%9,07953.96%1180.70%-1,450-8.62%16,826
Pearl River 17,54978.96%4,36619.65%3091.39%13,18359.31%22,224
Perry 4,13772.30%1,52726.69%581.01%2,61045.61%5,722
Pike 8,18145.52%9,65053.69%1430.79%-1,469-8.17%17,974
Pontotoc 9,44876.13%2,80422.59%1591.28%6,64453.54%12,411
Prentiss 7,07570.52%2,81728.08%1411.40%4,25842.44%10,033
Quitman 1,11628.05%2,83771.30%260.65%-1,721-43.25%3,979
Rankin 48,44475.52%14,98823.37%7131.11%33,45652.15%64,145
Scott 6,08954.36%5,03144.91%820.73%1,0589.45%11,202
Sharkey 73729.11%1,78270.38%130.51%-1,045-41.27%2,532
Simpson 7,42460.61%4,72338.56%1020.83%2,70122.05%12,249
Smith 6,04974.69%1,97924.44%710.87%4,07050.25%8,099
Stone 5,42071.96%2,00326.59%1091.45%3,41745.37%7,532
Sunflower 2,92926.09%8,19973.02%1000.89%-5,270-46.93%11,228
Tallahatchie 2,49938.43%3,95960.88%450.69%-1,460-22.45%6,503
Tate 7,33259.10%4,93339.76%1411.14%2,39919.34%12,406
Tippah 6,71773.30%2,31725.28%1301.42%4,40048.02%9,164
Tishomingo 6,13377.28%1,64320.70%1602.02%4,49056.58%7,936
Tunica 88320.15%3,47579.30%240.55%-2,592-59.15%4,382
Union 8,49874.77%2,74224.13%1251.10%5,75650.64%11,365
Walthall 4,05153.65%3,42245.32%781.03%6298.33%7,551
Warren 10,45748.89%10,78650.42%1480.69%-329-1.53%21,391
Washington 5,65128.66%13,98170.92%830.42%-8,330-42.26%19,715
Wayne 6,11159.15%4,14840.15%730.70%1,96319.00%10,332
Webster 3,99276.27%1,19022.74%520.99%2,80253.53%5,234
Wilkinson 1,41529.16%3,41270.31%260.53%-1,997-41.15%4,853
Winston 5,16852.58%4,60746.87%540.55%5615.71%9,829
Yalobusha 3,27651.56%3,03047.69%480.75%2463.87%6,354
Yazoo 4,94142.52%6,60356.82%760.66%-1,662-14.30%11,620
Totals710,74655.29%562,94943.79%11,8890.92%147,79711.50%1,285,584
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold Mississippi County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Romney won three of four congressional districts. [17]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st 61.87%37% Alan Nunnelee
2nd 33%66.4% Bennie Thompson
3rd 60%39.1% Gregg Harper
4th 67.6%31.24% Steven Palazzo

See also

References

  1. "2012 Presidential Election Results - Mississippi" . Retrieved January 5, 2013.
  2. "2012 Exit Polls - Mississippi". CNN . Retrieved January 5, 2013.
  3. Kestenbaum, Lawrence. "Warren County, Mississippi". The Political Graveyard . Retrieved December 29, 2022.
  4. "Mississippi Democratic Delegation 2012". The Green Papers. Retrieved August 1, 2019.
  5. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN . Retrieved January 11, 2012.
  6. "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission . Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  7. "Mississippi Republican Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com.
  8. "Republican%20Certification_2012%20Primary.pdf" (PDF).
  9. "Mississippi Republican Primary - Election Results - Election 2012". The New York Times.
  10. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost . Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
  11. "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN . Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
  12. "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times . Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
  13. "2012 Presidential Election Results" . The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  14. "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
  15. "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  16. "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  17. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.