2018 Alabama gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Alabama gubernatorial election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
  Governor Kay Ivey 2017 (cropped).jpg Walter Maddox May 2011 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kay Ivey Walt Maddox
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,022,457694,495
Percentage59.46%40.39%

2018 Alabama gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 Alabama Gubernatorial Election by congressional district.svg
2018 AL Gov.svg
Ivey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Maddox:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R), who took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert Bentley (R) ran for election to a full term and won over Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox. [1] Ivey was sworn in for her first full term on January 14, 2019. This was the first time since 1966 that a woman was elected Governor of Alabama.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Scott Dawson
Politicians
Individuals
Organizations
  • BamaCarry, Alabama's Largest Second Amendment Rights Group
  • Alabama Republican Assembly
Kay Ivey
Politicians
  • State Sen. Del Marsh. (R-Anniston), President pro tempore of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Reed, (R-Jasper), Majority Leader of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Albritton (R-Range)
  • State Sen. Clyde Chambliss (R-Prattville)
  • State Sen. Jimmy Holley (R-Elba)
  • State Sen. Jim McClendon (R-Springville)
  • State Sen. Tim Melson (R-Florence)
  • State Sen. Arthur Orr (R-Decatur)
  • State Sen. Paul Sanford (R-Huntsville)
  • State Sen. Clay Scofield (R-Guntersville)
  • State Sen. Jabo Waggoner (R-Vestavia Hills)
  • State Sen. Cam Ward (R-Alabaster)
  • State Sen. Phil Williams (R-Rainbow City)
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)
Individuals
Organizations
  • Alabama Farmers Federation
Tommy Battle
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Battle
Scott
Dawson
Bill
Hightower
Kay
Ivey
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) Archived May 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 20–22, 2018602± 4.1%18%7%5%58%12%
Leverage Public Strategies April 23–30, 2018600± 3.9%11%9%4%47%30%
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) August 28–30, 2017601± 4.1%11%3%66%16%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Battle
Young
Boozer
Bill
Hightower
Mike
Hubbard
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Del
Marsh
John
McMillan
John
Merrill
Roy
Moore
Martha
Roby
Luther
Strange
Undecided/
Other
Public Insight Research July 20166079%2%3%2%3%3%28%6%19%24%
Public Insight Research July 20156014%4%5%2%3%32%19%30%

Results

Results by county:
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Ivey
>90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
Battle
40-50%
60-70% Alabama gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
  Ivey
  •   >90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Battle
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 330,743 56.10%
Republican Tommy Battle 146,88724.92%
Republican Scott Dawson 79,30213.45%
Republican Bill Hightower 29,2754.97%
Republican Michael McAllister (deceased)3,3260.56%
Total votes589,533 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Sue Bell Cobb
Politicians
  • Thomas Parchman III, candidate for Jefferson County Circuit Clerk
Individuals
  • James T. Stephens, Chairman of EBSCO Industries
  • Lilly Ledbetter [55]
  • Billy Jones, President of Crowne Healthcare [56]
  • Suzanne Durham, former CEO of YMCA Birmingham [57]
  • J. Norman Baldwin, Author and Professor of Political Science at University of Alabama [58]
  • Ruth Harrell, former president of the Alabama State Nurses Association [59]
  • Joanne Shum, Director of Alabama HIPPY [60]
  • Kelley Parris, Director of the Children's Board of Hillsborough County
  • Mark Johnston, former candidate for Governor of Alabama
  • John A. Pickens, Former Executive Director of Alabama Appleseed Center
  • Miah Jackson, Councilwoman for Selma, Alabama
  • Frannie James, Jefferson County Democratic Party Executive Director
  • Wade Chapman, student activist
  • Quincy Hall, Equality Alabama Board of Directors President
  • Josh Coleman, Central Alabama Pride
  • Sue Thompson, activist
  • Lonnie Malone, Executive Director of The Effective Family Inc.
Organizations
  • Alabama Progressive Democratic Alliance
James Fields
Unions
Christopher A. Countryman
Organizations
  • Madison County Our Revolution of Madison County, Alabama
  • Millions For Medicare of Alabama
  • Alabama Internet Democrats
  • Alabama United
  • Power House of Montgomery, Alabama
Individuals
  • Bev Cowling, Director of Madison County Our Revolution of Madison County, Alabama
  • Cortney Brown, Successful business woman of Huntsville, Alabama
  • Mia Raven, Director of Power House of Montgomery, Alabama
  • Jeni Tanner-Jordan, Former President of The Greater Birmingham Chapter of The National Organization For Women of Birmingham, Alabama
  • John Harrison, Successful minister and human rights advocate of Birmingham, Alabama
Walt Maddox
Politicians
Individuals
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO President [70]
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association President [71]
  • Pat Edington, former Vice Chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs [72]
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, Editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine.
  • Tom Ksobiech, Associate Dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Jim Page, President of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Tony Quillen, President of IBEW 558 [73]
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Lars Anderson, Reporter for The Athletic
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA Chairman
  • Bob Vance, Circuit Court Judge
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB Track and Field Head Coach
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama Restaurateur [62]
  • Brandon Hamner, President of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Elliot Maisel, Chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County Probate Judge
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Results by county:
Maddox
>90%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
<40%
Cobb
<40%
40-50%
50-60%
Fields
50-60%
White
<40% Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Maddox
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Cobb
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Fields
  •   50–60%
White
  •   <40%
Democratic primary results [77]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Walt Maddox 154,559 54.60%
Democratic Sue Bell Cobb 82,04328.98%
Democratic James Fields 22,6358.00%
Democratic Anthony White9,6773.42%
Democratic Doug "New Blue" Smith9,2443.27%
Democratic Christopher Countryman4,9231.74%
Total votes283,081 100%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Hewitt Jr., police officer [78]
  • Eric Lathan, security guard, Iraq War veteran and candidate for the Jefferson County Commission in 2010 [79]

