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Ivey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Maddox: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Alabama |
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The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R), who took office upon the resignation of Robert Bentley (R), ran for election to a full term and defeated Democratic Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox by a wide margin. [1] Ivey was sworn in for her first full term on January 14, 2019. [2]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Battle | Scott Dawson | Bill Hightower | Kay Ivey | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) [42] | May 20–22, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 58% | 12% |
Leverage Public Strategies [43] | April 23–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 30% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) [44] | August 28–30, 2017 | 601 | ± 4.1% | 11% | – | 3% | 66% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Battle | Young Boozer | Bill Hightower | Mike Hubbard | Kay Ivey | Tim James | Del Marsh | John McMillan | John Merrill | Roy Moore | Martha Roby | Luther Strange | Undecided/ Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Insight Research [45] | July 2016 | 607 | – | 9% | 2% | – | – | – | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 28% | 6% | 19% | 24% |
Public Insight Research [45] | July 2015 | 601 | – | – | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 32% | – | 19% | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 330,743 | 56.10% | |
Republican | Tommy Battle | 146,887 | 24.92% | |
Republican | Scott Dawson | 79,302 | 13.45% | |
Republican | Bill Hightower | 29,275 | 4.97% | |
Republican | Michael McAllister (deceased) | 3,326 | 0.56% | |
Total votes | 589,533 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Walt Maddox | 154,559 | 54.60% | |
Democratic | Sue Bell Cobb | 82,043 | 28.98% | |
Democratic | James Fields | 22,635 | 8.00% | |
Democratic | Anthony White | 9,677 | 3.42% | |
Democratic | Doug "New Blue" Smith | 9,244 | 3.27% | |
Democratic | Christopher Countryman | 4,923 | 1.74% | |
Total votes | 283,081 | 100% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [89] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [90] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [91] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [92] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [93] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [94] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [95] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [96] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [97] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [98] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kay Ivey (R) | Walt Maddox (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey [104] | September 9–24, 2018 | 1,254 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC) [105] | September 22, 2018 | 316 | ± 5.5% | 58% | 38% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) [106] | July 24–25, 2018 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 56% | 42% | 3% |
Neighborhood Research Corporation (R) [107] | June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 28% | – |
ALG Research [108] [109] | April 27 – May 2, 2018 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 59% | 36% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 1,022,457 | 59.46% | −4.10% | |
Democratic | Walt Maddox | 694,495 | 40.39% | +4.15% | |
Write-in | 2,637 | 0.15% | -0.05% | ||
Majority | 327,962 | 19.07% | −8.65% | ||
Total votes | 1,719,589 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Ivey won six of seven congressional districts. [111]
District | Ivey | Maddox | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 61% | 39% | Bradley Byrne |
2nd | 64% | 36% | Martha Roby |
3rd | 63% | 37% | Mike Rogers |
4th | 75% | 25% | Robert Aderholt |
5th | 61% | 39% | Mo Brooks |
6th | 64% | 35% | Gary Palmer |
7th | 27% | 73% | Terri Sewell |
Official gubernatorial campaign websites