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Ivey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Maddox: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Alabama |
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The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R), who took office on April 10, 2017 upon the resignation of Robert Bentley (R), ran for election to a full term and won over Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox. [1] Ivey was sworn in for her first full term on January 14, 2019. This was the first time since 1966 that a woman was elected governor of Alabama.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Battle | Scott Dawson | Bill Hightower | Kay Ivey | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) [41] | May 20–22, 2018 | 602 | ± 4.1% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 58% | 12% |
Leverage Public Strategies [42] | April 23–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 47% | 30% |
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) [43] | August 28–30, 2017 | 601 | ± 4.1% | 11% | – | 3% | 66% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tommy Battle | Young Boozer | Bill Hightower | Mike Hubbard | Kay Ivey | Tim James | Del Marsh | John McMillan | John Merrill | Roy Moore | Martha Roby | Luther Strange | Undecided/ Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Insight Research [44] | July 2016 | 607 | – | 9% | 2% | – | – | – | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 28% | 6% | 19% | 24% |
Public Insight Research [44] | July 2015 | 601 | – | – | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 32% | – | 19% | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 330,743 | 56.10% | |
Republican | Tommy Battle | 146,887 | 24.92% | |
Republican | Scott Dawson | 79,302 | 13.45% | |
Republican | Bill Hightower | 29,275 | 4.97% | |
Republican | Michael McAllister (deceased) | 3,326 | 0.56% | |
Total votes | 589,533 | 100% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Walt Maddox | 154,559 | 54.60% | |
Democratic | Sue Bell Cobb | 82,043 | 28.98% | |
Democratic | James Fields | 22,635 | 8.00% | |
Democratic | Anthony White | 9,677 | 3.42% | |
Democratic | Doug "New Blue" Smith | 9,244 | 3.27% | |
Democratic | Christopher Countryman | 4,923 | 1.74% | |
Total votes | 283,081 | 100% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [88] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [89] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [90] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [91] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [92] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [93] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [94] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [95] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [96] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [97] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kay Ivey (R) | Walt Maddox (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey [103] | September 9–24, 2018 | 1,254 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC) [104] | September 22, 2018 | 316 | ± 5.5% | 58% | 38% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) [105] | July 24–25, 2018 | 1,027 | ± 3.1% | 56% | 42% | 3% |
Neighborhood Research Corporation (R) [106] | June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 28% | – |
ALG Research [107] [108] | April 27 – May 2, 2018 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 59% | 36% | – |
Maddox narrowly carried Tuscaloosa County, where he currently served as mayor of Tuscaloosa, by a mere one vote. This is the first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which a Democrat won the county, and the first since 1990 in which neighboring Pickens County voted for a different candidate than Tuscaloosa. This is the first time the Republican gubernatorial candidate carried Barbour County since 1872 during Reconstruction. [109] [110]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kay Ivey (incumbent) | 1,022,457 | 59.46% | −4.10% | |
Democratic | Walt Maddox | 694,495 | 40.39% | +4.15% | |
Write-in | 2,637 | 0.15% | -0.05% | ||
Majority | 327,962 | 19.07% | −8.65% | ||
Total votes | 1,719,589 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Ivey won six of seven congressional districts. [112]
District | Ivey | Maddox | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 61% | 39% | Bradley Byrne |
2nd | 64% | 36% | Martha Roby |
3rd | 63% | 37% | Mike Rogers |
4th | 75% | 25% | Robert Aderholt |
5th | 61% | 39% | Mo Brooks |
6th | 64% | 35% | Gary Palmer |
7th | 27% | 73% | Terri Sewell |
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(help)Official gubernatorial campaign websites