Declined

  • Mark Johnston, pastor, businessman and summer camp executive director [80] [81] [82] [83]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [84] Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [85] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [86] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [87] Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [88] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [89] Safe RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [90] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [91] [lower-alpha 1] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico [92] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Governing [93] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Kay Ivey
Politicians
  • State Sen. Del Marsh. (R-Anniston), President pro tempore of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Reed, (R-Jasper), Majority Leader of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Albritton (R-Range)
  • State Sen. Clyde Chambliss (R-Prattville)
  • State Sen. Jimmy Holley (R-Elba)
  • State Sen. Jim McClendon (R-Springville)
  • State Sen. Tim Melson (R-Florence)
  • State Sen. Arthur Orr (R-Decatur)
  • State Sen. Paul Sanford (R-Huntsville)
  • State Sen. Clay Scofield (R-Guntersville)
  • State Sen. Jabo Waggoner (R-Vestavia Hills)
  • State Sen. Cam Ward (R-Alabaster)
  • State Sen. Phil Williams (R-Rainbow City)
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)
Individuals
Organizations
Walt Maddox
Federal officials
Local and state politicians
Individuals
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO President [70]
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association President [71]
  • Pat Edington, former Vice Chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs [72]
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, Editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine.
  • Tom Ksobiech, Associate Dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Jim Page, President of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Tony Quillen, President of IBEW 558 [73]
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Lars Anderson, Reporter for The Athletic
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA Chairman
  • Bob Vance, Circuit Court Judge
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB Track and Field Head Coach
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama Restaurateur [62]
  • Brandon Hamner, President of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Elliot Maisel, Chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County Probate Judge
  • Marc Torrence, Reporter for Patch Media
  • Jim Stovall, American writer best known for his bestselling novel The Ultimate Gift. [98]
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Walt
Maddox (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey September 9–24, 20181,254± 3.8%51%26%22%
Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC) September 22, 2018316± 5.5%58%38%4%
Cygnal (R) July 24–25, 20181,027± 3.1%56%42%3%
Neighborhood Research Corporation (R) June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018440± 4.4%53%28%
ALG Research [99] April 27 – May 2, 2018601± 4.0%59%36%

Results

Maddox narrowly carried Tuscaloosa County, where he currently serves as mayor of Tuscaloosa, by a mere 1 vote. This is the first gubernatorial election since 2002 in which a Democrat won the county and the first since 1990 in which neighboring Pickens County voted for a different candidate than Tuscaloosa. This is the first time the Republican gubernatorial candidate carried Barbour county since 1872 during Reconstruction. [100] [101]

2018 Alabama gubernatorial election [102]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 1,022,457 59.46% −4.10%
Democratic Walt Maddox 694,49540.39%+4.15%
Write-in 2,6370.15%-0.05%
Majority327,96219.07%−8.65%
Total votes1,719,589 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ivey won 6 of 7 congressional districts. [103]

DistrictIveyMaddoxRepresentative
1st 61%39% Bradley Byrne
2nd 64%36% Martha Roby
3rd 63%37% Mike Rogers
4th 75%25% Robert Aderholt
5th 61%39% Mo Brooks
6th 64%35% Gary Palmer
7th 27%73% Terri Sewell

See also

Notes

    Related Research Articles

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    Official gubernatorial campaign websites