2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Last election310
Seats won310
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote471,162398,77048,104
Percentage50.18%42.47%5.12%
SwingDecrease2.svg 7.40%Increase2.svg 4.42%Increase2.svg 3.80%

2018 U.S. House elections in Mississippi.svg
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by county.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Mississippi; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on June 5, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

Contents

Overview

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi [1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican 471,16250.18%3-
Democratic 398,77042.47%1-
Independents48,1045.12%0-
Reform 20,8672.22%0-
Totals938,903100.00%4

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi by district: [2]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 158,24566.90%76,60132.39%1,6750.71%236,521100%Republican hold
District 2 00.00%158,92171.79%62,45828.21%221,379100%Democratic hold
District 3 160,28462.30%94,46136.72%2,5260.98%257,271100%Republican hold
District 4 152,63368.22%68,78730.75%2,3121.03%223,732100%Republican hold
Total471,16250.18%398,77042.47%68,9717.35%938,903100%
Popular vote
Republican
50.18%
Democratic
42.47%
Other
7.34%
House seats
Republican
75%
Democratic
25%

District 1

2018 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2016
2020  
  Trent Kelly, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Trent Kelly Randy Wadkins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote158,24576,601
Percentage66.9%32.4%

2018 United States House Election in Mississippi's 1st District by County.svg
County results
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Wadkins:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Trent Kelly, who had represented the district since 2015. Kelly was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Randy Wadkins 11,692 100.0
Total votes11,692 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 30,151 100.0
Total votes30,151 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [9] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [10] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [11] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Trent
Kelly (R)
Randy
Wadkins (D)
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns [12] July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%57%28%15%

Results

2018 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 158,245 66.9
Democratic Randy Wadkins76,60132.4
Reform Tracella Lou O'Hara Hil1,6750.7
Total votes236,521 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2018 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2016
2020  
  Bennie Thompson official photo (2).jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bennie Thompson Troy RayIrving Harris
Party Democratic Independent Reform
Popular vote158,92148,10414,354
Percentage71.8%21.7%6.5%

2018 MS-2.svg
County results
Thompson:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Ray:     40-50%

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

The incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who had represented the district since 1993. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 31,203 100.0
Total votes31,203 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [5] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [8] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [9] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [10] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [11] Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bennie
Thompson (D)
Irving
Harris (REF)
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns [12] July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%51%22%27%

Results

2018 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 158,921 71.8
Independent Troy Ray48,10421.7
Reform Irving Harris14,3546.5
Total votes221,379 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2018 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2016
2020  
  Michael Guest, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Guest Michael Evans
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote160,28494,461
Percentage62.3%36.7%

2018 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election by county.svg
County results
Guest:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Evans:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Gregg Harper
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

The incumbent was Republican Gregg Harper, who had represented the district since 2009. He was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2016.

In January 2018, Harper announced that he would retire from Congress and not run for re-election in 2018. [15]

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michael Evans 17,016 69.3
Democratic Michael Aycox7,52530.7
Total votes24,541 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest 29,157 44.8
Republican Whit Hughes 14,464 22.2
Republican Perry Parker10,56216.2
Republican Sally Doty 6,60810.2
Republican Morgan Dunn3,8205.9
Republican Katherine Tate4160.6
Total votes65,027 100.0

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest 31,121 65.1
Republican Whit Hughes16,69134.9
Total votes47,812 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [9] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [10] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [11] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michael
Guest (R)
Michael
Evans (D)
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns [12] July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%56%27%17%

Results

2018 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest 160,284 62.3
Democratic Michael Evans94,46136.7
Reform Matthew Holland2,5261.0
Total votes257,271 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2018 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Mississippi (1996-2020).svg
  2016
2020  
  Steven Palazzo 116th congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Steven Palazzo Jeramey Anderson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote152,63368,787
Percentage68.2%30.8%

2018 MS-04 election results.svg
County results
Palazzo:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
Anderson:     50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steven Palazzo
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who has represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jeramey Anderson 14,560 100.0
Total votes14,560 100.0

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 30,270 70.5
Republican E. Brian Rose12,66429.5
Total votes42,934 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [9] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [10] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [11] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steven
Palazzo (R)
Jeramey
Anderson (D)
Undecided
Triumph Campaigns [12] July 30–31, 2018525± 3.5%54%37%10%

Results

2018 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election [26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 152,633 68.2
Democratic Jeramey Anderson 68,78730.7
Reform Lajena Sheets2,3121.0
Total votes223,732 100.0
Republican hold

References

  1. "Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".
  2. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  3. "Meet the scientists running to transform Congress in 2018". Science | AAAS. February 20, 2018. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  4. 1 2 3 4 "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  9. 1 2 3 4 Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on September 9, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  10. 1 2 3 4 "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". CNN. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
  11. 1 2 3 4 "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". Politico. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
  12. 1 2 3 4 Triumph Campaigns
  13. Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018). "United States House of Representatives Congressional District 1" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi . Archived (PDF) from the original on May 22, 2023. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  14. Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018). "United States House of Representatives Congressional District 2" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi . Archived (PDF) from the original on April 22, 2025. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  15. Pender, Geoff; Berry, Deborah (January 4, 2018). "Harper won't seek re-election". The Clarion-Ledger . Jackson, Mississippi. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
  16. "Democrat Michael Evans joins crowd of Republicans running for Congress". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  17. "State lawmaker, Magee businesswoman announce run for Congress". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  18. "Morgan Dunn seeks Congressional seat". The Magee Courier & Simpson County News. January 23, 2018. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  19. "District Attorney Michael Guest running for Congress to replace Gregg Harper in #MS03". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  20. "Whit Hughes jumps into race to replace U.S. Rep. Gregg Harper". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  21. "International businessman running for 3rd District congressional seat". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  22. "Sixth candidate qualifies for 3rd District U.S. House seat". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  23. Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018). "United States House of Representatives Congressional District 3" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi . Archived (PDF) from the original on May 22, 2023. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  24. "Jeramey Anderson, youngest state legislator, announces bid for Congress | Mississippi Today". mississippitoday.org. November 3, 2017. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  25. Elliott, David. "Congressional candidate releases documents on Rep. Palazzo's military record" . Retrieved April 15, 2018.
  26. Hosemann, Delbert (December 3, 2018). "United States House of Representatives Congressional District 4" (PDF). Secretary of State of Mississippi . Archived (PDF) from the original on May 11, 2025. Retrieved August 28, 2025.

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates